Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
Giants vs Dodgers | J.Sanchez vs C.Billingsley | Dodgers | -172 +164 | 7.5 | 59.31% | 8.06/4 | 68%/8.7 | Dodgers |
Rockies vs Pirates | A.Cook vs Z.Duke | Rockies | -142 +134 | 9.0 | 51.84% | 9.01/11 | 62%/10.2 | Rockies |
Angels vs Red Sox | J.Saunders vs J.Beckett | Red Sox | -170 +162 | 8.5 | 63.27% | 9.93/11 | 59%/9.0 | Angels |
Tigers vs Indians | N.Robertson vs C.Lee | Indians | -150 +142 | 9.5 | 54.87% | 8.30/26 | 56%/9.8 | Tigers |
Orioles vs Yankees | D.Sarfate vs J.Chamberlain | Yankees | -270 +250 | 9.5 | 62.32% | 8.50/16 | 75%/10.7 | Yankees |
Rays vs Blue Jays | E.Jackson vs S.Richmond | Rays | -111 +103 | 9.5 | 44.31% | 10.15/5 | 44%/10.2 | Rays |
Cardinals vs Braves | C.Carpenter vs J.Jurrjens | Braves | -124 +116 | 9.0 | 52.78% | 7.75/9 | 49%/8.4 | Cardinals |
Mets vs Marlins | M.Pelfrey vs J.Johnson | Mets | -124 +116 | 9.0 | 45.70% | 9.09/12 | 50%/9.8 | Marlins |
Reds vs Astros | E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez | Astros | -111 +103 | 8.5 | 60.72% | 8.10/14 | 56%/9.0 | Reds |
Cubs vs Brewers | R.Dempster vs M.Parra | Brewers | -109 +101 | 8.5 | 61.50% | 9.77/9 | 51%/9.8 | Cubs |
Mariners vs Rangers | M.Batista vs V.Padilla | Rangers | -174 +166 | 10.5 | 64.66% | 10.29/7 | 67%/11.7 | Rangers |
White Sox vs Twins | G.Floyd vs L.Hernandez | White Sox | -109 +101 | 10.5 | 52.50% | 8.59/11 | 50%/10.8 | White Sox |
DBacks vs Padres | D.Haren vs C.Baek | DBacks | -133 +125 | 7.0 | 50.97% | 6.71/10 | 58%/8.2 | DBacks |
Royals vs A's | B.Bannister vs S.Gallagher | A's | -129 +121 | 8.5 | 51.35% | 8.18/7 | 50%/9.1 | Royals |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $2279 | -$741 | $6890 | 37.80% |
AccuScore | $2296 | $1086 | $9132 | 82.64% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($113), Pit($236), Det($162), Bal($318), Tor($316), Fla($372), Hou($375), Mil($375), SD($206), KC($155) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($324), Col($201), LAA($114), Det($114), NYY($187), Tor($332), Stl($218), Fla($172), Hou($179), Tex($239), KC($216) |
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