Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, July 30th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Giants vs Dodgers J.Sanchez vs C.Billingsley Dodgers -172 +164 7.5 59.31% 8.06/4 68%/8.7 Dodgers
Rockies vs Pirates A.Cook vs Z.Duke Rockies -142 +134 9.0 51.84% 9.01/11 62%/10.2 Rockies
Angels vs Red Sox J.Saunders vs J.Beckett Red Sox -170 +162 8.5 63.27% 9.93/11 59%/9.0 Angels
Tigers vs Indians N.Robertson vs C.Lee Indians -150 +142 9.5 54.87% 8.30/26 56%/9.8 Tigers
Orioles vs Yankees D.Sarfate vs J.Chamberlain Yankees -270 +250 9.5 62.32% 8.50/16 75%/10.7 Yankees
Rays vs Blue Jays E.Jackson vs S.Richmond Rays -111 +103 9.5 44.31% 10.15/5 44%/10.2 Rays
Cardinals vs Braves C.Carpenter vs J.Jurrjens Braves -124 +116 9.0 52.78% 7.75/9 49%/8.4 Cardinals
Mets vs Marlins M.Pelfrey vs J.Johnson Mets -124 +116 9.0 45.70% 9.09/12 50%/9.8 Marlins
Reds vs Astros E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez Astros -111 +103 8.5 60.72% 8.10/14 56%/9.0 Reds
Cubs vs Brewers R.Dempster vs M.Parra Brewers -109 +101 8.5 61.50% 9.77/9 51%/9.8 Cubs
Mariners vs Rangers M.Batista vs V.Padilla Rangers -174 +166 10.5 64.66% 10.29/7 67%/11.7 Rangers
White Sox vs Twins G.Floyd vs L.Hernandez White Sox -109 +101 10.5 52.50% 8.59/11 50%/10.8 White Sox
DBacks vs Padres D.Haren vs C.Baek DBacks -133 +125 7.0 50.97% 6.71/10 58%/8.2 DBacks
Royals vs A's B.Bannister vs S.Gallagher A's -129 +121 8.5 51.35% 8.18/7 50%/9.1 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2279 -$741 $6890 37.80%
AccuScore $2296 $1086 $9132 82.64%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($113), Pit($236), Det($162), Bal($318), Tor($316), Fla($372), Hou($375), Mil($375), SD($206), KC($155)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($324), Col($201), LAA($114), Det($114), NYY($187), Tor($332), Stl($218), Fla($172), Hou($179), Tex($239), KC($216)

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