Friday, July 18, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, July 19th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks C.Billingsley vs D.Haren DBacks -123 +115 7.5 53.16% 8.62/5 60%/7.4 DBacks
Pirates vs Rockies Y.Herrera vs J.DeLaRosa Rockies -152 +144 10.5 57.45% 10.75/8 65%/11.6 Rockies
Brewers vs Giants B.Sheets vs J.Sanchez Brewers -139 +131 7.5 49.41% 7.98/13 57%/8.5 Brewers
Padres vs Cardinals R.Wolf vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals -139 +131 8.5 60.21% 7.19/11 60%/9.5 Cardinals
Phillies vs Marlins K.Kendrick vs S.Olsen Phillies -107 -101 9.0 49.84% 9.90/14 51%/10.6 Marlins
Mets vs Reds O.Perez vs J.Fogg Mets -123 +115 10.0 51.66% 9.90/9 49%/9.9 Reds
Nationals vs Braves J.Lannan vs J.Jurrjens Braves -192 +181 8.5 67.78% 7.56/10 65%/8.0 Nationals
Cubs vs Astros C.Zambrano vs W.Rodriguez Cubs -120 +112 8.5 49.85% 8.99/5 52%/8.8 Astros
Blue Jays vs Rays R.Halladay vs M.Garza Blue Jays -113 +105 7.5 47.61% 8.31/10 55%/8.6 Rays
Indians vs Mariners J.Sowers vs J.Washburn Mariners -126 +118 9.0 56.86% 8.95/15 59%/10.3 Indians
Tigers vs Orioles N.Robertson vs D.Cabrera Orioles -119 +111 10.0 47.28% 9.98/21 48%/11.2 Orioles
Royals vs White Sox G.Meche vs G.Floyd White Sox -144 +136 9.0 58.51% 10.54/10 60%/9.8 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2750 -$643 $6521 30.42%
AccuScore $2975 $429 $9918 98.36%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units.

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