Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, July 24th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Phillies vs Mets J.Moyer vs O.Perez Mets -125 +117 9.5 53.97% 8.75/4 50%/10.2 Mets
Blue Jays vs Orioles R.Halladay vs D.Cabrera Blue Jays -133 +125 8.0 49.80% 9.05/8 61%/9.2 Blue Jays
Nationals vs Giants T.Redding vs M.Cain Giants -138 +130 8.0 60.13% 7.45/1 62%/8.6 Giants
Padres vs Pirates C.Hensley vs Y.Herrera Padres -106 -102 10.5 45.39% 8.63/10 54%/11.8 Pirates
Marlins vs Cubs S.Olsen vs C.Zambrano Cubs -182 +174 TBD 61.08% 10.37/9 69%/10.4 Cubs
Rays vs Royals M.Garza vs G.Meche Rays -117 +109 8.5 40.65% 9.24/6 46%/9.6 Royals
Brewers vs Cardinals B.Sheets vs T.Wellemeyer Brewers -130 +122 8.0 48.73% 8.06/7 55%/8.9 Brewers
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1427 $354 $7685 53.70%
AccuScore $1387 $682 $9205 84.10%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Bal($259), SF($127), Pit($207), KC($551), Stl($283)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Phi($181), Tor($228), SF($239), SD($131), ChC($314), KC($294)

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