Saturday, July 26, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, July 27th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Nationals vs Dodgers J.Bergmann vs C.Kershaw Dodgers -153 +145 8.5 60.23% 8.82/2 54%/9.6 Dodgers
Marlins vs Cubs R.VandenHurk vs J.Marquis Cubs -168 +160 TBD 54.98% 10.53/15 TBD Cubs
Padres vs Pirates J.Peavy vs P.Maholm Padres -119 +111 7.5 43.67% 7.81/4 51%/8.6 Padres
Braves vs Phillies J.Campillo vs J.Blanton Phillies -139 +131 9.5 56.65% 9.25/22 55%/8.7 Phillies
Rockies vs Reds U.Jimenez vs J.Fogg Rockies -130 +122 9.5 55.60% 10.03/11 52%/9.7 Rockies
Cardinals vs Mets K.Lohse vs J.Santana Mets -174 +166 7.5 57.31% 7.98%/10 64%/8.0 Mets
Angels vs Orioles E.Santana vs G.Olson Angels -138 +130 9.5 55.02% 9.96/7 63%/10.8 Orioles
Yankees vs Red Sox S.Ponson vs J.Lester Red Sox -163 +155 10.0 62.80% 10.27/11 65%/11.2 Red Sox
Twins vs Indians N.Blackburn vs J.Sowers Twins -104 -104 9.5 52.35% 9.15/6 55%/10.4 Twins
White Sox vs Tigers J.Vazquez vs Z.Miner Tigers -120 +112 10.0 50.57% 9.11/10 50%/11.0 Tigers
Mariners vs Blue Jays J.Washburn vs S.Marcum Blue Jays -164 +156 9.0 63.87% 9.31/6 63%/8.6 Mariners
Astros vs Brewers R.Wolf vs J.Suppan Brewers -160 +152 9.0 62.83% 9.78/17 56%/9.8 Astros
Rays vs Royals A.Sonnanstine vs K.Davies Rays -131 +123 9.5 56.82% 9.52/7 58%/10.6 Royals
Rangers vs A's E.Hurley vs D.Eveland A's -119 +111 9.0 53.64% 8.91/11 49%/9.9 A's
DBacks vs Giants R.Johnson vs B.Zito DBacks -134 +126 8.0 47.39% 7.76/9 61%/9.0 DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1372 -$1372 $8811 76.22%
AccuScore $2000 -$442 $10209 104.18%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Fla($263), Pit($426), Stl($202), CWS($107), SF($374)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Was($217), Atl($251), Cin($122), LAA($302), Bos($200), Min($205), CWS($134), Hou($178), Tex($171), Ari($220)

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