Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, July 31st

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers B.Webb vs D.Lowe Dodgers -105 -103 6.5 52.37% 7.89/3 55%/7.5 DBacks
Cubs vs Brewers R.Harden vs D.Bush Cubs -138 +130 7.5 43.91% 9.57/15 52%/8.1 Cubs
Cardinals vs Braves J.Pineiro vs M.Hampton Cardinals -114 +106 10.0 44.08% 8.05/13 57%/9.3 Braves
Phillies vs Nationals K.Kendrick vs J.Lannan Phillies -124 +116 8.5 49.88% 8.99/12 57%/9.5 Phillies
Rockies vs Marlins J.DeLaRosa vs A.Sanchez Marlins -117 +109 9.5 53.94% 9.45/14 51%/10.8 Marlins
Tigers vs Indians J.Verlander vs F.Carmona Tigers -128 +120 9.0 50.37% 8.68/13 57%/9.8 Indians
Angels vs Yankees J.Garland vs A.Pettitte Yankees -159 +151 9.5 64.35% 9.80/18 61%/10.4 Angels
Mariners vs Rangers R.Dickey vs M.Harrison Rangers -145 +137 12.0 58.33% 10.79/13 55%/13.2 Mariners
White Sox vs Twins J.Danks vs S.Baker Twins -117 +109 8.0 50.05% 7.84/16 55%/8.9 Twins
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1393 -$235 $6149 22.98%
AccuScore $713 -$426 $10217 104.34%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Mil($375), Atl($358), Was($178), Cle($191), NYY($191), CWS($100)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($193), Mil($200), Stl($199), Sea($121)

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