Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
DBacks vs Dodgers | R.Johnson vs C.Kershaw | DBacks | -105 -103 | 7.5 | 44.07% | 8.64/3 | 54%/8.6 | DBacks |
Pirates vs Cubs | J.Karstens vs J.Marquis | Cubs | -225 +207 | 9.5 | 61.71% | 10.11/3 | 73%/10.8 | Pirates |
A's vs Red Sox | J.Duchscherer vs T.Wakefield | Red Sox | -136 +128 | 8.5 | 59.56% | 9.52/3 | 53%/8.0 | Red Sox |
Angels vs Yankees | E.Santana vs S.Ponson | Angels | -105 -103 | 10.0 | 42.12% | 9.76/1 | 55%/11.3 | Angels |
Rockies vs Marlins | U.Jimenez vs C.Volstad | Marlins | -104 -104 | 9.0 | 56.33% | 8.82/7 | 54%/9.6 | Rockies |
Tigers vs Rays | Z.Miner vs S.Kazmir | Rays | -181 +173 | 8.5 | 64.84% | 8.89/7 | 58%/9.6 | Rays |
Brewers vs Braves | J.Suppan vs C.James | Brewers | -123 +115 | 9.5 | 56.43% | 9.54/9 | 58%/9.8 | Brewers |
Reds vs Nationals | H.Bailey vs O.Perez | Nationals | -110 +102 | 9.5 | 57.95% | 8.95/7 | 56%/10.8 | Nationals |
Blue Jays vs Rangers | S.Marcum vs T.Hunter | Rangers | -110 +102 | 11.0 | 58.43% | 10.14/17 | 57%/10.5 | Rangers |
Mets vs Astros | P.Martinez vs B.Backe | Mets | -115 +107 | 9.5 | 48.54% | 9.58/10 | 47%/10.5 | Astros |
Indians vs Twins | J.Sowers vs N.Blackburn | Twins | -160 +152 | 9.0 | 59.92% | 8.00/5 | 65%/9.3 | Twins |
White Sox vs Royals | J.Vazquez vs L.Hochevar | White Sox | -124 +116 | 9.0 | 51.43% | 9.21/6 | 59%/10.1 | White Sox |
Phillies vs Cardinals | C.Hamels vs K.Lohse | Phillies | -126 +118 | 8.0 | 48.50% | 8.03/9 | 57%/8.5 | Cardinals |
Giants vs Padres | T.Lincecum vs J.Banks | Giants | -130 +122 | 7.0 | 53.75% | 6.56/5 | 49%/8.3 | Giants |
Orioles vs Mariners | G.Olson vs J.Washburn | Mariners | -120 +112 | 9.0 | 53.54% | 8.76/15 | 59%/10.4 | Orioles |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $2405 | $634 | $5914 | 18.28% |
AccuScore | $2728 | $526 | $9791 | 95.82% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): LAD($263), Pit($211), Bos($114), NYY($362), Fla($272), Was($292), Tex($375), Hou($152), KC($105), Stl($259) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Ari($142), Oak($139), LAA($193), Fla($154), Det($211), Mil($158), Was($190), Tex($371), Hou($226), Min($225), CWS($204), SD($270), Sea($245) |
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