Thursday, July 24, 2008

Simulations for Friday, July 25th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Nationals vs Dodgers J.Lannan vs C.Billingsley Dodgers -177 +169 7.0 62.35% 8.31/5 64%/8.0 Dodgers
Marlins vs Cubs J.Johnson vs R.Dempster Cubs -173 +165 51.35% 9.79/5 68%/10.2 Marlins
Padres vs Pirates C.Baek vs Z.Duke Pirates -117 +109 9.5 56.88% 8.13/11 50%/10.7 Padres
Braves vs Phillies J.Jurrjens vs K.Kendrick Phillies -112 +104 9.5 56.42% 9.64/10 57%/8.9 Braves
Rockies vs Reds A.Cook vs E.Volquez Reds -139 +131 8.5 52.17% 8.94/9 51%/8.8 Rockies
Cardinals vs Mets M.Boggs vs M.Pelfrey Mets -163 +155 9.0 61.96% 8.64/9 66%/10.2 Mets
Angels vs Orioles J.Saunders vs B.Burres Angels -134 +126 9.0 54.02% 10.10/11 61%/10.2 Angels
Yankees vs Red Sox J.Chamberlain vs J.Beckett Red Sox -124 +116 8.0 57.52% 9.33/1 59%/8.6 Yankees
Twins vs Indians L.Hernandez vs C.Lee Indians -210 +192 8.5 65.82% 8.26/9 64%/9.3 Indians
White Sox vs Tigers G.Floyd vs N.Robertson Tigers -120 +112 10.5 52.47% 9.83/11 55%/11.3 White Sox
Mariners vs Blue Jays M.Batista vs J.Parrish Blue Jays -154 +146 9.0 64.56% 9.12/9 55%/10.2 Blue Jays
Astros vs Brewers W.Rodriguez vs M.Parra Brewers -159 +151 9.0 61.87% 9.44/4 62%/9.3 Astros
Rays vs Royals E.Jackson vs B.Bannister Rays -113 +105 9.0 47.23% 9.90/8 46%/10.4 Rays
Rangers vs A's V.Padilla vs S.Gallagher A's -122 +114 8.5 53.38% 9.08/20 51%/9.5 Rangers
DBacks vs Giants D.Haren vs J.Sanchez DBacks -133 +125 7.0 45.92% 7.24/12 62%/8.0 DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1985 $48 $8039 60.78%
AccuScore $2405 -$75 $9887 97.74%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Fla($438), Pit($160), Phi($190), Col($200), Bos($121), Tor($249), KC($194), SF($433)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): ChC($316), SD($103), Phi($220), Col($251), NYM($264), LAA($218), Bos($204), Sea($183), KC($254), Tex($106), Ari($286)

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