Thursday, July 17, 2008

Simulations for Friday, July 18th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks H.Kuroda vs D.Davis Dodgers -115 +107 8.5 50.01% 9.03/15 46%/8.1 Dodgers
Pirates vs Rockies I.Snell vs G.Rusch Rockies -119 +111 10.5 55.32% 10.50/7 59%/11.1 Rockies
Brewers vs Giants C.Sabathia vs M.Cain Brewers -128 +120 7.5 49.55% 7.73/10 56%/8.1 Brewers
Padres vs Cardinals G.Maddux vs B.Looper Cardinals -129 +121 8.5 56.03% 7.35/18 57%/8.3 Cardinals
Phillies vs Marlins J.Moyer vs R.Nolasco Marlins -113 +105 8.5 53.80% 9.56/6 53%/9.4 Phillies
Mets vs Reds J.Maine vs B.Arroyo Mets -113 +105 9.0 52.13% 9.84/7 48%/8.7 Reds
Nationals vs Braves T.Redding vs T.Hudson Braves -185 +177 8.5 68.71% 7.50/13 TBD Braves
Cubs vs Astros T.Lilly vs B.Moehler Cubs -114 +106 9.5 46.30% 9.33/3 48%/9.4 Astros
Blue Jays vs Rays A.Burnett vs J.Shields Rays -139 +131 8.0 57.88% 8.19/3 63%/8.6 Rays
Red Sox vs Angels C.Buchholz vs J.Lackey Angels -144 +136 8.0 52.60% 8.99/14 65%/9.5 Angels
Tigers vs Orioles A.Galarraga vs J.Guthrie Orioles -109 +101 9.0 48.07% 10.03/11 52%/9.7 Tigers
Royals vs White Sox Z.Greinke vs M.Buehrle White Sox -145 +137 8.0 61.86% 9.87/14 63%/9.1 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total
Xeifrank's Simulator $3050 $-23 $6524
AccuScore $3065 $2465 $7453
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units.

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