Sunday, October 28, 2007

Simulation picks World Series Champion

Congratulations to the Boston Red Sox on winning the 2007 World Series, and congratulations to my simulator for correctly picking (on February 13th) the Red Sox to be the champions.

What's next for the simulator? There will be some improvements made to the simulator and some study done on what statistics to use as input into the simulator as to best compete with the Las Vegas sports books. Las Vegas outperformed the simulator by 1.12% during the regular season. This is a very slim margin, but I hope to narrow that number to as close as zero as I can using sound methodology.

I will be making less frequent posts during the offseason, but will still be running some studies and posting them here when available.

And don't forget to pickup one of the professionally designed Dodger Sims T-Shirts available online.

Saturday, October 27, 2007

Simulations for Sunday, October 28th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Red Sox vs Rockies J.Lester vs A.Cook Rockies 56.81 42.55 56.82 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download

Thursday, October 25, 2007

Simulations for Saturday, October 27th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Red Sox vs Rockies D.Matsuzaka vs J.Fogg Rockies 51.85 43.29 56.82 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Current Odds To Win W.S.
Xeifrank's Simulator 48.15 80.43%
LV Hilton Odds 56.71 89.23
Log5 Method 43.18 84.11
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Simulations for Thursday, October 25th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Red Sox U.Jimenez vs C.Schilling Rockies 51.85 34.84% 35.33 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Current Odds To Win W.S.
Xeifrank's Simulator 48.15 Red Sox 64.20%
LV Hilton Odds 65.16 Red Sox 78.45%
Log5 Method 64.67 Red Sox 73.24%
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Sunday, October 21, 2007

Simulations for Wednesday, October 24th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Rockies vs Red Sox J.Francis vs J.Beckett Red Sox 52.10 67.21 64.67 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Current Odds To Win W.S.
Xeifrank's Simulator 52.10 Rockies 51.00%
LV Hilton Odds 67.21 Red Sox 66.00%
Log5 Method 64.67 Red Sox 62.10%
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Saturday, October 20, 2007

Simulations for Sunday, October 21st

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Indians vs Red Sox J.Westbrook vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 51.00 60.78 58.29 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 51.00
LV Hilton Odds 60.78
Log5 Method 58.29
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Thursday, October 18, 2007

Simulations for Saturday, October 20th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Indians vs Red Sox F.Carmona vs C.Schilling Indians 50.77 44.44 41.71 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 49.23
LV Hilton Odds 55.56
Log5 Method 58.29
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Simulations for Thursday, October 18th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Red Sox vs Indians J.Beckett vs C.Sabathia Indians 51.48 46.51 58.46 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 48.52
LV Hilton Odds 53.49
Log5 Method 41.54
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Monday, October 15, 2007

Simulations for Tuesday, October 16th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Log5 Winner
Red Sox vs Indians T.Wakefield vs P.Byrd Red Sox 52.60 50.00 41.54 Indians
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 47.40
LV Hilton Odds 50.00
Log5 Method 58.46
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Sunday, October 14, 2007

Simulations for Monday, October 15th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
DBacks vs Rockies M.Owings vs F.Morales Rockies 52.60 62.69 Rockies
Red Sox vs Indians D.Matsuzaka vs J.Westbrook Red Sox 50.76 53.49 Indians
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 101.84
LV Hilton Odds 109.20
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Saturday, October 13, 2007

Simulations for Sunday, October 14th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
DBacks vs Rockies L.Hernandez vs J.Fogg Rockies 58.40 59.18 TBD
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 58.40
LV Hilton Odds 59.18
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Simulations for Saturday, October 13th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Indians vs Red Sox F.Carmona vs C.Schilling Indians 51.16 43.48 Indians
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 51.16
LV Hilton Odds 43.48
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Simulations for Friday, October 12th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Rockies vs DBacks U.Jimenez vs D.Davis Rockies 57.50 48.78 Rockies
Indians vs Red Sox C.Sabathia vs J.Beckett Red Sox 52.45 59.51 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 109.95
LV Hilton Odds 108.29
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Monday, October 08, 2007

Simulations for Thursday, October 11th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Rockies vs DBacks J.Francis vs B.Webb DBacks 52.08 55.56 Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 47.92
LV Hilton Odds 44.44
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Simulations for Monday, October 8th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Indians vs Yankees P.Byrd vs C.Wang Yankees 61.35 TBD Indians
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 0.00 9052.34
LV Hilton Odds 0.00 9157.33
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Thursday, October 04, 2007

Simulations for Sunday, October 7th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Red Sox vs Angels C.Schilling vs J.Weaver Angels 51.00 TBD Red Sox
Indians vs Yankees J.Westbrook vs R.Clemens Yankees 57.70 TBD Yankees
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 0.00 9052.34
LV Hilton Odds 0.00 9157.33
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Simulations for Saturday, October 6th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
DBacks vs Cubs L.Hernandez vs R.Hill Cubs 61.20 TBD DBacks
Phillies vs Rockies J.Moyer vs U.Jimenez Rockies 61.35 60.00 Rockies
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 0.00 9052.34
LV Hilton Odds 0.00 9157.33
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Simulations for Friday, October 5th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Yankees vs Indians A.Pettitte vs F.Carmona Yankees 53.45 TBD Indians
Angels vs Red Sox K.Escobar vs D.Matsuzaka Angels 52.30 40.82 Red Sox
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 0.00 9189.54
LV Hilton Odds 0.00 9292.59
LV Hilton leads by 1.12%

Wednesday, October 03, 2007

Simulations for Thursday, October 4th

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Rockies vs Phillies F.Morales vs K.Kendrick Phillies 54.90 59.18 Rockies
Yankees vs Indians C.Wang vs C.Sabathia Yankees 53.50 50.00 Indians
Cubs vs DBacks T.Lilly vs D.Davis Cubs 54.40 55.56 DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 137.20 9052.34
LV Hilton Odds 135.26 9157.33
LV Hilton leads by 1.16%

Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Simulations for Wednesday, October 3rd

Teams Playing Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Simulator Odds Vegas Odds Winner
Rockies vs Phillies J.Francis vs C.Hamels Phillies 50.45 58.33 Rockies
Angels vs Red Sox J.Lackey vs J.Beckett Red Sox 52.40 60.00 Red Sox
Cubs vs DBacks C.Zambrano vs B.Webb DBacks 52.80 56.33 DBacks
Vegas Baseball Odds
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Daily Points Total Points
Xeifrank's Simulator 154.75 8897.59
LV Hilton Odds 158.00 8999.33
LV Hilton leads by 1.14%