Friday, July 25, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, July 26th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Nationals vs Dodgers O.Perez vs D.Lowe Dodgers -211 +193 7.5 62.53% 8.54/6 70%/8.5 Dodgers
Marlins vs Cubs C.Volstad vs R.Harden Cubs -240 +222 TBD 54.42% 8.85/5 64%/8.5 Marlins
Padres vs Pirates J.Banks vs J.BenSchoten Padres -104 -104 10.0 50.07% 9.40/15 54%/11.3 Padres
Braves vs Phillies M.Hampton vs C.Hamels Phillies -214 +196 9.0 58.91% 8.88/19 72%/8.8 Phillies
Rockies vs Reds J.DeLaRosa vs H.Bailey Reds -115 +107 10.0 44.54% 10.35/6 51%/11.3 Rockies
Cardinals vs Mets J.Pineiro vs B.Knight Mets -127 +119 9.5 57.13% 8.27/18 59%/8.8 Cardinals
Angels vs Orioles J.Garland vs R.Liz Angels -123 +115 9.5 56.23% 10.56/17 58%/10.6 Angels
Yankees vs Red Sox A.Pettitte vs T.Wakefield Red Sox -113 +105 9.0 58.59% 10.01/13 53%/9.0 Yankees
Twins vs Indians S.Baker vs F.Carmona Indians -123 +115 8.0 56.66% 8.33/15 49%/9.0 Twins
White Sox vs Tigers J.Danks vs J.Verlander Tigers -146 +138 9.0 53.33% 9.25/13 62%/10.3 White Sox
Mariners vs Blue Jays R.Dickey vs D.Purcey Blue Jays TBD TBD 58.80% 9.40/11 TBD Blue Jays
Astros vs Brewers B.Backe vs D.Bush Brewers -159 +151 9.0 64.39% 10.01/10 65%/9.7 Brewers
Rays vs Royals S.Kazmir vs L.Hochever Rays -154 +146 8.0 53.85% 9.27/8 54%/9.1 Rays
Rangers vs A's M.Harrison vs J.Duchscherer A's -191 +180 8.0 61.76% 9.28/13 70%/9.2 Rangers
DBacks vs Giants B.Webb vs T.Lincecum DBacks -115 +107 6.5 46.61% 6.78/8 51%/7.8 DBacks
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2422 $724 $8087 61.74%
AccuScore $2297 $397 $9812 96.24%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Was($125), Fla($507), Atl($274), Col($347), Bos($297), CWS($200), Mil($196), KC($230), SF($246)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($169), Fla($176), SD($154), Phi($308), NYM($174), LAA($159), Min($210), Det($164), Mil($236), KC($224), Oak($323)

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