Sunday, July 20, 2008

Simulations for Monday, July 21st

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies E.Stults vs K.Wells Rockies -122 +114 10 55.40% 9.88/26 56%/10.7 Dodgers
Cubs vs DBacks R.Harden vs R.Johnson Cubs -134 +126 8 55.80% 9.25/2 49%/8.0 DBacks
Padres vs Reds J.Banks vs H.Bailey Reds -129 +121 9.5 52.38% 9.57/10 50%/9.2 Padres
Brewers vs Cardinals S.McClung vs J.Pineiro Cardinals -114 +106 9 51.95% 8.31/9 53%/10.4 Brewers
Braves vs Marlins J.Campillo vs C.Volstad Marlins -113 +105 9 48.90% 9.66/4 57%/8.5 Braves
Pirates vs Astros J.VanBenschoten vs R.Hernandez Astros -143 +135 10 55.27% 11.59/12 63%/11.2 Pirates
Indians vs Angels P.Byrd vs E.Santana Angels -191 +180 8.5 62.78% 9.00/7 63%/9.0 Indians
Red Sox vs Mariners J.Lester vs J.Washburn Red Sox -134 +126 9 55.85% 8.96/4 51%/9.7 Red Sox
A's vs Rays D.Eveland vs S.Kazmir Rays -182 +174 7.5 57.25% 7.79/4 59%/8.6 Rays
Blue Jays vs Orioles J.Litsch vs R.Liz Orioles -107 -101 10 46.91% 10.25/11 48%/11.2 Orioles
Twins vs Yankees N.Blackburn vs S.Ponson Yankees -125 +117 9.5 55.43% 9.06/TBD 51%/10.3 TBD
Tigers vs Royals Z.Miner vs L.Hochevar Royals -107 -101 9.5 52.67% 9.77/23 53%/10.5 Tigers
Rangers vs White Sox J.Hurley vs J.Vazquez White Sox -164 +156 9.5 54.86% 11.57/TBD 61%/10.1 TBD
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2124 $863 $6307 26.14%
AccuScore $4108 -$982 $10802 116.04%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.

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