Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, August 13th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Phillies vs Dodgers J.Blanton vs B.Penny Dodgers -108 +100 7.9 51.51% 9.50/13 56%/9.0 Dodgers
Reds vs Pirates J.Fogg vs P.Maholm Pirates -152 +144 8.9 64.46% 8.33/7 61%/8.8 Pirates
Rangers vs Red Sox L.Mendoza vs J.Lester Red Sox -230 +212 10.4 65.29% 10.27/12 64%/11.6 Red Sox
Orioles vs Indians J.Guthrie vs A.Reyes Orioles -111 +103 9.3 48.06 8.83/7 50%/9.5 Orioles
Blue Jays vs Tigers D.Purcey vs K.Rogers Tigers -151 +143 9.5 57.59% 9.77/7 64%/10.8 Blue Jays
Mets vs Nationals J.Maine vs J.Bergmann Mets -140 +132 8.3 63.96% 8.18/12 59%/8.5 Mets
Cardinals vs Marlins B.Looper vs R.Nolasco Marlins -129 +121 8.4 59.81% 9.08/10 52%/9.2 Cardinals
Giants vs Astros B.Zito vs R.Wolf Astros -151 +143 9.4 60.05% 8.25/8 63%/9.7 Astros
Yankees vs Twins D.Rasner vs K.Slowey Twins -110 +102 9.4 51.66% 8.75/6 58%/10.0 Twins
Royals vs White Sox L.Hochever vs M.Buehrle White Sox -188 +180 9.0 62.37% 9.75/4 66%/9.7 White Sox
DBacks vs Rockies D.Davis vs J.Francis Rockies -125 +117 9.4 66.84% 10.59/11 62%/10.4 Rockies
Brewers vs Padres C.Sabathia vs J.Banks Brewers -186 +178 6.9 57.97% 7.24/8 60%/7.8 Brewers
Rays vs A's A.Sonnanstine vs J.Duchscherer A's -134 +126 7.3 53.86% 7.93/5 53%/7.5 Rays
Mariners vs Angels F.Hernandez vs E.Santana Angels -147 +139 7.5 60.31% 8.29/17 64%/9.2 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1531 $140 $9545 90.90%
AccuScore $2116 -$205 $11489 129.79%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($260), Cle($131), NYM($330), Fla($199), Col($375), SD($236)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): MIN($295), LAD($212), Tex($145), Det($241), Stl($125), Hou($178), Col($362), SD($157), TB($123), LAA($277)

No comments: