Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
Phillies vs Dodgers | J.Blanton vs B.Penny | Dodgers | -108 +100 | 7.9 | 51.51% | 9.50/13 | 56%/9.0 | Dodgers |
Reds vs Pirates | J.Fogg vs P.Maholm | Pirates | -152 +144 | 8.9 | 64.46% | 8.33/7 | 61%/8.8 | Pirates |
Rangers vs Red Sox | L.Mendoza vs J.Lester | Red Sox | -230 +212 | 10.4 | 65.29% | 10.27/12 | 64%/11.6 | Red Sox |
Orioles vs Indians | J.Guthrie vs A.Reyes | Orioles | -111 +103 | 9.3 | 48.06 | 8.83/7 | 50%/9.5 | Orioles |
Blue Jays vs Tigers | D.Purcey vs K.Rogers | Tigers | -151 +143 | 9.5 | 57.59% | 9.77/7 | 64%/10.8 | Blue Jays |
Mets vs Nationals | J.Maine vs J.Bergmann | Mets | -140 +132 | 8.3 | 63.96% | 8.18/12 | 59%/8.5 | Mets |
Cardinals vs Marlins | B.Looper vs R.Nolasco | Marlins | -129 +121 | 8.4 | 59.81% | 9.08/10 | 52%/9.2 | Cardinals |
Giants vs Astros | B.Zito vs R.Wolf | Astros | -151 +143 | 9.4 | 60.05% | 8.25/8 | 63%/9.7 | Astros |
Yankees vs Twins | D.Rasner vs K.Slowey | Twins | -110 +102 | 9.4 | 51.66% | 8.75/6 | 58%/10.0 | Twins |
Royals vs White Sox | L.Hochever vs M.Buehrle | White Sox | -188 +180 | 9.0 | 62.37% | 9.75/4 | 66%/9.7 | White Sox |
DBacks vs Rockies | D.Davis vs J.Francis | Rockies | -125 +117 | 9.4 | 66.84% | 10.59/11 | 62%/10.4 | Rockies |
Brewers vs Padres | C.Sabathia vs J.Banks | Brewers | -186 +178 | 6.9 | 57.97% | 7.24/8 | 60%/7.8 | Brewers |
Rays vs A's | A.Sonnanstine vs J.Duchscherer | A's | -134 +126 | 7.3 | 53.86% | 7.93/5 | 53%/7.5 | Rays |
Mariners vs Angels | F.Hernandez vs E.Santana | Angels | -147 +139 | 7.5 | 60.31% | 8.29/17 | 64%/9.2 | Mariners |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $1531 | $140 | $9545 | 90.90% |
AccuScore | $2116 | -$205 | $11489 | 129.79% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($260), Cle($131), NYM($330), Fla($199), Col($375), SD($236) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): MIN($295), LAD($212), Tex($145), Det($241), Stl($125), Hou($178), Col($362), SD($157), TB($123), LAA($277) |
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