Sunday, August 10, 2008

Simulations for Monday, August 11th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Phillies vs Dodgers K.Kendrick vs D.Lowe Dodgers -131 +123 8.0 55.30% 9.29/14 59%/8.7 Dodgers
Pirates vs Mets Z.Duke vs P.Martinez Mets -191 +180 9.0 58.14% 8.64/12 62%/10.0 Pirates
Nationals vs Brewers G.Mock vs D.Bush Brewers -210 +192 8.0 67.09% 9.21/8 72%/8.8 Brewers
Orioles vs Indians D.Sarfate vs F.Carmona Indians -139 +131 9.4 56.50% 8.81/TBD 63%/10.8 TBD
Blue Jays vs Tigers S.Marcum vs J.Verlander Tigers -153 +145 8.6 53.38% 9.32/9 61%/9.2 Blue Jays
Cardinals vs Marlins J.Pineiro vs A.Sanchez Marlins -119 +111 9.5 57.01% 9.40/6 49%/10.8 Cardinals
Giants vs Astros J.Sanchez vs B.Backe Astros -130 +122 9.4 54.35% 8.63/4 61%/10.8 Astros
Yankees vs Twins S.Ponson vs G.Perkins Twins -122 +114 9.4 49.10% 8.88/4 55%/10.7 Twins
Red Sox vs White Sox J.Beckett vs J.Danks Red Sox -130 +122 8.6 47.00% 10.30/6 51%/9.1 Red Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1186 $83 $9704 94.09%
AccuScore $1358 $674 $11111 122.23%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($239), Tor($245), Fla($146), NYY($195), CWS($361)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($132), Mil($330), Cle($289), Stl($171), Hou($257), CWS($179)

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