Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
Phillies vs Dodgers | K.Kendrick vs D.Lowe | Dodgers | -131 +123 | 8.0 | 55.30% | 9.29/14 | 59%/8.7 | Dodgers |
Pirates vs Mets | Z.Duke vs P.Martinez | Mets | -191 +180 | 9.0 | 58.14% | 8.64/12 | 62%/10.0 | Pirates |
Nationals vs Brewers | G.Mock vs D.Bush | Brewers | -210 +192 | 8.0 | 67.09% | 9.21/8 | 72%/8.8 | Brewers |
Orioles vs Indians | D.Sarfate vs F.Carmona | Indians | -139 +131 | 9.4 | 56.50% | 8.81/TBD | 63%/10.8 | TBD |
Blue Jays vs Tigers | S.Marcum vs J.Verlander | Tigers | -153 +145 | 8.6 | 53.38% | 9.32/9 | 61%/9.2 | Blue Jays |
Cardinals vs Marlins | J.Pineiro vs A.Sanchez | Marlins | -119 +111 | 9.5 | 57.01% | 9.40/6 | 49%/10.8 | Cardinals |
Giants vs Astros | J.Sanchez vs B.Backe | Astros | -130 +122 | 9.4 | 54.35% | 8.63/4 | 61%/10.8 | Astros |
Yankees vs Twins | S.Ponson vs G.Perkins | Twins | -122 +114 | 9.4 | 49.10% | 8.88/4 | 55%/10.7 | Twins |
Red Sox vs White Sox | J.Beckett vs J.Danks | Red Sox | -130 +122 | 8.6 | 47.00% | 10.30/6 | 51%/9.1 | Red Sox |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $1186 | $83 | $9704 | 94.09% |
AccuScore | $1358 | $674 | $11111 | 122.23% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($239), Tor($245), Fla($146), NYY($195), CWS($361) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($132), Mil($330), Cle($289), Stl($171), Hou($257), CWS($179) |
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