Sunday, August 03, 2008

Simulations for Monday, August 4th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Astros vs Cubs B.Moehler vs R.Dempster Cubs -191 +180 TBD 57.78% 9.58/2 65%/8.6 Astros
A's vs Blue Jays G.Smith vs R.Halladay Blue Jays -191 +180 7.5 65.13% 8.60/7 63%/7.4 Blue Jays
Brewers s Reds M.Parra vs B.Arroyo Brewers -114 +106 9.5 53.58% 10.10/9 47%/10.3 Reds
Indians vs Rays C.Lee vs M.Garza Rays -124 +116 7.5 59.87% 8.05/7 49%/8.7 Indians
Yankees vs Rangers J.Chamberlain vs V.Padilla Yankees -154 +146 9.5 53.05% 10.46/14 59%/10.6 Rangers
Red Sox vs Royals C.Buchholz vs G.Meche Royals -110 +102 9.0 47.63% 9.23/7 56%/9.9 Royals
Nationals vs Rockies T.Redding vs A.Cook Rockies -210 +192 9.5 69.68% 10.03/13 72%/8.9 Nationals
Pirates vs DBacks Y.Herrera vs D.Haren DBacks -280 +260 8.5 62.47% 9.93/20 77%/9.8 DBacks
Orioles vs Angels D.Sarfate vs J.Saunders Angels -201 +185 9.0 57.66% 9.5/11 71%/10.5 Angels
Twins vs Mariners G.Perkins vs M.Batista Twins -122 +114 9.0 48.61% 8.44/17 57%/10.0 Mariners
Braves vs Giants J.Jurrjens vs M.Cain Giants -114 +106 7.0 54.17% 7.12/6 58%/7.5 Giants
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1895 -$68 $9881 97.62%
AccuScore $1952 $703 $11462 129.24%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Hou($253), TB($252), Tex($265), Bos($141), Col($150), Pit($337), Bal($279), Sea($218)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Cin($216), Cle($218), KC($190), Col($330), Ari($315), LAA($317), Min($113), SF($253)

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