Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
Brewers vs Dodgers | D.Bush vs D.Lowe | Dodgers | -136 +128 | 7.9 | 59.88% | 9.09/7 | 62%/8.6 | Brewers |
Mets vs Pirates | P.Martinez vs Z.Duke | Mets | -159 +151 | 9.4 | 46.37% | 9.18/11 | 55%/10.1 | Mets |
Cardinals vs Reds | J.Pineiro vs A.Harang | Reds | -105 -103 | 9.5 | 53.95 | 9.66/12 | 54%/8.8 | Cardinals |
Cubs vs Marlins | S.Marshall vs A.Sanchez | Marlins | -104 -104 | 9.4 | 50.82% | 9.16/3 | 45%/10.6 | Marlins |
Rockies vs Nationals | L.Hernandez vs J.Lannan | Nationals | -131 +123 | 9.0 | 50.08% | 9.19/19 | 50%/9.6 | Rockies |
Giants vs Braves | J.Sanchez vs M.Hampton | Braves | -132 +124 | 8.9 | 54.34% | 8.42/16 | 60%/10.2 | Braves |
DBacks vs Astros | Y.Petit vs B.Backe | DBacks | -107 -101 | 8.9 | 46.90% | 9.51/TBD | 47%/9.0 | TBD |
Phillies vs Padres | K.Kendrick vs C.Reineke | Phillies | -138 +130 | 8.5 | 53.44% | 7.59/11 | 53%/9.6 | Padres |
Angels vs Indians | J.Lackey vs F.Carmona | Angels | -141 +133 | 8.4 | 52.44% | 8.79/7 | 61%/9.3 | Angels |
Orioles vs Tigers | D.Sarfate vs J.Verlander | Tigers | -201 +185 | 9.9 | 57.13% | 9.34/8 | 71%/11.0 | Tigers |
Royals vs Yankees | Z.Greinke vs S.Ponson | Yankees | -169 +161 | 9.4 | 62.78% | 9.61/5 | 56%/10.7 | Yankees |
Rays vs Rangers | E.Jackson vs M.Harrison | Rays | -120 +112 | 11.4 | 47.08% | 11.05/3 | 47%/12.6 | Rangers |
Mariners vs Twins | R.Smith vs S.Baker | Twins | -195 +184 | 8.4 | 52.86% | 7.73/TBD | 65%/10.4 | TBD |
White Sox vs A's | J.Danks vs G.Smith | White Sox | -131 +123 | 7.9 | 52.78% | 8.43/3 | 60%/8.7 | White Sox |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $2261 | -$858 | $6767 | 35.35% |
AccuScore | $2670 | $146 | $10672 | 113.44% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): LAD($132), Pit($300), Cin($139), Col($230), Hou($143), SD($136), Cle($203), Bal($299), Tex($272), Sea($300), Oak($107) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($258), Pit($214), Cin($142), ChC($205), Col($233), Atl($180), Hou($138), SD($155), LAA($150), Det($300), KC($230), Tex($275), CWS($190) |
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