Monday, August 18, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, August 19th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers U.Jimenez vs H.Kuroda Dodgers -139 +131 8.0 55.34% 8.85/11 63%/9.1 Rockies
Nationals vs Phillies J.Bergmann vs J.Blanton Phillies -225 +207 8.8 64.70% 9.65/9 70%/8.2 Phillies
Braves vs Mets J.Reyes vs O.Perez Mets -191 +180 9.3 57.26% 8.37/10 63%/10.0 Mets
Astros vs Brewers B.Moehler vs B.Sheets Brewers -240 +222 7.8 67.67% 8.72/7 64%/7.8 Astros
Reds vs Cubs J.Cueto vs R.Harden Cubs -300 +270 TBD 69.14% 8.77/5 67%/8.8 Cubs
Pirates vs Cardinals I.Snell vs B.Looper Cardinals -191 +180 9.0 60.07% 8.23/5 71%/10.3 Pirates
Padres vs DBacks J.Banks s D.Davis DBacks -201 +185 9.3 62.96% 9.90/13 59%/9.7 DBacks
Marlins vs Giants R.Nolasco vs K.Correia Marlins -141 +133 8.0 48.44% 7.86/6 57%/8.9 Marlins
Red Sox vs Orioles D.Matsuzaka vs D.Cabrera Red Sox -157 +149 9.0 56.89% 10.35/9 59%/10.5 Red Sox
Royals vs Indians L.Hochevar vs A.Reyes Indians -164 +156 8.9 51.28% 8.89/13 60%/9.6 Indians
Yankees vs Blue Jays D.Rasner vs A.Burnett Blue Jays -125 +117 8.8 53.18% 10.33/3 52%/10.3 Blue Jays
Angels vs Rays E.Santana vs J.Shields Rays -113 +105 7.9 59.46% 8.87/6 49%/8.6 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers A.Galarraga vs V.Padilla Tigers -115 +107 10.9 46.06% 10.75/14 55%/10.8 Tigers
A's vs Twins S.Gallagher vs K.Slowey Twins -201 +185 8.3 55.90% 7.62/15 69%/8.9 Twins
Mariners vs White Sox F.Hernandez vs C.Richard Mariners -107 -101 9.2 47.80% 10.98/5 53%/10.1 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1446 -$712 $5645 12.92%
AccuScore $1080 -$530 $10967 119.35%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Atl($182), Pit($109), SF($252), KC($264), TB($227), Tex($181), Oak($231)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($192), Atl($111), Hou($119), Cin($136), Stl($260), SD($151), Min($111)

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