Saturday, August 02, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, August 3rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers D.Davis vs J.Johnson Dodgers -118 +110 8.0 53.83% 8.90/12 59%/8.6 Dodgers
Pirates vs Cubs I.Snell vs C.Zambrano Cubs -261 +241 TBD 62.56% 9.56/13 74%/9.3 Cubs
A's vs Red Sox D.Braden vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox -232 +214 8.5 63.82% 9.85/7 64%/9.9 Red Sox
Angels vs Yankees J.Lackey vs D.Rasner Angels -118 +110 9.5 42.70% 9.83/23 55%/9.7 Yankees
Rockies vs Marlins G.Rusch vs G.Olsen Marlins -130 +122 9.5 49.73% 9.85/5 61%/10.4 Rockies
Tigers vs Rays A.Galarraga vs J.Shields Rays -151 +143 8.5 64.61% 8.99/11 55%/8.8 Rays
Brewers vs Braves B.Sheets vs J.Campillo Brewers -143 +135 8.0 48.44% 8.34/5 54%/7.8 Braves
Reds vs Nationals J.Cueto vs C.Balester Reds -121 +113 9.0 43.94% 8.40/6 49%/9.0 Nationals
Blue Jays vs Rangers D.Purcey vs L.Mendoza Rangers -107 -101 12.0 58.68% 10.66/12 57%/13.2 Rangers
Mets vs Astros O.Perez vs R.Wolf Mets -126 +118 9.0 41.37% 9.32/4 50%/10.3 Astros
Indians vs Twins M.Ginter vs F.Liriano Twins -168 +160 9.0 60.25% 7.43/8 62%/8.8 Twins
White Sox vs Royals C.Richard vs Z.Greinke Royals -114 +106 9.5 58.14% 9.98/17 57%/10.4 Royals
Phillies vs Cardinals B.Myers vs T.Wellemeyer Phillies -105 -103 9.0 43.39% 8.45/9 45%/10.1 Phillies
Giants vs Padres K.Correia vs G.Maddux Padres -148 +140 8.0 53.23% 6.38/5 63%/8.4 Padres
Orioles vs Mariners D.Cabrera vs C.Silva Orioles -112 +104 9.5 45.11% 8.76/12 46%/10.8 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $3884 $2163 $7719 54.38%
AccuScore $2659 $960 $10502 110.04%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($287), Oak($158), NYY($375), Col($237), TB($279), Atl($375), Was($375), Tex($361), Hou($375), KC($260), Stl($297), SF($218), Sea($287)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($265), ChC($153), Oak($152), Fla($257), Det($163), Atl($150), Was($190), Tex($274), Hou($190), KC($199), Stl($216), SD($206), Sea($244)

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