Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, August 7th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Cardinals C.Kershaw vs K.Lohse Cardinals -130 +122 8.5 56.58% 7.80/5 61%/9.4 Dodgers
Padres vs Mets J.Banks vs J.Santana Mets -250 +230 7.5 64.61% 7.51/8 74%/8.5 Mets
Marlins vs Phillies C.Volstad vs C.Hamels Phillies -201 +185 9.0 50.41% 9.63/3 67%/9.6 Marlins
A's vs Blue Jays J.Duchscherer vs A.Burnett Blue Jays -121 +113 7.0 60.74% 8.60/10 48%/7.5 Blue Jays
Astros vs Reds R.Oswalt vs J.Fogg Astros -134 +126 9.5 52.00% 9.93/11 57%/8.7 Astros
Yankees vs Rangers M.Mussina vs S.Feldman Yankees -146 +138 12.0 51.57% 11.11/3 54%/11.7 Yankees
Tigers vs White Sox Z.Miner vs J.Vazquez White Sox -139 +131 10.5 58.40% 10.5/11 62%/11.1 Tigers
Braves vs DBacks C.Morton vs Y.Petit DBacks -150 +142 10.0 57.18% 10.25/10 63%/9.4 Braves
Rays vs Mariners A.Sonnanstine vs F.Hernandez Mariners -124 +116 8.0 52.58% 8.28/3 52%/9.1 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1331 $340 $11420.90 128.42%
AccuScore $1307 -$992 $12156.78 143.14%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SD($182), Fla($375), Tor($330), Cin($168), Tex($276)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Stl($257), NYM($225), Oak($238), Tex($171), CWS($229), Ari($187)

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