Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
Dodgers vs Cardinals | C.Kershaw vs K.Lohse | Cardinals | -130 +122 | 8.5 | 56.58% | 7.80/5 | 61%/9.4 | Dodgers |
Padres vs Mets | J.Banks vs J.Santana | Mets | -250 +230 | 7.5 | 64.61% | 7.51/8 | 74%/8.5 | Mets |
Marlins vs Phillies | C.Volstad vs C.Hamels | Phillies | -201 +185 | 9.0 | 50.41% | 9.63/3 | 67%/9.6 | Marlins |
A's vs Blue Jays | J.Duchscherer vs A.Burnett | Blue Jays | -121 +113 | 7.0 | 60.74% | 8.60/10 | 48%/7.5 | Blue Jays |
Astros vs Reds | R.Oswalt vs J.Fogg | Astros | -134 +126 | 9.5 | 52.00% | 9.93/11 | 57%/8.7 | Astros |
Yankees vs Rangers | M.Mussina vs S.Feldman | Yankees | -146 +138 | 12.0 | 51.57% | 11.11/3 | 54%/11.7 | Yankees |
Tigers vs White Sox | Z.Miner vs J.Vazquez | White Sox | -139 +131 | 10.5 | 58.40% | 10.5/11 | 62%/11.1 | Tigers |
Braves vs DBacks | C.Morton vs Y.Petit | DBacks | -150 +142 | 10.0 | 57.18% | 10.25/10 | 63%/9.4 | Braves |
Rays vs Mariners | A.Sonnanstine vs F.Hernandez | Mariners | -124 +116 | 8.0 | 52.58% | 8.28/3 | 52%/9.1 | Mariners |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $1331 | $340 | $11420.90 | 128.42% |
AccuScore | $1307 | -$992 | $12156.78 | 143.14% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): SD($182), Fla($375), Tor($330), Cin($168), Tex($276) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Stl($257), NYM($225), Oak($238), Tex($171), CWS($229), Ari($187) |
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