Teams | Pitching Matchup | Vegas Fave | Vegas ML | Vegas O/U | Sim Odds | Sim/Actual Runs | AccuScore | Winner |
Brewers vs Dodgers | M.Parra vs C.Billingsley | Dodgers | -139 +131 | 7.5 | 61.09% | 8.71/8 | 59%/8.9 | Dodgers |
Mets vs Pirates | M.Pelfrey vs J.Davis | Mets | -138 +130 | 9.0 | 47.95% | 9.14/3 | 58%/10.3 | Mets |
Cardinals vs Reds | B.Thompson vs B.Arroyo | Cardinals | -105 -103 | 9.5 | 50.07% | 9.67/8 | 46%/9.4 | Cardinals |
Cubs vs Marlins | C.Zambrano vs J.Johnson | Cubs | -129 +121 | 8.0 | 46.85% | 8.89/11 | 57%/9.2 | Cubs |
Rockies vs Nationals | J.DeLaRosa vs T.Redding | Rockies | -117 +109 | 8.8 | 53.81% | 8.83/7 | 54%/10.2 | Rockies |
Giants vs Braves | M.Cain vs J.Jurrjens | Braves | -149 +141 | 7.4 | 60.67% | 7.68/6 | 57%/8.5 | Giants |
DBacks vs Astros | B.Webb vs W.Rodriguez | DBacks | -138 +130 | 8.0 | 50.74% | 8.08/15 | 51%/7.5 | DBacks |
Phillies vs Padres | J.Moyer vs G.Maddux | Phillies | -119 +111 | 8.0 | 51.02% | 6.93/1 | 51%/8.6 | Phillies |
Angels vs Indians | J.Weaver vs C.Lee | Indians | -127 +119 | 8.0 | 53.87% | 8.45/5 | 54%/8.9 | Indians |
Orioles vs Tigers | C.Waters vs N.Robertson | Tigers | -152 +144 | 10.9 | 59.08% | 9.95/13 | 55%/11.6 | Orioles |
Royals vs Yankees | G.Meche vs A.Pettitte | Yankees | -185 +177 | 8.8 | 64.44% | 9.19/7 | 63%/10.2 | Royals |
Rays vs Rangers | M.Garza vs K.Millwood | Rangers | -106 -102 | 10.5 | 55.56% | 10.63/7 | 54%/11.2 | Rays |
Mariners vs Twins | C.Silva vs F.Liriano | Twins | -210 +192 | 8.5 | 63.97% | 7.66/12 | 66%/9.2 | Twins |
White Sox vs A's | G.Floyd vs D.Braden | White Sox | -110 +102 | 8.5 | 47.40% | 8.74/10 | 55%/9.3 | A's |
Simulator Setup File Download |
Method | Amount Bet | Gain/Loss Day | Current Total | Percent Gain |
Xeifrank's Simulator | $1394 | -$784 | $7551 | 51.03% |
AccuScore | $847 | -$432 | $11104 | 122.09% |
Pinnacle Sports | ||||
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units. | ||||
Today's Bets (Simulator): LAD($175), Pit($300), Fla($300), Hou($255), Bos($300), Tex($211), Oak($153) | ||||
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Cin($165), Hou($244), Bal($170), Tex($131), CWS($137) |
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