Thursday, August 07, 2008

Simulations for Friday, August 8th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Giants B.Penny vs B.Zito Dodgers -116 +108 8.0 51.09% 7.92/8 57%/9.2 Dodgers
Cardinals vs Cubs B.Looper vs T.Lilly Cubs -155 +147 TBD 58.62% 9.96/5 58%/9.0 Cubs
Pirates vs Phillies P.Maholm vs J.Blanton Phillies -163 +155 10.0 58.97% 9.77/2 67%/9.2 Pirates
Rangers vs Orioles L.Mendoza vs J.Guthrie Orioles -160 +152 9.5 48.30% 9.74/10 58%/10.7 Orioles
A's vs Tigers D.Braden vs K.Rogers Tigers -163 +155 9.5 58.45% 9.48/6 62%/10.5 A's
Indians vs Blue Jays A.Reyes vs D.Purcey Blue Jays -120 +112 9.5 58.94% 10.06/7 49%/10.5 Indians
Marlins vs Mets R.Nolasco vs O.Perez Mets -132 +124 8.5 52.09% 8.47/3 53%/9.6 Mets
Astros vs Reds R.Wolf vs J.Cueto Reds -129 +121 9.5 50.31% 9.60/14 54%/9.3 Astros
Nationals vs Brewers C.Balester vs C.Sabathia Brewers -323 +293 8.0 73.02% 8.54/5 75%/7.7 Brewers
Twins vs Royals K.Slowey vs K.Davies Twins -129 +121 9.5 50.05% 9.31/5 61%/10.2 Twins
Red Sox vs White Sox J.Lester vs M.Buehrle Red Sox -109 +101 9.0 46.17% 10.65/8 46%/9.8 White Sox
Padres vs Rockies J.Peavy vs G.Rusch Padres -114 +106 9.0 35.44% 9.64/9 54%/9.0 Rockies
Braves vs DBacks J.Campillo vs D.Davis DBacks -123 +115 9.0 51.19% 9.64/17 50%/8.9 Braves
Yankees vs Angels I.Kennedy vs J.Weaver Angels -142 +134 9.5 50.80% 9.89/15 67%/10.5 Angels
Rays vs Mariners J.Shields vs C.Silva Rays -162 +154 8.5 54.89% 8.26/8 60%/8.6 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2381 -$526 $11761.38 135.23%
AccuScore $1811 $460 $11164.78 123.30%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Tex($375), Tor($241), Fla($147), Hou($202), KC($214), CWS($202), Col($375), Atl($107), NYY($282), Sea($236)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($178), Phi($330), Cle($181), Fla($106), Min($267), CWS($211), Atl($163), LAA($375)

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