Saturday, August 09, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, August 10th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Giants C.Billingsley vs M.Cain Dodgers -124 +116 6.8 52.40% 7.03/9 51%/8.1 Giants
Cardinals vs Cubs C.Carpenter vs R.Dempster Cubs -133 +125 TBD 57.56% 9.14/8 56%/8.0 TBD
Pirates vs Phillies J.Davis vs J.Moyer Phillies -204 +188 9.8 61.05% 10.09/9 73%/11.1 Phillies
Rangers vs Orioles M.Harrison vs C.Waters Orioles -132 +124 10.3 48.17% 10.48/22 63%/11.8 Rangers
A's vs Tigers G.Smith vs N.Robertson Tigers -143 +135 9.3 55.14% 9.35/7 61%/10.3 Tigers
Indians vs Blue Jays C.Lee vs S.Richmond Indians -130 +122 8.4 41.32% 8.56/4 52%/8.1 Indians
Marlins vs Mets J.Johnson vs M.Pelfrey Mets -134 +126 8.9 55.68% 8.50/10 58%/10.1 Marlins
Astros vs Reds W.Rodriguez vs A.Harang Reds -116 +108 9.3 53.54% 8.95/17 58%/9.1 Astros
Nationals vs Brewers J.Lannan vs M.Parra Brewers -163 +155 8.4 71.91% 8.75/9 62%/9.4 Brewers
Twins vs Royals S.Baker vs G.Meche Royals -106 +102 8.5 57.12% 8.75/9 52%/9.4 Royals
Red Sox vs White Sox C.Buchholz vs G.Floyd White Sox -114 +106 10.4 50.79% 10.89/11 60%/11.4 White Sox
Padres vs Rockies C.Young vs L.Hernandez Padres -105 -103 10.4 66.00% 9.97/23 45%/10.1 Padres
Braves vs DBacks M.Hampton vs B.Webb DBacks -206 +188 8.75 55.35% 9.22/7 64%/9.2 DBacks
Yankees vs Angels A.Pettitte vs J.Saunders Angels -125 +117 8.8 49.11% 9.68/7 57%/10.0 Angels
Rays vs Mariners E.Jackson vs R.Dickey Rays -118 +110 8.9 50.58% 8.80/14 51%/10.3 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2598 -$701 $10406 108.12%
AccuScore $1926 -$200 $11311 126.24%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($161), Tex($324), Oak($100), Tor($375), Mil($375), KC($291), Col($375), Atl($375), NYY($222)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): SF($125), Phi($375), Bal($354), Det($130), Tor($134), Cin($232), CWS($360), Col($216)

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