Friday, February 25, 2011

Angels vs Royals, Opening Day Simulation


Now let's look ahead for the Angels. It is March 31st, opening day and the Angels are on the road playing the Kansas City Royals. The opening day starters are likely to be Jered Weaver vs Luke Hochevar. Lineups and depth charts are taken from MLBDepthCharts.com and I know that some players (K.Morales) may not be ready by opening day. I ran the likely lineups through my baseball simulator for 100K games. Below are a detailed look at the results for us baseball starved fans.

PlayerPos PlayerPos
AngelsRoyals
Maicer Izturis3B Melky CabreraCF
Bobby AbreuDH Mike Aviles3B
Torii HunterRF Billy ButlerDH
Kendry Morales1B Kila Kaaihue1B
Vernon WellsLF Alex GordonLF
Howie Kendrick2B Jeff FrancoeurRF
Erick AybarSS Brayan PenaC
Jeff MathisC Chris Getz2B
Peter BourjosCF Alcides EscobarSS


... And now the results!

AwayHome  FavoriteWin ProbOver/Under
LAAKCJered WeaverLuke HochevarLAA59.07%8.55


No surprise as it looks like the Angels will be a solid favorite on the road in the season opener, but of course anything can happen.

Here is the hitters boxscore(s)
NameABHitsH1H2H3HRRBIBBSOwOBABABIP
Maicer Izturis4.5331.3290.7810.4120.0330.1020.4780.3630.7040.3530.329
Bobby Abreu4.2311.2640.7550.3290.0240.1560.5470.5920.9280.3850.352
Torii Hunter4.3431.2460.7750.3030.0070.160.6060.3590.8260.3520.323
Kendry Morales4.2081.2650.7510.3380.0170.1590.6570.3860.6810.3720.328
Vernon Wells4.1821.2020.680.3190.0250.1780.680.3040.6820.3590.308
Howie Kendrick4.1581.3110.8040.3730.0510.0820.5320.2140.70.3620.364
Erick Aybar4.0041.150.7610.2590.0790.0520.4460.2620.6370.3330.331
Jeff Mathis3.8890.9090.5840.2380.0150.0720.4170.2680.8250.2830.28
Peter Bourjos3.8661.0230.6470.2560.0610.060.4140.1850.7260.3070.313
            
Melky Cabrera4.2631.140.6980.3270.0570.0590.3580.3050.7560.3190.314
Mike Aviles4.2371.2440.8310.2970.0210.0950.4350.210.7270.3340.336
Billy Butler4.0491.1770.7160.3320.0040.1260.5050.330.7640.3530.333
Kila Kaaihue3.9630.9990.6780.2090.0140.0980.4290.3590.9170.310.306
Alex Gordon3.8061.0020.6270.2370.0140.1240.4720.4130.9280.3370.319
Jeff Francoeur3.8241.0170.6720.220.0150.110.4370.230.8250.3160.314
Brayan Pena3.6760.9070.650.2230.0050.0280.2880.2680.8220.2830.311
Chris Getz3.6070.9320.5970.2360.0480.0520.3470.2670.6930.3090.308
Alcides Escobar3.5490.9050.6160.1980.0530.0380.3230.1810.6810.2910.306


And the pitchers boxscore
NameIPSOBBHitsHRPCFIP
Jered Weaver6.3965.2741.6526.7380.54599.8643.434
Fernando Rodney0.4810.360.1810.490.037.6913.657
Scott Downs0.4040.2880.1040.4260.0256.2313.353
Kevin Jepsen0.6020.4840.2520.6140.0339.8123.565
Jordan Walden0.2970.2490.1290.310.0284.9014.058
Hisanori Takahashi0.4330.3160.1590.4770.0437.0034.141
Rich Thompson0.2160.1340.0790.2510.0233.4964.47
Bobby Cassevah0.0160.0080.0070.0180.0010.2614.256
        
Luke Hochevar5.94.0971.7557.0140.69694.6484.238
Joakim Soria0.390.4180.0730.3570.0235.9292.372
Blake Wood0.4510.3220.1440.5230.0517.2594.202
Robison Tejeda0.7590.6750.2720.8060.06912.3413.673
Tim Collins0.4530.3210.190.5340.0537.5474.568
Jeremy Jeffress0.9140.6410.3851.0530.0815.1434.203
Jesse Chavez0.3320.2320.1120.4050.0495.4354.749
Kanekoa Texeira0.0050.0030.0020.00600.0873.739


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