Tuesday, March 08, 2011

NL West Over/Under On Saves


There is a science behind baseball player projections. But one of the more difficult stats to project is one of the more important one for fantasy baseball enthusiasts and that is saves. Saves by itself is not a great indicator of a pitchers talent, but nonetheless it is important for this niche of fantasy baseball managers to have a good swag on how many saves a closer or closer in waiting will likely get. There is obviously a large margin of error on any projection of saves but a good over/under (or mean average) number shouldn't be too difficult to publish. I am beginning publishing some save over/under numbers, starting with the NL West. I would like to get as much feedback as possible, so these numbers can be as representative as possible of a "Vegas type" over/under number. Please provide your thoughts below.

NL West
PlayerTeamSaves Over/Under
J.BroxtonLAD34.5
H.KuoLAD4.5
M.GuerrierLAD2.5
K.JansenLAD2.5
B.WilsonSF41.5
S.RomoSF2.5
J.AffeldtSF2.5
J.PutzARI26.5
J.GutierrezARI4.5
D.HernandezARI2.5
H.StreetCOL32.5
R.BetancourtCOL4.5
M.LindstromCOL2.5
M.BelisleCOL2.5
H.BellSD42.5
M.AdamsSD2.5
L.GregersonSD2.5


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