In my next series in pitting "theme" teams against one another comes a series of games between the "All Minor League Contract" team and the "NL Zero to Three" team. As you can probably figure out the MiLB Contract team is made up of the best players signed to minor league contracts in 2011. The NL 0-3 team is made up of the best NL players with less than or equal to three years of experience while making close to league minimum. These two themes were created at FanGraphs recently. The MiLB Contract team was created by Dave Cameron in a blog entry here. The NL 0-3 team was created by Jonah Keri and can be found here. Obviously the NL 0-3 team will dominate such a matchup. This is a warmup to the NL 0-3 vs AL 0-3 coming next week. Rosters and results are below.
|MiLB Contract||NL Zero to Three|
|CF||Lastings Milledge||CHA||CF||Andrew McCutchen||PIT|
|LF||Laynce Nix||WAS||LF||Logan Morrison||FLA|
|RF||Jeremy Hermida||CIN||RF||Jayson Heyward||ATL|
|3B||Felipe Lopez||TB||C||Buster Posey||SF|
|1B||Casey Kotchman||TB||1B||Ike Davis||NYN|
|C||Gregg Zaun||SD||3B||Pedro Alvarez||PIT|
|2B||Adam Kennedy||SEA||2B||Neil Walker||PIT|
|SS||Adam Everett||CLE||SS||Starlin Castro||CHN|
|SP||Pitchers Spot||NA||SP||Pitchers Spot||NA|
Now let's take a look at the starting rotations...
|MiLB Contracts||NL Zero to Three|
| ||Name||Organization|| ||Name||Organization|
|#1||Freddy Garcia||NYY||vs||Clayton Kershaw||LAN|
|#2||Micah Owings||ARI||vs||Tommy Hanson||ATL|
|#3||J.D. Martin||WAS||vs||Mat Latos||SD|
|#4||Jeff Suppan||SF||vs||Travis Wood||CIN|
|#5||Rodrigo Lopez||ATL||vs||Jaime Garcia||STL|
Next up... the results
|Away||Away SP||Home||Home SP||Favorite||Win Prob||Total Runs|
|MiLB Contracts||Freddy Garcia||NL Zero to Three||Clayton Kershaw||NL Zero to Three||72.75%||7.34|
|NL Zero to Three||Clayton Kershaw||MiLB Contracts||Freddy Garcia||NL Zero to Three||63.34%||7.48|
|MiLB Contracts||Micah Owings||NL Zero to Three||Tommy Hanson||NL Zero to Three||71.54%||7.83|
|NL Zero to Three||Tommy Hanson||MiLB Contracts||Micah Owings||NL Zero to Three||62.99%||7.92|
|MiLB Contracts||J.D. Martin||NL Zero to Three||Mat Latos||NL Zero to Three||73.20%||7.65|
|NL Zero to Three||Mat Latos||MiLB Contracts||J.D. Martin||NL Zero to Three||64.43%||7.78|
|MiLB Contracts||Jeff Suppan||NL Zero to Three||Travis Wood||NL Zero to Three||71.20%||7.92|
|NL Zero to Three||Travis Wood||MiLB Contracts||Jeff Suppan||NL Zero to Three||62.27%||8.01|
|MiLB Contracts||Rodrigo Lopez||NL Zero to Three||Jaime Garcia||NL Zero to Three||72.19%||7.81|
|NL Zero to Three||Jaime Garcia||MiLB Contracts||Rodrigo Lopez||NL Zero to Three||63.30%||7.91|
Mean win percentage for the "NL Zero to Three" team is 67.72%. Extrapolated out to a make believe 162 game season of head to head games, the "NL Zero to Three" team would be expected to win an astounding 109.7 games and suffer only 52.3 losses.
Simulator Notes: My simulator takes into account (among other things) park factors, home field advantage, defense, splits, base running and uses a proprietary set of hitter and pitcher projections for MLB players.