Minor League Contract Team vs NL Zero to Three Team

In my next series in pitting "theme" teams against one another comes a series of games between the "All Minor League Contract" team and the "NL Zero to Three" team. As you can probably figure out the MiLB Contract team is made up of the best players signed to minor league contracts in 2011. The NL 0-3 team is made up of the best NL players with less than or equal to three years of experience while making close to league minimum. These two themes were created at FanGraphs recently. The MiLB Contract team was created by Dave Cameron in a blog entry here. The NL 0-3 team was created by Jonah Keri and can be found here. Obviously the NL 0-3 team will dominate such a matchup. This is a warmup to the NL 0-3 vs AL 0-3 coming next week. Rosters and results are below.

Lineups
MiLB Contract			NL Zero to Three
Pos	Name	Org	Name	Pos	Org
CF	Lastings Milledge	CHA	CF	Andrew McCutchen	PIT
LF	Laynce Nix	WAS	LF	Logan Morrison	FLA
RF	Jeremy Hermida	CIN	RF	Jayson Heyward	ATL
3B	Felipe Lopez	TB	C	Buster Posey	SF
1B	Casey Kotchman	TB	1B	Ike Davis	NYN
C	Gregg Zaun	SD	3B	Pedro Alvarez	PIT
2B	Adam Kennedy	SEA	2B	Neil Walker	PIT
SS	Adam Everett	CLE	SS	Starlin Castro	CHN
SP	Pitchers Spot	NA	SP	Pitchers Spot	NA

Now let's take a look at the starting rotations...

MiLB Contracts			NL Zero to Three
	Name	Organization		Name	Organization
#1	Freddy Garcia	NYY	vs	Clayton Kershaw	LAN
#2	Micah Owings	ARI	vs	Tommy Hanson	ATL
#3	J.D. Martin	WAS	vs	Mat Latos	SD
#4	Jeff Suppan	SF	vs	Travis Wood	CIN
#5	Rodrigo Lopez	ATL	vs	Jaime Garcia	STL

Next up... the results

Results
Away	Away SP	Home	Home SP	Favorite	Win Prob	Total Runs
MiLB Contracts	Freddy Garcia	NL Zero to Three	Clayton Kershaw	NL Zero to Three	72.75%	7.34
NL Zero to Three	Clayton Kershaw	MiLB Contracts	Freddy Garcia	NL Zero to Three	63.34%	7.48
MiLB Contracts	Micah Owings	NL Zero to Three	Tommy Hanson	NL Zero to Three	71.54%	7.83
NL Zero to Three	Tommy Hanson	MiLB Contracts	Micah Owings	NL Zero to Three	62.99%	7.92
MiLB Contracts	J.D. Martin	NL Zero to Three	Mat Latos	NL Zero to Three	73.20%	7.65
NL Zero to Three	Mat Latos	MiLB Contracts	J.D. Martin	NL Zero to Three	64.43%	7.78
MiLB Contracts	Jeff Suppan	NL Zero to Three	Travis Wood	NL Zero to Three	71.20%	7.92
NL Zero to Three	Travis Wood	MiLB Contracts	Jeff Suppan	NL Zero to Three	62.27%	8.01
MiLB Contracts	Rodrigo Lopez	NL Zero to Three	Jaime Garcia	NL Zero to Three	72.19%	7.81
NL Zero to Three	Jaime Garcia	MiLB Contracts	Rodrigo Lopez	NL Zero to Three	63.30%	7.91

Mean win percentage for the "NL Zero to Three" team is 67.72%. Extrapolated out to a make believe 162 game season of head to head games, the "NL Zero to Three" team would be expected to win an astounding 109.7 games and suffer only 52.3 losses.

Simulator Notes: My simulator takes into account (among other things) park factors, home field advantage, defense, splits, base running and uses a proprietary set of hitter and pitcher projections for MLB players.