Showing posts with label Chris Capuano. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chris Capuano. Show all posts

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Red Sox vs Dodgers - Weekend Series Simulation Results


Series Results...

DayAwayHomeAway StarterHome StarterFavoriteAway RSHome RSWin ProbabilityTotal RS
FridayRed SoxDodgersJohn LackeyRicky NolascoDodgers3.6483.77754.1307.425
SaturdayRed SoxDodgersJon LesterHyun-Jin RyuDodgers3.2103.85959.8617.069
SundayRed SoxDodgersJake PeavyChris CapuanoDodgers3.5163.81856.3657.334

Simulation Boxscore for Friday's game


Note: One million games simulated.


Sunday, August 04, 2013

Dodgers vs Cubs - Simulation Results 8/4



TOP 50 MOST LIKELY FINAL SCORES
RankDodgersCubsOccurrences RankDodgersCubsOccurrences
12335141 264611841
23433108 271511562
31227525 283611392
43227451 290211094
54325864 302010744
64525782 312610708
74221824 326710646
82121567 330310641
95419984 346110524
102419911 353010387
115318838 367310025
123118809 37749831
131318690 38109764
145617545 39729594
155217513 40409012
163516585 41758738
174116235 42048696
181415133 43168621
192515050 44768118
206314177 45717920
216413681 46377781
226513055 47507592
235113023 48277579
246212803 49477360
250112417 50577202

Note: One million games simulated.

Saturday, August 03, 2013

Dodgers vs Cubs - Simulation Results 8/3



TOP 50 MOST LIKELY FINAL SCORES

RankDodgersCubsOccurrences RankDodgersCubsOccurrences
12339889 263013320
21233799 270313102
33433152 281512921
43231913 296412635
52128309 306212389
64326850 316511546
74523260 326110742
84223114 330410733
93122406 344010672
101321746 353610602
112421239 362610584
125418840 37469934
135318506 38739153
144118323 39729089
155217832 40169029
161417486 41508794
170116582 42748450
183515691 43058165
192515211 44678099
202014844 45717705
215614568 46757422
221014532 47277167
230214325 48376989
245113965 49606739
256313445 50766670

Note: One million games simulated.

Monday, April 15, 2013

Padres vs Dodgers - April 16th Simulation Results




Top 25 Most Likely Final Scores
1. LAN 3-2
2. LAN 2-1
3. LAN 4-3
4. SD 3-2
5. SD 2-1
6. LAN 3-1
7. LAN 1-0
8. LAN 4-2
9. SD 4-3
10. LAN 5-4
11. LAN 4-1
12. SD 3-1
13. LAN 2-0
14. SD 4-2
15. LAN 3-0
16. LAN 5-2
17. SD 1-0
18. LAN 5-3
19. LAN 5-1
20.LAN 4-0
21. SD 2-0
22. SD 5-4
23. SD 5-3
24. SD 4-1
25. LAN 6-5


Sunday, November 25, 2012

Show Him Some Respect, The Chris Capuano Story


Next up on my look at the most similar pitchers to Dodger pitchers is Chris Capuano.  Capuano had a very good season for the Dodgers last year, though he did teeter out towards the latter part of the season.  Still, his peripherals were quite good and his good skills show up in this list of top notch pitchers in his list of comparables.

Just like Josh Beckett, Capuano's top four comparables are all the same.  In fact, Josh Beckett is Capuano's number five top comparable.  Beckett and Capuano both add solid depth to the Dodgers pitching staff.

Top 50 Similar Starting Pitchers

RankNameK/9BB/9GB/FB
NAChris Capuano7.652.481.04
1Jered Weaver7.132.150.76
2Ryan Vogelsong7.333.021.21
3Ian Kennedy8.062.320.92
4Matt Cain7.682.270.96
5Josh Beckett7.462.621.08
6Jordan Zimmermann7.011.901.16
7R.A. Dickey7.822.181.43
8Ervin Santana6.852.981.15
9Mat Latos8.182.801.18
10Daniel Hudson6.992.121.06
11Shaun Marcum7.512.770.86
12Alexi Ogando6.662.250.95
13Freddy Garcia6.752.951.02
14Anibal Sanchez8.292.491.37
15Philip Humber6.853.021.07
16Javier Vazquez7.592.340.74
17Edwin Jackson7.502.781.35
18Derek Holland7.522.801.18
19Ted Lilly6.922.730.82
20Jeff Niemann7.332.591.44
21Mike Minor7.532.920.86
22Gavin Floyd7.452.861.29
23Homer Bailey7.262.251.20
24Ryan Dempster8.183.101.23
25Jake Peavy7.842.010.86
26Carlos Villanueva7.372.290.75
27Phil Hughes7.392.300.69
28Wei-Yin Chen7.212.670.88
29Jarrod Parker6.873.111.44
30Josh Johnson7.873.051.52
31Clayton Kershaw9.262.341.27
32Johnny Cueto6.732.241.70
33Roy Halladay8.031.731.51
34Cliff Lee8.991.371.29
35Justin Verlander9.012.181.09
36Cole Hamels8.712.061.36
37James Shields8.552.321.59
38Doug Fister6.961.841.70
39C.J. Wilson7.953.631.63
40Jeremy Hellickson6.023.170.97
41CC Sabathia8.812.121.56
42Vance Worley7.513.101.35
43Hiroki Kuroda6.972.131.56
44Kyle Kendrick6.172.271.32
45Dan Haren7.251.631.05
46Madison Bumgarner8.322.091.41
47Ross Detwiler5.572.681.59
48Matt Garza8.682.831.42
49Brandon McCarthy6.201.651.29
50Kyle Lohse5.821.761.13

Previous Similar Pitcher Tables
Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett

Friday, September 07, 2012

September 8th - Dodgers vs Giants Simulation Results




                   |      Wins      Losses           RS        RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------
                   |     47860      52140        354815  350533

Hitters
NameABHitsH1H2H3HRRBIRUNSBBSOwOBA
Mark Ellis4.4541.1360.7820.2580.0230.0720.2640.2340.2111.0060.290
Shane Victorino4.2931.1570.7740.2290.0710.0820.3140.3080.2410.7550.315
Adrian Gonzalez4.2591.2740.8130.3060.0060.1490.5710.1810.2420.8580.352
Matt Kemp4.1501.1700.7530.2440.0320.1410.5190.2070.2311.1920.336
Hanley Ramirez4.0531.1090.7030.2430.0270.1360.5130.1920.2261.0550.328
Andre Ethier3.9251.0660.6850.2550.0090.1180.4790.1360.2670.9900.326
Luis Cruz3.9161.0090.6730.2600.0060.0700.3700.1310.1320.8650.289
A.J. Ellis3.5760.9110.6450.1870.0080.0720.3350.1200.3720.9710.312
Pitchers Spot3.7610.4200.3360.0690.0030.0120.1250.0700.0952.0330.126
Giants           
Angel Pagan4.2301.2140.7830.2830.0790.0690.2870.3400.2910.7650.337
Marco Scutaro4.1351.2300.8840.2630.0200.0630.3790.2440.2480.4450.332
Pablo Sandoval4.0721.1990.7500.3080.0300.1120.4800.2040.2640.7270.349
Buster Posey3.8371.1850.7660.2890.0030.1280.5300.1800.4040.7300.375
Hunter Pence3.8481.0740.7040.2240.0150.1300.5100.1660.2950.9130.338
Brandon Belt3.7080.9160.6300.1770.0260.0830.4050.1350.3171.0270.302
Gregor Blanco3.6040.8700.6400.1180.0300.0810.3600.1470.3111.0970.294
Brandon Crawford3.5790.8430.6030.1600.0340.0450.3230.1430.2150.8580.274
Pitchers Spot3.5600.4950.3900.0880.0040.0130.1600.0980.1371.5050.160

Pitchers
NameIPSOBBHitsHRPCFIP
Chris Capuano6.3875.8541.5596.6010.57299.8073.263
Brandon League0.4610.3910.1420.4470.0167.2072.893
Ronald Belisario0.4040.3690.1380.3990.0206.4583.052
Randy Choate0.5730.5880.2030.5470.0379.2343.053
Javy Guerra0.2460.2080.1070.2480.0124.0323.428
Matt Guerrier0.1840.1440.0720.2010.0173.0113.978
Shawn Tolleson0.3860.3680.1800.3960.0406.4934.048
Jamey Wright0.1780.1450.0810.1870.0102.9503.662
Giants       
Matt Cain6.5726.7741.1576.6280.623101.1002.898
Sergio Romo0.4520.6390.0820.3590.0346.9291.902
Javier Lopez0.4190.3920.1400.4190.0206.7082.969
Santiago Casilla0.6010.6430.1920.6020.0639.7153.391
Jeremy Affeldt0.2550.2500.0980.2430.0134.1323.038
Jose Mijares0.1410.1450.0580.1410.0112.3353.373
Guillermo Mota0.5430.5530.2070.5530.0608.9343.747
George Kontos0.3110.3300.0840.3080.0284.9283.063

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, September 01, 2012

September 2nd - Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score




                   |    Wins      Losses           RS          RA
  Dodgers  +---------------------------------------------------------
                   |   58527      41473       396799     340685

Hitters
NameABHitsH1H2H3HRRBIRUNSBBSOwOBA
Chris Young4.3321.0520.6200.3240.0080.0990.3220.2240.3671.1020.304
Aaron Hill4.2741.1220.7060.2890.0120.1150.3840.1890.2780.7590.316
Jason Kubel4.1930.9920.6510.1740.0100.1570.4310.1580.3121.5610.299
Paul Goldschmidt4.0831.1470.6660.3360.0040.1400.4810.1860.3191.0870.347
Justin Upton3.9431.0950.7580.2290.0090.0980.4150.1930.3591.0640.332
Miguel Montero3.8140.9510.7030.1620.0070.0790.3720.1440.3781.2270.303
Chris Johnson3.8741.0660.7020.2630.0070.0930.4360.1410.2101.0830.319
Jake Elmore3.6930.9530.6700.2240.0080.0500.3550.1390.2770.8620.300
Pitchers Spot3.7360.4730.3780.0830.0010.0110.1660.0740.1421.7990.147
Dodgers           
Mark Ellis4.2881.2210.8530.2910.0180.0590.2920.2910.3320.6850.327
Shane Victorino4.1471.2220.8290.2630.0510.0780.3690.3590.3340.5440.345
Adrian Gonzalez4.1421.2860.9090.2650.0050.1070.5710.2280.2930.7670.355
Matt Kemp3.9861.2850.8210.3090.0270.1280.5950.2680.3450.7990.384
Hanley Ramirez3.8861.1970.7730.3030.0220.0990.5760.2420.3420.7110.365
Andre Ethier3.8011.0620.7640.2130.0070.0780.4860.1700.3110.8850.326
Luis Cruz3.7831.0840.6900.3230.0070.0640.4430.1740.2140.6220.328
A.J. Ellis3.5491.0000.7140.2250.0070.0530.3930.1440.3450.7370.330
Pitchers Spot3.6440.5570.4410.1040.0030.0100.1710.1050.1511.4200.173

Pitchers
NameIPSOBBHitsHRPCFIP
Wade Miley6.0754.5901.7797.1460.49497.6753.623
J.J. Putz0.4290.5290.0760.3830.0276.5822.097
David Hernandez0.3980.5210.1350.3520.0246.4802.398
Brad Ziegler0.6080.4580.1830.6790.0199.6792.994
Matt Lindstrom0.2760.2230.0980.3050.0174.4803.437
Matt Albers0.2110.1850.0860.2340.0223.5154.012
Bryan Shaw0.5050.4460.1940.5530.0438.3333.702
Mike Zagurski0.2300.2180.1170.2630.0304.0044.543
Dodgers       
Chris Capuano6.3917.3811.6206.1390.641101.1722.955
Brandon League0.4520.4490.1270.4190.0197.0492.604
Ronald Belisario0.4070.4740.1260.3660.0266.4852.631
Randy Choate0.6130.7800.2080.5400.0479.9362.659
Javy Guerra0.2560.2750.1030.2360.0144.1812.972
Matt Guerrier0.1510.1420.0550.1510.0122.4443.467
Shawn Tolleson0.6270.6390.2430.6290.06210.3053.598
Jamey Wright0.3860.4030.1580.3700.0226.3463.079

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

August 22nd - Giants vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score



                  Simulation Results

                   |      Wins    Losses         RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------
                   |     55052    44948      353144   331930

  Vegas Results:
             Money Line:  Giants -107/+102 (or Giants have a 50.62% chance of winning)
             Run Total:  Over 6-1/2 +100,  Under 6-1/2 -110

Hitters
NameABHitsH1H2H3HRRBIRUNSBBSOwOBA
Angel Pagan4.4011.2070.8580.2580.0350.0570.2720.3290.3230.9580.315
Marco Scutaro4.2671.2460.9120.2680.0100.0560.3690.2420.3030.5550.327
Pablo Sandoval4.2411.2130.7920.3130.0140.0940.4560.1940.2860.9130.334
Buster Posey3.9771.1670.7720.2810.0010.1120.5020.1750.4500.9140.359
Hunter Pence3.9951.0530.7000.2310.0080.1140.4870.1550.3361.1270.322
Brandon Belt3.8490.8760.6310.1600.0110.0730.3810.1210.3681.3090.283
Gregor Blanco3.7640.8570.6520.1180.0140.0720.3400.1420.3441.2970.279
Brandon Crawford3.5950.8030.5970.1470.0110.0470.3090.1410.3981.0720.280
Pitchers Spot3.7490.4460.3530.0810.0010.0110.1480.0890.1611.9310.142
Dodgers
Shane Victorino4.1781.1730.8000.2480.0520.0720.2790.3530.3830.6970.334
Mark Ellis4.0841.0660.7600.2330.0180.0560.3640.2240.3230.8870.304
Matt Kemp4.0171.1720.7690.2500.0270.1250.4990.2400.3501.1080.353
Andre Ethier3.8711.0750.7040.2650.0070.0980.4900.1960.4220.9690.342
Hanley Ramirez3.8201.0840.7110.2510.0230.0990.4770.2140.3430.9400.343
James Loney3.7451.0760.7480.2500.0070.0700.4530.1710.3210.6090.335
Luis Cruz3.7260.9730.6400.2640.0060.0610.4220.1410.2070.8260.301
A.J. Ellis3.4850.8850.6450.1810.0060.0530.3540.1160.3380.9770.304
Pitchers Spot3.5830.4240.3420.0710.0020.0090.1290.0830.1461.8860.140

Pitchers
NameIPSOBBHitsHRPCFIP
Matt Cain6.2816.4671.8796.3470.450100.6272.969
Sergio Romo0.4570.5750.0970.3920.0307.0612.161
Jeremy Affeldt0.4240.3850.1410.4360.0216.8023.030
Santiago Casilla0.5940.5780.2360.6360.0689.8793.939
Javier Lopez0.2560.2090.1290.2750.0154.3343.848
Clay Hensley0.1930.1590.1010.2110.0143.3034.074
Jose Mijares0.4100.3650.1880.4400.0316.8903.782
George Kontos0.1770.1600.0630.1890.0142.8833.532
Dodgers
Chris Capuano6.4186.8891.8706.1940.462102.0752.863
Kenley Jansen0.4540.7650.1460.3020.0317.3001.680
Brandon League0.4180.3460.1490.4360.0186.7273.176
Ronald Belisario0.6270.6440.2290.6120.03510.1852.958
Randy Choate0.2600.2950.1150.2290.0164.2883.068
Rubby De La Rosa0.1460.1460.0570.1440.0122.3853.440
Scott Elbert0.6370.6790.2400.6110.04810.3903.172
Jamey Wright0.3370.3130.1640.3380.0165.6563.415

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

Friday, August 17, 2012

August 17th - Dodgers vs Braves Simulation Box Score



                   |    Wins    Losses         RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------
                   |    49447   50553      421773   401132

  Vegas Results:
             Money Line: Braves -118/+108 or Braves chances of winning are 53.05%
             Run Total:     Over 7-1/2 -110, Under 7-1/2 -110 (or approximately 7.6 runs)

Hitters
NameABHitsH1H2H3HRRBIRUNSBBSOwOBA
Shane Victorino4.4601.3330.8930.2480.0730.1190.3850.4060.3890.6900.358
Mark Ellis4.3951.2380.8900.2450.0270.0760.4520.2660.2980.8320.322
Matt Kemp4.3141.3790.9110.2700.0420.1560.5970.2820.3271.0010.379
Andre Ethier4.1641.2310.8020.2890.0110.1290.5930.2230.4010.9920.359
Hanley Ramirez4.0991.2390.8200.2700.0360.1130.5470.2440.3350.8900.359
James Loney4.0141.2070.8460.2660.0110.0850.5260.1950.3270.6440.348
Luis Cruz4.0041.1060.7480.2770.0090.0720.4810.1630.2100.7950.314
Matt Treanor3.8310.9630.7060.1940.0060.0570.3860.1460.2840.8920.292
Pitchers Spot3.8650.5420.4420.0840.0040.0120.1730.1060.1511.7800.159
Braves
Michael Bourn4.3271.2620.9330.1680.0960.0640.3060.3670.3261.2360.335
Martin Prado4.1461.3330.9260.2870.0280.0930.4950.2790.3680.5630.372
Jason Heyward4.0291.1080.7350.1720.0350.1650.5710.2160.4381.2150.351
Chipper Jones3.9811.2130.7740.3070.0100.1220.5830.2030.3730.7170.367
Freddie Freeman3.8731.1370.7730.2170.0120.1340.5550.1740.3831.0080.358
Dan Uggla3.6080.9230.5510.2230.0120.1380.4930.1690.5321.0620.348
David Ross3.6811.0580.7770.2250.0040.0520.3880.1620.3500.8690.332
Paul Janish3.6290.9220.6260.2320.0260.0380.3580.1430.2840.7020.299
Pitchers Spot3.6440.5410.4300.0930.0040.0130.1820.1090.1781.5690.174

Pitchers
NameIPSOBBHitsHRPCFIP
Chris Capuano5.956.021.996.560.62198.03.53
Kenley Jansen0.450.730.160.330.0287.31.83
Brandon League0.420.350.150.470.0206.83.21
Javy Guerra0.600.530.290.670.03810.33.72
Randy Choate0.300.330.140.290.0185.03.14
Ronald Belisario0.240.230.090.260.0174.03.36
Shawn Tolleson0.550.520.270.620.0619.54.22
Jamey Wright0.270.240.160.300.0164.73.94
Braves
Tommy Hanson6.134.951.677.150.54698.33.56
Craig Kimbrel0.420.730.090.270.0226.51.05
Jonny Venters0.380.500.160.350.0366.43.02
Eric O'Flaherty0.620.600.180.660.0439.93.02
Cristhian Martinez0.280.300.060.290.0254.42.93
Cory Gearrin0.160.150.060.170.0172.73.90
Luis Avilan0.760.790.330.780.05712.73.39
Chad Durbin0.500.500.170.560.0738.24.13

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

August 17th - Dodgers vs Braves Likely Final Scores



Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankFavorteLANATLRankFavorteLANATL
1ATL2351ATL04
2ATL3452LAN82
3ATL1253LAN84
4LAN3254LAN60
5ATL4555ATL78
6LAN4356ATL05
7LAN4257ATL17
8ATL2458LAN81
9LAN2159LAN85
10LAN3160ATL58
11ATL1361ATL38
12LAN5462ATL28
13LAN5363LAN92
14ATL5664ATL48
15LAN5265LAN70
16ATL3566LAN86
17LAN4167LAN93
18ATL2568LAN94
19ATL1469LAN87
20LAN6370ATL18
21LAN5171ATL06
22ATL0172ATL68
23LAN6473ATL39
24LAN6574LAN102
25LAN6275LAN95
26ATL4676LAN91
27ATL3677LAN103
28LAN2078LAN80
29LAN3079ATL49
30ATL1580ATL29
31ATL6781ATL89
32ATL0282LAN104
33ATL2683ATL59
34LAN1084LAN96
35LAN6185ATL07
36LAN7386ATL19
37LAN4087ATL69
38LAN7488LAN90
39LAN7289LAN101
40ATL0390ATL310
41ATL4791LAN105
42LAN7592LAN97
43LAN7193LAN113
44ATL1694ATL210
45LAN5095ATL79
46ATL3796LAN111
47ATL2797LAN112
48LAN7698ATL410
49LAN8399ATL110
50ATL57100ATL510

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard