Best Lineup - Boston Red Sox

Next up on my look at each teams most efficient lineup is the Boston Red Sox.  In this exercise the methodology is to use my simulator to find out which lineup wins the most games vs RH and LH pitchers.  I do this by making the team of interest the "away" team, playing against a "make believe" team whose stats don't change from one sim to the next. In fact no stats (or input projections) change for either team, the only difference from one simulation to the next is the lineup of the team of interest.  For player projections, I am using ZIPs projections which are available on Fangraphs. The lineup results will only be as good as the projections.  Keep in mind, the results are not intended to match what a certain teams manager is most likely to do during the season.  In fact, I know that many of the results will not happen due to manager philosophies and veteran favoritism but these are the most optimal lineups that the simulator spit out.  In some cases the top couple of lineups had very small differences in results. The starting nine players were taken from MLBDepthCharts website.

Previous teams:
AL: Angels | Rangers | Rays | Twins | Blue Jays | Indians | Athletics | Astros
NL: Mets | Cubs | Padres | Marlins | Reds | Giants | Brewers | Dodgers

                 Red Sox 2014 ZIPS Hitting Projections

	K%	BB%	AVE	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA
Shane Victorino	13.4%	6.6%	0.269	0.331	0.420	0.751	0.331
Dustin Pedroia	11.1%	9.3%	0.285	0.352	0.425	0.777	0.340
David Ortiz	15.5%	12.9%	0.296	0.386	0.552	0.938	0.377
Mike Napoli	30.5%	12.2%	0.241	0.342	0.466	0.808	0.350
Xander Bogaerts	23.6%	8.0%	0.267	0.331	0.429	0.760	0.333
Daniel Nava	20.8%	8.8%	0.257	0.344	0.384	0.728	0.322
Jonny Gomes	26.9%	11.4%	0.236	0.335	0.408	0.743	0.327
Jackie Bradley	23.3%	8.4%	0.245	0.322	0.375	0.697	0.308
Will Middlebrooks	26.0%	5.2%	0.249	0.291	0.425	0.716	0.312
A.J. Pierzynski	15.4%	2.9%	0.267	0.297	0.430	0.727	0.312

See the results after the jump

Cardinals vs Red Sox - World Series Game 6 Simulation Results

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Red Sox	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Red Sox	Occurrences
1	2	3	46999		51	0	6	5999
2	1	2	42946		52	7	5	5618
3	3	4	38604		53	5	7	5295
4	3	2	31632		54	8	2	5002
5	2	1	29386		55	8	3	4855
6	1	3	26044		56	7	0	4782
7	4	5	25588		57	7	6	4773
8	4	3	25509		58	8	1	4687
9	3	1	24553		59	2	8	4549
10	0	1	24505		60	3	8	4438
11	2	4	24284		61	8	4	4241
12	4	2	23464		62	1	8	4058
13	4	1	19553		63	0	7	4032
14	0	2	18971		64	4	8	3684
15	1	4	18844		65	8	5	3471
16	2	0	17124		66	7	8	3422
17	5	2	16992		67	9	2	3249
18	2	5	16953		68	5	8	3121
19	5	3	16898		69	8	0	3114
20	5	4	16834		70	9	3	2932
21	3	5	16698		71	2	9	2878
22	1	0	16525		72	9	1	2862
23	0	3	15380		73	3	9	2745
24	3	0	15106		74	8	6	2736
25	5	1	14806		75	0	8	2612
26	5	6	14668		76	6	8	2582
27	1	5	13277		77	1	9	2539
28	4	0	13106		78	9	4	2513
29	6	2	11928		79	4	9	2273
30	0	4	11608		80	8	7	2170
31	6	3	11600		81	9	5	2157
32	3	6	11574		82	9	0	1906
33	2	6	10701		83	10	2	1880
34	6	1	10696		84	10	3	1799
35	6	4	10389		85	2	10	1736
36	4	6	10098		86	10	1	1706
37	5	0	9960		87	5	9	1703
38	6	5	9508		88	0	9	1692
39	1	6	9212		89	9	6	1669
40	0	5	8388		90	3	10	1632
41	7	2	8029		91	1	10	1556
42	7	3	7639		92	8	9	1538
43	6	7	7575		93	10	4	1538
44	6	0	7299		94	6	9	1491
45	7	1	7074		95	4	10	1390
46	2	7	6994		96	10	5	1237
47	3	7	6785		97	9	7	1228
48	7	4	6619		98	7	9	1145
49	4	7	6430		99	10	0	1117
50	1	7	6244		100	5	10	1078

World Series Remaining Game Odds

With a maximum of two games remaining in the 2013 World Series this is the last installment of the reverse engineered game odds.  The only unknown left is the odds for Game #7.  The Game #6 odds and the final series winner odds are both out and from those two knowns we can reverse engineer what the Game #7 odds are (or should be).

     Individual Game Odds

Game #	Red Sox	Cardinals
Game 1	100%	0%
Game 2	0%	100%
Game 3	0%	100%
Game 4	100%	0%
Game 5	100%	0%
Game 6	53.16%	46.84%
Game 7	55.75%	44.25%
Series	79.27%	20.73%

And using the nifty spreadsheet calculator that one of my readers made for me, we can also see the chances that each team wins the series in X number of games.  There are only three possible outcomes left obviously and they are the Red Sox winning in six or seven games or the Cardinals winning in seven games.  Here is another table showing those odds.

Result	Chance %	Odds
	79.27%
Red Sox in 4	0.0%	NA
Red Sox in 5	0.0%	NA
Red Sox in 6	53.16%	0.88
Red Sox in 7	26.11%	2.83
	20.73%
Cardinals in 4	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 5	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 6	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 7	20.73%	3.82

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game 5 Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	1	2	4605		51	7	3	565
2	2	3	4516		52	7	1	558
3	3	4	3443		53	6	0	552
4	2	1	3214		54	1	8	502
5	3	2	3180		55	5	7	495
6	0	1	2873		56	7	5	485
7	1	3	2820		57	3	8	453
8	4	3	2422		58	7	6	424
9	3	1	2362		59	0	8	418
10	2	4	2359		60	2	9	396
11	1	4	2255		61	7	0	377
12	0	2	2239		62	8	3	375
13	4	5	2233		63	8	2	374
14	1	0	2142		64	1	9	367
15	4	2	2117		65	4	8	351
16	0	3	1986		66	8	1	348
17	2	0	1793		67	3	9	343
18	4	1	1771		68	5	8	316
19	2	5	1748		69	8	4	308
20	0	4	1672		70	0	9	304
21	1	5	1659		71	8	5	277
22	3	5	1558		72	7	8	276
23	5	4	1533		73	4	9	256
24	3	0	1512		74	9	2	254
25	5	2	1481		75	8	0	249
26	5	3	1471		76	1	10	231
27	5	1	1253		77	8	6	228
28	2	6	1249		78	2	10	225
29	5	6	1216		79	6	8	225
30	0	5	1188		80	9	3	216
31	4	0	1167		81	9	1	211
32	1	6	1150		82	0	10	204
33	3	6	1132		83	3	10	198
34	6	3	1003		84	8	7	198
35	6	2	958		85	9	4	193
36	4	6	918		86	5	9	165
37	1	7	912		87	9	5	164
38	6	4	857		88	4	10	162
39	0	6	854		89	9	0	159
40	6	5	844		90	10	3	149
41	5	0	828		91	6	9	144
42	2	7	814		92	2	11	143
43	6	1	792		93	10	1	141
44	3	7	704		94	1	11	137
45	4	7	636		95	9	6	135
46	0	7	606		96	8	9	128
47	7	4	597		97	10	2	127
48	6	7	595		98	9	7	123
49	7	2	578		99	0	11	118
50	2	8	571		100	3	11	113

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game 4 Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	2	3	4134		51	7	1	665
2	1	2	3603		52	7	6	629
3	3	4	3391		53	5	7	598
4	3	2	2866		54	6	0	569
5	2	1	2674		55	0	7	561
6	4	3	2535		56	2	8	542
7	1	3	2373		57	8	3	530
8	4	5	2328		58	8	2	528
9	2	4	2280		59	3	8	514
10	3	1	2163		60	1	8	493
11	4	2	2153		61	8	4	465
12	1	4	1964		62	8	5	447
13	0	1	1903		63	4	8	444
14	5	4	1774		64	8	1	441
15	4	1	1701		65	7	0	433
16	2	5	1685		66	1	9	420
17	0	2	1672		67	0	8	376
18	3	5	1652		68	7	8	376
19	5	3	1643		69	5	8	370
20	5	2	1619		70	3	9	366
21	1	0	1593		71	2	9	360
22	2	0	1562		72	8	6	351
23	0	3	1544		73	9	3	340
24	1	5	1534		74	8	0	315
25	5	6	1496		75	9	2	308
26	5	1	1372		76	9	4	301
27	3	0	1342		77	6	8	300
28	0	4	1250		78	9	1	292
29	6	3	1209		79	4	9	290
30	2	6	1175		80	8	7	272
31	3	6	1150		81	2	10	251
32	6	2	1118		82	1	10	240
33	6	4	1108		83	0	9	233
34	1	6	1085		84	9	5	221
35	6	5	1083		85	4	10	214
36	4	0	1059		86	3	10	207
37	0	5	1044		87	10	2	206
38	4	6	1023		88	5	9	205
39	6	1	909		89	10	3	200
40	6	7	817		90	8	9	196
41	5	0	807		91	9	6	196
42	1	7	803		92	6	9	182
43	2	7	793		93	10	4	179
44	3	7	779		94	10	1	172
45	7	4	761		95	2	11	158
46	0	6	759		96	3	11	157
47	7	3	759		97	9	0	157
48	4	7	713		98	9	7	149
49	7	2	698		99	0	10	148
50	7	5	667		100	10	5	141

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game Three Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	2	3	42948		51	7	5	5988
2	1	2	39386		52	4	7	5746
3	3	4	34579		53	8	2	5340
4	3	2	34437		54	8	3	5065
5	2	1	31669		55	7	0	4965
6	4	3	27558		56	7	6	4930
7	3	1	25972		57	5	7	4921
8	1	3	25255		58	8	1	4567
9	4	2	24954		59	8	4	4314
10	4	5	23285		60	2	8	4309
11	2	4	23199		61	0	7	4220
12	0	1	21848		62	3	8	3973
13	4	1	20504		63	1	8	3933
14	1	4	19894		64	8	5	3770
15	1	0	18953		65	9	2	3396
16	2	0	18407		66	4	8	3313
17	5	2	18295		67	9	3	3118
18	5	3	18030		68	8	0	3091
19	0	2	17869		69	7	8	3048
20	5	4	17791		70	8	6	2962
21	2	5	16750		71	9	1	2951
22	3	5	16213		72	5	8	2838
23	3	0	16131		73	9	4	2740
24	0	3	15911		74	0	8	2668
25	5	1	14740		75	2	9	2637
26	1	5	14168		76	3	9	2536
27	5	6	13207		77	1	9	2466
28	4	0	12717		78	8	7	2355
29	0	4	12516		79	6	8	2297
30	6	3	12475		80	9	5	2069
31	6	2	12189		81	9	0	2041
32	6	4	11058		82	4	9	2002
33	2	6	10874		83	10	2	1900
34	3	6	10684		84	10	3	1839
35	6	1	10537		85	10	1	1815
36	6	5	10108		86	9	6	1761
37	5	0	9662		87	2	10	1657
38	4	6	9613		88	10	4	1615
39	1	6	9589		89	0	9	1598
40	0	5	9303		90	5	9	1591
41	7	2	8209		91	3	10	1532
42	7	3	7940		92	1	10	1475
43	7	4	7458		93	6	9	1314
44	7	1	7135		94	10	5	1314
45	6	0	7028		95	10	0	1238
46	6	7	6862		96	9	7	1230
47	2	7	6788		97	8	9	1202
48	3	7	6475		98	4	10	1178
49	1	7	6343		99	11	2	1149
50	0	6	6312		100	11	3	1092

World Series Individual Game Odds Reverse Engineered

Here are the odds of each remaining World Series game based on the knowledge of the Vegas odds that each team wins the World Series and the Vegas odds for games 1,2 and 3.  The odds for games 1,2 and 3 give us a good approximation for the odds in games 5,6 and 7 and we can move the game four odds around in such a way that the chances for each team winning the series match the Vegas odds.

Here is a look at the table with the individual game odds.

Game #	Red Sox	Cardinals
Game 1	100.0%	0.0%
Game 2	0.0%	100.0%
Game 3	50.6%	49.4%
Game 4	49.3%	50.7%
Game 5	45.9%	54.1%
Game 6	52.0%	48.0%
Game 7	58.6%	41.4%
Series	52.4%	47.6%

And here is a table with the chances of the series ending with one team winning in X number of games.

Result	Chance %	Odds
	52.4%
Red Sox in 4	0.0%	NA
Red Sox in 5	11.5%	7.73
Red Sox in 6	19.0%	4.28
Red Sox in 7	22.0%	3.55
	47.6%
Cardinals in 4	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 5	13.5%	6.38
Cardinals in 6	18.5%	4.40
Cardinals in 7	15.5%	5.43

Notes
- HFA of 4% is assumed
- Data was computed with spreadsheet provided by one of my readers.

World Series Individual Game Odds

Vegas has come out and given the Red Sox a 68.75% chance of winning the World Series.  So I am going to try to reverse engineer the odds of the remaining games as if we didn't know who the pitchers were, just where the games were being played (no advanced handicapping).  What we know is that the Red Sox were a 53.9% favorite in Game #1 and are a 53.4% favorite in Game #2.  Knowing the odds in Game #1 gives me a hint at the odds in Game #5 (assuming 4 man rotations and HFA of 4%), so I am going to subtract 8% from the Game #1 odds and give the Red Sox a 45.9% chance of winning Game #5.  I can do a similar thing with the Game #6 odds, as I can copy the Game #2 odds as that game will be played in the same park.  Now I just need to massage the numbers in games 3,4,5 and 7 in an attempt to make the Red Sox chances of winning come as close to 68.75% as possible.  The game 7 odds will be an 8% difference of the game 3 odds.

Using the nifty spreadsheet that my reader gave me in one of the previous similar exercises I did in the NLCS we come up with the following table of individual game odds needed to have the Red Sox be 68.75% favorites to win the World Series following the Game #1 results.  To take this to the next level you would break down the odds of games three and four by looking at the probably starting pitchers.  Where one of the two games would move up in odds, the other would need to move down.

Game #	Red Sox	Cardinals
Game 1	100.0%	0.0%
Game 2	53.4%	46.6%
Game 3	49.7%	51.2%
Game 4	49.7%	51.2%
Game 5	45.9%	51.2%
Game 6	53.4%	46.6%
Game 7	57.7%	43.2%
Series	68.7%	31.3%

And below is the table that shows the percent chances and odds of each possible result in the World Series.

Result	Chance %	Odds
	68.7%
Red Sox in 4	13.2%	6.58
Red Sox in 5	17.5%	4.70
Red Sox in 6	20.1%	3.98
Red Sox in 7	17.9%	4.59
	31.3%
Cardinals in 4	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 5	6.4%	14.58
Cardinals in 6	11.8%	7.47
Cardinals in 7	13.1%	6.62

Cardinals vs Red Sox - World Series Game #2 Simulation

                                     Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Red Sox	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Red Sox	Occurrences
1	2	3	4554		51	0	6	629
2	1	2	4157		52	7	5	570
3	3	4	3803		53	5	7	565
4	3	2	3029		54	8	3	558
5	2	1	2810		55	7	6	522
6	1	3	2629		56	8	1	490
7	4	5	2596		57	8	2	483
8	4	3	2491		58	7	0	470
9	3	1	2392		59	3	8	466
10	2	4	2380		60	1	8	463
11	0	1	2326		61	8	4	442
12	4	2	2278		62	2	8	431
13	1	4	1864		63	0	7	403
14	0	2	1855		64	4	8	379
15	4	1	1805		65	7	8	351
16	2	5	1736		66	8	5	351
17	5	4	1714		67	9	3	334
18	5	3	1690		68	5	8	331
19	3	5	1684		69	8	0	322
20	5	2	1657		70	9	2	322
21	2	0	1541		71	3	9	299
22	0	3	1523		72	9	1	298
23	1	0	1516		73	8	6	297
24	5	6	1497		74	2	9	286
25	5	1	1447		75	6	8	274
26	3	0	1417		76	0	8	263
27	1	5	1361		77	1	9	259
28	0	4	1186		78	9	5	256
29	4	0	1153		79	4	9	252
30	6	2	1152		80	8	7	248
31	3	6	1149		81	9	4	248
32	6	3	1136		82	10	2	213
33	2	6	1122		83	10	3	203
34	6	4	1029		84	2	10	202
35	6	1	1023		85	10	1	198
36	4	6	1019		86	9	0	193
37	6	5	982		87	3	10	179
38	1	6	926		88	0	9	177
39	5	0	925		89	10	4	175
40	7	2	858		90	5	9	171
41	0	5	854		91	1	10	170
42	7	3	805		92	6	9	169
43	6	7	782		93	8	9	155
44	7	1	750		94	4	10	150
45	2	7	708		95	9	6	150
46	7	4	685		96	10	5	146
47	3	7	683		97	10	0	135
48	4	7	671		98	9	7	126
49	1	7	651		99	2	11	123
50	6	0	639		100	5	10	120

Red Sox vs Rays - ALDS Game #4 Simulation Results

                            Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Rays	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Rays	Occurrences
1	2	3	3722		51	4	7	686
2	3	4	3540		52	7	6	677
3	1	2	3063		53	8	4	671
4	3	2	2877		54	5	7	655
5	4	5	2641		55	0	5	648
6	4	3	2595		56	8	1	616
7	4	2	2346		57	1	7	603
8	2	1	2289		58	8	5	566
9	2	4	2265		59	9	3	514
10	3	1	2215		60	7	0	500
11	1	3	2039		61	9	2	495
12	5	3	2007		62	0	6	481
13	5	2	1956		63	3	8	481
14	5	4	1856		64	9	4	464
15	4	1	1799		65	2	8	441
16	3	5	1740		66	8	6	439
17	1	4	1620		67	4	8	437
18	5	6	1617		68	7	8	425
19	2	5	1608		69	9	1	409
20	6	3	1548		70	5	8	399
21	5	1	1488		71	9	5	362
22	6	2	1448		72	0	7	353
23	0	1	1403		73	8	0	342
24	6	4	1286		74	6	8	337
25	2	0	1281		75	8	7	337
26	0	2	1233		76	1	8	336
27	6	5	1218		77	10	2	329
28	3	0	1209		78	3	9	301
29	1	5	1208		79	2	9	292
30	4	6	1167		80	9	6	290
31	3	6	1165		81	10	3	284
32	6	1	1154		82	1	9	272
33	1	0	1134		83	10	4	270
34	7	2	1072		84	4	9	269
35	0	3	1053		85	10	1	236
36	7	3	1049		86	9	0	230
37	4	0	1032		87	3	10	222
38	2	6	1019		88	5	9	222
39	7	4	972		89	10	5	221
40	6	7	900		90	9	7	202
41	7	1	876		91	6	9	196
42	0	4	835		92	0	8	191
43	5	0	822		93	8	9	189
44	1	6	802		94	11	2	185
45	7	5	795		95	2	10	183
46	3	7	764		96	11	3	180
47	2	7	749		97	7	9	163
48	8	3	732		98	10	6	163
49	8	2	702		99	1	10	158
50	6	0	694		100	4	10	156

Rays vs Red Sox - ALDS Game #2 Simulation Results

                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Rays	Red Sox	Occurrences		Rank	Rays	Red Sox	Occurrences
1	2	3	4099		51	7	6	652
2	3	4	3613		52	1	7	622
3	1	2	3298		53	8	2	585
4	3	2	2790		54	8	3	568
5	4	5	2692		55	6	0	561
6	4	3	2431		56	0	6	542
7	2	4	2373		57	2	8	540
8	2	1	2246		58	3	8	534
9	1	3	2184		59	8	4	527
10	4	2	2150		60	7	8	499
11	3	1	2042		61	4	8	478
12	5	6	1768		62	1	8	470
13	3	5	1745		63	5	8	466
14	5	3	1739		64	8	1	463
15	1	4	1731		65	7	0	441
16	4	1	1719		66	8	5	436
17	2	5	1705		67	9	3	434
18	5	4	1702		68	9	2	424
19	5	2	1693		69	0	7	415
20	0	1	1630		70	3	9	393
21	0	2	1413		71	2	9	365
22	3	6	1361		72	8	6	358
23	5	1	1306		73	9	1	345
24	6	4	1248		74	6	8	341
25	1	5	1234		75	8	7	328
26	6	3	1234		76	9	4	320
27	0	3	1226		77	4	9	319
28	4	6	1215		78	1	9	312
29	6	2	1215		79	9	5	301
30	2	0	1208		80	8	0	300
31	2	6	1137		81	0	8	284
32	3	0	1117		82	10	2	284
33	6	5	1087		83	5	9	274
34	1	0	1080		84	3	10	261
35	4	0	1029		85	10	3	255
36	0	4	969		86	10	4	242
37	6	1	966		87	9	6	239
38	6	7	921		88	2	10	231
39	7	2	896		89	6	9	228
40	7	3	868		90	8	9	228
41	7	4	861		91	10	1	209
42	1	6	855		92	1	10	203
43	4	7	841		93	9	0	195
44	3	7	824		94	0	9	194
45	2	7	802		95	10	5	192
46	7	5	734		96	7	9	186
47	5	0	731		97	4	10	181
48	5	7	699		98	11	3	177
49	7	1	689		99	9	7	175
50	0	5	678		100	5	10	171

Rays vs Red Sox - ALDS Game #1 Simulation Results

Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Rays	Red Sox	Occurrences		Rank	Rays	Red Sox	Occurrences
1	2	3	37101		51	7	3	6863
2	3	4	35129		52	4	8	6623
3	1	2	30573		53	7	2	6542
4	4	5	27358		54	7	5	6541
5	2	4	22768		55	7	6	6316
6	3	2	22302		56	0	7	6304
7	1	3	22020		57	7	8	6117
8	4	3	20521		58	5	8	6093
9	3	5	18616		59	2	9	5873
10	5	6	18527		60	5	0	5641
11	2	5	18485		61	3	9	5556
12	2	1	18341		62	1	9	5161
13	1	4	18255		63	7	1	5096
14	4	2	17097		64	8	3	4876
15	0	1	16066		65	0	8	4840
16	5	4	15964		66	8	4	4675
17	3	1	15754		67	6	8	4652
18	3	6	14794		68	4	9	4635
19	1	5	14606		69	8	2	4391
20	0	2	14557		70	8	5	4323
21	5	3	14501		71	2	10	4135
22	2	6	13621		72	6	0	4084
23	0	3	13356		73	8	6	4013
24	4	6	13072		74	3	10	3905
25	5	2	12524		75	5	9	3895
26	4	1	12246		76	1	10	3653
27	1	6	11851		77	8	1	3519
28	0	4	11333		78	8	7	3477
29	6	7	10974		79	0	9	3466
30	2	7	10462		80	6	9	3301
31	6	5	10431		81	4	10	3282
32	6	4	10413		82	8	9	3177
33	3	7	10381		83	9	3	3177
34	4	7	10280		84	9	4	3016
35	6	3	10083		85	7	0	3015
36	5	1	9626		86	9	2	2905
37	1	0	9569		87	9	5	2833
38	0	5	9483		88	2	11	2682
39	2	0	9439		89	3	11	2637
40	1	7	9125		90	5	10	2588
41	6	2	9071		91	7	9	2558
42	5	7	8151		92	9	6	2546
43	0	6	8105		93	0	10	2433
44	3	0	8101		94	1	11	2403
45	2	8	8063		95	9	1	2349
46	3	8	7574		96	4	11	2204
47	1	8	7250		97	9	7	2087
48	7	4	7149		98	10	3	2079
49	6	1	7098		99	8	0	2029
50	4	0	7055		100	6	10	1955

Red Sox vs Dodgers - Weekend Series Simulation Results

Series Results...

Day	Away	Home	Away Starter	Home Starter	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Win Probability	Total RS
Friday	Red Sox	Dodgers	John Lackey	Ricky Nolasco	Dodgers	3.648	3.777	54.130	7.425
Saturday	Red Sox	Dodgers	Jon Lester	Hyun-Jin Ryu	Dodgers	3.210	3.859	59.861	7.069
Sunday	Red Sox	Dodgers	Jake Peavy	Chris Capuano	Dodgers	3.516	3.818	56.365	7.334

Simulation Boxscore for Friday's game

Note: One million games simulated.