Dodgers vs Nationals - Monday's Simulation Results

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Win %	Total Runs
Dodgers	Nationals	Zach Greinke	Jordan Zimmermann	Dodgers	3.45	3.19	51.68%	6.64

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences
1	1	2	4712		51	6	7	500
2	2	3	4694		52	4	7	494
3	3	2	3704		53	7	0	475
4	2	1	3617		54	8	2	461
5	3	4	3483		55	8	1	457
6	3	1	3064		56	7	6	431
7	4	3	2785		57	8	3	414
8	4	2	2774		58	2	8	399
9	0	1	2585		59	0	7	380
10	1	3	2555		60	5	7	375
11	4	1	2346		61	8	4	370
12	2	0	2245		62	1	8	344
13	2	4	2187		63	3	8	336
14	4	5	2187		64	8	0	329
15	1	0	2150		65	9	2	315
16	0	2	1972		66	4	8	309
17	3	0	1932		67	8	5	294
18	5	2	1898		68	9	1	280
19	5	3	1829		69	9	3	271
20	1	4	1812		70	0	8	266
21	5	4	1751		71	7	8	233
22	5	1	1659		72	8	6	229
23	4	0	1597		73	9	0	226
24	3	5	1512		74	5	8	225
25	0	3	1474		75	1	9	224
26	2	5	1426		76	2	9	212
27	1	5	1334		77	3	9	211
28	5	6	1238		78	9	4	206
29	6	3	1199		79	10	2	205
30	0	4	1192		80	4	9	190
31	6	2	1159		81	6	8	173
32	5	0	1136		82	8	7	171
33	6	1	1085		83	10	1	167
34	6	4	993		84	10	3	149
35	3	6	970		85	0	9	147
36	2	6	922		86	5	9	147
37	1	6	882		87	9	5	146
38	6	5	875		88	2	10	132
39	4	6	836		89	3	10	126
40	0	5	824		90	9	6	124
41	6	0	789		91	10	4	118
42	7	2	734		92	11	2	118
43	7	1	679		93	1	10	115
44	7	3	669		94	8	9	115
45	7	4	597		95	10	0	113
46	2	7	580		96	11	3	104
47	0	6	555		97	11	1	100
48	1	7	549		98	4	10	99
49	3	7	542		99	6	9	96
50	7	5	530		100	9	7	95

Note: 100,000 games were simulated.

Dodgers vs Blue Jays - Simulation Results, July 22nd

Dodgers vs Nationals - Simulation Results July 21st

Dodgers vs Nationals - Simulation Results, July 20th

Top 50 Most Likely Final Scores (1 million simulations)

Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences
1	2	3	43329		26	2	0	13183
2	1	2	38243		27	2	6	12680
3	3	4	36687		28	1	6	11924
4	3	2	29154		29	3	0	11901
5	2	1	25997		30	3	6	11692
6	4	5	25783		31	5	1	11545
7	4	3	24819		32	0	5	11369
8	1	3	24682		33	6	3	11050
9	2	4	23676		34	4	6	10813
10	0	1	21319		35	6	4	10643
11	3	1	21025		36	6	5	10302
12	4	2	20974		37	6	2	9942
13	1	4	20131		38	4	0	9184
14	0	2	18487		39	2	7	9027
15	3	5	17515		40	6	7	8577
16	2	5	17344		41	0	6	8572
17	5	4	17256		42	1	7	8448
18	0	3	16771		43	6	1	8324
19	5	3	16235		44	3	7	8131
20	4	1	16123		45	7	4	7030
21	5	6	15907		46	7	2	7004
22	1	5	15832		47	7	3	6989
23	5	2	15172		48	4	7	6946
24	0	4	14345		49	5	0	6824
25	1	0	13329		50	7	5	6241

Dodgers vs Nationals - Top 50 Most Likely Final Scores

Game: Dodgers vs Nationals, July 19th

Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences
1	1	2	34389		26	3	7	13695
2	2	3	33118		27	0	4	13523
3	3	4	29208		28	0	6	13166
4	4	5	24072		29	4	1	12764
5	2	4	23036		30	5	4	12006
6	2	5	22208		31	1	0	11797
7	3	2	21223		32	2	0	11792
8	1	5	21001		33	0	3	11277
9	3	5	20894		34	5	2	11101
10	2	6	20286		35	4	7	11002
11	2	1	20187		36	5	3	10946
12	1	3	19919		37	2	8	10511
13	1	6	19347		38	6	7	10475
14	0	1	19346		39	3	0	10389
15	1	4	18099		40	0	7	9921
16	3	6	17465		41	1	8	9667
17	5	6	17232		42	3	8	9429
18	3	1	16817		43	5	7	9143
19	0	2	16739		44	5	1	9119
20	4	3	16207		45	6	5	8580
21	2	7	15615		46	6	3	7781
22	4	2	15506		47	4	0	7764
23	4	6	15229		48	6	4	7634
24	0	5	15084		49	4	8	7352
25	1	7	14634		50	6	2	7330

Dodgers vs Nationals - July 19th Simulation Results

April 29th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	CLE	Ervin Santana vs Derek Lowe	CLE	51.10%	51.93%	TBD
BOS	CHA	Josh Beckett vs Gavin Floyd	BOS	53.81%	51.38%	TBD
CHN	PHI	Matt Garza vs Kyle Kendrick	CHN	50.74%	47.63%	TBD
DET	NYA	Max Scherzer vs C.C. Sabathia	NYA	63.30%	65.02%	TBD
HOU	CIN	Jordan Lyles vs Mat Latos	CIN	64.97%	73.14%	TBD
PIT	ATL	Kevin Correia vs Tim Hudson	ATL	62.19%	63.35%	TBD
TB	TEX	David Price vs Derek Holland	TEX	54.65%	57.85%	TBD
WAS	LAN	Gio Gonzalez vs Chris Capuano	WAS	51.10%	49.02%	TBD
SEA	TOR	Jason Vargas vs Henderson Alvarez	TOR	57.89%	59.25%	TBD
ARI	FLA	Wade Miley vs Josh Johnson	FLA	62.76%	67.21%	TBD
OAK	BAL	Bartolo Colon vs Tommy Hunter	BAL	51.34%	56.03%	TBD
KC	MIN	Bruce Chen vs Jason Marquis	KC	52.49%	45.11%	TBD
MIL	STL	Zach Greinke vs Jaime Garcia	STL	53.16%	50.12%	TBD
NYN	COL	Johan Santana vs Jamie Moyer	COL	52.27%	43.12%	TBD
SD	SF	Clayton Richard vs Madison Bumgarner	SF	61.83%	62.93%	TBD

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April 28th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	CLE	Dan Haren vs Jeanmar Gomez	LAA	56.80%	57.19%	TBD
BOS	CHA	Jon Lester vs Jake Peavy	CHA	50.74%	51.69%	TBD
HOU	CIN	Lucas Harrell vs Johnny Cueto	CIN	65.93%	70.55%	TBD
PIT	ATL	Erik Bedard vs Randall Delgado	ATL	57.89%	51.11%	TBD
TB	TEX	Jeff Niemann vs Colby Lewis	TEX	60.24%	58.43%	TBD
WAS	LAN	Stephen Strasburg vs Chad Billingsley	WAS	52.94%	51.50%	TBD
DET	NYA	Drew Smyly vs Freddy Garcia	NYA	53.60%	55.81%	TBD
MIL	STL	Marco Estrada vs Kyle Lohse	STL	58.42%	57.98%	TBD
KC	MIN	Bruce Chen vs Jason Marquis	KC	52.72%	47.17%	TBD
SEA	TOR	Kevin Millwood vs Brandon Morrow	TOR	63.70%	63.37%	TBD
CHN	PHI	Randy Wells vs Joe Blanton	PHI	58.07%	58.86%	TBD
OAK	BAL	Tyson Ross vs Wei-Yin Chen	BAL	58.93%	63.72%	TBD
ARI	FLA	Ian Kennedy vs Anibal Sanchez	FLA	54.65%	57.91%	TBD
NYN	COL	Dillon Gee vs Guillermo Moscoso	COL	NA	62.69%	TBD
SD	SF	Anthony Bass vs Tim Lincecum	SF	62.48%	63.24%	TBD

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April 27th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	CLE	Jered Weaver vs Justin Masterson	LAA	57.36%	49.07%	TBD
BOS	CHA	Daniel Bard vs John Danks	BOS	51.34%	47.28%	TBD
HOU	CIN	Wandy Rodriguez vs Mike Leake	CIN	58.42%	64.76%	TBD
PIT	ATL	A.J. Burnett vs Tommy Hanson	ATL	64.22%	64.21%	TBD
TB	TEX	James Shields vs Matt Harrison	TEX	56.80%	61.47%	TBD
WAS	LAN	Ross Detwiler vs Clayton Kershaw	LAN	66.10%	65.91%	TBD
CHN	PHI	Paul Maholm vs Roy Halladay	PHI	71.51%	73.21%	TBD
DET	NYA	Justin Verlander vs Ivan Nova	DET	55.06%	47.18%	TBD
OAK	BAL	Brandon McCarthy vs Jake Arrieta	BAL	55.26%	51.23%	TBD
SEA	TOR	Blake Beavan vs Ricky Romero	TOR	66.67%	60.41%	TBD
ARI	FLA	Joe Saunders vs Carlos Zambrano	FLA	56.43%	61.93%	TBD
KC	MIN	Everett Teaford vs Carl Pavano	MIN	55.06%	56.26%	TBD
MIL	STL	Yovanni Gallardo vs Jake Westbrook	STL	55.26%	51.15%	TBD
NYN	COL	Chris Schwinden vs Drew Pomeranz	COL	61.17%	67.22%	TBD
SD	SF	Cory Luebke vs Eric Hacker	SD	OFF	55.46%	TBD

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Septmber 8th Simulations

Double Your Pleasure ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Nationals	C.Billingsley vs C.Wang	Nationals	50.00%	51.90%	LAN 7-3
Dodgers	Nationals	D.Eveland vs R.Detwiler	Nationals	54.34%	53.64%	Ppd.
NYA	BAL	Ivan Nova vs Alfredo Simon	NYA	TBD	59.316	TBD
ATL	NYN	Mike Minor vs Chris Schwinden	ATL	TBD	53.92	TBD
ATL	NYN	Julio Teheran vs Dillon Gee	NYN	TBD	52.744	TBD
KC	SEA	Luke Hochevar vs Jason Vargas	SEA	TBD	51.66	TBD
CLE	CHA	David Huff vs Gavin Floyd	CHA	TBD	55.456	TBD
PHI	MIL	Cole Hamels vs Chris Narveson	PHI	TBD	53.636	TBD
Red Sox	Blue Jays	A.Miller vs R.Romero	Blue Jays	55.56%	49.30%	TOR 7-4
SD	ARI	Cory Luebke vs Ian Kennedy	ARI	TBD	55.084	TBD

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September 6th Simulations

Strasburg Returns ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Nationals	T.Lilly vs S.Strasburg	Nationals	59.10%	63.42%	LAN 7-3
HOU	PIT	Brett Myers vs Brad Lincoln	PIT	TBD	56.213	TBD
SF	SD	Eric Surkamp vs Wade LeBlanc	SD	TBD	52.853	TBD
ATL	PHI	Tim Hudson vs Vance Worley	PHI	TBD	60.484	TBD
CHA	MIN	Jake Peavy vs Liam Hendriks	CHA	TBD	52.339	TBD
BAL	NYA	Tommy Hunter vs Phil Hughes	NYA	TBD	64.729	TBD
ARI	COL	Josh Collmenter vs Jason Hammel	COL	TBD	54.246	TBD
TEX	TB	C.J. Wilson vs Jeff Niemann	TEX	TBD	55.928	TBD
NYN	FLA	Miguel Batista vs Chris Volstad	FLA	TBD	56.886	TBD
BOS	TOR	Jon Lester vs Luis Perez	BOS	TBD	61.718	TBD
CIN	CHN	Mike Leake vs Rodrigo Lopez	CIN	TBD	50.102	TBD
DET	CLE	Rick Porcello vs Fausto Carmona	CLE	TBD	51.115	TBD
MIL	STL	Yovanni Gallardo vs Kyle Lohse	STL	TBD	57.932	TBD
KC	OAK	Danny Duffy vs Gio Gonzalez	OAK	TBD	65.198	TBD
SEA	LAA	Felx Hernandez vs Ervin Santana	LAA	TBD	54.93	TBD

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September 5th Simulations

Matt Kemp, Visions of 40/40 ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Nationals	H.Kuroda vs J.Lannan	Dodgers	51.81%	47.63%	WAS 7-2
BOS	TOR	Josh Beckett vs Henderson Alvarez	BOS	TBD	61.799	TBD
KC	OAK	Felipe Paulino vs Rich Harden	OAK	TBD	52.924	TBD
MIL	STL	Randy Wolf vs Jake Westbrook	STL	TBD	62.047	TBD
BAL	NYA	Jo-Jo Reyes vs Freddy Garcia	NYA	TBD	70.09	TBD
HOU	PIT	Henry Sosa vs James McDonald	PIT	TBD	62.009	TBD
SF	SD	Madison Bumgarner vs Tim Stauffer	SF	TBD	55.4	TBD
DET	CLE	Doug Fister vs Ubaldo Jimenez	CLE	TBD	50.827	TBD
ARI	COL	Wade Miley vs Esmil Rogers	COL	TBD	64.241	TBD
TEX	TB	Scott Feldman vs James Shields	TB	TBD	52.467	TBD
CHA	MIN	Phil Humber vs Anthony Swarzak	MIN	TBD	51.053	TBD
CHA	MIN	Zach Stewart vs Scott Diamond	MIN	TBD	52.4	TBD
ATL	PHI	Derek Lowe vs Cliff Lee	PHI	TBD	66.093	TBD
CIN	CHN	Dontrelle Willis vs Matt Garza	CHN	TBD	59.751	TBD
SEA	LAA	Anthony Vasquez vs Dan Haren	LAA	TBD	67.02	TBD
NYN	FLA	Chris Capuano vs Javier Vazquez	NYN	TBD	50.277	TBD

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July 24th Simulations

Bet The Under on Dodgers and Billingsley ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Nationals	Dodgers	J.Marquis vs C.Billingsley	Dodgers	55.85%	59.05%	LAN 3-1
Blue Jays	Rangers	B.Cecil vs A.Ogando	Rangers	66.67%	66.77%	TOR 3-0
Mariners	Red Sox	M.Pineda vs T.Wakefield	Red Sox	58.59%	57.95%	BOS 12-8
Angels	Orioles	T.Chatwood vs J.Guthrie	Orioles	53.16%	56.13%	LAA 9-3
Brewers	Giants	Y.Gallardo vs M.Bumgarner	Giants	51.10%	61.69%	SF 2-1
White Sox	Indians	P.Humber vs J.Masterson	Indians	56.04%	56.06%	CHA 4-2
Padres	Phillies	T.Stauffer vs R.Halladay	Phillies	68.75%	66.20%	PHI 5-3
Rockies	DBacks	U.Jimenez vs M.Owings	Rockies	TBD	58.84%	ARI 7-0
Rays	Royals	A.Cobb vs F.Paulino	Royals	TBD	56.77%	TB 5-0
Astros	Cubs	J.Lyles vs M.Garza	Cubs	TBD	66.54%	CHN 5-4
Athletics	Yankees	G.Gonzalez vs B.Colon	Yankees	TBD	58.88%	NYA 7-5
Cardinals	Pirates	K.Lohse vs C.Morton	Cardinals	TBD	52.89%	PIT 4-3
Tigers	Twins	R.Porcello vs F.Liriano	Twins	TBD	54.64%	DET 5-2
Mets	Marlins	D.Gee vs A.Sanchez	Marlins	TBD	57.15%	FLA 5-4
Braves	Reds	B.Beachy vs D.Willis	Reds	TBD	51.60%	CIN 4-3

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July 23rd Simulations

Ted Home Run Derby Lilly ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Nationals	Dodgers	T.Gorzelanny vs T.Lilly	Dodgers	56.04%	54.82%	LAN 7-6
White Sox	Indians	E.Jackson vs D.Huff	Indians	50.62%	47.61%	Ppd.
Cardinals	Pirates	J.Garcia vs K.Correia	Cardinals	56.62%	63.66%	STL 9-1
Padres	Phillies	M.Latos vs K.Kendrick	Phillies	57.17%	51.72%	PHI 8-6
Tigers	Twins	B.Penny vs S.Baker	Twins	56.24%	57.62%	MIN 4-1
Athletics	Yankees	R.Harden vs A.Burnett	Yankees	63.83%	64.50%	OAK 4-3
Mets	Marlins	C.Capuano vs C.Hensley	Marlins	54.85%	46.27%	FLA 8-5
Braves	Reds	D.Lowe vs H.Bailey	Reds	54.23%	52.08%	CIN 11-2
Brewers	Giants	R.Wolf vs R.Vogelsong	Giants	55.26%	55.84%	SF 4-2
Angels	Orioles	J.Pineiro vs B.Bergesen	Orioles	50.62%	55.34%	BAL 3-2
Rays	Royals	J.Niemann vs J.Francis	Rays	50.62%	50.57%	KC 5-4
Rockies	DBacks	J.Hammel vs J.Collmenter	DBacks	58.59%	57.72%	ARI 12-3
Blue Jays	Rangers	C.Villanueva vs M.Harrison	Rangers	60.55%	64.02%	TEX 5-4
Astros	Cubs	W.Rodriguez vs R.Wells	Cubs	52.72%	53.37%	CHN 5-1
Mariners	Red Sox	B.Beavan vs J.Beckett	Red Sox	72.49%	71.05%	BOS 3-1

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July 22nd Simulations

Hiroki Kuroda Appreciation Day ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Nationals	Dodgers	J.Lannan vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	57.36%	56.77%	WAS 7-2
Braves	Reds	J.Jurrjens vs B.Arroyo	Braves	53.81%	51.22%	ATL 6-4
Astros	Cubs	B.Norris vs C.Zambrano	Cubs	58.42%	57.38%	CHN 4-2
Angels	Orioles	E.Santana vs A.Simon	Angels	51.34%	46.62%	LAA 6-1
Cardinals	Pirates	C.Carpenter vs P.Maholm	Cardinals	55.85%	57.54%	STL 6-4
Athletics	Yankees	T.Cahill vs P.Hughes	Yankees	61.01%	61.86%	NYA 17-7
Tigers	Twins	M.Scherzer vs B.Duensing	Twins	TBD	52.45%	DET 8-2
Rockies	DBacks	A.Cook vs D.Hudson	DBacks	TBD	56.06%	COL 8-4
Blue Jays	Rangers	J.Reyes vs C.Lewis	Rangers	TBD	65.92%	TEX 12-2
White Sox	Indians	G.Floyd vs C.Carrasco	Indians	TBD	52.64%	CHA 3-0
Brewers	Giants	S.Marcum vs M.Cain	Giants	TBD	60.30%	MIL 4-2
Padres	Phillies	C.Luebke vs C.Hamels	Phillies	TBD	63.69%	PHI 3-1
Rays	Royals	W.Davis vs L.Hochevar	Rays	TBD	51.34%	KC 10-4
Mets	Marlins	M.Pelfrey vs C.Volstad	Marlins	TBD	53.09%	NYN 7-6
Mariners	Red Sox	F.Hernandez vs J.Lackey	Red Sox	56.99%	59.97%	BOS 7-4

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April 9th, Dodgers vs Padres Simulation

April 9th Simulations ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Padres	H.Kuroda vs D.Moseley	Dodgers	53.05%	51.34%	LAN 4-0
Nationals	Mets	T.Gorzelanny vs C.Capuano	Mets	56.33%	47.34%	NYN 8-4

Seasonal ROI: 6.44%

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April 7th Simulations

April 7th Simulations ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Astros	Reds	B.Myers vs S.LeCure	Reds	58.33%	58.15%	HOU 3-2
Red Sox	Indians	J.Lester vs F.Carmona	Red Sox	64.03%	58.77%	CLE 1-0
Braves	Brewers	T.Hanson vs S.Marcum	Braves	53.27%	54.76%	MIL 4-2
Tigers	Orioles	B.Penny vs C.Tillman	Orioles	56.52%	56.73%	BAL 9-5
Rays	White Sox	D.Price vs E.Jackson	White Sox	56.52%	49.88%	CHA 5-1
Rockies	Pirates	E.Rogers vs P.Maholm	Pirates	52.15%	50.96%	COL 7-1
Twins	Yankees	F.Liriano vs A.Burnett	Yankees	59.02%	55.35%	NYA 4-3
Nationals	Marlins	J.Lannan vs J.Johnson	Marlins	64.29%	58.82%	WAS 5-3
Mets	Phillies	J.Niese vs R.Halladay	Phillies	66.10%	62.78%	PHI 11-0
Athletics	Blue Jays	T.Cahill vs R.Romero	Blue Jays	54.55%	49.83%	OAK 2-1

Seasonal ROI: 17.03%

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