Cardinals vs Dodgers - NLDS Game 2 Simulation Results

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Win %	Total Runs
Cardinals	Dodgers	Lance Lynn	Zach Greinke	Dodgers	3.10	4.03	63.2572	7.13

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	48798		51	7	2	5686
2	1	2	46130		52	7	4	5527
3	3	4	38320		53	3	8	5360
4	1	3	29091		54	0	8	5169
5	0	1	28194		55	5	7	4980
6	3	2	26629		56	7	5	4946
7	2	1	26013		57	7	1	4623
8	4	5	25848		58	7	6	4591
9	2	4	25111		59	2	9	4503
10	0	2	23969		60	1	9	4497
11	1	4	23862		61	4	8	4250
12	0	3	22085		62	6	0	4102
13	4	3	21297		63	7	8	3833
14	2	5	19514		64	8	3	3749
15	3	1	19220		65	3	9	3733
16	4	2	18548		66	0	9	3656
17	0	4	17950		67	8	2	3631
18	1	5	17554		68	5	8	3470
19	3	5	16821		69	8	4	3444
20	5	6	15098		70	1	10	3040
21	1	0	14606		71	8	1	3005
22	5	4	14223		72	2	10	2977
23	4	1	14066		73	8	5	2967
24	0	5	14036		74	4	9	2894
25	5	3	13721		75	7	0	2691
26	1	6	12928		76	8	6	2547
27	2	0	12866		77	0	10	2459
28	2	6	12832		78	3	10	2456
29	5	2	12745		79	6	8	2456
30	3	6	12114		80	9	3	2340
31	0	6	10412		81	9	2	2240
32	3	0	10248		82	9	4	2132
33	5	1	10000		83	8	7	2127
34	4	6	9600		84	5	9	2070
35	2	7	9234		85	1	11	1945
36	1	7	9133		86	2	11	1934
37	6	3	8959		87	9	1	1862
38	6	4	8693		88	4	10	1833
39	6	2	8502		89	8	0	1802
40	6	5	8337		90	9	5	1783
41	3	7	8000		91	8	9	1694
42	4	0	7863		92	3	11	1646
43	6	7	7794		93	0	11	1591
44	0	7	7603		94	6	9	1572
45	6	1	6976		95	9	6	1471
46	4	7	6924		96	10	3	1402
47	1	8	6602		97	10	2	1352
48	2	8	6319		98	1	12	1337
49	5	0	5856		99	5	10	1305
50	7	3	5749		100	2	12	1255

Chances of each team scoring X number of runs

Runs Scored	Cardinals	Dodgers
0	13.99%	6.28%
1	17.27%	11.66%
2	17.33%	15.12%
3	14.72%	15.90%
4	11.62%	14.22%
5	8.57%	11.43%
6	5.98%	8.36%
7	4.04%	5.85%
8	2.61%	3.95%
9	1.62%	2.65%
10	0.96%	1.72%

Note: Based on 1 million games simulated

Brewers vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 8/15

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Fave Win%	Total RS
Brewers	Dodgers	Jimmy Nelson	Zach Greinke	Dodgers	2.998	3.533	59.25%	6.531

                                   Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Brewers	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Brewers	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	5314		51	4	7	510
2	1	2	5247		52	6	0	496
3	3	4	3925		53	1	8	491
4	2	1	3377		54	7	1	486
5	3	2	3332		55	7	5	436
6	1	3	3266		56	0	8	428
7	0	1	3186		57	5	7	421
8	2	4	2690		58	8	2	386
9	0	2	2506		59	3	8	383
10	1	4	2462		60	8	3	367
11	4	3	2420		61	7	6	362
12	0	3	2381		62	2	9	356
13	4	5	2346		63	1	9	350
14	3	1	2329		64	7	0	322
15	4	2	2074		65	8	1	311
16	1	0	1918		66	8	4	303
17	2	5	1893		67	0	9	275
18	0	4	1802		68	3	9	274
19	4	1	1755		69	4	8	248
20	2	0	1740		70	8	5	248
21	3	5	1715		71	5	8	242
22	1	5	1650		72	7	8	233
23	5	3	1496		73	9	2	224
24	5	4	1495		74	8	0	214
25	3	0	1439		75	1	10	210
26	5	2	1379		76	2	10	209
27	0	5	1203		77	4	9	208
28	5	1	1176		78	9	1	207
29	2	6	1163		79	9	3	185
30	1	6	1131		80	3	10	183
31	5	6	1125		81	0	10	176
32	3	6	1071		82	8	6	176
33	4	0	984		83	6	8	162
34	4	6	909		84	9	4	159
35	6	3	903		85	8	7	153
36	6	2	890		86	4	10	137
37	0	6	814		87	9	5	136
38	6	4	814		88	2	11	135
39	2	7	792		89	1	11	131
40	6	1	769		90	5	9	130
41	1	7	767		91	9	0	126
42	6	5	743		92	10	2	120
43	5	0	711		93	10	3	117
44	0	7	593		94	3	11	116
45	3	7	592		95	10	1	112
46	7	2	587		96	10	4	106
47	7	3	550		97	6	9	103
48	6	7	541		98	9	6	102
49	2	8	524		99	8	9	94
50	7	4	518		100	2	12	88

.
Miscellaneous Notes:

1) The best defensive players on the Brewers are CF-Carlos Gomez, SS-Jean Segura and C-Jonathon Lucroy

2) Brewers 2B-Scooter Gennett can not hit left-handed pitching to save his life.  Rickie Weeks will hit for him if a LHP comes in to face him.

3) The Brewers have three former starting pitchers in their bullpen... Zach Duke (169 GS), Tom Gorzelanny (121 GS) and Marco Estrada (71 GS).

4) The Brewers have three holes in their bullpen... Marco Estrada, Jeremy Jeffress and Brandon Kintzler.

5) Brewers hitters do not draw very many walks... Lucroy and Reynolds are the only two who draw an average amount of walks.

6) Brewers starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson is probably better than projection systems currently give him credit for.

Dodgers vs Nationals - Monday's Simulation Results

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Win %	Total Runs
Dodgers	Nationals	Zach Greinke	Jordan Zimmermann	Dodgers	3.45	3.19	51.68%	6.64

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Nats	Occurrences
1	1	2	4712		51	6	7	500
2	2	3	4694		52	4	7	494
3	3	2	3704		53	7	0	475
4	2	1	3617		54	8	2	461
5	3	4	3483		55	8	1	457
6	3	1	3064		56	7	6	431
7	4	3	2785		57	8	3	414
8	4	2	2774		58	2	8	399
9	0	1	2585		59	0	7	380
10	1	3	2555		60	5	7	375
11	4	1	2346		61	8	4	370
12	2	0	2245		62	1	8	344
13	2	4	2187		63	3	8	336
14	4	5	2187		64	8	0	329
15	1	0	2150		65	9	2	315
16	0	2	1972		66	4	8	309
17	3	0	1932		67	8	5	294
18	5	2	1898		68	9	1	280
19	5	3	1829		69	9	3	271
20	1	4	1812		70	0	8	266
21	5	4	1751		71	7	8	233
22	5	1	1659		72	8	6	229
23	4	0	1597		73	9	0	226
24	3	5	1512		74	5	8	225
25	0	3	1474		75	1	9	224
26	2	5	1426		76	2	9	212
27	1	5	1334		77	3	9	211
28	5	6	1238		78	9	4	206
29	6	3	1199		79	10	2	205
30	0	4	1192		80	4	9	190
31	6	2	1159		81	6	8	173
32	5	0	1136		82	8	7	171
33	6	1	1085		83	10	1	167
34	6	4	993		84	10	3	149
35	3	6	970		85	0	9	147
36	2	6	922		86	5	9	147
37	1	6	882		87	9	5	146
38	6	5	875		88	2	10	132
39	4	6	836		89	3	10	126
40	0	5	824		90	9	6	124
41	6	0	789		91	10	4	118
42	7	2	734		92	11	2	118
43	7	1	679		93	1	10	115
44	7	3	669		94	8	9	115
45	7	4	597		95	10	0	113
46	2	7	580		96	11	3	104
47	0	6	555		97	11	1	100
48	1	7	549		98	4	10	99
49	3	7	542		99	6	9	96
50	7	5	530		100	9	7	95

Note: 100,000 games were simulated.

Tuesday's Dodgers vs Twins Simulation Results

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Fave	Away RS	Home RS	Win %	Total Runs
Dodgers	Twins	Zach Greinke	Kyle Gibson	Dodgers	4.23266	3.17716	59.507	7.40982

                              Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Twins	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Twins	Occurrences
1	2	3	3792		51	8	4	602
2	1	2	3506		52	7	6	568
3	3	2	3270		53	8	0	560
4	3	4	3241		54	9	1	557
5	2	1	2978		55	0	5	542
6	4	3	2665		56	4	7	535
7	3	1	2664		57	3	7	531
8	4	2	2520		58	9	2	513
9	4	1	2342		59	8	5	480
10	4	5	2162		60	5	7	465
11	5	2	2014		61	9	3	463
12	5	3	1965		62	2	7	448
13	5	1	1936		63	9	0	386
14	1	3	1903		64	10	2	380
15	5	4	1853		65	9	4	379
16	3	0	1806		66	1	7	368
17	2	4	1787		67	7	8	364
18	2	0	1779		68	0	6	357
19	0	1	1754		69	8	6	326
20	4	0	1745		70	10	3	326
21	1	0	1614		71	2	8	323
22	6	2	1594		72	10	1	308
23	6	1	1531		73	9	5	306
24	5	0	1502		74	3	8	299
25	6	3	1451		75	4	8	299
26	1	4	1447		76	8	7	290
27	3	5	1354		77	5	8	276
28	5	6	1348		78	1	8	266
29	0	2	1324		79	6	8	246
30	2	5	1265		80	10	4	234
31	6	4	1213		81	10	0	233
32	7	2	1179		82	0	7	231
33	6	0	1083		83	11	1	227
34	7	1	1080		84	9	6	222
35	7	3	1046		85	11	2	199
36	6	5	1030		86	11	3	195
37	0	3	971		87	2	9	190
38	1	5	934		88	3	9	180
39	3	6	898		89	10	5	180
40	4	6	879		90	8	9	167
41	7	4	857		91	4	9	163
42	8	2	829		92	1	9	156
43	7	0	817		93	6	9	152
44	2	6	807		94	11	4	149
45	8	1	778		95	12	1	144
46	0	4	777		96	11	0	143
47	8	3	742		97	9	7	142
48	6	7	739		98	0	8	140
49	7	5	717		99	10	6	134
50	1	6	603		100	5	9	133

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks - Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores 4/12

                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Dbacks	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Dbacks	Occurrences
1	3	4	34617		51	1	7	6575
2	2	3	32838		52	8	4	6564
3	4	5	29064		53	1	0	6549
4	4	3	23934		54	3	8	6505
5	3	2	23462		55	8	2	6403
6	1	2	22402		56	8	5	6367
7	5	6	21473		57	2	8	6237
8	5	4	19662		58	4	8	6122
9	2	4	18671		59	0	5	5918
10	4	2	18544		60	8	6	5846
11	5	3	17505		61	5	0	5770
12	3	5	17130		62	5	8	5766
13	2	1	16518		63	8	7	5412
14	1	3	15871		64	6	8	5264
15	3	1	15176		65	8	1	5093
16	5	2	14925		66	9	3	4814
17	2	5	14709		67	1	8	4757
18	6	5	14247		68	6	0	4755
19	6	7	13959		69	3	9	4720
20	6	4	13567		70	9	2	4573
21	1	4	13553		71	0	6	4554
22	4	1	13171		72	8	9	4546
23	6	3	13065		73	9	4	4444
24	4	6	12922		74	2	9	4406
25	3	6	12682		75	4	9	4344
26	6	2	11456		76	9	5	4013
27	2	6	11449		77	5	9	3794
28	1	5	11111		78	9	6	3765
29	5	1	10759		79	7	0	3750
30	7	4	9669		80	9	1	3554
31	7	6	9626		81	0	7	3433
32	7	3	9403		82	6	9	3393
33	7	5	9392		83	10	3	3334
34	3	7	9047		84	1	9	3329
35	4	7	8932		85	3	10	3305
36	0	1	8775		86	9	7	3216
37	7	2	8652		87	10	2	3132
38	6	1	8617		88	10	4	3130
39	1	6	8595		89	4	10	3015
40	5	7	8541		90	2	10	2984
41	2	7	8491		91	7	9	2973
42	7	8	8346		92	9	8	2922
43	0	2	8072		93	8	0	2797
44	0	3	7956		94	10	5	2707
45	3	0	7658		95	5	10	2603
46	2	0	7507		96	0	8	2592
47	0	4	7063		97	10	1	2487
48	4	0	6804		98	1	10	2327
49	7	1	6804		99	11	3	2241
50	8	3	6744		100	9	10	2235

Cardinals vs Dodgers - NLCS Game 5 Simulation Results

                                      Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	47717		51	6	0	5803
2	1	2	46491		52	7	4	5517
3	3	4	36734		53	2	8	5216
4	2	1	31634		54	1	8	5031
5	3	2	31556		55	7	5	4969
6	0	1	28974		56	5	7	4517
7	1	3	28481		57	3	8	4446
8	2	4	24433		58	7	6	4316
9	3	1	24073		59	8	2	4254
10	4	3	24073		60	7	0	4063
11	4	5	23300		61	8	3	3917
12	0	2	23094		62	8	1	3825
13	1	4	22658		63	0	8	3790
14	4	2	21292		64	4	8	3514
15	0	3	20818		65	8	4	3485
16	1	0	19501		66	2	9	3222
17	2	0	17878		67	1	9	3154
18	2	5	17871		68	7	8	2988
19	4	1	17347		69	8	5	2869
20	1	5	16348		70	9	2	2760
21	0	4	16344		71	3	9	2751
22	3	5	16179		72	5	8	2712
23	5	4	15200		73	8	0	2675
24	5	3	15119		74	9	3	2551
25	3	0	14883		75	9	1	2425
26	5	2	14625		76	0	9	2381
27	5	6	12964		77	8	6	2377
28	5	1	12424		78	4	9	2100
29	0	5	12041		79	9	4	2087
30	2	6	11533		80	6	8	2072
31	4	0	11337		81	2	10	1981
32	1	6	11299		82	8	7	1977
33	3	6	10786		83	1	10	1916
34	6	2	9871		84	9	5	1814
35	6	3	9760		85	9	0	1720
36	4	6	9252		86	3	10	1691
37	6	4	9013		87	10	2	1659
38	6	1	8731		88	10	3	1611
39	0	6	8642		89	5	9	1537
40	6	5	8585		90	10	1	1487
41	5	0	8043		91	9	6	1419
42	2	7	7781		92	0	10	1393
43	1	7	7553		93	6	9	1278
44	3	7	6874		94	10	4	1272
45	7	3	6445		95	4	10	1264
46	7	2	6319		96	8	9	1244
47	6	7	6308		97	2	11	1167
48	4	7	5914		98	1	11	1150
49	7	1	5876		99	9	7	1067
50	0	7	5811		100	3	11	1039

Dodgers vs Cardinals - NLCS Game #1 Simulation Results

Note: Vegas has the Dodgers as 55.6% favorites in Game #1 (ML -130, +120)

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	2	3	4402		51	1	7	569
2	1	2	4059		52	3	7	566
3	3	4	3531		53	8	1	555
4	3	2	3376		54	8	3	551
5	2	1	3192		55	7	6	536
6	4	3	2749		56	4	7	510
7	3	1	2695		57	0	6	476
8	4	2	2485		58	5	7	459
9	4	5	2384		59	8	4	432
10	1	3	2352		60	8	0	395
11	0	1	2263		61	2	8	386
12	2	4	2109		62	9	2	379
13	4	1	2107		63	8	5	378
14	1	0	1941		64	1	8	363
15	5	2	1837		65	0	7	358
16	3	0	1821		66	9	1	351
17	2	0	1819		67	3	8	342
18	5	3	1816		68	7	8	324
19	5	4	1801		69	4	8	323
20	1	4	1745		70	5	8	310
21	5	1	1680		71	9	3	293
22	0	2	1629		72	8	6	292
23	0	3	1527		73	2	9	291
24	4	0	1516		74	9	5	276
25	3	5	1457		75	9	4	268
26	2	5	1445		76	8	7	246
27	5	6	1322		77	9	0	231
28	6	2	1234		78	1	9	229
29	1	5	1229		79	6	8	221
30	6	3	1197		80	0	8	220
31	6	1	1188		81	10	2	219
32	5	0	1125		82	4	9	215
33	6	4	1087		83	3	9	211
34	0	4	1076		84	10	1	203
35	6	5	1040		85	10	3	187
36	2	6	932		86	2	10	184
37	3	6	924		87	10	4	171
38	7	3	869		88	3	10	167
39	7	2	865		89	5	9	162
40	6	0	830		90	11	2	153
41	4	6	803		91	0	9	152
42	7	1	795		92	1	10	150
43	1	6	788		93	9	6	149
44	0	5	764		94	8	9	141
45	6	7	732		95	9	7	136
46	7	4	720		96	10	0	136
47	2	7	635		97	9	8	129
48	7	5	586		98	10	5	129
49	8	2	583		99	2	11	120
50	7	0	573		100	4	10	116

Dodgers vs Braves - NLDS Game #2 Simulation Results

                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Braves	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Braves	Occurrences
1	2	3	44292		51	7	5	5695
2	1	2	41105		52	7	0	5586
3	3	4	34887		53	8	1	5478
4	3	2	33977		54	1	7	5419
5	2	1	32445		55	8	3	5271
6	3	1	26841		56	0	6	5137
7	4	3	26615		57	7	6	5031
8	1	3	25131		58	5	7	4929
9	4	2	24704		59	8	4	4345
10	0	1	22837		60	2	8	4188
11	2	4	22805		61	8	0	3910
12	4	5	22671		62	3	8	3807
13	4	1	20505		63	8	5	3647
14	2	0	18789		64	9	2	3634
15	1	4	18611		65	1	8	3504
16	1	0	18202		66	0	7	3488
17	0	2	17869		67	9	3	3431
18	5	2	17831		68	9	1	3416
19	5	3	17462		69	4	8	3231
20	3	0	17048		70	7	8	3045
21	5	4	16887		71	5	8	3041
22	2	5	16112		72	9	4	2787
23	3	5	15989		73	2	9	2762
24	5	1	15262		74	8	6	2723
25	0	3	14713		75	3	9	2509
26	4	0	13400		76	9	0	2466
27	5	6	13021		77	6	8	2417
28	6	2	12479		78	0	8	2335
29	6	3	12320		79	1	9	2323
30	1	5	12137		80	10	2	2316
31	6	1	11439		81	8	7	2233
32	6	4	10845		82	10	1	2120
33	5	0	10816		83	10	3	2019
34	3	6	10745		84	9	5	2010
35	0	4	10297		85	4	9	1991
36	2	6	9670		86	2	10	1679
37	6	5	9613		87	10	4	1675
38	4	6	9531		88	9	6	1650
39	7	2	8718		89	5	9	1611
40	7	1	8226		90	3	10	1528
41	6	0	8069		91	10	0	1492
42	7	3	7975		92	1	10	1442
43	1	6	7949		93	0	9	1423
44	7	4	7193		94	6	9	1400
45	0	5	7140		95	8	9	1392
46	6	7	6773		96	11	2	1377
47	2	7	6339		97	11	1	1287
48	3	7	6165		98	10	5	1281
49	4	7	6043		99	4	10	1275
50	8	2	5802		100	9	7	1204

Dodgers vs Padres - Simulation Results 9/22

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks - Simulation Results 9/17

Giants vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 9/12

Dodgers vs Reds - Simulation Results 9/7

Padres vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 9/1

Cubs vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 8/26

Notes:
- One Million games simulated
- Vegas win expectancy is 70.1%

Dodgers vs Marlins - Simulation Results 8/21

Dodgers vs Phillies - Simulation Results 8/16

Note: 1 Million games simulated
Vegas Odds: Dodgers win expectancy 52.0%

Rays vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 8/10

Dodgers vs Cardinals - Simulation Results 8/5

TOP 50 MOST LIKELY FINAL SCORES

Rank	Dodgers	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	1	2	49333		26	1	6	13256
2	2	3	48668		27	2	6	12369
3	3	4	35931		28	3	0	12307
4	2	1	34204		29	5	6	12292
5	3	2	32016		30	5	2	11932
6	0	1	30782		31	0	6	10877
7	1	3	30710		32	3	6	10267
8	0	2	25196		33	5	1	9674
9	2	4	24710		34	1	7	9552
10	1	4	23598		35	2	7	8869
11	4	3	23422		36	4	0	8831
12	0	3	22981		37	4	6	8796
13	3	1	22731		38	6	4	8099
14	4	5	22269		39	6	3	8085
15	1	0	21856		40	6	5	7839
16	4	2	19962		41	0	7	7783
17	0	4	19330		42	6	2	7629
18	1	5	18491		43	3	7	7200
19	2	0	18053		44	6	1	6503
20	2	5	17315		45	1	8	6489
21	3	5	15851		46	6	7	6290
22	0	5	14637		47	2	8	6284
23	4	1	14427		48	5	0	6252
24	5	4	14230		49	4	7	5579
25	5	3	13556		50	0	8	5561

Yankees vs Dodgers - Simulation Results July 30th

Note: 1 Million games simulated.  Estimating the actual starting lineups.

Reds vs Dodgers - July 25th Simulation Results

Note: 1,000,000 games simulated