Dodgers vs Diamondbacks - Simulation Results 9/18

Dodgers vs Cubs - Simulation Results 8/4

TOP 50 MOST LIKELY FINAL SCORES

Rank	Dodgers	Cubs	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Cubs	Occurrences
1	2	3	35141		26	4	6	11841
2	3	4	33108		27	1	5	11562
3	1	2	27525		28	3	6	11392
4	3	2	27451		29	0	2	11094
5	4	3	25864		30	2	0	10744
6	4	5	25782		31	2	6	10708
7	4	2	21824		32	6	7	10646
8	2	1	21567		33	0	3	10641
9	5	4	19984		34	6	1	10524
10	2	4	19911		35	3	0	10387
11	5	3	18838		36	7	3	10025
12	3	1	18809		37	7	4	9831
13	1	3	18690		38	1	0	9764
14	5	6	17545		39	7	2	9594
15	5	2	17513		40	4	0	9012
16	3	5	16585		41	7	5	8738
17	4	1	16235		42	0	4	8696
18	1	4	15133		43	1	6	8621
19	2	5	15050		44	7	6	8118
20	6	3	14177		45	7	1	7920
21	6	4	13681		46	3	7	7781
22	6	5	13055		47	5	0	7592
23	5	1	13023		48	2	7	7579
24	6	2	12803		49	4	7	7360
25	0	1	12417		50	5	7	7202

Note: One million games simulated.

Giants vs Dodgers - July 6th Simulation Results

Dodgers vs Pirates - June 14th Simulation Results

Braves vs Dodgers - June 8th Simulation Results

Brewers vs Dodgers - April 27th Simulation Results

August 1st - Simulation Box Scores

Hitting Statistics

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Gerardo Parra	4.474	1.378	0.961	0.310	0.030	0.078	0.356	0.299	0.364	0.749	0.353
Aaron Hill	4.405	1.157	0.783	0.257	0.016	0.101	0.403	0.228	0.247	0.728	0.306
Jason Kubel	4.200	1.223	0.765	0.275	0.010	0.173	0.547	0.214	0.434	0.951	0.366
Paul Goldschmidt	4.194	1.208	0.749	0.330	0.006	0.124	0.522	0.208	0.303	0.947	0.345
Justin Upton	4.080	1.178	0.847	0.219	0.010	0.101	0.486	0.227	0.315	0.987	0.335
Miguel Montero	3.880	1.104	0.771	0.244	0.006	0.082	0.462	0.193	0.435	0.868	0.343
Chris Johnson	3.981	1.117	0.785	0.259	0.008	0.065	0.440	0.169	0.200	0.998	0.314
Stephen Drew	3.823	1.058	0.732	0.254	0.016	0.057	0.421	0.166	0.272	0.721	0.319
Pitchers Spot	3.846	0.530	0.435	0.083	0.002	0.011	0.193	0.094	0.134	1.686	0.154
Dodgers
Shane Victorino	4.255	1.281	0.848	0.271	0.047	0.115	0.395	0.394	0.422	0.527	0.364
Mark Ellis	4.183	1.210	0.832	0.283	0.022	0.073	0.464	0.274	0.358	0.612	0.338
Matt Kemp	4.086	1.363	0.858	0.318	0.028	0.159	0.638	0.276	0.399	0.744	0.403
Andre Ethier	4.026	1.156	0.803	0.231	0.008	0.113	0.561	0.206	0.355	0.924	0.342
Hanley Ramirez	3.887	1.224	0.768	0.319	0.013	0.124	0.583	0.246	0.388	0.660	0.381
Juan Rivera	3.829	1.100	0.740	0.253	0.005	0.103	0.545	0.181	0.324	0.545	0.342
Luis Cruz	3.792	1.076	0.691	0.312	0.025	0.048	0.424	0.188	0.259	0.614	0.328
A.J. Ellis	3.566	1.013	0.755	0.203	0.007	0.048	0.396	0.153	0.382	0.705	0.332
Pitchers Spot	3.679	0.592	0.467	0.109	0.003	0.012	0.191	0.114	0.174	1.317	0.184

Pitching Statistics

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Patrick Corbin	5.768	3.811	2.126	6.973	0.562	94.695	4.251
J.J. Putz	0.428	0.461	0.089	0.402	0.033	6.589	2.672
David Hernandez	0.400	0.519	0.136	0.341	0.026	6.460	2.472
Brad Ziegler	0.620	0.493	0.193	0.650	0.018	9.813	2.923
Craig Breslow	0.298	0.271	0.101	0.320	0.027	4.840	3.569
Takashi Saito	0.246	0.247	0.079	0.242	0.017	3.937	3.025
Mike Zagurski	0.603	0.570	0.236	0.652	0.071	10.001	4.021
Brad Bergesen	0.373	0.277	0.102	0.434	0.041	5.937	3.967
Dodgers
Stephen File	6.133	5.023	1.734	7.003	0.576	98.243	3.632
Kenley Jansen	0.431	0.738	0.119	0.287	0.028	6.855	1.453
Brandon League	0.378	0.346	0.103	0.392	0.019	5.969	2.834
Javy Guerra	0.604	0.625	0.200	0.595	0.028	9.733	2.722
Randy Choate	0.268	0.328	0.078	0.238	0.014	4.267	2.297
Ronald Belisario	0.164	0.182	0.047	0.156	0.009	2.608	2.542
Shawn Tolleson	0.744	0.840	0.220	0.752	0.088	12.032	3.357
Jamey Wright	0.537	0.554	0.202	0.530	0.030	8.773	3.000

Table of Top 150 Most Likely Final Scores

1 LAN 3-2	51 LAN 6-0	101 LAN 11-1
2  LAN 4-3	52 LAN 8-2	102 ARI 10-6
3 LAN 5-4	53 LAN 8-3	103 LAN 10-0
4 LAN 2-1	54 ARI 7-1	104 ARI 10-1
5 ARI 3-2	55 LAN 8-7	105 ARI 11-3
6 ARI 4-3	56 LAN 8-4	106 LAN 11-4
7 LAN 4-2	57 ARI 8-2	107 LAN 11-5
8 LAN 3-1	58 ARI 5-0	108 ARI 9-0
9 ARI 2-1	59 LAN 8-1	109 ARI 11-2
10 LAN 6-5	60 ARI 8-3	110 LAN 10-6
11 ARI 4-2	61 LAN 8-5	111 LAN 10-9
12 LAN 4-1	62 ARI 8-4	112 ARI 11-4
13 ARI 5-4	63 ARI 8-5	113 LAN 10-7
14 LAN 5-2	64 LAN 9-2	114 ARI 10-7
15 LAN 5-3	65 LAN 7-0	115 LAN 12-2
16 ARI 3-1	66 ARI 6-0	116 ARI 10-8
17 ARI 5-3	67 LAN 8-6	117 ARI 11-5
18 ARI 4-1	68 ARI 8-1	118 LAN 12-4
19 ARI 5-2	69 ARI 8-6	119 LAN 12-5
20 LAN 1-0	70 LAN 9-3	120 LAN 11-6
21 LAN 5-1	71 ARI 9-3	121 LAN 12-3
22 LAN 6-3	72 LAN 9-4	122 LAN 11-0
23 LAN 3-0	73 LAN 9-1	123 LAN 12-1
24 ARI 6-3	74 ARI 8-7	124 ARI 12-2
25 ARI 6-4	75 ARI 7-0	125 LAN 10-8
26 ARI 6-5	76 ARI 9-4	126 ARI 11-1
27 LAN 6-4	77 ARI 9-2	127 ARI 10-9
28 LAN 6-2	78 LAN 10-2	128 ARI 12-3
29 LAN 2-0	79 ARI 9-5	129 ARI 10-0
30 ARI 5-1	80 LAN 9-5	130 ARI 11-6
31 LAN 7-6	81 ARI 9-1	131 ARI 11-7
32 ARI 6-2	82 LAN 9-8	132 ARI 12-4
33 LAN 6-1	83 LAN 8-0	133 LAN 12-0
34 LAN 4-0	84 ARI 9-6	134 ARI 12-5
35 LAN 7-2	85 LAN 10-3	135 LAN 11-7
36 LAN 7-3	86 LAN 9-6	136 LAN 13-5
37 LAN 7-4	87 LAN 10-1	137 LAN 13-2
38 ARI 3-0	88 LAN 9-0	138 ARI 13-3
39 ARI 2-0	89 LAN 10-4	139 LAN 13-3
40 ARI 1-0	90 ARI 10-4	140 LAN 13-1
41 LAN 5-0	91 ARI 10-2	141 ARI 13-2
42 ARI 7-3	92 ARI 8-0	142 LAN 12-7
43 ARI 7-4	93 ARI 10-3	143 ARI 12-1
44 ARI 6-1	94 ARI 9-7	144 LAN 11-8
45 ARI 7-2	95 LAN 9-7	145 ARI 11-0
46 LAN 7-5	96 ARI 10-5	146 LAN 11-10
47 LAN 7-1	97 LAN 11-3	147 LAN 12-6
48 ARI 7-6	98 ARI 9-8	148 ARI 11-8
49 ARI 7-5	99 LAN 10-5	149 LAN 13-4
50 ARI 4-0	100 LAN 11-2	150 LAN 14-2

July 27th Simulation Results

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
CHA	TEX	Chris Sale vs Yu Darvish	TEX	55.85%	59.22%	TBD
PHI	ATL	Cole Hamels vs Ben Sheets	PHI	50.74%	55.48%	TBD
TB	LAA	Alex Cobb vs Dan Haren	LAA	61.46%	55.84%	TBD
STL	CHN	Lance Lynn vs Travis Wood	STL	60.86%	64.18%	TBD
BOS	NYA	Aaron Cook vs Phil Hughes	NYA	61.46%	60.09%	TBD
OAK	BAL	Jarrod Parker vs Zach Britton	BAL	50.62%	56.57%	TBD
DET	TOR	Rick Porcello vs Carlos Villanueva	TOR	53.38%	45.49%	TBD
SD	FLA	Kip Wells vs Carlos Zambrano	FLA	56.24%	57.55%	TBD
PIT	HOU	Jeff Karstens vs Jordan Lyles	PIT	58.25%	51.03%	TBD
CLE	MIN	Josh Tomlin vs Scott Diamond	MIN	53.16%	60.62%	TBD
WAS	MIL	Ross Detwiler vs Michael Fiers	MIL	55.85%	58.25%	TBD
CIN	COL	Bronson Arroyo vs Drew Pomeranz	CIN	51.57%	49.99%	TBD
NYN	ARI	John Niese vs Josh Collmenter	ARI	56.80%	49.57%	TBD
KC	SEA	Jeremy Guthrie vs Blake Beavan	SEA	54.65%	50.33%	TBD
LAN	SF	Stephen Fife vs Matt Cain	SF	OFF	62.37%	TBD

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