2012 MLB Simulations
| Visitors | Home | Probable Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob | ML Bets |
| ARI | CIN | Ian Kennedy vs Mat Latos | CIN | 57.72% | 55.33% | ARI, 0.7u |
| CHA | BOS | Pedro Hernandez vs Felix Doubront | BOS | 62.05% | 61.36% | - - - |
| CLE | TB | Justin Masterson vs Jeremy Hellickson | CLE | 50.62% | 49.63% | - - - |
| HOU | SD | Wandy Rodriguez vs Clayton Richard | SD | 56.99% | 54.21% | - - - |
| PHI | LAN | Cliff Lee vs Clayton Kershaw | LAN | 51.22% | 51.31% | - - - |
| SEA | KC | Kevin Millwood vs Bruce Chen | KC | 55.85% | 55.40% | - - - |
| SF | ATL | Ryan Vogelsong vs Mike Minor | ATL | 52.72% | 54.74% | ATL, 0.6u |
| TOR | NYA | Ricky Romero vs Hiroki Kuroda | NYA | 63.17% | 63.02% | - - - |
| STL | MIL | Adam Wainwright vs Tyler Thornburg | STL | 57.72% | 54.91% | MIL, 0.8u |
| PIT | COL | James McDonald vs Jeremy Guthrie | PIT | 54.44% | 51.72% | COL, 0.8u |
| TEX | OAK | Colby Lewis vs Travis Blackley | TEX | 55.65% | 55.70% | - - - |
| LAA | DET | C.J. Wilson vs Doug Fister | LAA | 50.86% | 44.27% | DET, 2.4u |
| NYN | WAS | Chris Young vs Jordan Zimmerman | WAS | 59.60% | 59.56% | - - - |
| FLA | CHN | Josh Johnson vs Jeff Samardzija | FLA | 55.26% | 50.52% | CHN, 1.5u |
| BAL | MIN | Tommy Hunter vs Francisco Liriano | MIN | 58.07% | 59.09% | MIN, 0.3u |
Today's Run Total Bets:
LAA vs DET, Under 9 +104, 3.0 units
SEA vs KC, Under 9 +110, 1.5 units
Previous Day: +2.7 units on 9.1 units risked
Current ML ROI: 2.85%
Notes: The simulator thinks that the Vegas odds are off on the Angels vs Tigers game. The simulator thinks Fister is a stronger pitcher and Wilson a weaker pitcher than Vegas does and also believes that the game will be much lower scoring than Vegas does. The main disagreement appears to be from Fister.
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