Phillies vs Dodgers - Monday's Simulation Results

                                           *** Simulation Results ***

Away	Home	Away SP	Home SP	Favorite	Away RS/G	Home RS/G	Win %	Total Runs
Phillies	Dodgers	Cliff Lee	Paul Maholm	Dodgers	3.40	3.45	52.96	6.85

                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Phillies	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Phillies	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	4880		51	4	7	571
2	1	2	4516		52	7	5	514
3	3	4	3700		53	8	2	489
4	3	2	3414		54	5	7	480
5	2	1	3284		55	2	8	471
6	0	1	2770		56	8	1	452
7	4	3	2691		57	7	0	436
8	1	3	2594		58	0	7	423
9	3	1	2532		59	8	4	422
10	2	4	2385		60	7	6	417
11	4	5	2361		61	8	3	412
12	4	2	2358		62	1	8	388
13	0	2	2165		63	3	8	377
14	4	1	2016		64	4	8	326
15	1	4	1972		65	8	5	325
16	1	0	1803		66	7	8	320
17	2	0	1782		67	9	2	299
18	5	3	1773		68	2	9	292
19	0	3	1718		69	5	8	289
20	2	5	1718		70	0	8	288
21	5	2	1691		71	9	3	288
22	3	5	1631		72	1	9	283
23	5	4	1629		73	9	1	277
24	3	0	1569		74	8	0	256
25	1	5	1387		75	3	9	248
26	5	1	1346		76	8	6	241
27	0	4	1343		77	9	4	231
28	5	6	1321		78	6	8	219
29	4	0	1223		79	4	9	216
30	6	2	1174		80	10	2	195
31	6	3	1124		81	8	7	188
32	3	6	1066		82	0	9	183
33	2	6	1044		83	9	0	177
34	6	4	971		84	10	1	168
35	6	1	966		85	1	10	166
36	4	6	959		86	9	5	166
37	5	0	953		87	5	9	160
38	0	5	928		88	2	10	159
39	6	5	902		89	3	10	158
40	1	6	893		90	9	6	149
41	7	2	752		91	4	10	147
42	7	3	708		92	10	4	138
43	6	7	671		93	6	9	132
44	7	4	671		94	8	9	130
45	7	1	665		95	10	3	129
46	6	0	661		96	9	7	114
47	2	7	656		97	11	2	114
48	3	7	645		98	0	10	112
49	0	6	636		99	11	1	108
50	1	7	583		100	10	0	101

Notes: Based off of 100K simulations

Dodgers vs Phillies - Simulation Results 8/18

Note: Vegas gives the Dodgers a 51.8% chance of winning this game.

Dodgers vs Phillies - Simulation Results 8/17

Dodgers vs Phillies - Simulation Results 8/16

Note: 1 Million games simulated
Vegas Odds: Dodgers win expectancy 52.0%

Phillies vs Dodgers - Top 200 Most Likely Final Scores

Note: Out of one million games simulated.

Rank	PHI	LAN	Count		Rank	PHI	LAN	Count
1	1	2	57816		101	3	11	817
2	2	3	51597		102	11	2	784
3	0	1	40798		103	5	10	722
4	3	4	36095		104	10	5	718
5	2	1	35952		105	7	9	707
6	3	2	32823		106	9	7	701
7	1	3	31649		107	1	12	693
8	0	2	30175		108	11	1	668
9	3	1	25278		109	11	3	644
10	0	3	24892		110	4	11	625
11	1	0	24598		111	2	12	618
12	2	4	24485		112	9	8	603
13	1	4	23463		113	10	6	558
14	4	3	22525		114	0	12	551
15	4	5	20932		115	6	10	520
16	4	2	20851		116	11	4	504
17	2	0	20407		117	3	12	496
18	0	4	18529		118	11	0	472
19	4	1	17523		119	10	7	435
20	2	5	16927		120	5	11	415
21	1	5	16446		121	11	5	404
22	3	0	16308		122	12	2	404
23	3	5	14817		123	12	3	370
24	5	2	13601		124	9	10	368
25	0	5	13536		125	1	13	364
26	5	3	13198		126	12	1	364
27	5	4	12780		127	4	12	354
28	5	1	12088		128	7	10	354
29	4	0	11871		129	0	13	322
30	1	6	11136		130	2	13	319
31	5	6	10883		131	11	6	297
32	2	6	10719		132	10	8	293
33	3	6	9783		133	6	11	292
34	0	6	9120		134	3	13	286
35	6	2	8791		135	12	4	276
36	6	3	8454		136	8	10	271
37	5	0	8403		137	12	0	260
38	6	1	7931		138	5	12	255
39	4	6	7763		139	12	5	234
40	6	4	7347		140	13	2	229
41	1	7	7247		141	13	1	225
42	2	7	6923		142	10	9	224
43	6	5	6646		143	11	7	218
44	0	7	6236		144	13	3	214
45	3	7	5767		145	1	14	205
46	7	2	5579		146	4	13	205
47	6	0	5566		147	2	14	192
48	7	1	5240		148	7	11	187
49	7	3	5181		149	0	14	174
50	6	7	5025		150	11	8	174
51	4	7	4801		151	13	4	174
52	1	8	4723		152	8	11	169
53	2	8	4468		153	13	0	155
54	7	4	4368		154	12	6	153
55	0	8	3958		155	5	13	149
56	5	7	3718		156	3	14	147
57	7	0	3678		157	6	12	132
58	7	5	3629		158	10	11	127
59	8	2	3624		159	13	5	124
60	3	8	3442		160	7	12	123
61	8	1	3287		161	11	9	121
62	8	3	3225		162	14	1	115
63	7	6	3214		163	14	3	112
64	1	9	3032		164	1	15	109
65	2	9	2790		165	9	11	107
66	4	8	2744		166	14	2	107
67	8	4	2695		167	2	15	106
68	0	9	2588		168	4	14	106
69	8	0	2352		169	0	15	102
70	3	9	2281		170	12	7	102
71	9	2	2201		171	14	4	102
72	7	8	2151		172	11	10	93
73	5	8	2144		173	6	13	86
74	8	5	2065		174	3	15	85
75	9	1	2001		175	14	5	84
76	9	3	1967		176	5	14	82
77	2	10	1836		177	13	6	81
78	1	10	1781		178	14	0	80
79	8	6	1747		179	8	12	79
80	4	9	1662		180	4	15	72
81	6	8	1658		181	12	8	72
82	9	4	1582		182	1	16	69
83	0	10	1558		183	13	7	69
84	3	10	1469		184	12	9	66
85	9	0	1452		185	6	14	64
86	8	7	1427		186	14	6	64
87	10	2	1265		187	15	3	64
88	9	5	1222		188	7	13	63
89	5	9	1158		189	15	1	58
90	10	1	1129		190	15	2	56
91	1	11	1118		191	9	12	52
92	10	3	1080		192	3	16	51
93	9	6	1006		193	5	15	51
94	2	11	992		194	2	17	48
95	4	10	981		195	0	16	47
96	8	9	960		196	11	12	45
97	10	4	919		197	13	8	45
98	0	11	918		198	2	16	44
99	6	9	904		199	12	10	44
100	10	0	837		200	15	0	42

Phillies vs Dodgers Simulation Results - June 29th

July 18th Simulation Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	ML Bets
ARI	CIN	Ian Kennedy vs Mat Latos	CIN	57.72%	55.33%	ARI, 0.7u
CHA	BOS	Pedro Hernandez vs Felix Doubront	BOS	62.05%	61.36%	- - -
CLE	TB	Justin Masterson vs Jeremy Hellickson	CLE	50.62%	49.63%	- - -
HOU	SD	Wandy Rodriguez vs Clayton Richard	SD	56.99%	54.21%	- - -
PHI	LAN	Cliff Lee vs Clayton Kershaw	LAN	51.22%	51.31%	- - -
SEA	KC	Kevin Millwood vs Bruce Chen	KC	55.85%	55.40%	- - -
SF	ATL	Ryan Vogelsong vs Mike Minor	ATL	52.72%	54.74%	ATL, 0.6u
TOR	NYA	Ricky Romero vs Hiroki Kuroda	NYA	63.17%	63.02%	- - -
STL	MIL	Adam Wainwright vs Tyler Thornburg	STL	57.72%	54.91%	MIL, 0.8u
PIT	COL	James McDonald vs Jeremy Guthrie	PIT	54.44%	51.72%	COL, 0.8u
TEX	OAK	Colby Lewis vs Travis Blackley	TEX	55.65%	55.70%	- - -
LAA	DET	C.J. Wilson vs Doug Fister	LAA	50.86%	44.27%	DET, 2.4u
NYN	WAS	Chris Young vs Jordan Zimmerman	WAS	59.60%	59.56%	- - -
FLA	CHN	Josh Johnson vs Jeff Samardzija	FLA	55.26%	50.52%	CHN, 1.5u
BAL	MIN	Tommy Hunter vs Francisco Liriano	MIN	58.07%	59.09%	MIN, 0.3u

Today's Run Total Bets:
LAA vs DET, Under 9 +104, 3.0 units
SEA vs KC, Under 9 +110, 1.5 units

Previous Day: +2.7 units on 9.1 units risked
Current ML ROI: 2.85%

Notes: The simulator thinks that the Vegas odds are off on the Angels vs Tigers game. The simulator thinks Fister is a stronger pitcher and Wilson a weaker pitcher than Vegas does and also believes that the game will be much lower scoring than Vegas does. The main disagreement appears to be from Fister.

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July 16th Simulation Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	ML Bets
ARI	CIN	Wade Miley vs Bronson Arroyo	CIN	55.26%	55.98%	- - -
CHA	BOS	Dylan Axelrod vs Aaron Cook	BOS	55.26%	53.11%	CHA, 0.6u
CLE	TB	Zach McAllister vs Alex Cobb	TB	56.24%	55.12%	CLE, 0.3u
HOU	SD	J.A. Happ vs Kip Wells	SD	53.60%	51.20%	- - -
PHI	LAN	Joe Blanton vs Nathan Eovaldi	PHI	51.34%	52.44%	- - -
SEA	KC	Jason Vargas vs Jonathan Sanchez	KC	51.57%	54.88%	KC, 1.2u
LAA	DET	Ervin Santana vs Rick Porcello	DET	53.16%	56.33%	DET, 1.0u
TOR	NYA	Henderson Alvarez vs Phil Hughes	NYA	63.03%	59.77%	TOR, 0.8u
WAS	FLA	Edwin Jackson vs Carlos Zambrano	FLA	50.74%	50.02%	- - -
BAL	MIN	Chris Tillman vs Scott Diamond	MIN	54.02%	55.25%	MIN, 0.2u
STL	MIL	Lance Lynn vs Michael Fiers	MIL	52.27%	52.96%	- - -
PIT	COL	Jeff Karstens vs Jeff Francis	COL	53.81%	49.18%	PIT, 1.6u

Today's Run Total Bets:
STL vs MIL, Under 8.5 +100, 1.5 units
HOU vs SD, Over 7 +105, 0.5 units
CLE vs TB, Under 8.5 +100, 1.5 units

Previous Day: No bets.
Current ML ROI: 3.27%

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June 7th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Bet Units
BAL	BOS	Brian Matusz vs Clay Buchholz	BOS	58.25%	52.95%	---
PIT	CIN	Kevin Correia vs Mike Leake	CIN	60.40%	63.15%	---
SF	SD	Matt Cain vs Jason Marquis	SF	57.54%	57.10%	---
TOR	CHA	Henderson Alvarez vs Jake Peavy	CHA	58.59%	63.03%	---
CLE	DET	Derek Lowe vs Casey Crosby	DET	52.49%	49.64%	---
LAN	PHI	Aaron Harang vs Cole Hamels	PHI	63.03%	63.09%	---
NYN	WAS	R.A. Dickey vs ChienMing Wang	NYN	53.60%	52.21%	---
CHN	MIL	Matt Garza vs Randy Wolf	MIL	52.04%	55.20%	---
TEX	OAK	Yu Darvish vs Brandon McCarthy	TEX	60.40%	58.20%	---
TB	NYA	David Price vs C.C. Sabathia	NYA	58.42%	61.06%	---
ATL	FLA	Mike Minor vs Mark Buehrle	FLA	56.62%	58.35%	---
STL	HOU	Lance Lynn vs J.A. Happ	STL	59.60%	58.62%	---

Wednesday's Results: No bets
Current ROI: 3.72%

Yesterday's Synopsis
No bets yesterday. Would've been a slight down day had I done so.

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June 6th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Bet Units
BAL	BOS	Wei-Yin Chen vs Josh Beckett	BOS	61.83%	58.29%	---
MIN	KC	Nick Blackburn vs Felipe Paulino	KC	60.55%	60.99%	---
PIT	CIN	Brad Lincoln vs Johnny Cueto	CIN	63.30%	67.98%	---
SEA	LAA	Hector Noesi vs Jerome Williams	LAA	59.76%	63.05%	---
SF	SD	Madison Bumgarner vs Clayton Richard	SF	53.81%	50.59%	---
TOR	CHA	Brandon Morrow vs Jose Quintana	TOR	52.72%	52.26%	---
CLE	DET	Jeanmar Gomez vs Max Scherzer	DET	60.86%	60.65%	---
LAN	PHI	Chris Capuano vs Kyle Kendrick	PHI	52.27%	56.30%	---
NYN	WAS	Jeremy Hefner vs Edwin Jackson	WAS	59.92%	62.42%	---
TB	NYA	Alex Cobb vs Ivan Nova	NYA	58.93%	60.37%	---
ATL	FLA	Randall Delgado vs Josh Johnson	FLA	59.43%	61.12%	---
STL	HOU	Adam Wainwright vs Bud Norris	STL	56.80%	51.25%	---
CHN	MIL	Paul Maholm vs Zach Greinke	MIL	66.44%	71.52%	---
COL	ARI	Josh Outman vs Wade Miley	ARI	57.17%	NA	---
TEX	OAK	Colby Lewis vs Bartolo Colon	TEX	58.59%	59.91%	---

Tuesday's Results: No bets
Current ROI: 3.72%

Yesterday's Synopsis
No bets yesterday. Would've been an even day had I bet. The biggest bet would've been on the Nationals to win and they pulled out a come from behind win. The toughest loss would've been the Astros blowing a golden opportunity to knock off a suddenly shaky Jaime Garcia.

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June 5th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Bet Units
BAL	BOS	Jason Hammel vs Jon Lester	BOS	58.93%	56.37%	---
MIN	KC	Francisco Liriano vs Bruce Chen	KC	56.43%	60.24%	---
PIT	CIN	A.J. Burnett vs Homer Bailey	CIN	57.89%	58.31%	---
SEA	LAA	Blake Beavan vs Garrett Richards	LAA	58.59%	58.34%	---
SF	SD	Tim Lincecum vs Anthony Bass	SF	50.86%	48.07%	---
TOR	CHA	Ricky Romero vs Phil Humber	TOR	50.25%	47.32%	---
CLE	DET	Ubaldo Jimenez vs Drew Smyly	DET	58.76%	63.94%	---
LAN	PHI	Chad Billingsley vs Cliff Lee	PHI	62.89%	64.20%	---
NYN	WAS	Chris Young vs Jordan Zimmerman	WAS	58.93%	65.42%	---
TB	NYA	James Shields vs Andy Pettitte	NYA	54.44%	60.30%	---
ATL	FLA	Tim Hudson vs Anibal Sanchez	FLA	54.85%	57.47%	---
STL	HOU	Jaime Garcia vs Lucas Harrell	STL	57.17%	62.62%	---
CHN	MIL	Ryan Dempster vs Yovanni Gallardo	MIL	59.27%	57.61%	---
COL	ARI	Jeremy Guthrie vs Ian Kennedy	ARI	58.93%	55.23%	---
TEX	OAK	Derek Holland vs Travis Blackley	TEX	60.55%	60.40%	---

Monday's Results: -4.3 units
Current ROI: 3.72%

Yesterday's Synopsis
Mauled!  One run games on big bets killing me of late.  Taking the day off to stretch out what may possibly be the last week of beating Vegas.

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June 4th Simulation

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Bet Units
MIN	KC	Cole DeVries vs Wil Smith	KC	57.17%	60.18%	KC, 1.1
SEA	LAA	Jason Vargas vs Ervin Santana	LAA	58.93%	61.84%	LAA, 1.2
TEX	OAK	Scott Feldman vs Jarrod Parker	TEX	55.85%	51.74%	OAK, 1.2
STL	NYN	Kyle Lohse vs Dillon Gee	NYN	OFF	51.42%	---
CHN	SF	Jeff Samardzija vs Ryan Vogelsong	SF	56.62%	52.33%	CHN, 1.3
LAN	PHI	Clayton Kershaw vs Vance Worley	LAN	53.16%	46.38%	PHI, 2.2
COL	ARI	Chris Friedrich vs Joe Saunders	ARI	55.26%	NA	---

Sunday's Results: -3.2 units
Last Weeks Results: +0.5 units
Current ROI: 4.59%

Yesterday's Synopsis
Lost 3.2 units yesterday mostly on the back of the Nationals 3-2 loss to the Braves which had a big 4.1 unit bet riding. The Nationals got off to a quick start and took a first inning 2-0 lead. Tommy Hanson who has been pretty shaky this year was facing Gio Gonzalez who had been red hot coming in to the game. The simulator obviously liked this game as a big betting opportunity but Gio Gonzalez did not pitch particularly well and Tommy Hanson settled down and the Braves held on for a 3-2 win. Had the Nationals won this game, I would have had around a 3.5 unit gain for the day - but that is how it goes with baseball.
The games that helped offset the loss from the Nationals game were the Pirates winning a 1.1 unit wager as +108 road dogs with James McDonald facing a Brewers lineup without either Ryan Braun or Aramis Ramirez. The Twins won for the simulator as a +134 underdog against the Indians and the Blue Jays won a 1.7 unit bet as a slight favorite facing Daniel Bard who continues to pitch like crap this season.

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October 7th Simulations

NLDS For All The Marbles ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Brewers	I.Kennedy vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	58.76%	58.59%	MIL 3-2
Cardinals	Phillies	C.Carpenter vs R.Halladay	Phillies	63.30%	58.47%	STL 1-0

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October 5th Simulations

LDS - Cardinals/DBacks Holding On For Dear Life ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Phillies	Cardinals	R.Oswalt vs E.Jackson	Phillies	52.94%	43.54%	STL 5-3
Brewers	DBacks	R.Wolf vs J.Saunders	DBacks	51.22%	55.60%	ARI 10-6

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October 4th Simulations

LDS - Yankees and Rays Pushed To The Brink ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Rays	M.Harrison vs J.Hellickson	Rays	52.72%	39.25%	TEX 4-3
Phillies	Cardinals	C.Hamels vs J.Garcia	Phillies	55.85%	40.38%	PHI 3-2
Yankees	Tigers	A.Burnett vs R.Porcello	Tigers	52.83%	52.30%	NYA 10-1
Brewers	DBacks	S.Marcum vs J.Collmenter	Brewers	51.33%	46.21%	ARI 8-1

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October 2nd Simulations

LDS Get Even Day ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Yankees	M.Scherzer vs F.Garcia	Yankees	56.52%	58.07%	DET 5-3
DBacks	Brewers	D.Hudson vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	60.08%	63.17%	MIL 9-4
Cardinals	Phillies	C.Carpenter vs C.Lee	Phillies	62.89%	58.76%	STL 5-4

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October 1st Simulations

LDS Full Tilt ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Brewers	I.Kennedy vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	57.36%	57.46%	MIL 4-1
Cardinals	Phillies	K.Lohse vs R.Halladay	Phillies	67.43%	61.07%	PHI 11-6
Rays	Rangers	J.Shields vs D.Holland	Rangers	52.92%	65.23%	TEX 8-6

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August 9th Simulations

One Of These Things Doesn't Belong With The Other (Cliff Lee, Ted Lilly) ...

Phillies vs Dodgers
Cliff Lee vs Ted Lilly
Favorite: Phillies	ML: -170 +163, 62.48%	Simulator: 64.43%
Vegas Over/Under: 6.5	Over +110	Under -120
Simulator Over/Under: 7.30	Over: 54.65%	Under: 45.35%	Result: UNDER
Final Score: #4 PHI 2-1

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
SD	NYN	Wade LeBlanc vs Chris Capuano	NYN	TBD	59.877	TBD
CHA	BAL	Gavin Floyd vs Jo-Jo Reyes	BAL	TBD	54.234	TBD
WAS	CHN	Ross Detwiler vs Rodrigo Lopez	CHN	TBD	54.482	TBD
KC	TB	Jeff Francis vs James Shields	TB	TBD	59.571	TBD
PIT	SF	James McDonald vs Madison Bumgarner	SF	TBD	71.006	TBD
LAA	NYA	Dan Haren vs A.J. Burnett	NYA	TBD	55.868	TBD
COL	CIN	Esmil Rogers vs Dontrelle Willis	CIN	TBD	50.929	TBD
SEA	TEX	Michael Pineda vs Alexi Ogando	TEX	TBD	64.797	TBD
DET	CLE	Doug Fister vs Justin Masterson	CLE	TBD	53.247	TBD
HOU	ARI	Jordan Lyles vs Jason Marquis	ARI	TBD	66.976	TBD
ATL	FLA	Brandon Beachy vs Clay Hensley	ATL	TBD	51.435	TBD
BOS	MIN	Erik Bedard vs Francisco Liriano	BOS	TBD	53.634	TBD
MIL	STL	Shaun Marcum vs Edwin Jackson	STL	TBD	63.942	TBD
OAK	TOR	Rich Harden vs Brett Cecil	TOR	TBD	57.668	TBD

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August 8th Simulations

Putrid vs Goliath ...

Phillies vs Dodgers
Roy Halladay vs Hiroki Kuroda
Favorite: Phillies	ML: -159 +154, 61.01%	Simulator: 60.79%
Vegas Over/Under: 6.0	Over -102	Under -108
Simulator Over/Under: 6.63	Over: 50.96%	Under: 49.04%	Result: OVER
Final Score: #21 PHI 5-3

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Pirates	Giants	C.Morton vs R.Vogelsong	Giants	62.76%	61.56%	TBD
Red Sox	Twins	T.Wakefield vs S.Baker	Red Sox	54.22%	43.51%	TBD
Astros	DBacks	W.Rodriguez vs D.Hudson	DBacks	62.89%	67.31%	TBD
Nationals	Cubs	C.Wang vs M.Garza	Cubs	64.22%	64.55%	TBD
Braves	Marlins	D.Lowe vs B.Hand	Braves	52.04%	52.11%	TBD
Padres	Mets	T.Stauffer vs M.Pelfrey	Padres	50.62%	50.96%	TBD
Royals	Rays	L.Hochevar vs J.Hellickson	Rays	61.69%	60.48%	TBD
Rockies	Reds	J.Hammel vs H.Bailey	Reds	53.60%	53.63%	TBD
Mariners	Rangers	C.Furbush vs M.Harrison	Rangers	68.05%	69.58%	TBD
White Sox	Orioles	J.Danks vs J.Guthrie	White Sox	53.16%	46.39%	TBD

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June 8th Simulations

Dodgers Offense Is Back In A Flash Gordon ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Phillies	H.Kuroda vs C.Hamels	Phillies	63.84%	70.26%	PHI 2-0
Nationals	Giants	Y.Maya vs M.Cain	Giants	64.35%	68.21%	SF 3-1
Twins	Indians	C.Pavano vs J.Masterson	Indians	59.92%	61.29%	MIN 3-2
Cubs	Reds	R.Dempster vs B.Arroyo	Cubs	51.22%	38.37%	CHN 4-1
Cardinals	Astros	J.Garcia vs B.Norris	Cardinals	58.59%	59.48%	HOU 4-1
Rockies	Padres	A.Cook vs D.Moseley	Rockies	51.10%	51.61%	COL 5-3
Tigers	Rangers	P.Coke vs A.Ogando	Rangers	62.62%	59.87%	TEX 7-3
Rays	Angels	J.Shields vs J.Weaver	Angels	58.59%	59.84%	TB 4-3
Athletics	Orioles	J.Outman vs Z.Britton	Orioles	57.17%	56.82%	BAL 3-2
Mariners	White Sox	J.Vargas vs G.Floyd	White Sox	57.89%	54.60%	SEA 7-4
Braves	Marlins	D.Lowe vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	52.94%	57.31%	ATL 3-2
DBacks	Pirates	Z.Duke vs P.Maholm	Pirates	52.94%	58.05%	PIT 3-2
Mets	Brewers	M.Pelfrey vs R.Wolf	Brewers	61.83%	52.54%	MIL 7-6
Red Sox	Yankees	T.Wakefield vs A.Burnett	Yankees	54.65%	58.04%	BOS 11-6
Blue Jays	Royals	C.Villanueva vs D.Duffy	Royals	50.62%	50.91%	TOR 9-8

Run Total Picks of The Day!
MIN vs CLE, Under 8.5 +105, 2.7 units WIN
CHN vs CIN, Under 9.0 +100, 1.9 units WIN
ATL vs FLA, Over 7.5 +102, 0.8 units LOSS
STL vs HOU, Under 8.0 -115, 1.4 units WIN
OAK vs BAL, Over 8.0 -122, 1.2 units LOSS
BOS vs NYA, Under 10.0 +105, 1.3 units LOSS
Daily Profit: +2.6 units

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