Friday, May 01, 2015

Early Season Look At Park Factors

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The chart below takes a look at the early park factor results from the first month of games. Listed in the chart are the actual park factors and the park factors that Vegas is using in its Over/Under numbers. I am able to reverse engineer the park factors that Vegas is using and compare them to the actual. There is a ton of noise on the actual park factors but it is fun to compare nonetheless.  The chart is sorted by the largest difference between the actual and Vegas park factors.

TeamActual PFVegas PFDelta
Indians1.5140.9260.588
Astros0.5501.1010.551
Braves1.3550.9440.411
Nationals0.6110.9340.323
Orioles1.1360.8410.295
White Sox0.8051.0840.279
Athletics1.2050.9450.260
Dodgers1.1910.9810.210
Royals0.9301.1240.194
Phillies0.8651.0570.192
Twins1.2011.0110.190
Cubs0.7500.9230.173
Giants0.8491.0080.159
Marlins0.8821.0320.150
Yankees1.0780.9440.134
Rockies1.0141.1440.130
Mets1.0920.9650.127
Cardinals1.2141.0870.127
Angels1.1161.0080.108
Rangers0.9921.0940.102
Red Sox0.9771.0690.092
Reds1.0110.9190.092
Padres0.9120.8210.091
Brewers1.1541.0690.085
Pirates1.0310.9500.081
Blue Jays0.9971.0720.075
Dbacks1.1251.1810.056
Mariners0.8760.9250.049
Tigers0.9941.0310.037
Rays0.9710.9480.023
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