Thursday, November 29, 2012

Zack Greinke, All I Want For Christmas

The Dodgers are a leading candidate to land free agent Zack Greinke, so let me take a look at his comparables.  Remember I am looking at three of the most skill related peripherals, and taking data from both the 2011 and 2012 season with a heavier weight on the 2012 numbers.  The Dodgers would love to have a second starting pitcher who can come close to matching the skillset and results of Clayton Kershaw.  If you are going to spend all this money, you mind as well make sure you've loaded your team to the brink of being a heavy favorite.  A healthy Zach Greinke would do just that.  His peripherals on the K/9 and BB/9 are almost an exact match of those of Kershaw.  Greinke has a better GB/FB ratio than Kershaw which in general is a good thing as less fly balls equals less homeruns.  The only draw back for a ground ball pitcher on the Dodgers might be Hanley Ramirez or Dee Gordon's glove out at SS.  But you can't hang that on the pitcher.  Ho! Ho! Ho!

Top 50 Most Similar Starting Pitchers

NAZack Greinke9.172.321.64
1Clayton Kershaw9.262.341.27
2Cole Hamels8.712.061.36
3James Shields8.552.321.59
4CC Sabathia8.812.121.56
5Madison Bumgarner8.322.091.41
6Matt Garza8.682.831.42
7Felix Hernandez8.622.331.68
8David Price8.752.521.61
9Anibal Sanchez8.292.491.37
10Chris Sale9.002.361.39
11Jeff Samardzija9.302.891.35
12Adam Wainwright8.362.361.93
13Jarrod Parker6.873.111.44
14Stephen Strasburg10.972.551.31
15Josh Johnson7.873.051.52
16Johnny Cueto6.732.241.70
17Roy Halladay8.031.731.51
18Cliff Lee8.991.371.29
19Justin Verlander9.012.181.09
20Ryan Vogelsong7.333.021.21
21Doug Fister6.961.841.70
22Ian Kennedy8.062.320.92
23Matt Cain7.682.270.96
24Josh Beckett7.462.621.08
25C.J. Wilson7.953.631.63
26Vance Worley7.513.101.35
27Hiroki Kuroda6.972.131.56
28Gio Gonzalez9.143.671.52
29Jordan Zimmermann7.011.901.16
30R.A. Dickey7.822.181.43
31Chris Carpenter7.152.031.49
32Mat Latos8.182.801.18
33Jon Lester7.743.181.63
34Daniel Hudson6.992.121.06
35Wandy Rodriguez6.672.731.44
36Yovani Gallardo9.003.191.41
37Jaime Garcia7.252.271.99
38Ivan Nova7.103.021.55
39Brandon Beachy9.203.070.87
40Roy Oswalt6.582.071.31
41Michael Pineda9.112.890.81
42Edwin Jackson7.502.781.35
43Derek Holland7.522.801.18
44Jeff Niemann7.332.591.44
45Wade Miley6.751.881.26
46Chad Billingsley7.533.281.36
47Felipe Paulino8.953.611.23
48Jon Niese7.532.391.66
49Dillon Gee7.233.101.57
50Gavin Floyd7.452.861.29

Links to other player comparables...

Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett
Chris Capuano
Aaron Harang
Ted Lilly
Chad Billingsley

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