Pitchers Duel At The OK Ravine ...
Dodgers Game Notes: Today's Dodgers game will likely be a very low scoring affair (Latos vs Kershaw). The Vegas Run Total line is 5-1/2 runs with -125 juice on the Over portion, which amounts to a non-juice over/under of right around 5.9 runs. The simulator has the over/under at 6.10 runs. When simulated 100K times 49.78% of the time the game went Over, which is basically a 50/50 split. Historically, by Vegas standards today's game is the 12th lowest Over/Under of the season. Amazingly this ranks tied for 4th, for the lowest Over/Under in a Kershaw pitched game (Weaver, Cain, Luebke, Chacin). The top three most likely scores have the Dodgers winning 3-2, 2-1, 1-0, with the fourth most likely score a Padres 2-1 victory.
Visitors | Home | Probable Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob | Final Score |
Padres | Dodgers | M.Latos vs C.Kershaw | Dodgers | 61.01% | 59.41% | LAN 4-1 |
Marlins | Mets | R.Nolasco vs D.Gee | Mets | 53.60% | 49.61% | TBD |
Marlins | Mets | A.Sanchez vs R.Dickey | Mets | 55.26% | 52.80% | TBD |
Yankees | Orioles | F.Garcia vs J.Guthrie | Yankees | TBD | 59.81% | TBD |
Pirates | Astros | R.Ohlendorf vs W.Rodriguez | Astros | 55.65% | 56.73% | TBD |
Rockies | DBacks | A.White vs D.Hudson | DBacks | 60.55% | 56.72% | TBD |
Athletics | Indians | B.McCarthy vs D.Huff | Indians | 54.44% | 53.27% | TBD |
Rays | Blue Jays | W.Davis vs R.Romero | Blue Jays | 59.27% | 57.77% | TBD |
Phillies | Reds | C.Hamels vs H.Bailey | Phillies | 58.25% | 55.27% | TBD |
Twins | White Sox | K.Slowey vs M.Buehrle | White Sox | 65.22% | 56.80% | TBD |
Cubs | Giants | R.Wells vs T.Lincecum | Giants | 69.42% | 68.88% | TBD |
Angels | Mariners | J.Pineiro vs B.Beavan | Angels | 54.02% | 50.33% | TBD |
Royals | Tigers | L.Hochevar vs M.Scherzer | Tigers | 61.69% | 66.16% | TBD |
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