Brewers vs Dodgers - April 28th Simulation Results

Brewers vs Dodgers - April 27th Simulation Results

Brewers vs Dodgers - April 25th Simulation Results

Dodgers vs Mets - April 25th Simulation Results

Dodgers vs Mets - April 24th Simulation Results

Dodgers vs Orioles - April 21st Simulation Results

Dodgers vs Orioles - April 20th Simulation Results

Dodgers vs Orioles - April 19th Simulation Results

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores
1. BAL 3-2
2. BAL 4-3
3. BAL 5-4
4. BAL 2-1
5. LAN 4-3
6. LAN 3-2
7. BAL 6-5
8. BAL 4-2
9. LAN 4-2
10. LAN 5-4
11. BAL 3-1
12. LAN 2-1
13. BAL 5-3
14. LAN 5-3
15. LAN 3-1
16. BAL 5-2
17. BAL 4-1
18. LAN 5-2
19. LAN 4-1
20.LAN 6-5

Padres vs Dodgers - April 17th Simulation Results

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores
1. LAN 2-1
2. LAN 3-2
3. LAN 1-0
4. LAN 2-0
5. LAN 3-0
6. LAN 3-1
7. SD 2-1
8. LAN 4-3
9. LAN 4-0
10. LAN 4-1
11. SD 3-2
12. LAN 4-2
13. SD 1-0
14. LAN 5-0
15. LAN 5-1
16. SD 4-3
17. SD 3-1
18. LAN 5-2
19. LAN 6-0
20. SD 2-0

Padres vs Dodgers - April 16th Simulation Results

Top 25 Most Likely Final Scores
1. LAN 3-2
2. LAN 2-1
3. LAN 4-3
4. SD 3-2
5. SD 2-1
6. LAN 3-1
7. LAN 1-0
8. LAN 4-2
9. SD 4-3
10. LAN 5-4
11. LAN 4-1
12. SD 3-1
13. LAN 2-0
14. SD 4-2
15. LAN 3-0
16. LAN 5-2
17. SD 1-0
18. LAN 5-3
19. LAN 5-1
20.LAN 4-0
21. SD 2-0
22. SD 5-4
23. SD 5-3
24. SD 4-1
25. LAN 6-5

Padres vs Dodgers - April 15th Simulation Results

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores
1. LAN 3-2
2. LAN 2-1
3. LAN 4-3
4. LAN 3-1
5. SD 2-1
6. SD 3-2
7. LAN 1-0
8. LAN 4-2
9. LAN 4-1
10. LAN 2-0
11. LAN 3-0
12. SD 4-3
13. LAN 4-3
14. LAN 4-0
15. LAN 5-1
16. LAN 5-2
17. SD 3-1
18. SD 1-0
19. SD 4-2
20. LAN 5-3

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks - April 12th Simulation Results

Top 20 Most likely Final Scores:
1. ARI 3-2
2. ARI 4-3
3. ARI 5-4
4. ARI 2-1
5. LAN 3-2
6. LAN 4-3
7. ARI 6-5
8. LAN 4-2
9. ARI 4-2
10. LAN 5-4
11. LAN 3-1
12. LAN 2-1
13. LAN 5-3
14. LAN 5-2
15. LAN 4-1
16. ARI 3-1
17. ARI 5-3
18. ARI 7-6
19. ARI 4-1
20. LAN 5-1

Note: There will be no Saturday/Sunday Simulations.


Dodgers vs Padres - April 11th Simulation Results

Simulator:
Dodgers Win Expectancy: 55.35%
Dodgers RS: 3.26
Padres RS: 2.60

Vegas
Dodgers Win Expectancy: 60.86%
Total Runs: ~ 6.8

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores
1. SD 2-1
2. SD 3-2
3. LAN 2-1
4. SD 1-0
5. LAN 3-2
6. LAN 3-1
7. SD 4-3
8. LAN 1-0
9. LAN 2-0
10. LAN 3-0
11. SD 3-1
12. LAN 4-1
13. SD 2-0
14. LAN 4-2
15. LAN 4-3
16. LAN 4-0
17. SD 4-2
18. LAN 5-1
19. SD 5-4
20. LAN 5-2
.
.
100. LAN 9-7

Dodgers vs Padres - April 10th Simulation Results

Once again, another screenshot of today's simulation box score along with the top 20 most likely scores.

Simulator:
Dodgers Win Expectancy: 53.91%
Dodgers RS: 3.43
Padres RS: 2.87

Vegas
Dodgers Win Expectancy: 53.27%
Total Runs: ~ 6.8

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores
1. SD 2-1
2. SD 3-2
3. LAN 2-1
4. LAN 3-2
5. SD 1-0
6. SD 4-3
7. LAN 3-1
8. LAN 1-0
9. SD 3-1
10. LAN 2-0
11. LAN 4-2
12. LAN 4-3
13. LAN 4-1
14. SD 2-0
15. LAN 3-0
16. SD 4-2
17. SD 5-4
18. LAN 4-0
19. LAN 5-2
20. LAN 5-1
.
.
100. LAN 10-6


(Click image for larger size)

 



Dodgers vs Padres - April 9th Simulation Results

Here are the simulation results for the April 9th game between the Dodgers and the Padres

Dodgers vs Padres
Josh Beckett vs Clayton Richards

Record: 4-2 (0.667)
RS: 17
RA: 10
Pythag Win%: 0.725
Pythag Pace: 117.5 - 44.5
Pythag Record: 4.35 - 1.65
Record As Favorites: 4-2
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 49.52%
Dodgers on average score 3.315 runs
Padres on average score 3.104 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.419

Starting Pitching Lines:
Josh Beckett - 6.4ip, 6.4so, 2.1bb, 5.4hits, 0.58hrs, 100pitches, 3.395fip
Clayton Richard - 6.4ip, 4.7so, 1.8bb, 6.3hits, 0.58hrs, 98pitches, 3.718fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 57.89%
Over/Under: 6.5 -112o +102u

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Padres 2-1
2. Padres 3-2
3. Dodgers 2-1
4. Padres 4-3
5. Dodgers 3-2
6. Padres 1-0
7. Dodgers 3-1
8. Padres 3-1
9. Dodgers 4-3
10. Dodgers 4-2
11. Dodgers 1-0
12. Padres 4-2
13. Padres 2-0
14. Padres 5-4
15. Dodgers 2-0
16. Dodgers 4-1
17. Padres 4-1
18. Dodgers 3-0
19. Padres 3-0
20. Dodgers 5-2
.
.
99. Dodgers 11-4

Dodgers Box Score (Click Image To Enlarge)

Pirates vs Dodgers - April 6th Simulation Results

Here are the simulation results for the April 6th game between the Pirates and the Dodgers.

Pirates vs Dodgers
A.J. Burnett vs Clayton Kershaw

Record: 2-2 (0.500)
RS: 10
RA: 8
Pythag Win%: 0.601
Pythag Pace: 97.3 - 64.7
Pythag Record: 2.40 - 1.60
Record As Favorites: 2-2
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 64.84%
Pirates on average score 2.500 runs
Dodgers on average score 3.542 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.042

Starting Pitching Lines:
A.J. Burnett - 6.08ip, 6.3so, 2.0bb, 6.0hits, 0.63hrs, 98pitches, 3.454fip
Clayton Kershaw - 6.7ip, 9.1so, 1.8bb, 5.1hits, 0.46hrs, 105pitches, 2.201fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 69.23%
Over/Under: 6.0 -105o -105u
Notes: Dodgers are the largest Vegas favorite of the day.

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Dodgers 2-1
2. Dodgers 3-2
3. Dodgers 1-0
4. Pirates 2-1
5. Dodgers 4-3
6. Dodgers 3-1
7. Dodgers 2-0
8. Dodgers 3-0
9. Pirates 3-2
10. Dodgers 4-1
11. Dodgers 4-2
12. Pirates 1-0
13. Dodgers 4-0
14. Pirates 3-1
15. Pirates 4-3
16. Dodgers 5-4
17. Pirates 2-0
18. Dodgers 5-1
19. Dodgers 5-2
20. Pirates 4-2
.
.
100. Dodgers 12-0

Pirates vs Dodgers - April 5th Simulation Results

Here are the simulation results for the April 5th game between the Pirates and the Dodgers.

Pirates vs Dodgers
Jonathan Sanchez vs Zack Greinke

Record: 1-2 (0.333)
RS: 7
RA: 8
Pythag Win%: 0.439
Pythag Pace: 71.2 - 90.8
Pythag Record: 1.32 - 1.68
Record As Favorites: 1-2
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 67.68%
Pirates on average score 2.728 runs
Dodgers on average score 4.166 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.894

Starting Pitching Lines:
Jonathan Sanchez - 5.2ip, 5.2so, 3.3bb, 5.3hits, 0.59hrs, 93pitches, 4.593fip
Zack Greinke - 6.8ip, 8.9so, 1.5bb, 5.4hits, 0.60hrs, 104pitches, 2.381fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 65.81%
Over/Under: 7.0 +100o -110u
Notes: Dodgers are the largest Vegas favorite of the day.

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Dodgers 3-2
2. Dodgers 2-1
3. Dodgers 4-3
4. Dodgers 3-1
5. Dodgers 1-0
6. Pirates 2-1
7. Pirates 3-2
8. Dodgers 4-2
9. Dodgers 4-1
10. Dodgers 2-0
11. Dodgers 3-0
12. Dodgers 5-4
13. Dodgers 4-0
14. Pirates 4-3
15. Dodgers 5-1
16. Dodgers 5-2
17. Pirates 3-1
18. Pirates 1-0
19. Dodgers 5-3
20. Dodgers 5-0
.
.
99. Dodgers 12-3

Giants vs Dodgers - Simulation Results April 3

Here are the simulation results for the April 2nd game between the Giants and the Dodgers.

Giants vs Dodgers
Tim Lincecum vs Josh Beckett

Record: 1-1 (0.500)
RS: 4
RA: 3
Pythag Record: 1.28 - 0.72 (0.640)
Record As Favorites: 1-1
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 49.44%
Giants on average score 3.572 runs
Dodgers on average score 3.371 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.943

Starting Pitching Lines:
Tim Lincecum - 6.0ip, 6.9so, 2.5bb, 5.5hits, 0.55hrs, 99pitches, 3.351fip
Josh Beckett - 6.2ip, 6.2so, 2.0bb, 6.1hits, 0.59hrs, 99pitches, 3.390fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 54.65%
Over/Under: 6.5 -110o +100u

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Dodgers 3-2
2. Dodgers 2-1
3. Dodgers 4-3
4. Giants 3-2
5. Giants 2-1
6. Giants 3-1
7. Giants 4-3
8. Giants 4-2
9. Dodgers 1-0
10. Dodgers 3-1
11. Dodgers 5-4
12. Dodgers 4-2
13. Giants 2-0
14. Giants 4-1
15. Giants 1-0
16. Dodgers 2-0
17. Dodgers 4-1
18. Giants 5-4
19. Giants 5-3
20. Giants 3-0
.
.
100. Dodgers 9-7

Giants vs Dodgers - Simulation Results April 2

Here are the simulation results for the April 2nd game between the Giants and the Dodgers.

Giants vs Dodgers
Madison Bumgarner vs Hyun-Jin Ryu

Record: 1-0
RS: 4
RA: 0
Pythag Record: Infinity
Record As Favorites: 1-0
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 48.89%
Giants on average score 3.395 runs
Dodgers on average score 3.127 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.522

Starting Pitching Lines:
Madison Bumgarner - 6.4ip, 6.8so, 1.6bb, 6.2hits, 0.56hrs, 101pitches, 2.982fip
Hyun-Jin Ryu - 6.2ip, 6.6so, 2.3bb, 5.8hits, 0.50hrs, 100pitches, 3.233fip

Giants players most likely to hit a HR: Buster Posey, Hunter Pence, Pablo Sandoval
Dodgers players most likely to hit a HR: Matt Kemp, Adrian Gonzalez, Andre Ethier

Giants hitters most strikeouts: Brandon Belt (1.4 times), Gregor Blanco (1.2), Hunter Pence (1.1)
Dodgers hitters most strikeouts: Carl Crawford (1.2 times), Matt Kemp (1.2), Andre Ethier (1.2)

Giants hitter most walks: Buster Posey (0.51 times)
Dodgers hitter most walks: AJ Ellis (0.48 times)

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 50.37%
Over/Under: 6.5 -120o +110u (or about 6.7 runs)

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Dodgers 2-1
2. Dodgers 3-2
3. Giants 2-1
4. Giants 3-2
5. Dodgers 4-3
6. Dodgers 1-0
7. Giants 3-1
8. Giants 4-3
9. Dodgers 3-1
10. Giants 1-0
11. Giants 4-2
12. Giants 2-0
13. Dodgers 4-2
14. Dodgers 2-0
15. Dodgers 5-4
16. Giants 4-1
17. Giants 3-0
18. Dodgers 4-1
19. Dodgers 3-0
20. Giants 5-2
.
.
100. Dodgers 10-0