Dodgers vs Padres - April 9th Simulation Results

Here are the simulation results for the April 9th game between the Dodgers and the Padres

Dodgers vs Padres
Josh Beckett vs Clayton Richards

Record: 4-2 (0.667)
RS: 17
RA: 10
Pythag Win%: 0.725
Pythag Pace: 117.5 - 44.5
Pythag Record: 4.35 - 1.65
Record As Favorites: 4-2
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 49.52%
Dodgers on average score 3.315 runs
Padres on average score 3.104 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.419

Starting Pitching Lines:
Josh Beckett - 6.4ip, 6.4so, 2.1bb, 5.4hits, 0.58hrs, 100pitches, 3.395fip
Clayton Richard - 6.4ip, 4.7so, 1.8bb, 6.3hits, 0.58hrs, 98pitches, 3.718fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 57.89%
Over/Under: 6.5 -112o +102u

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Padres 2-1
2. Padres 3-2
3. Dodgers 2-1
4. Padres 4-3
5. Dodgers 3-2
6. Padres 1-0
7. Dodgers 3-1
8. Padres 3-1
9. Dodgers 4-3
10. Dodgers 4-2
11. Dodgers 1-0
12. Padres 4-2
13. Padres 2-0
14. Padres 5-4
15. Dodgers 2-0
16. Dodgers 4-1
17. Padres 4-1
18. Dodgers 3-0
19. Padres 3-0
20. Dodgers 5-2
.
.
99. Dodgers 11-4

Dodgers Box Score (Click Image To Enlarge)

September 5th - Padres vs Dodgers Simulation Results

                   |     Wins     Losses           RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------------
                   |    57896    42104        439771   384189

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Will Venable	4.409	1.275	0.820	0.287	0.036	0.133	0.419	0.379	0.394	0.903	0.352
Everth Cabrera	4.331	1.163	0.803	0.300	0.020	0.040	0.392	0.280	0.313	0.946	0.308
Chase Headley	4.158	1.214	0.808	0.277	0.007	0.122	0.560	0.226	0.429	0.981	0.355
Carlos Quentin	4.142	1.031	0.635	0.238	0.002	0.157	0.576	0.186	0.323	0.805	0.315
Yasmal Grandal	4.076	1.101	0.805	0.258	0.006	0.031	0.352	0.198	0.296	0.768	0.304
Yonder Alonso	3.916	1.175	0.748	0.331	0.003	0.094	0.454	0.181	0.357	0.645	0.357
Cameron Maybin	3.891	1.039	0.739	0.222	0.019	0.059	0.366	0.194	0.254	0.840	0.306
Alexi Amarista	3.779	1.044	0.698	0.254	0.021	0.071	0.458	0.176	0.285	0.643	0.325
Pitchers Spot	3.812	0.544	0.441	0.089	0.002	0.011	0.204	0.100	0.135	1.590	0.160
Dodgers
Mark Ellis	4.321	1.259	0.869	0.301	0.018	0.071	0.328	0.303	0.362	0.652	0.338
Shane Victorino	4.178	1.257	0.840	0.266	0.052	0.098	0.417	0.365	0.363	0.530	0.357
Adrian Gonzalez	4.178	1.326	0.922	0.266	0.006	0.133	0.627	0.235	0.313	0.745	0.368
Matt Kemp	4.007	1.336	0.832	0.318	0.028	0.158	0.667	0.278	0.378	0.763	0.403
Hanley Ramirez	3.908	1.245	0.788	0.310	0.023	0.124	0.641	0.251	0.372	0.672	0.383
Andre Ethier	3.834	1.088	0.773	0.210	0.007	0.098	0.532	0.176	0.332	0.865	0.335
Luis Cruz	3.813	1.121	0.705	0.331	0.007	0.077	0.485	0.186	0.237	0.600	0.340
A.J. Ellis	3.571	1.042	0.733	0.235	0.008	0.066	0.438	0.153	0.378	0.699	0.345
Pitchers Spot	3.690	0.594	0.470	0.109	0.003	0.012	0.190	0.112	0.167	1.361	0.183

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Clayton Richard	5.853	4.089	1.856	7.224	0.584	95.394	4.050
Luke Gregerson	0.425	0.467	0.099	0.409	0.030	6.646	2.630
Dale Thayer	0.414	0.341	0.084	0.464	0.030	6.435	3.087
Brad Brach	0.587	0.671	0.255	0.596	0.066	9.933	3.673
Tom Layne	0.283	0.265	0.121	0.309	0.029	4.749	3.925
Cory Burns	0.227	0.208	0.111	0.250	0.020	3.887	3.984
Joe Thatcher	0.597	0.569	0.246	0.638	0.044	9.945	3.496
Nick Vincent	0.323	0.276	0.129	0.379	0.036	5.418	4.153
Dodgers
Aaron Harang	6.237	4.979	1.801	6.794	0.542	98.815	3.599
Brandon League	0.432	0.393	0.124	0.408	0.016	6.718	2.737
Ronald Belisario	0.380	0.416	0.114	0.341	0.019	5.990	2.567
Randy Choate	0.605	0.728	0.191	0.513	0.037	9.596	2.543
Javy Guerra	0.249	0.261	0.091	0.226	0.011	3.999	2.750
Matt Guerrier	0.151	0.142	0.045	0.149	0.010	2.385	3.071
Shawn Tolleson	0.713	0.716	0.236	0.697	0.058	11.432	3.244
Jamey Wright	0.482	0.487	0.187	0.458	0.023	7.831	2.973

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

July 13th Simulation Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BOS	TB	Franklin Morales vs Jeremy Hellickson	BOS	50.86%	49.68%	TBD
CHA	KC	Jose Quintana vs Bruce Chen	KC	55.65%	55.64%	TBD
NYN	ATL	Chris Young vs Tim Hudson	ATL	59.76%	61.91%	TBD
SD	LAN	Clayton Richard vs Clayton Kershaw	LAN	65.22%	63.20%	TBD
STL	CIN	Adam Wainwright vs Mat Latos	CIN	53.81%	51.76%	TBD
ARI	CHN	Ian Kennedy vs Paul Maholm	ARI	56.43%	58.28%	TBD
LAA	NYA	C.J. Wilson vs Hiroki Kuroda	NYA	52.49%	50.50%	TBD
DET	BAL	Doug Fister vs Jason Hammel	BAL	51.57%	53.68%	TBD
CLE	TOR	Justin Masterson vs Ricky Romero	TOR	53.81%	50.25%	TBD
WAS	FLA	Jordan Zimmerman vs Josh Johnson	FLA	54.02%	58.51%	TBD
OAK	MIN	A.J. Griffin vs Francisco Liriano	MIN	56.80%	60.55%	TBD
PIT	MIL	James McDonald vs Zach Greinke	MIL	58.93%	61.74%	TBD
PHI	COL	Cliff Lee vs Chris Friedrich	PHI	59.43%	55.70%	TBD
TEX	SEA	Derek Holland vs Kevin Millwood	TEX	56.80%	54.24%	TBD
HOU	SF	Jordan Lyles vs Madison Bumgarner	SF	68.75%	69.45%	TBD

Previous Day: No bets
Current ROI: 3.21%

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

May 16th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BAL	KC	Tommy Hunter vs Felipe Paulino	KC	54.95%	55.70%	TBD
BOS	TB	Clay Buchholz vs Jeremy Hellickson	TB	57.26%	53.57%	TBD
CHA	LAA	Gavin Floyd vs Jerome Williams	LAA	51.69%	57.98%	TBD
LAN	SD	Chris Capuano vs Clayton Richard	LAN	52.83%	45.48%	TBD
FLA	ATL	Mark Buehrle vs Mike Minor	ATL	51.46%	51.12%	TBD
OAK	TEX	Tom Milone vs Yu Darvish	TEX	67.74%	73.88%	TBD
SEA	CLE	Felx Hernandez vs Ubaldo Jimenez	SEA	53.27%	45.16%	TBD
MIN	DET	Nick Blackburn vs Rick Porcello	DET	63.37%	67.05%	TBD
PIT	WAS	Erik Bedard vs Gio Gonzalez	WAS	58.33%	55.25%	TBD
NYA	TOR	Hiroki Kuroda vs Kyle Drabek	NYA	55.56%	52.27%	TBD
CIN	NYN	Mike Leake vs Johan Santana	NYN	56.52%	59.26%	TBD
MIL	HOU	Randy Wolf vs Bud Norris	HOU	52.38%	48.45%	TBD
PHI	CHN	Kyle Kendrick vs Matt Garza	CHN	59.18%	54.48%	TBD
ARI	COL	Pat Corbin vs Jamie Moyer	COL	50.00%	NA	TBD
STL	SF	Jaime Garcia vs Madison Bumgarner	STL	50.00%	51.67%	TBD

Current ROI: 10.19%
Note: No bets today.
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