2013 World Series Odds

As of 12/29/2012...

Team	12/15/12 Odds	12/29/12 Odds
Angels	7-1	7-1
Tigers	7-1	7-1
Dodgers	7-1	7-1
Nationals	8-1	8-1
Blue Jays	10-1	10-1
Yankees	10-1	12-1
Reds	10-1	12-1
Rangers	10-1	14-1
Cardinals	14-1	14-1
Giants	14-1	14-1
Phillies	16-1	14-1
Braves	16-1	16-1
Rays	20-1	16-1
Brewers	30-1	30-1
Red Sox	30-1	30-1
Athletics	40-1	30-1
Royals	30-1	40-1
White Sox	40-1	40-1
Diamdonbacks	40-1	50-1
Orioles	50-1	50-1
Pirates	50-1	50-1
Cubs	60-1	50-1
Mariners	100-1	80-1
Indians	100-1	80-1
Mets	60-1	100-1
Padres	100-1	100-1
Marlins	100-1	100-1
Twins	100-1	100-1
Astros	100-1	100-1
Rockies	100-1	100-1

Source: Sportsbook.com

2013 World Series Odds

as of 12/15/12....  2013 World Series Odds

Team	12/15/12 Odds
Angels	7-1
Tigers	7-1
Dodgers	7-1
Nationals	8-1
Yankees	10-1
Rangers	10-1
Reds	10-1
Blue Jays	10-1
Cardinals	14-1
Giants	14-1
Phillies	16-1
Braves	16-1
Rays	20-1
Brewers	30-1
Royals	30-1
Red Sox	30-1
White Sox	40-1
Diamdonbacks	40-1
Athletics	40-1
Orioles	50-1
Pirates	50-1
Mets	60-1
Cubs	60-1
Padres	100-1
Marlins	100-1
Mariners	100-1
Indians	100-1
Twins	100-1
Astros	100-1
Rockies	100-1

Source: Sportsbook.com

R.A. Dickey - Who Is He Like?

Today, I look at the 20 most similar pitchers for R.A. Dickey.  And by similar, I mean the three skill based stats of K/9, BB/9 and GB/FB over the past two years with a heavier weight given to the 2012 season (over the 2011).  Now Dickey had what some would call a breakout year in 2012, so his 2011 stats which are weighted lower, bring down his numbers slightly.  But in most likeliehood, Dickey is not going to repeat his 2012 numbers, so I think all is well here.  So what kind of skillset (age and pitch repetoire withstanding) compares to Dickey's?

Anibal Sanchez, Is He Any Good?

Yes.  Yes he is.  He seems to be a good value play as a free agent this off-season.  He doesn't have the glitz and glamour but he has the arm and a solid group of comparable pitchers for his three most important skill based peripherals.  While his K/9 is down from his 2011 campaign, he did walk less batters and raise his GB/FB ratio.  Anibal Sanchez is going to make some team a nice little starting pitcher.  Who will be the lucky suitor.

Top 20 Most Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Anibal Sanchez	8.29	2.49	1.37
1	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
2	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
3	Roy Halladay	8.03	1.73	1.51
4	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
5	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
6	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
7	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59
8	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
9	CC Sabathia	8.81	2.12	1.56
10	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
11	Madison Bumgarner	8.32	2.09	1.41
12	R.A. Dickey	7.82	2.18	1.43
13	Matt Garza	8.68	2.83	1.42
14	Chris Carpenter	7.15	2.03	1.49
15	Felix Hernandez	8.62	2.33	1.68
16	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
17	David Price	8.75	2.52	1.61
18	Yovani Gallardo	9.00	3.19	1.41
19	Edwin Jackson	7.50	2.78	1.35
20	Zack Greinke	9.17	2.32	1.64

Note: Peripherals are 2011 and 2012 stats, with the 2012 stats carrying a weight of 5 and the 2011 stats carrying a weight of 3.

Tommy Hanson, Why You Hating On Me

The big news for the Angels was the trade for Tommy Hanson. Hanson has had his ups and downs over the past year, regressing a little bit from the hot start his career got off to. Nonetheless, he has still posted some pretty good peripherals over the past two seasons. Looking at his numbers over the past two years, while giving more weight to the most recent season, Hanson has still put up some pretty decent numbers. Hanson's tendancy is to be more of a fly ball pitcher, which makes his higher than normal walk rate a little troubling... hopefully Angels Stadium can help suppress that. Overall, I think the trade was a good one for the Angels. They need starting pitching and Hanson is better than he is given credit for. His closest comparable pitchers "skill-wise" are strike-out machines who are a little on the wild side.

Top 20 Most Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Tommy Hanson	8.79	3.52	1.00
1	Matt Moore	9.07	4.08	0.87
2	Erik Bedard	8.57	3.77	1.23
3	Brandon Beachy	9.20	3.07	0.87
4	Michael Pineda	9.11	2.89	0.81
5	Bud Norris	8.71	3.48	1.00
6	James McDonald	7.77	3.78	0.96
7	Felipe Paulino	8.95	3.61	1.23
8	Brandon Morrow	8.93	3.20	0.95
9	Ryan Dempster	8.18	3.10	1.23
10	Lance Lynn	9.19	3.28	1.39
11	J.A. Happ	8.48	3.93	0.97
12	Felix Doubront	9.34	3.97	1.32
13	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
14	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
15	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
16	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
17	Tim Lincecum	9.17	4.03	1.49
18	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
19	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
20	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59

Zack Greinke, All I Want For Christmas

The Dodgers are a leading candidate to land free agent Zack Greinke, so let me take a look at his comparables.  Remember I am looking at three of the most skill related peripherals, and taking data from both the 2011 and 2012 season with a heavier weight on the 2012 numbers.  The Dodgers would love to have a second starting pitcher who can come close to matching the skillset and results of Clayton Kershaw.  If you are going to spend all this money, you mind as well make sure you've loaded your team to the brink of being a heavy favorite.  A healthy Zach Greinke would do just that.  His peripherals on the K/9 and BB/9 are almost an exact match of those of Kershaw.  Greinke has a better GB/FB ratio than Kershaw which in general is a good thing as less fly balls equals less homeruns.  The only draw back for a ground ball pitcher on the Dodgers might be Hanley Ramirez or Dee Gordon's glove out at SS.  But you can't hang that on the pitcher.  Ho! Ho! Ho!


Top 50 Most Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Zack Greinke	9.17	2.32	1.64
1	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
2	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
3	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59
4	CC Sabathia	8.81	2.12	1.56
5	Madison Bumgarner	8.32	2.09	1.41
6	Matt Garza	8.68	2.83	1.42
7	Felix Hernandez	8.62	2.33	1.68
8	David Price	8.75	2.52	1.61
9	Anibal Sanchez	8.29	2.49	1.37
10	Chris Sale	9.00	2.36	1.39
11	Jeff Samardzija	9.30	2.89	1.35
12	Adam Wainwright	8.36	2.36	1.93
13	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
14	Stephen Strasburg	10.97	2.55	1.31
15	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
16	Johnny Cueto	6.73	2.24	1.70
17	Roy Halladay	8.03	1.73	1.51
18	Cliff Lee	8.99	1.37	1.29
19	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
20	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
21	Doug Fister	6.96	1.84	1.70
22	Ian Kennedy	8.06	2.32	0.92
23	Matt Cain	7.68	2.27	0.96
24	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
25	C.J. Wilson	7.95	3.63	1.63
26	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
27	Hiroki Kuroda	6.97	2.13	1.56
28	Gio Gonzalez	9.14	3.67	1.52
29	Jordan Zimmermann	7.01	1.90	1.16
30	R.A. Dickey	7.82	2.18	1.43
31	Chris Carpenter	7.15	2.03	1.49
32	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
33	Jon Lester	7.74	3.18	1.63
34	Daniel Hudson	6.99	2.12	1.06
35	Wandy Rodriguez	6.67	2.73	1.44
36	Yovani Gallardo	9.00	3.19	1.41
37	Jaime Garcia	7.25	2.27	1.99
38	Ivan Nova	7.10	3.02	1.55
39	Brandon Beachy	9.20	3.07	0.87
40	Roy Oswalt	6.58	2.07	1.31
41	Michael Pineda	9.11	2.89	0.81
42	Edwin Jackson	7.50	2.78	1.35
43	Derek Holland	7.52	2.80	1.18
44	Jeff Niemann	7.33	2.59	1.44
45	Wade Miley	6.75	1.88	1.26
46	Chad Billingsley	7.53	3.28	1.36
47	Felipe Paulino	8.95	3.61	1.23
48	Jon Niese	7.53	2.39	1.66
49	Dillon Gee	7.23	3.10	1.57
50	Gavin Floyd	7.45	2.86	1.29

Links to other player comparables...

Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett
Chris Capuano
Aaron Harang
Ted Lilly
Chad Billingsley

Chad Billingsley, Handle With Care

Of the six Dodgers starting pitchers I have looked at so far, Billingsley probably has the fourth best set of comparables.  Falling behind Kershaw, Beckett and Capuano and ahead of Harang and probably Lilly.  Billingsley's strikeout rate is right up there with Beckett and Capuano but he walks quite a few more hitters.  Billingsley does however induce the most groundballs of any Dodgers starting pitcher which is a good thing.

Top 50 Most Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Chad Billingsley	7.53	3.28	1.36
1	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
2	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
3	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
4	C.J. Wilson	7.95	3.63	1.63
5	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
6	Matt Garza	8.68	2.83	1.42
7	Ervin Santana	6.85	2.98	1.15
8	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
9	Jon Lester	7.74	3.18	1.63
10	Clay Buchholz	6.23	3.12	1.42
11	Wandy Rodriguez	6.67	2.73	1.44
12	Erik Bedard	8.57	3.77	1.23
13	Ivan Nova	7.10	3.02	1.55
14	Philip Humber	6.85	3.02	1.07
15	Edwin Jackson	7.50	2.78	1.35
16	Derek Holland	7.52	2.80	1.18
17	Jeff Niemann	7.33	2.59	1.44
18	Dillon Gee	7.23	3.10	1.57
19	John Danks	6.43	2.93	1.17
20	Gavin Floyd	7.45	2.86	1.29
21	Chris Narveson	6.88	3.67	1.17
22	Luke Hochevar	6.54	2.91	1.35
23	Ryan Dempster	8.18	3.10	1.23
24	Jason Hammel	6.92	3.41	1.58
25	Jake Arrieta	7.55	3.46	1.26
26	Matt Moore	9.07	4.08	0.87
27	Luis Mendoza	5.78	2.97	1.83
28	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
29	Johnny Cueto	6.73	2.24	1.70
30	Roy Halladay	8.03	1.73	1.51
31	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
32	Jered Weaver	7.13	2.15	0.76
33	Tim Lincecum	9.17	4.03	1.49
34	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
35	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59
36	Doug Fister	6.96	1.84	1.70
37	Ian Kennedy	8.06	2.32	0.92
38	Matt Cain	7.68	2.27	0.96
39	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
40	Ricky Romero	6.57	4.36	1.91
41	Jeremy Hellickson	6.02	3.17	0.97
42	CC Sabathia	8.81	2.12	1.56
43	Hiroki Kuroda	6.97	2.13	1.56
44	Nathan Eovaldi	5.97	3.72	1.40
45	Gio Gonzalez	9.14	3.67	1.52
46	Kyle Kendrick	6.17	2.27	1.32
47	Jordan Zimmermann	7.01	1.90	1.16
48	Madison Bumgarner	8.32	2.09	1.41
49	Ross Detwiler	5.57	2.68	1.59
50	Justin Masterson	6.80	3.39	2.16

Links to other player comparables...

Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett
Chris Capuano
Aaron Harang
Ted Lilly

Ted Lilly, Should He Stay Or Should He Go

There he is, Jered Weaver.  Showing up a third time as the number one comparable for a Dodger starting pitcher.  He was number one on the chart for both Josh Beckett and Chris Capuano.  I think with Lilly though this may be slightly misleading because the walk rates are quite a bit different, with Lilly walking 0.58 more batters per 9 innings than Weaver.  Where the difference is made up at is the heavy fly ball rates both pitchers have.

Top 50 Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Ted Lilly	6.92	2.73	0.82
1	Jered Weaver	7.13	2.15	0.76
2	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
3	Ian Kennedy	8.06	2.32	0.92
4	Matt Cain	7.68	2.27	0.96
5	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
6	Jeremy Hellickson	6.02	3.17	0.97
7	Ervin Santana	6.85	2.98	1.15
8	Daniel Hudson	6.99	2.12	1.06
9	Shaun Marcum	7.51	2.77	0.86
10	Alexi Ogando	6.66	2.25	0.95
11	Freddy Garcia	6.75	2.95	1.02
12	Randy Wolf	5.91	2.89	1.09
13	Philip Humber	6.85	3.02	1.07
14	Javier Vazquez	7.59	2.34	0.74
15	Bruce Chen	6.28	2.44	0.74
16	Derek Holland	7.52	2.80	1.18
17	Mike Minor	7.53	2.92	0.86
18	Jason Vargas	5.85	2.41	0.93
19	John Danks	6.43	2.93	1.17
20	Chris Capuano	7.65	2.48	1.04
21	Brett Cecil	6.84	3.21	0.85
22	Travis Wood	6.66	3.19	0.77
23	Carlos Villanueva	7.37	2.29	0.75
24	Phil Hughes	7.39	2.30	0.69
25	John Lackey	6.07	3.15	1.08
26	Wei-Yin Chen	7.21	2.67	0.88
27	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
28	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
29	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
30	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
31	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
32	Jair Jurrjens	4.75	2.89	1.07
33	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
34	Hiroki Kuroda	6.97	2.13	1.56
35	Nathan Eovaldi	5.97	3.72	1.40
36	Kyle Kendrick	6.17	2.27	1.32
37	Jordan Zimmermann	7.01	1.90	1.16
38	Dan Haren	7.25	1.63	1.05
39	Madison Bumgarner	8.32	2.09	1.41
40	Ross Detwiler	5.57	2.68	1.59
41	R.A. Dickey	7.82	2.18	1.43
42	Matt Garza	8.68	2.83	1.42
43	Brandon McCarthy	6.20	1.65	1.29
44	Kyle Lohse	5.82	1.76	1.13
45	Matt Harrison	5.81	2.60	1.54
46	Jeff Karstens	5.73	1.66	1.18
47	Chris Carpenter	7.15	2.03	1.49
48	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
49	Jon Lester	7.74	3.18	1.63
50	Clay Buchholz	6.23	3.12	1.42

Links to other player comparables...

Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett
Chris Capuano
Aaron Harang

Aaron Harang, The Weakest Link

Next up on our journey through the Dodgers starting pitcher comparables is Aaron Harang.  One whiff of his comparables and you get a sense as to why Harang's name is being bandied around as a player who could be traded to make room for a top free agent signing to join the rotation.  Harang moreso than Capuano would be the pitcher you would want to trade from the Capang duet.  Harang strikes out an average amount of hitters but walks a ton of them.  His low GB/FB ratio does not match well with someone who walks so many hitters.  No ground balls to erase them on double plays and extra base runners to trot home on the fly balls that land in the bleachers.

Top 50 Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Aaron Harang	6.57	3.83	0.96
1	Jeremy Hellickson	6.02	3.17	0.97
2	James McDonald	7.77	3.78	0.96
3	Chris Narveson	6.88	3.67	1.17
4	Brett Cecil	6.84	3.21	0.85
5	Travis Wood	6.66	3.19	0.77
6	Barry Zito	5.51	3.45	1.02
7	John Lackey	6.07	3.15	1.08
8	Matt Moore	9.07	4.08	0.87
9	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
10	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
11	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
12	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
13	C.J. Wilson	7.95	3.63	1.63
14	Jair Jurrjens	4.75	2.89	1.07
15	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
16	Nathan Eovaldi	5.97	3.72	1.40
17	Ervin Santana	6.85	2.98	1.15
18	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
19	Jon Lester	7.74	3.18	1.63
20	Clay Buchholz	6.23	3.12	1.42
21	Wandy Rodriguez	6.67	2.73	1.44
22	Shaun Marcum	7.51	2.77	0.86
23	Alexi Ogando	6.66	2.25	0.95
24	Freddy Garcia	6.75	2.95	1.02
25	Tommy Hanson	8.79	3.52	1.00
26	Jhoulys Chacin	6.55	4.09	1.54
27	Erik Bedard	8.57	3.77	1.23
28	Ivan Nova	7.10	3.02	1.55
29	Randy Wolf	5.91	2.89	1.09
30	Philip Humber	6.85	3.02	1.07
31	Bud Norris	8.71	3.48	1.00
32	Bruce Chen	6.28	2.44	0.74
33	Edwin Jackson	7.50	2.78	1.35
34	Derek Holland	7.52	2.80	1.18
35	Ted Lilly	6.92	2.73	0.82
36	Kevin Millwood	5.98	2.83	1.31
37	Jeff Niemann	7.33	2.59	1.44
38	Mike Minor	7.53	2.92	0.86
39	Chad Billingsley	7.53	3.28	1.36
40	Jason Vargas	5.85	2.41	0.93
41	Felipe Paulino	8.95	3.61	1.23
42	Dillon Gee	7.23	3.10	1.57
43	John Danks	6.43	2.93	1.17
44	Gavin Floyd	7.45	2.86	1.29
45	Jeremy Guthrie	5.28	2.64	1.07
46	Wade Davis	5.14	3.08	0.85
47	Chris Capuano	7.65	2.48	1.04
48	Luke Hochevar	6.54	2.91	1.35
49	Ubaldo Jimenez	7.81	4.41	1.15
50	Mike Pelfrey	5.06	2.87	1.44

Links to other player comparables...

Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett
Chris Capuano

Show Him Some Respect, The Chris Capuano Story

Next up on my look at the most similar pitchers to Dodger pitchers is Chris Capuano.  Capuano had a very good season for the Dodgers last year, though he did teeter out towards the latter part of the season.  Still, his peripherals were quite good and his good skills show up in this list of top notch pitchers in his list of comparables.

Just like Josh Beckett, Capuano's top four comparables are all the same.  In fact, Josh Beckett is Capuano's number five top comparable.  Beckett and Capuano both add solid depth to the Dodgers pitching staff.

Top 50 Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Chris Capuano	7.65	2.48	1.04
1	Jered Weaver	7.13	2.15	0.76
2	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
3	Ian Kennedy	8.06	2.32	0.92
4	Matt Cain	7.68	2.27	0.96
5	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
6	Jordan Zimmermann	7.01	1.90	1.16
7	R.A. Dickey	7.82	2.18	1.43
8	Ervin Santana	6.85	2.98	1.15
9	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
10	Daniel Hudson	6.99	2.12	1.06
11	Shaun Marcum	7.51	2.77	0.86
12	Alexi Ogando	6.66	2.25	0.95
13	Freddy Garcia	6.75	2.95	1.02
14	Anibal Sanchez	8.29	2.49	1.37
15	Philip Humber	6.85	3.02	1.07
16	Javier Vazquez	7.59	2.34	0.74
17	Edwin Jackson	7.50	2.78	1.35
18	Derek Holland	7.52	2.80	1.18
19	Ted Lilly	6.92	2.73	0.82
20	Jeff Niemann	7.33	2.59	1.44
21	Mike Minor	7.53	2.92	0.86
22	Gavin Floyd	7.45	2.86	1.29
23	Homer Bailey	7.26	2.25	1.20
24	Ryan Dempster	8.18	3.10	1.23
25	Jake Peavy	7.84	2.01	0.86
26	Carlos Villanueva	7.37	2.29	0.75
27	Phil Hughes	7.39	2.30	0.69
28	Wei-Yin Chen	7.21	2.67	0.88
29	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
30	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
31	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
32	Johnny Cueto	6.73	2.24	1.70
33	Roy Halladay	8.03	1.73	1.51
34	Cliff Lee	8.99	1.37	1.29
35	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
36	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
37	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59
38	Doug Fister	6.96	1.84	1.70
39	C.J. Wilson	7.95	3.63	1.63
40	Jeremy Hellickson	6.02	3.17	0.97
41	CC Sabathia	8.81	2.12	1.56
42	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
43	Hiroki Kuroda	6.97	2.13	1.56
44	Kyle Kendrick	6.17	2.27	1.32
45	Dan Haren	7.25	1.63	1.05
46	Madison Bumgarner	8.32	2.09	1.41
47	Ross Detwiler	5.57	2.68	1.59
48	Matt Garza	8.68	2.83	1.42
49	Brandon McCarthy	6.20	1.65	1.29
50	Kyle Lohse	5.82	1.76	1.13

Previous Similar Pitcher Tables
Clayton Kershaw
Josh Beckett

Who Is Similar To Josh Beckett?

Well, next up on the Dodgers starting pitcher depth chart is Josh Beckett who came over to the Dodgers in their much belliehood trade with the Red Sox last year.  Below, are the Top 50 most similar pitchers "peripheral-wise", based on K/9, BB/9 and GB/FB over the past two seasons.

So are you impressed that his number one comparable pitcher is Jered Weaver who has gone 38-13 for the Angels over the past two seasons?  The big difference being that Weaver has outpitched his FIP/xFIP by quite a bit while Beckett has not.  Could be some luck involved there for Weaver or perhaps pitching in a ballpark that turns fly balls in to outs.  The two pitchers are at different points on the aging curve, but over the past two years their peripherals have been highly comparable.

2012 Top 50 Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
1	Jered Weaver	7.13	2.15	0.76
2	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
3	Ian Kennedy	8.06	2.32	0.92
4	Matt Cain	7.68	2.27	0.96
5	Vance Worley	7.51	3.10	1.35
6	Jordan Zimmermann	7.01	1.90	1.16
7	R.A. Dickey	7.82	2.18	1.43
8	Ervin Santana	6.85	2.98	1.15
9	Mat Latos	8.18	2.80	1.18
10	Daniel Hudson	6.99	2.12	1.06
11	Wandy Rodriguez	6.67	2.73	1.44
12	Shaun Marcum	7.51	2.77	0.86
13	Alexi Ogando	6.66	2.25	0.95
14	Freddy Garcia	6.75	2.95	1.02
15	Anibal Sanchez	8.29	2.49	1.37
16	Philip Humber	6.85	3.02	1.07
17	Javier Vazquez	7.59	2.34	0.74
18	Edwin Jackson	7.50	2.78	1.35
19	Derek Holland	7.52	2.80	1.18
20	Ted Lilly	6.92	2.73	0.82
21	Jeff Niemann	7.33	2.59	1.44
22	Mike Minor	7.53	2.92	0.86
23	John Danks	6.43	2.93	1.17
24	Gavin Floyd	7.45	2.86	1.29
25	Homer Bailey	7.26	2.25	1.20
26	Brett Myers	6.60	2.40	1.42
27	Chris Capuano	7.65	2.48	1.04
28	Luke Hochevar	6.54	2.91	1.35
29	Brett Cecil	6.84	3.21	0.85
30	Ryan Dempster	8.18	3.10	1.23
31	Jake Peavy	7.84	2.01	0.86
32	Carlos Villanueva	7.37	2.29	0.75
33	Brian Duensing	6.13	2.48	1.21
34	Phil Hughes	7.39	2.30	0.69
35	Wei-Yin Chen	7.21	2.67	0.88
36	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
37	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
38	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
39	Johnny Cueto	6.73	2.24	1.70
40	Roy Halladay	8.03	1.73	1.51
41	Cliff Lee	8.99	1.37	1.29
42	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
43	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
44	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59
45	Doug Fister	6.96	1.84	1.70
46	C.J. Wilson	7.95	3.63	1.63
47	Jeremy Hellickson	6.02	3.17	0.97
48	Jair Jurrjens	4.75	2.89	1.07
49	CC Sabathia	8.81	2.12	1.56
50	Hiroki Kuroda	6.97	2.13	1.56

Who Wants To Be A Kershaw-lionaire

Using 2011 and 2012 data and looking at K/9, BB/9 and GB/FB numbers I computed similarity scores for any starting pitcher who has thrown 150 or more innings the past two years.  Out fo the qualified starting pitchers here are the "Top 50" pitchers with the most similar numbers to Clayton Kershaw. I will have lists for other Dodgers pitchers up in the near future.  In this exercise I weighted the 2011 data by a factor of 3 and the the 2012 data by a factor of 5 as the most recent data has a slightly better representation of the pitcher's true talent level.  Keep in mind that this exercise is just looking at what I feel are the top three peripherals and does not base its similarity scores off of handedness, age or any other factors.

Kershaw's 2011 Top Similar Pitchers


2012 Top 50 Similar Starting Pitchers

Rank	Name	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB
NA	Clayton Kershaw	9.26	2.34	1.27
1	Justin Verlander	9.01	2.18	1.09
2	Cole Hamels	8.71	2.06	1.36
3	James Shields	8.55	2.32	1.59
4	CC Sabathia	8.81	2.12	1.56
5	Madison Bumgarner	8.32	2.09	1.41
6	Matt Garza	8.68	2.83	1.42
7	Mat Latos	8.18	2.8	1.18
8	David Price	8.75	2.52	1.61
9	Anibal Sanchez	8.29	2.49	1.37
10	Zack Greinke	9.17	2.32	1.64
11	Chris Sale	9	2.36	1.39
12	Jeff Samardzija	9.3	2.89	1.35
13	Jarrod Parker	6.87	3.11	1.44
14	Stephen Strasburg	10.97	2.55	1.31
15	Josh Johnson	7.87	3.05	1.52
16	Johnny Cueto	6.73	2.24	1.7
17	Roy Halladay	8.03	1.73	1.51
18	Cliff Lee	8.99	1.37	1.29
19	Jered Weaver	7.13	2.15	0.76
20	Ryan Vogelsong	7.33	3.02	1.21
21	Doug Fister	6.96	1.84	1.7
22	Ian Kennedy	8.06	2.32	0.92
23	Matt Cain	7.68	2.27	0.96
24	Josh Beckett	7.46	2.62	1.08
25	C.J. Wilson	7.95	3.63	1.63
26	Vance Worley	7.51	3.1	1.35
27	Hiroki Kuroda	6.97	2.13	1.56
28	Gio Gonzalez	9.14	3.67	1.52
29	Jordan Zimmermann	7.01	1.9	1.16
30	Dan Haren	7.25	1.63	1.05
31	R.A. Dickey	7.82	2.18	1.43
32	Ervin Santana	6.85	2.98	1.15
33	Chris Carpenter	7.15	2.03	1.49
34	Felix Hernandez	8.62	2.33	1.68
35	Jon Lester	7.74	3.18	1.63
36	Daniel Hudson	6.99	2.12	1.06
37	Wandy Rodriguez	6.67	2.73	1.44
38	Yovani Gallardo	9	3.19	1.41
39	Shaun Marcum	7.51	2.77	0.86
40	Alexi Ogando	6.66	2.25	0.95
41	Freddy Garcia	6.75	2.95	1.02
42	Tommy Hanson	8.79	3.52	1
43	Erik Bedard	8.57	3.77	1.23
44	Ivan Nova	7.1	3.02	1.55
45	Brandon Beachy	9.2	3.07	0.87
46	Philip Humber	6.85	3.02	1.07
47	Javier Vazquez	7.59	2.34	0.74
48	Roy Oswalt	6.58	2.07	1.31
49	Marco Estrada	8.94	1.81	0.78
50	Michael Pineda	9.11	2.89	0.81

High Hopes For Dodgers In 2013

High Hopes For Dodgers In 2013

Los Angeles Dodgers fans had to go through the agony of watching their biggest rival, San Francisco, win their second World Series title in three seasons this October. With a stocked roster prepared for a full 2013 season together, fans are hoping that the script can be flipped around this time next year. Are the Dodgers fully prepared for a World Series run though?

As is the case with every baseball team, the Dodgers are only going to make a push in the NL West if they can remain healthy. The team started off great, but actually faltered after the big trade with the Dodgers. Injuries to franchise player Matt Kemp, as well as the pitching trio of Clayton Kershaw, Chad Billingsley and Ted Lilly, left the team too shorthanded to hold off the hot Giants.

Speculating is hard to do in November, especially when a team figures to be a somewhat major player in the free agent market. With Josh Hamilton, James Shields, Hiroki Kuroda and Zack Greinke all receiving a heavy dose of attention from the the front office, there is a chance that the Dodgers on paper could be even better come spring training, as well as being packed with fantasy baseball starters..

With so many bats in the lineup, the Dodgers seemed focused on getting that solid #2 or #3 starter who can be relied on. With Billingsley coming off an injury and Lilly aging, Shields or Greinke could be a dominant enough pitcher to rely on in a short playoff series. If the Dodgers can learn one thing from the Giants, it is that a team must have dependable pitching in the playoffs in order to win. The offense is going to be there for the Dodgers if they stay healthy, but pitching, outside of Kershaw, has not always been there.

Many look at the Dodgers and their fall out of contention after the trade deadline as some sort of failure with the Red Sox blockbuster trade. Carl Crawford, Adrian Gonzales, Nick Punto and Josh Beckett will all provide value for the Dodgers in 2013, and possibly beyond. If the team can complete a few of the speculated moves in the offseason, there will be no better team in the National League up and down the roster.

September 11th - Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Simulation Results

                   |    Wins      Losses            RS          RA
  Dodgers  +--------------------------------------------------------------------
                   |    55411    44589          540404    449187

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Mark Ellis	4.688	1.437	0.967	0.352	0.039	0.079	0.415	0.391	0.341	0.865	0.351
Shane Victorino	4.514	1.449	0.911	0.304	0.127	0.107	0.519	0.478	0.386	0.670	0.384
Adrian Gonzalez	4.468	1.581	0.985	0.424	0.011	0.162	0.824	0.318	0.392	0.750	0.417
Matt Kemp	4.368	1.483	0.931	0.338	0.062	0.151	0.750	0.344	0.362	1.034	0.404
Hanley Ramirez	4.273	1.393	0.861	0.337	0.052	0.143	0.757	0.312	0.351	0.919	0.390
Andre Ethier	4.103	1.341	0.846	0.352	0.017	0.126	0.721	0.241	0.432	0.859	0.393
Luis Cruz	4.183	1.279	0.838	0.353	0.013	0.075	0.558	0.223	0.212	0.763	0.344
A.J. Ellis	3.735	1.146	0.796	0.256	0.016	0.077	0.514	0.210	0.566	0.832	0.376
Pitchers Spot	4.051	0.626	0.498	0.108	0.007	0.013	0.227	0.134	0.161	1.803	0.174
Diamondbacks
Chris Young	4.288	1.195	0.647	0.407	0.029	0.111	0.413	0.317	0.423	1.034	0.351
Aaron Hill	4.242	1.280	0.750	0.354	0.041	0.136	0.517	0.275	0.334	0.696	0.368
Jason Kubel	4.117	1.119	0.688	0.218	0.036	0.176	0.558	0.232	0.399	1.443	0.349
Paul Goldschmidt	3.996	1.274	0.694	0.417	0.014	0.150	0.606	0.262	0.415	1.011	0.398
Justin Upton	3.893	1.257	0.843	0.272	0.032	0.111	0.559	0.265	0.417	0.972	0.386
Miguel Montero	3.754	1.073	0.763	0.200	0.025	0.085	0.498	0.207	0.443	1.153	0.347
Chris Johnson	3.848	1.218	0.763	0.319	0.038	0.098	0.571	0.195	0.243	1.013	0.368
John McDonald	3.728	1.052	0.689	0.277	0.039	0.048	0.456	0.184	0.247	0.733	0.325
Pitchers Spot	3.713	0.570	0.447	0.106	0.005	0.012	0.222	0.110	0.171	1.660	0.177

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Clayton Kershaw	5.959	6.884	1.818	6.730	0.634	99.2	3.187
Brandon League	0.465	0.450	0.170	0.515	0.024	7.7	3.028
Ronald Belisario	0.405	0.426	0.160	0.453	0.029	6.8	3.208
Randy Choate	0.600	0.689	0.277	0.666	0.060	10.4	3.582
Matt Guerrier	0.299	0.272	0.139	0.380	0.041	5.2	4.566
Shawn Tolleson	0.240	0.258	0.129	0.291	0.039	4.3	4.806
John Ely	0.536	0.491	0.263	0.686	0.077	9.5	4.704
Jamey Wright	0.261	0.245	0.136	0.316	0.023	4.6	4.016
Diamondbacks
Ian Kennedy	5.674	4.765	1.761	7.595	0.611	95.5	3.850
J.J. Putz	0.369	0.492	0.078	0.365	0.026	5.9	2.105
David Hernandez	0.372	0.563	0.141	0.344	0.026	6.3	2.219
Brad Ziegler	0.617	0.546	0.228	0.767	0.021	10.4	2.984
Matt Lindstrom	0.300	0.282	0.122	0.374	0.027	5.2	3.690
Matt Albers	0.193	0.188	0.094	0.249	0.027	3.4	4.542
Bryan Shaw	0.952	0.935	0.417	1.187	0.095	16.6	3.846
Mike Zagurski	0.679	0.722	0.362	0.854	0.099	12.3	4.564

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

September 9th - Dodgers vs Giants Simulation Results

                   |    Wins     Losses           RS          RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                   |   56520     43480        392851   316786

  Vegas Odds
     Money Line:   Dodgers -158/+148 (or Dodgers have a 60.47% chance of winning)
     Run Totals:     Over 7 +110,  Under 7 -130

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Mark Ellis	4.478	1.250	0.827	0.320	0.021	0.083	0.337	0.274	0.323	0.740	0.326
Shane Victorino	4.350	1.230	0.817	0.253	0.078	0.083	0.378	0.330	0.303	0.607	0.333
Adrian Gonzalez	4.336	1.289	0.897	0.250	0.006	0.135	0.586	0.191	0.268	0.841	0.344
Hanley Ramirez	4.159	1.249	0.764	0.304	0.026	0.155	0.603	0.217	0.343	0.810	0.367
Andre Ethier	4.100	1.121	0.792	0.211	0.008	0.110	0.497	0.169	0.303	0.992	0.322
Juan Rivera	4.023	1.086	0.722	0.240	0.005	0.118	0.469	0.160	0.256	0.698	0.320
Luis Cruz	3.972	1.114	0.710	0.318	0.007	0.079	0.410	0.171	0.196	0.655	0.321
A.J. Ellis	3.597	1.001	0.699	0.217	0.008	0.077	0.401	0.152	0.470	0.757	0.344
Pitchers Spot	3.836	0.559	0.441	0.101	0.004	0.013	0.179	0.101	0.143	1.548	0.165
Giants
Angel Pagan	4.226	1.184	0.774	0.280	0.076	0.054	0.260	0.330	0.282	0.856	0.326
Marco Scutaro	4.132	1.209	0.876	0.263	0.020	0.050	0.347	0.242	0.238	0.497	0.324
Pablo Sandoval	4.068	1.167	0.742	0.308	0.029	0.088	0.432	0.196	0.256	0.816	0.336
Buster Posey	3.840	1.149	0.756	0.287	0.003	0.103	0.478	0.173	0.391	0.814	0.360
Hunter Pence	3.848	1.034	0.689	0.223	0.016	0.106	0.459	0.158	0.285	1.013	0.322
Brandon Belt	3.708	0.866	0.607	0.169	0.025	0.066	0.366	0.124	0.305	1.157	0.284
Gregor Blanco	3.603	0.825	0.617	0.115	0.027	0.066	0.322	0.138	0.295	1.224	0.277
Brandon Crawford	3.575	0.812	0.588	0.155	0.032	0.037	0.290	0.135	0.205	0.971	0.262
Pitchers Spot	3.554	0.457	0.359	0.085	0.003	0.010	0.145	0.093	0.131	1.674	0.149

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Clayton Kershaw	6.61	6.934	1.526	6.38	0.442	102.8	2.664
Brandon League	0.51	0.432	0.159	0.50	0.017	8.0	2.876
Ronald Belisario	0.41	0.368	0.137	0.40	0.019	6.5	3.001
Randy Choate	0.55	0.564	0.197	0.53	0.035	8.9	3.054
Javy Guerra	0.24	0.198	0.103	0.24	0.011	3.9	3.457
Matt Guerrier	0.18	0.138	0.069	0.19	0.016	2.9	4.004
Shawn Tolleson	0.31	0.290	0.143	0.33	0.033	5.2	4.117
Jamey Wright	0.12	0.099	0.053	0.13	0.007	2.0	3.572
Giants
Barry Zito	6.16	4.405	1.702	6.91	0.595	97.0	3.856
Sergio Romo	0.41	0.513	0.084	0.34	0.033	6.3	2.362
Javier Lopez	0.41	0.363	0.137	0.41	0.020	6.5	3.066
Santiago Casilla	0.61	0.633	0.192	0.59	0.061	9.7	3.365
Jeremy Affeldt	0.27	0.257	0.087	0.25	0.012	4.2	2.845
Jose Mijares	0.15	0.150	0.052	0.14	0.011	2.4	3.152
Guillermo Mota	0.74	0.748	0.231	0.73	0.075	11.8	3.434
George Kontos	0.55	0.578	0.119	0.53	0.045	8.5	2.818

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

September 8th - Dodgers vs Giants Simulation Results

                   |      Wins      Losses           RS        RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------
                   |     47860      52140        354815  350533

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Mark Ellis	4.454	1.136	0.782	0.258	0.023	0.072	0.264	0.234	0.211	1.006	0.290
Shane Victorino	4.293	1.157	0.774	0.229	0.071	0.082	0.314	0.308	0.241	0.755	0.315
Adrian Gonzalez	4.259	1.274	0.813	0.306	0.006	0.149	0.571	0.181	0.242	0.858	0.352
Matt Kemp	4.150	1.170	0.753	0.244	0.032	0.141	0.519	0.207	0.231	1.192	0.336
Hanley Ramirez	4.053	1.109	0.703	0.243	0.027	0.136	0.513	0.192	0.226	1.055	0.328
Andre Ethier	3.925	1.066	0.685	0.255	0.009	0.118	0.479	0.136	0.267	0.990	0.326
Luis Cruz	3.916	1.009	0.673	0.260	0.006	0.070	0.370	0.131	0.132	0.865	0.289
A.J. Ellis	3.576	0.911	0.645	0.187	0.008	0.072	0.335	0.120	0.372	0.971	0.312
Pitchers Spot	3.761	0.420	0.336	0.069	0.003	0.012	0.125	0.070	0.095	2.033	0.126
Giants
Angel Pagan	4.230	1.214	0.783	0.283	0.079	0.069	0.287	0.340	0.291	0.765	0.337
Marco Scutaro	4.135	1.230	0.884	0.263	0.020	0.063	0.379	0.244	0.248	0.445	0.332
Pablo Sandoval	4.072	1.199	0.750	0.308	0.030	0.112	0.480	0.204	0.264	0.727	0.349
Buster Posey	3.837	1.185	0.766	0.289	0.003	0.128	0.530	0.180	0.404	0.730	0.375
Hunter Pence	3.848	1.074	0.704	0.224	0.015	0.130	0.510	0.166	0.295	0.913	0.338
Brandon Belt	3.708	0.916	0.630	0.177	0.026	0.083	0.405	0.135	0.317	1.027	0.302
Gregor Blanco	3.604	0.870	0.640	0.118	0.030	0.081	0.360	0.147	0.311	1.097	0.294
Brandon Crawford	3.579	0.843	0.603	0.160	0.034	0.045	0.323	0.143	0.215	0.858	0.274
Pitchers Spot	3.560	0.495	0.390	0.088	0.004	0.013	0.160	0.098	0.137	1.505	0.160

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Chris Capuano	6.387	5.854	1.559	6.601	0.572	99.807	3.263
Brandon League	0.461	0.391	0.142	0.447	0.016	7.207	2.893
Ronald Belisario	0.404	0.369	0.138	0.399	0.020	6.458	3.052
Randy Choate	0.573	0.588	0.203	0.547	0.037	9.234	3.053
Javy Guerra	0.246	0.208	0.107	0.248	0.012	4.032	3.428
Matt Guerrier	0.184	0.144	0.072	0.201	0.017	3.011	3.978
Shawn Tolleson	0.386	0.368	0.180	0.396	0.040	6.493	4.048
Jamey Wright	0.178	0.145	0.081	0.187	0.010	2.950	3.662
Giants
Matt Cain	6.572	6.774	1.157	6.628	0.623	101.100	2.898
Sergio Romo	0.452	0.639	0.082	0.359	0.034	6.929	1.902
Javier Lopez	0.419	0.392	0.140	0.419	0.020	6.708	2.969
Santiago Casilla	0.601	0.643	0.192	0.602	0.063	9.715	3.391
Jeremy Affeldt	0.255	0.250	0.098	0.243	0.013	4.132	3.038
Jose Mijares	0.141	0.145	0.058	0.141	0.011	2.335	3.373
Guillermo Mota	0.543	0.553	0.207	0.553	0.060	8.934	3.747
George Kontos	0.311	0.330	0.084	0.308	0.028	4.928	3.063

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

9/7 - Dodgers vs Giants Top 50 Most Likely Final Scores

Today's Simulation Results

Rank	LAN	SF	Occur/100K		Rank	LAN	SF	Occur/100K
1	2	3	4669		26	3	6	1220
2	1	2	3920		27	0	4	1209
3	3	4	3854		28	5	1	1208
4	3	2	3028		29	2	6	1185
5	4	5	2734		30	6	3	1176
6	2	1	2608		31	6	2	1138
7	4	3	2606		32	3	0	1123
8	1	3	2432		33	6	5	1122
9	2	4	2323		34	6	4	1065
10	4	2	2210		35	4	6	1053
11	3	1	2143		36	1	6	1022
12	0	1	2017		37	0	5	916
13	1	4	1953		38	6	7	893
14	2	5	1777		39	4	0	881
15	5	6	1738		40	6	1	875
16	5	4	1732		41	7	3	819
17	5	3	1731		42	7	2	797
18	4	1	1676		43	2	7	795
19	3	5	1640		44	3	7	795
20	0	2	1629		45	1	7	752
21	5	2	1594		46	4	7	738
22	0	3	1531		47	5	0	717
23	1	5	1365		48	7	4	705
24	2	0	1349		49	7	1	666
25	1	0	1320		50	0	6	638

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

September 7th - Dodgers vs Giants Simulation Results

                   |    Wins     Losses           RS         RA
  Dodgers  +------------------------------------------------------------------
                   |   44864    55136        385623    410117

  Vegas Results:
      Money Line:  Giants -114/+109  (Giants have a 52.72% win expectancy)
      Run Totals:    Over 7 -105, Under 7 -105

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Mark Ellis	4.451	1.154	0.795	0.264	0.022	0.073	0.291	0.254	0.313	1.081	0.303
Shane Victorino	4.272	1.170	0.784	0.232	0.072	0.083	0.345	0.329	0.359	0.820	0.329
Adrian Gonzalez	4.238	1.291	0.818	0.312	0.006	0.155	0.616	0.198	0.355	0.924	0.368
Matt Kemp	4.138	1.170	0.753	0.244	0.031	0.142	0.551	0.219	0.330	1.278	0.345
Hanley Ramirez	4.045	1.119	0.710	0.244	0.027	0.138	0.558	0.206	0.320	1.131	0.340
Andre Ethier	3.890	1.067	0.685	0.253	0.009	0.121	0.519	0.148	0.388	1.064	0.341
Luis Cruz	3.941	1.026	0.685	0.263	0.007	0.071	0.406	0.142	0.193	0.927	0.298
A.J. Ellis	3.517	0.899	0.634	0.184	0.008	0.072	0.364	0.136	0.521	1.032	0.329
Pitchers Spot	3.808	0.414	0.331	0.067	0.003	0.012	0.137	0.077	0.142	2.171	0.130
Dodgers
Angel Pagan	4.310	1.323	0.868	0.311	0.088	0.057	0.346	0.399	0.339	0.643	0.357
Marco Scutaro	4.250	1.308	0.982	0.251	0.023	0.052	0.423	0.286	0.242	0.412	0.336
Pablo Sandoval	4.150	1.303	0.835	0.341	0.034	0.093	0.516	0.245	0.303	0.623	0.366
Buster Posey	3.944	1.261	0.866	0.281	0.004	0.110	0.558	0.220	0.394	0.689	0.376
Hunter Pence	3.954	1.146	0.794	0.220	0.020	0.112	0.530	0.223	0.287	0.862	0.341
Brandon Belt	3.728	1.076	0.683	0.271	0.034	0.088	0.506	0.204	0.422	0.721	0.356
Gregor Blanco	3.631	1.038	0.727	0.183	0.040	0.088	0.474	0.208	0.412	0.770	0.349
Brandon Crawford	3.647	0.984	0.648	0.241	0.046	0.050	0.443	0.190	0.285	0.608	0.319
Pitchers Spot	3.676	0.556	0.450	0.092	0.005	0.010	0.208	0.120	0.136	1.440	0.169

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Josh Beckett	6.070	4.302	1.783	7.211	0.488	97.389	3.710
Brandon League	0.432	0.373	0.134	0.440	0.015	6.832	2.842
Ronald Belisario	0.400	0.375	0.138	0.413	0.020	6.471	2.999
Randy Choate	0.598	0.630	0.215	0.584	0.038	9.721	2.988
Javy Guerra	0.274	0.236	0.124	0.290	0.013	4.571	3.475
Matt Guerrier	0.218	0.173	0.086	0.247	0.019	3.605	3.958
Shawn Tolleson	0.490	0.469	0.226	0.530	0.052	8.319	4.059
Jamey Wright	0.253	0.210	0.114	0.282	0.014	4.251	3.608
Dodgers
Tim Lincecum	6.167	7.066	1.929	6.189	0.599	100.277	3.109
Sergio Romo	0.444	0.632	0.079	0.367	0.034	6.857	1.898
Javier Lopez	0.394	0.377	0.131	0.410	0.019	6.366	2.894
Santiago Casilla	0.624	0.675	0.203	0.650	0.066	10.196	3.386
Jeremy Affeldt	0.269	0.265	0.105	0.274	0.014	4.422	3.070
Jose Mijares	0.159	0.162	0.065	0.165	0.013	2.646	3.419
Guillermo Mota	0.713	0.737	0.276	0.761	0.079	11.876	3.737
George Kontos	0.479	0.514	0.131	0.493	0.044	7.675	3.067

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

September 5th - Padres vs Dodgers Simulation Results

                   |     Wins     Losses           RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------------
                   |    57896    42104        439771   384189

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Will Venable	4.409	1.275	0.820	0.287	0.036	0.133	0.419	0.379	0.394	0.903	0.352
Everth Cabrera	4.331	1.163	0.803	0.300	0.020	0.040	0.392	0.280	0.313	0.946	0.308
Chase Headley	4.158	1.214	0.808	0.277	0.007	0.122	0.560	0.226	0.429	0.981	0.355
Carlos Quentin	4.142	1.031	0.635	0.238	0.002	0.157	0.576	0.186	0.323	0.805	0.315
Yasmal Grandal	4.076	1.101	0.805	0.258	0.006	0.031	0.352	0.198	0.296	0.768	0.304
Yonder Alonso	3.916	1.175	0.748	0.331	0.003	0.094	0.454	0.181	0.357	0.645	0.357
Cameron Maybin	3.891	1.039	0.739	0.222	0.019	0.059	0.366	0.194	0.254	0.840	0.306
Alexi Amarista	3.779	1.044	0.698	0.254	0.021	0.071	0.458	0.176	0.285	0.643	0.325
Pitchers Spot	3.812	0.544	0.441	0.089	0.002	0.011	0.204	0.100	0.135	1.590	0.160
Dodgers
Mark Ellis	4.321	1.259	0.869	0.301	0.018	0.071	0.328	0.303	0.362	0.652	0.338
Shane Victorino	4.178	1.257	0.840	0.266	0.052	0.098	0.417	0.365	0.363	0.530	0.357
Adrian Gonzalez	4.178	1.326	0.922	0.266	0.006	0.133	0.627	0.235	0.313	0.745	0.368
Matt Kemp	4.007	1.336	0.832	0.318	0.028	0.158	0.667	0.278	0.378	0.763	0.403
Hanley Ramirez	3.908	1.245	0.788	0.310	0.023	0.124	0.641	0.251	0.372	0.672	0.383
Andre Ethier	3.834	1.088	0.773	0.210	0.007	0.098	0.532	0.176	0.332	0.865	0.335
Luis Cruz	3.813	1.121	0.705	0.331	0.007	0.077	0.485	0.186	0.237	0.600	0.340
A.J. Ellis	3.571	1.042	0.733	0.235	0.008	0.066	0.438	0.153	0.378	0.699	0.345
Pitchers Spot	3.690	0.594	0.470	0.109	0.003	0.012	0.190	0.112	0.167	1.361	0.183

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Clayton Richard	5.853	4.089	1.856	7.224	0.584	95.394	4.050
Luke Gregerson	0.425	0.467	0.099	0.409	0.030	6.646	2.630
Dale Thayer	0.414	0.341	0.084	0.464	0.030	6.435	3.087
Brad Brach	0.587	0.671	0.255	0.596	0.066	9.933	3.673
Tom Layne	0.283	0.265	0.121	0.309	0.029	4.749	3.925
Cory Burns	0.227	0.208	0.111	0.250	0.020	3.887	3.984
Joe Thatcher	0.597	0.569	0.246	0.638	0.044	9.945	3.496
Nick Vincent	0.323	0.276	0.129	0.379	0.036	5.418	4.153
Dodgers
Aaron Harang	6.237	4.979	1.801	6.794	0.542	98.815	3.599
Brandon League	0.432	0.393	0.124	0.408	0.016	6.718	2.737
Ronald Belisario	0.380	0.416	0.114	0.341	0.019	5.990	2.567
Randy Choate	0.605	0.728	0.191	0.513	0.037	9.596	2.543
Javy Guerra	0.249	0.261	0.091	0.226	0.011	3.999	2.750
Matt Guerrier	0.151	0.142	0.045	0.149	0.010	2.385	3.071
Shawn Tolleson	0.713	0.716	0.236	0.697	0.058	11.432	3.244
Jamey Wright	0.482	0.487	0.187	0.458	0.023	7.831	2.973

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

September 4th - Padres vs Dodgers Simulation Results

                   |    Wins      Losses            RS          RA
  Dodgers  +----------------------------------------------------------
                   |    69489     30511        453637     297944

  Vegas Odds:
          Money Line: Dodgers -235/+225 (or Dodgers have a 69.7% chance of winning)
          Run Total:  Over 6-1/2 -110, Under 6-1/2 +100 (or 6.7 runs being scored)

  Starting Pitchers: Eric Stults vs Clayton Kershaw

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Chris Denorfia	4.319	1.130	0.761	0.264	0.014	0.091	0.309	0.239	0.287	1.051	0.308
Logan Forsythe	4.222	1.073	0.744	0.263	0.015	0.050	0.295	0.200	0.246	0.979	0.290
Chase Headley	4.060	1.049	0.698	0.240	0.005	0.106	0.394	0.175	0.358	1.298	0.317
Carlos Quentin	4.005	0.945	0.562	0.246	0.002	0.136	0.466	0.154	0.311	0.948	0.302
Yasmal Grandal	3.966	0.990	0.716	0.241	0.006	0.028	0.299	0.150	0.247	1.002	0.281
Jesus Guzman	3.836	1.005	0.646	0.257	0.007	0.095	0.379	0.145	0.263	1.047	0.314
Cameron Maybin	3.743	0.943	0.652	0.223	0.015	0.052	0.311	0.159	0.244	0.990	0.292
Everth Cabrera	3.547	0.862	0.601	0.207	0.010	0.044	0.331	0.137	0.329	1.041	0.293
Pitchers Spot	3.661	0.443	0.349	0.083	0.001	0.010	0.152	0.073	0.127	1.864	0.140
Dodgers
Mark Ellis	4.276	1.263	0.872	0.298	0.017	0.076	0.336	0.308	0.367	0.617	0.343
Shane Victorino	4.137	1.256	0.838	0.262	0.053	0.104	0.431	0.370	0.369	0.502	0.361
Adrian Gonzalez	4.137	1.339	0.929	0.265	0.006	0.140	0.645	0.242	0.315	0.709	0.376
Matt Kemp	3.969	1.344	0.832	0.317	0.027	0.167	0.691	0.284	0.380	0.731	0.410
Hanley Ramirez	3.866	1.249	0.785	0.310	0.023	0.131	0.659	0.253	0.379	0.646	0.390
Andre Ethier	3.799	1.104	0.784	0.210	0.007	0.103	0.552	0.183	0.334	0.819	0.343
Luis Cruz	3.780	1.127	0.702	0.336	0.007	0.082	0.501	0.187	0.237	0.571	0.346
A.J. Ellis	3.534	1.045	0.733	0.234	0.007	0.070	0.446	0.154	0.383	0.668	0.351
Pitchers Spot	3.654	0.600	0.472	0.111	0.003	0.014	0.198	0.115	0.164	1.310	0.186

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Eric Stults	5.653	3.712	1.970	7.178	0.625	93.315	4.370
Luke Gregerson	0.346	0.351	0.087	0.352	0.027	5.462	2.956
Dale Thayer	0.396	0.311	0.090	0.459	0.030	6.226	3.300
Brad Brach	0.582	0.667	0.247	0.590	0.063	9.819	3.590
Tom Layne	0.295	0.292	0.091	0.318	0.028	4.789	3.378
Cory Burns	0.236	0.228	0.088	0.256	0.019	3.907	3.438
Joe Thatcher	0.658	0.645	0.231	0.706	0.049	10.799	3.256
Nick Vincent	0.408	0.367	0.124	0.469	0.044	6.641	3.709
Dodgers
Clayton Kershaw	6.728	7.631	1.542	6.130	0.464	104.339	2.515
Brandon League	0.461	0.436	0.125	0.416	0.018	7.089	2.617
Ronald Belisario	0.372	0.407	0.112	0.326	0.020	5.841	2.605
Randy Choate	0.568	0.641	0.201	0.512	0.040	9.149	2.911
Javy Guerra	0.237	0.245	0.094	0.215	0.010	3.840	2.894
Matt Guerrier	0.141	0.127	0.052	0.139	0.009	2.266	3.368
Shawn Tolleson	0.498	0.490	0.190	0.484	0.041	8.086	3.442
Jamey Wright	0.239	0.243	0.097	0.221	0.011	3.881	2.978

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

September 3rd - Padres vs Dodgers Simulation Results

                   |     Wins     Losses           RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------------------
                   |    63964     36036       454244    348511


Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Will Venable	4.375	1.225	0.794	0.280	0.037	0.114	0.372	0.354	0.348	0.970	0.337
Everth Cabrera	4.288	1.113	0.769	0.290	0.019	0.034	0.356	0.262	0.283	1.020	0.296
Chase Headley	4.129	1.156	0.775	0.267	0.006	0.108	0.507	0.211	0.383	1.063	0.338
Carlos Quentin	4.101	0.990	0.619	0.234	0.002	0.135	0.514	0.177	0.292	0.861	0.301
Yasmal Grandal	4.042	1.077	0.784	0.259	0.006	0.028	0.328	0.187	0.264	0.823	0.297
Yonder Alonso	3.887	1.142	0.737	0.320	0.003	0.083	0.417	0.166	0.320	0.688	0.346
Cameron Maybin	3.843	0.998	0.716	0.213	0.018	0.050	0.334	0.181	0.232	0.898	0.295
Alexi Amarista	3.725	1.007	0.675	0.249	0.021	0.063	0.422	0.162	0.262	0.680	0.316
Pitchers Spot	3.753	0.500	0.405	0.083	0.002	0.010	0.181	0.089	0.118	1.692	0.149
Dodgers
Mark Ellis	4.296	1.267	0.870	0.301	0.018	0.078	0.341	0.312	0.372	0.623	0.344
Shane Victorino	4.159	1.260	0.841	0.264	0.053	0.102	0.426	0.372	0.369	0.504	0.360
Adrian Gonzalez	4.160	1.340	0.928	0.266	0.005	0.141	0.650	0.242	0.316	0.713	0.374
Matt Kemp	3.987	1.347	0.836	0.316	0.027	0.168	0.690	0.283	0.384	0.735	0.410
Hanley Ramirez	3.890	1.256	0.791	0.313	0.022	0.131	0.667	0.253	0.377	0.648	0.389
Andre Ethier	3.818	1.107	0.787	0.212	0.007	0.100	0.547	0.178	0.336	0.831	0.342
Luis Cruz	3.804	1.127	0.701	0.334	0.007	0.085	0.507	0.187	0.237	0.574	0.345
A.J. Ellis	3.559	1.046	0.735	0.232	0.007	0.072	0.445	0.156	0.381	0.678	0.349
Pitchers Spot	3.675	0.601	0.474	0.110	0.003	0.013	0.194	0.115	0.167	1.314	0.186

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Andrew Werner	5.676	3.733	1.970	7.173	0.629	93.547	4.366
Luke Gregerson	0.382	0.386	0.097	0.385	0.029	6.009	2.919
Dale Thayer	0.402	0.316	0.091	0.465	0.032	6.321	3.327
Brad Brach	0.581	0.667	0.250	0.590	0.064	9.827	3.634
Tom Layne	0.298	0.291	0.089	0.319	0.027	4.806	3.326
Cory Burns	0.235	0.227	0.088	0.252	0.019	3.879	3.466
Joe Thatcher	0.655	0.636	0.230	0.699	0.046	10.726	3.231
Nick Vincent	0.405	0.365	0.124	0.468	0.045	6.604	3.746
Dodgers
Joe Blanton	6.550	5.905	1.560	6.715	0.468	101.816	3.041
Brandon League	0.447	0.423	0.122	0.415	0.017	6.917	2.625
Ronald Belisario	0.371	0.406	0.113	0.332	0.020	5.857	2.616
Randy Choate	0.588	0.706	0.190	0.498	0.036	9.341	2.555
Javy Guerra	0.239	0.245	0.095	0.222	0.011	3.889	2.933
Matt Guerrier	0.146	0.130	0.053	0.146	0.010	2.347	3.360
Shawn Tolleson	0.576	0.561	0.232	0.570	0.049	9.446	3.560
Jamey Wright	0.322	0.319	0.138	0.310	0.015	5.303	3.120

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard