Showing posts with label Adam Wainwright. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Adam Wainwright. Show all posts

Friday, October 10, 2014

Giants vs Cardinals - NLCS Game 1 Simulation Results


AwayHomeAway PitcherHome PitcherFavoriteAway RSHome RSWin %Total Runs
GiantsCardinalsMadison BumgarnerAdam WainwrightCardinals3.233.3153.976.54

                                        Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankGiantsCardinalsOccurences                   RankGiantsCardinalsOccurences
1125198451075049
2235032052754734
3343724653474615
4213558754704435
5323454155824376
6013227156184193
7132921557764147
8312549358284038
9432518459814010
10022377660833931
11102360961573809
12242346662383513
13452270463843331
14422199064083204
15142159965802960
16202112966922800
17032018467482727
18411793168852682
19301646569782668
20041586570932550
21531563071192523
22251562972912518
23541531773292498
24151500774862225
25521492275582223
26351487276392169
27511301477942044
28401278578092016
29561240079901902
30051119680871814
316210140811021755
32261012682681728
3316996383491639
34639545841011635
3550920785951633
36369180862101542
37649084871101521
38618977881031498
39658413891041292
40467885903101269
4106776291591249
4217655792961221
43606550931001151
44726505940101148
4527629795891096
46736227961121046
47716142974101022
4867592498113988
493754689969985
50745384100105961
.
Note: Based off of 1 millions games simulated.
.

Friday, October 03, 2014

Cardinals vs Dodgers - NLDS Game 1 Simulation Results


AwayHomeAway PitcherHome PitcherFavoriteAway RSHome RSWin %Total Runs
CardinalsDodgersAdam WainwrightClayton KershawDodgers1.973.2769.7135.24


                                   Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankCardinalsDodgersOccurencesRankCardinalsDodgersOccurences
1013671151601531
2123655552471526
30227147530101353
4232624754721344
5032257855711331
6131991456381306
7211933357671306
8041689158731275
9101622559291201
103414714601101091
11141471161741071
1232136766257957
1305123086375903
14241169164011900
1520109946570897
1631107886648863
171596916739828
1806850268210769
194379796976744
202579007082740
214277917181722
224572347283709
2330666473111650
241666127484576
254165197558542
263555157649541
2707538177310517
282649767885507
2953423779211491
3040418580012457
315241538178454
321740748280430
335438258392409
3451381384112396
353637248591366
360834948686360
372731978793352
3856319488311349
391826868968336
4050248990410322
416224239159302
424624199287301
4363234493212293
446122679494293
4509215695013285
463721319690264
472820219795241
4864201698102224
496518199969218
50191718100411212

Note: Based off of 500,000 games simulated.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game 5 Simulation Results




                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankRed SoxCardinalsOccurrencesRankRed SoxCardinalsOccurrences
11246055173565
22345165271558
33434435360552
42132145418502
53231805557495
60128735675485
71328205738453
84324225876424
93123625908418
102423596029396
111422556170377
120222396283375
134522336382374
141021426419367
154221176548351
160319866681348
172017936739343
184117716858316
192517486984308
200416727009304
211516597185277
223515587278276
235415337349256
243015127492254
255214817580249
2653147176110231
275112537786228
2826124978210225
295612167968225
300511888093216
314011678191211
3216115082010204
3336113283310198
346310038487198
35629588594193
36469188659165
37179128795164
386485788410162
39068548990159
406584490103149
41508289169144
422781492211143
436179293101141
443770494111137
45476369596135
46076069689128
477459797102127
48675959897123
497257899011118
5028571100311113

Saturday, October 12, 2013

Cardinals vs Dodgers - NLCS Game #3 Simulation Results




                                     Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankCardinalsDodgersOccurrencesRankCardinalsDodgersOccurrences
11255885117409
22348375227402
32143495383386
40141085437375
53236165567366
63132975675365
71032645747356
83432235892321
92030415990320
101326546091319
114225916184304
123025216257286
130225116307285
144324646476261
154123796528253
164020256693251
172420156785248
180318306818227
194518236938220
2051179070101217
2114174671100192
2252168472102184
235315717394174
245014237408169
255414197548162
262512737686160
276112137778158
280412097829156
293511807919151
3015114980103137
3162114281111132
32609988287131
33639788358126
34569578495119
35648138539117
360579486104117
377178887112115
387276988110110
393673189113107
40167259049102
41266729168101
4270670920994
43656339310591
4473606949690
45466059531080
46815579621078
47065369712073
4874497989768
49824629910668
508045110012268

Tuesday, October 08, 2013

Pirates vs Cardinals - Simulation Results NLDS Game #5



Note: Vegas gives the Cardinals a 59.92% chance of winning this game.

                                        Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankPiratesCardinalsOccurrences RankPiratesCardinalsOccurrences
1125273 5119476
2234980 5272472
3013661 5338468
4343519 5429463
5133323 5573436
6213175 5671432
7022921 5774409
8322827 5809406
9242639 5960393
10032554 6075377
11142499 6157372
12312140 62110339
13452120 6348338
14102104 6476329
15432073 6539309
16041963 6658299
17251832 67010298
18421832 6882292
19151790 69210291
20201725 7083288
21351578 7170276
22411558 7284275
23051493 7349255
24301326 7481247
25161303 7578242
26521245 76310238
27531213 77211209
28361197 7885201
29261196 7980196
30561195 80011190
31541165 81111189
32061116 8292178
33511015 8359171
3440965 8491170
3517954 8586165
3646857 8693164
3707840 8794160
3827836 88311157
3963813 8968154
4062799 9087154
4137708 91410150
4218695 92212137
4364681 93112125
4465644 9469122
4508630 95012120
4650620 9695116
4761613 9796116
4847609 9889110
4928605 99411103
5067536 100312100

Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Pirates vs Cardinals - NLDS Game #1 Simulation Results




                                   Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankPiratesCardinalsOccurences RankPiratesCardinalsOccurences
11252649 51675527
22347906 52735424
30137457 53085095
43433903 54714922
52132679 55744799
61330363 56384423
73229342 57194167
80228071 58574084
93124166 59754050
102424081 60293807
111023254 61093500
121423062 62763332
130322645 63703316
144320981 64483282
154520902 65823236
162020575 66833167
174220300 67393110
184118290 68812808
192517475 691102796
200417174 70842779
213016573 71582717
221516030 722102635
235214580 73782453
243514433 74852304
255313522 75492265
265412894 760102221
270512891 773102161
285112595 78801946
294012447 791111847
301611584 80921815
315611376 81931815
322610890 82681787
333610689 83861776
34069884 842111722
35628976 85911614
36508831 86941566
37638708 870111545
38178440 884101518
39618147 89871477
40468063 90591457
41278010 913111334
42647829 92951279
43077041 93691168
44656813 94901132
45376379 951121093
46186002 96891063
47605662 97961055
48725659 982121054
49285648 994111017
50475593 100012981

Sunday, August 04, 2013

Dodgers vs Cardinals - Simulation Results 8/5



TOP 50 MOST LIKELY FINAL SCORES


RankDodgersCardinalsOccurrences RankDodgersCardinalsOccurrences
11249333 261613256
22348668 272612369
33435931 283012307
42134204 295612292
53232016 305211932
60130782 310610877
71330710 323610267
80225196 33519674
92424710 34179552
101423598 35278869
114323422 36408831
120322981 37468796
133122731 38648099
144522269 39638085
151021856 40657839
164219962 41077783
170419330 42627629
181518491 43377200
192018053 44616503
202517315 45186489
213515851 46676290
220514637 47286284
234114427 48506252
245414230 49475579
255313556 50085561



Tuesday, July 24, 2012

July 24th Simulation Results



2012 MLB Simulations
VisitorsHomeProbable Pitching MatchupFavoriteVegas Win ProbSimulator Win ProbML Bets
BOSTEXClay Buchholz vs Martin PerezTEX56.04%59.57%- - -
DETCLEDoug Fister vs Ubaldo JimenezDET53.60%57.74%- - -
KCLAAWil Smith vs Garrett RichardsLAA61.83%58.58%- - -
MINCHACole DeVries vs Jose QuintanaCHA61.83%58.19%- - -
CHNPITPaul Maholm vs James McDonaldPIT60.40%57.58%- - -
MILPHIZach Greinke vs Cliff LeePHI55.85%58.02%- - -
TBBALJeremy Hellickson vs Wei-Yin ChenBAL54.65%58.25%- - -
OAKTORTravis Blackley vs Brett CecilTOR55.85%50.37%- - -
ATLFLATim Hudson vs Mark BuehrleFLA50.74%53.26%- - -
WASNYNGio Gonzalez vs R.A. DickeyNYN51.57%55.23%- - -
CINHOUMike Leake vs Lucas HarrellCIN57.17%55.61%- - -
LANSTLClayton Kershaw vs Adam WainwrightSTL55.06%59.30%- - -
COLARIEdwar Cabrera vs Joe SaundersARI60.40%56.85%- - -
NYASEAFreddy Garcia vs Jason VargasSEA53.05%45.05%NYA, 2.5u
SDSFEdinson Volquez vs Madison BumgarnerSF62.19%64.08%- - -

Previous Day: NA
Current ML ROI: 2.45%
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