Tuesday, April 09, 2013

Dodgers vs Padres - April 9th Simulation Results


Here are the simulation results for the April 9th game between the Dodgers and the Padres

Dodgers vs Padres
Josh Beckett vs Clayton Richards

Record: 4-2 (0.667)
RS: 17
RA: 10
Pythag Win%: 0.725
Pythag Pace: 117.5 - 44.5
Pythag Record: 4.35 - 1.65
Record As Favorites: 4-2
Record As Underdogs: 0-0

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 49.52%
Dodgers on average score 3.315 runs
Padres on average score 3.104 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.419

Starting Pitching Lines:
Josh Beckett - 6.4ip, 6.4so, 2.1bb, 5.4hits, 0.58hrs, 100pitches, 3.395fip
Clayton Richard - 6.4ip, 4.7so, 1.8bb, 6.3hits, 0.58hrs, 98pitches, 3.718fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 57.89%
Over/Under: 6.5 -112o +102u

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Padres 2-1
2. Padres 3-2
3. Dodgers 2-1
4. Padres 4-3
5. Dodgers 3-2
6. Padres 1-0
7. Dodgers 3-1
8. Padres 3-1
9. Dodgers 4-3
10. Dodgers 4-2
11. Dodgers 1-0
12. Padres 4-2
13. Padres 2-0
14. Padres 5-4
15. Dodgers 2-0
16. Dodgers 4-1
17. Padres 4-1
18. Dodgers 3-0
19. Padres 3-0
20. Dodgers 5-2
.
.
99. Dodgers 11-4

Dodgers Box Score (Click Image To Enlarge)



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