Pocket Aces

July 20th, Simulations...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Actual
Giants	Dodgers	T.Lincecum vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	53.70%	54.67%	SF 7-5
Rockies	Marlins	J.Francis vs N.Robertson	Rockies	52.15%	47.86%	COL 10-0
Padres	Braves	W.LeBlanc vs J.Jurrjens	Braves	63.24%	62.26%	ATL 4-1
Mets	DBacks	R.Dickey vs B.Enright	Mets	53.92%	59.24%	ARI 3-2
Brewers	Pirates	D.Bush vs B.Lincoln	Brewers	53.92%	55.27%	PIT 11-9
Nationals	Reds	L.Atilano vs M.Leake	Reds	61.98%	56.61%	CIN 8-7
Astros	Cubs	W.Wright vs R.Dempster	Cubs	69.14%	69.49%	CHN 14-7
Phillies	Cardinals	J.Moyer vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	62.96%	61.43%	STL 7-1
Rays	Orioles	M.Garza vs J.Arrieta	Rays	65.03%	54.36%	BAL 11-10
Rangers	Tigers	T.Hunter vs A.Galarraga	Rangers	53.49%	50.42%	TEX 8-0
Angels	Yankees	S.Kazmir vs P.Hughes	Yankees	70.06%	72.38%	LAA 10-2
Indians	Twins	J.Masterson vs K.Slowey	Twins	63.24%	59.40%	CLE 4-3
Blue Jays	Royals	J.Litsch vs A.Larew	Blue Jays	50.98%	54.11%	TOR 13-1
Red Sox	A's	T.Wakefield vs D.Braden	A's	52.83%	59.82%	OAK 5-4
White Sox	Mariners	J.Danks vs D.Fister	White Sox	53.92%	53.23%	CHA 4-0

Current ROI: 3.06%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West

Rank	Team	7/20	7/19	7/18	7/17	7/16	7/15
1	Padres	44.09%	42.52%	37.12%	33.01%	29.36%	28.48%
2	Dodgers	23.84%	27.36%	31.34%	35.52%	39.18%	43.33%
3	Giants	19.94%	16.28%	19.88%	17.02%	14.71%	12.35%
4	Rockies	12.13%	13.84%	11.66%	14.44%	16.75%	15.84%

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