July 27th, Simulations...
| Visitors | Home | Probable Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob | Actual |
| Dodgers | Padres | C.Billingsley vs J.Garland | Padres | 52.61% | 46.77% | LAN 2-0 |
| DBacks | Phillies | R.Lopez vs C.Hamels | Phillies | 68.75% | 70.89% | PHI 9-5 |
| Cardinals | Mets | J.Garcia vs J.Niese | Cardinals | 57.98% | 51.32% | NYN 8-2 |
| Cubs | Astros | T.Lilly vs B.Myers | Cubs | 50.98% | 44.48% | HOU 6-1 |
| Reds | Brewers | E.Volquez vs Y.Gallardo | Brewers | 59.18% | 68.62% | CIN 12-4 |
| Pirates | Rockies | Z.Duke vs J.de la Rosa | Rockies | 67.32% | 67.91% | PIT 4-2 |
| Marlins | Giants | J.Johnson vs M.Cain | Marlins | 52.15% | 52.83% | SF 6-4 |
| Yankees | Indians | C.Sabathia vs C.Carasco | Yankees | 58.94% | 64.83% | CLE 4-1 |
| Orioles | Blue Jays | K.Millwood vs R.Romero | Blue Jays | 67.32% | 69.18% | TOR 8-2 |
| Tigers | Rays | J.Verlander vs J.Shields | Rays | 55.95% | 53.24% | TB 3-2 |
| A's | Rangers | G.Gonzalez vs C.Lee | Rangers | 70.41% | 64.79% | TEX 3-1 |
| Twins | Royals | C.Pavano vs B.Chen | Twins | 58.51% | 51.90% | MIN 11-2 |
| Mariners | White Sox | R.Rowland vs G.Floyd | White Sox | 69.33% | 74.71% | CHA 11-0 |
| Red Sox | Angels | J.Lackey vs J.Weaver | Angels | 59.51% | 52.65% | BOS 4-2 |
Current ROI: 3.03%
Simulator odds of winning the NL West
| Rank | Team | 7/27 | 7/26 | 7/25 | 7/24 | 7/23 | 7/22 | 7/21 | 7/20 | 7/19 | 7/18 | 7/17 | 7/16 | 7/15 |
| 1 | Padres | 49.82% | 47.34% | 46.16% | 45.01% | 41.42% | 45.55% | 40.62% | 44.09% | 42.52% | 37.12% | 33.01% | 29.36% | 28.48% |
| 2 | Giants | 25.34% | 28.79% | 28.29% | 27.05% | 23.63% | 20.33% | 24.07% | 19.94% | 16.28% | 19.88% | 17.02% | 14.71% | 12.35% |
| 3 | Dodgers | 21.18% | 19.73% | 19.65% | 19.72% | 24.69% | 21.65% | 20.04% | 23.84% | 27.36% | 31.34% | 35.52% | 39.18% | 43.33% |
| 4 | Rockies | 3.66% | 4.14% | 5.90% | 8.22% | 10.26% | 12.47% | 15.28% | 12.13% | 13.84% | 11.66% | 14.44% | 16.75% | 15.84% |
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