Winning Time

Here is a preliminary look at 2012 MLB win totals from my simulator. I say preliminary because I am still only going five starting pitchers deep on each team as rotation depth is still shaking out for many teams. Feel free to dock or add a few wins here and there for teams that may or may not have healthy arms in their rotation. Along with my win numbers, I have listed a few other sources who have put out 2012 win totals. They are the Replacement Level Yankees Weblog and the Atlantis Sportsbook in Reno Nevada. Below are the results for four of the sources used. If you know of any other sources, please feel free to drop me a line and let me know. Along with the win totals, I listed the average and standard deviation of each team's projection along with the standard deviation of each projection source.

Team	Dodger Sims	RLYW Cairo	RLYW Marcel	Atlantis Casino	BetOnline	Average	Standard Dev
Arizona Diamondbacks	81.03	84	85	84.5	84.5	83.81	1.59
Atlanta Braves	83.3	85	89	86.5	83.5	85.46	2.36
Baltimore Orioles	76.39	70	70	70.5	71	71.58	2.72
Boston Red Sox	87.57	92	90	87.5	87.5	88.91	2.03
Chicago Cubs	73.82	71	70	73.5	73.5	72.36	1.74
Chicago White Sox	78.48	74	79	76.5	77.5	77.10	1.98
Cincinnati Reds	86.59	87	89	86.5	87	87.22	1.02
Cleveland Indians	76.96	84	83	75.5	75.5	78.99	4.17
Colorado Rockies	87.88	81	85	82.5	81.5	83.58	2.86
Detroit Tigers	90.81	88	84	94.5	94	90.26	4.38
Houston Astros	65.35	60	66	62.5	62.5	63.27	2.43
Kansas City Royals	74.69	74	79	78.5	78.5	76.94	2.39
Los Angeles Angels	91.37	91	87	89.5	89.5	89.67	1.72
Los Angeles Dodgers	78.93	75	76	81.5	81.5	78.59	3.03
Miami Marlins	82.41	82	80	82.5	82.5	81.88	1.07
Milwaukee Brewers	83.23	86	81	82.5	81.5	82.85	1.96
Minnesota Twins	72.61	67	68	74.5	74	71.22	3.49
New York Mets	73.2	75	74	74.5	74.5	74.24	0.68
New York Yankees	91.34	97	92	93.5	93	93.37	2.20
Oakland Athletics	71.37	76	82	72.5	73	74.97	4.28
Philadelphia Phillies	92.69	92	90	95.5	95.5	93.14	2.37
Pittsburgh Pirates	73.17	68	72	73.5	73	71.93	2.27
San Diego Padres	69.44	76	75	70.5	70.5	72.29	2.98
San Francisco Giants	85.28	85	85	87.5	87.5	86.06	1.32
Seattle Mariners	71.09	74	76	72.5	72.5	73.22	1.86
St. Louis Cardinals	94.29	90	84	87.5	87	88.56	3.85
Tampa Bay Rays	83.1	92	88	87.5	87.5	87.62	3.15
Texas Rangers	97.61	92	87	94.5	94	93.02	3.92
Toronto Blue Jays	74.16	78	81	81	81.5	79.13	3.11
Washington Nationals	81.85	86	83	80.5	81	82.47	2.19
Standard Deviation	8.32	9.12	7.11	8.32	8.16	7.86

Note: Last updated 2/21