Monday, November 07, 2011

Dodgers Season, Against The Odds



Here is the compiled list of all 161 Dodgers games this season. The list is sorted by the games the Dodgers were the largest favorites in. The game in which the Dodgers were the biggest favorites was an August 13th game at Dodger Stadium against the Houston Astros. Wandy Rodriguez was on the mound for the Astros and Clayton Kershaw for the Dodgers. The Dodgers were 67.213% favorites to win that game in Vegas and did end up winning 6-1. If you add up the Vegas win expectancy of all 161 Dodgers games, they should have won 49.94% of their games or won 80.4 games. The Dodgers ended the season with an 82-79 record, so they slightly outperformed their Vegas expectations. Below is the entire list...

RankDateAway SPHome SPAwayHomeFaveFave Win PercLAN Win PercWinning TeamAway RunsHome RunsTotal Runs
108-13-2011Wandy RodriguezClayton KershawHOULANLAN67.21367.213LAN167
205-02-11James RussellClayton KershawCHNLANLAN65.21765.217LAN257
308-14-2011Jordan LylesHiroki KurodaHOULANLAN64.85164.851LAN077
409-15-2011Ross OhlendorfDana EvelandPITLANLAN64.28664.286PIT628
509-16-2011Jeff LockeHiroki KurodaPITLANLAN64.09364.093LAN279
605-13-2011Joe SaundersClayton KershawARILANLAN63.30363.303LAN347
708-29-2011Mat LatosClayton KershawSDLANLAN61.01461.014LAN145
806-20-2011Brad PennyClayton KershawDETLANLAN59.43259.432LAN044
907-26-2011Jhoulys ChacinClayton KershawCOLLANLAN59.43259.432LAN235
1009-18-2011Brad LincolnChad BillingsleyPITLANLAN59.43259.432LAN11516
1106-19-2011Bud NorrisHiroki KurodaHOULANLAN59.26759.267LAN011
1209-17-2011James McDonaldTed LillyPITLANLAN59.26759.267LAN167
1305-03-11Ryan DempsterChad BillingsleyCHNLANLAN59.18459.184CHN415
1406-17-2011Brett MyersTed LillyHOULANLAN59.18459.184HOU7310
1507-07-11Dillon GeeClayton KershawNYNLANLAN58.76358.763LAN066
1608-30-2011Tim StaufferHiroki KurodaSDLANLAN58.76358.763LAN5813
1704-16-2011Kyle McClellanClayton KershawSTLLANLAN58.4258.42STL9211
1808-31-2011Wade LeBlancTed LillySDLANLAN58.4258.42LAN246
1907-27-2011Aaron CookHiroki KurodaCOLLANLAN58.33358.333COL314
2008-12-11Bud NorrisNathan EovaldiHOULANLAN57.89557.895LAN011
2105-14-2011Josh CollmenterChad BillingsleyARILANLAN57.35657.356ARI101
2207-22-2011John LannanHiroki KurodaWASLANLAN57.35657.356WAS729
2304-03-11Barry ZitoHiroki KurodaSFLANLAN57.26557.265LAN5712
2409-25-2011Clayton KershawCory LuebkeLANSDLAN57.17357.173LAN628
2504-30-2011Tim StaufferHiroki KurodaSDLANLAN56.89756.897SD527
2609-14-2011Daniel HudsonClayton KershawARILANLAN56.80356.803LAN235
2704-26-2011Clayton KershawChris VolstadLANFLALAN56.61656.616FLA246
2806-25-2011Tyler ChatwoodHiroki KurodaLAALANLAN56.61656.616LAA617
2908-27-2011Kevin MillwoodChad BillingsleyCOLLANLAN56.61656.616LAN6713
3009-04-11Clayton KershawRandall DelgadoLANATLLAN56.42756.427ATL347
3105-01-11Dustin MoseleyJon GarlandSDLANLAN56.1456.14SD707
3207-23-2011Tom GorzelannyTed LillyWASLANLAN56.04456.044LAN6713
3308-26-2011Esmil RogersTed LillyCOLLANLAN56.04456.044LAN167
3404-21-2011Jair JurrjensClayton KershawATLLANLAN55.8555.85LAN358
3505-29-2011Ricky NolascoClayton KershawFLALANLAN55.8555.85LAN088
3607-24-2011Jason MarquisChad BillingsleyWASLANLAN55.8555.85LAN134
3707-30-2011Micah OwingsChad BillingsleyARILANLAN55.65455.654ARI6410
3808-01-11Clayton KershawCory LuebkeLANSDLAN55.55655.556LAN628
3905-23-2011Clayton KershawBud NorrisLANHOULAN55.45755.457HOU347
4005-17-2011Randy WolfHiroki KurodaMILLANLAN55.15755.157LAN033
4106-18-2011Wandy RodriguezRubby DeLaRosaHOULANLAN55.15755.157HOU707
4205-28-2011Brian SanchesHiroki KurodaFLALANLAN54.85354.853FLA617
4306-14-2011Johnny CuetoClayton KershawCINLANLAN54.85354.853CIN325
4407-09-11Aaron HarangRubby DeLaRosaSDLANLAN54.64954.649LAN011
4507-15-2011Clayton KershawJoe SaundersLANARILAN54.64954.649LAN6410
4607-05-11Mike PelfreyTed LillyNYNLANLAN54.44254.442NYN606
4705-24-2011Chad BillingsleyJ.A. HappLANHOULAN54.44254.442LAN549
4807-06-11John NieseHiroki KurodaNYNLANLAN54.23354.233NYN538
4907-08-11Mat LatosChad BillingsleySDLANLAN54.23354.233LAN011
5005-18-2011Matt CainClayton KershawSFLANLAN54.23354.233SF8513
5107-04-11Chris CapuanoRubby DeLaRosaNYNLANLAN54.02354.023NYN527
5205-09-11Chad BillingsleyJeff KarstensLANPITLAN54.02354.023PIT145
5305-19-2011Madison BumgarnerChad BillingsleySFLANLAN54.02354.023SF314
5404-29-2011Clayton RichardTed LillySDLANLAN53.81153.811LAN235
5505-25-2011Ted LillyAneury RodriguezLANHOULAN53.81153.811HOU123
5606-15-2011Travis WoodChad BillingsleyCINLANLAN53.81153.811CIN729
5708-28-2011Jhoulys ChacinNathan EovaldiCOLLANLAN53.81153.811COL7613
5809-20-2011Tim LincecumClayton KershawSFLANLAN53.59653.596LAN123
5904-01-11Jonathan SanchezChad BillingsleySFLANLAN53.48853.488LAN347
6009-12-11Joe SaundersTed LillyARILANLAN53.3853.38ARI729
6106-13-2011Bronson ArroyoHiroki KurodaCINLANLAN53.3853.38CIN6410
6207-31-2011Joe SaundersRubby DeLaRosaARILANLAN53.3853.38ARI639
6305-31-2011Clay MortensenTed LillyCOLLANLAN53.16253.162LAN2810
6404-14-2011Jaime GarciaHiroki KurodaSTLLANLAN52.8352.83STL9514
6505-04-11Carlos ZambranoTed LillyCHNLANLAN52.71952.719CHN516
6608-18-2011Clayton KershawMarco EstradaLANMILLAN52.71952.719LAN516
6704-09-11Hiroki KurodaDustin MoseleyLANSDLAN52.49452.494LAN404
6804-15-2011Kyle LOhseJon GarlandSTLLANLAN52.49452.494STL11213
6905-27-2011Javier VazquezJon GarlandFLALANLAN52.49452.494LAN347
7007-25-2011Juan NicasioRubby DeLaRosaCOLLANLAN52.49452.494LAN5813
7105-30-2011Jason HammelChad BillingsleyCOLLANLAN52.38152.381LAN178
7204-19-2011Brandon BeachyHiroki KurodaATLLANLAN52.03852.038ATL10111
7309-05-11Hiroki KurodaJohn LannanLANWASLAN51.80751.807WAS279
7409-24-2011Chad BillingsleyAaron HarangLANSDLAN51.2251.22SD033
7506-26-2011Jered WeaverClayton KershawLAALANLAN51.151.1LAN235
7607-10-11Tim StaufferTed LillySDLANLAN50.9850.98LAN145
7706-22-2011Rick PorcelloTed LillyDETLANLAN50.61750.617DET7512
7803-31-2011Tim LincecumClayton KershawSFLANLAN50.49550.495LAN123
7909-23-2011Ted LillyWade LeBlancLANSDLAN50.49550.495LAN202
8004-22-2011Chad BillingsleyCasey ColemanLANCHNLAN50.24950.249LAN12214
8104-02-11Matt CainTed LillySFLANSF5050SF10010
8209-08-11Chad BillingsleyChien-Ming WangLANWASWAS5050LAN7411
8308-21-2011Chad BillingsleyKevin MillwoodLANCOLCOL50.24949.751COL358
8404-05-11Clayton KershawJhoulys ChacinLANCOLCOL50.49549.505COL033
8505-11-11Hiroki KurodaPaul MaholmLANPITPIT50.73949.261LAN202
8608-19-2011Hiroki KurodaJason HammelLANCOLCOL50.8649.14LAN8210
8708-02-11Hiroki KurodaMat LatosLANSDSD51.148.9LAN101
8808-07-11Clayton KershawIan KennedyLANARIARI51.2248.78ARI347
8904-11-11Clayton KershawMadison BumgarnerLANSFSF51.2248.78LAN617
9005-15-2011Ian KennedyTed LillyARILANARI51.2248.78ARI415
9109-27-2011Hiroki KurodaJarrod ParkerLANARIARI51.45648.544ARI6713
9207-01-11Hiroki KurodaTyler ChatwoodLANLAALAA51.57448.426LAN505
9306-28-2011Ted LillyBrian DuensingLANMINMIN51.57448.426MIN4610
9408-23-2011Clayton KershawKyle LohseLANSTLSTL52.15347.847LAN13215
9506-21-2011Max ScherzerChad BillingsleyDETLANDET52.26747.733LAN167
9607-29-2011Josh CollmenterTed LillyARILANARI52.26747.733LAN9514
9706-27-2011Chad BillingsleyNick BlackburnLANMINMIN52.49447.506LAN15015
9804-06-11Chad BillingsleyJason HammelLANCOLCOL52.60747.393COL5712
9906-01-11Ubaldo JimenezJon GarlandCOLLANCOL52.71947.281COL303
10004-08-11Ted LillyClayton RichardLANSDSD52.71947.281LAN426
10105-16-2011Shaun MarcumJon GarlandMILLANMIL52.71947.281MIL213
10206-04-11Clayton KershawJohnny CuetoLANCINCIN52.94147.059LAN11819
10309-28-2011Ted LillyJoe SaundersLANARIARI52.94147.059LAN7512
10406-05-11Chad BillingsleyTravis WoodLANCINCIN53.16246.838LAN9615
10505-10-11Ted LillyKevin CorreiaLANPITPIT53.27146.729LAN10313
10604-27-2011Chad BillingsleyAnibal SanchezLANFLAFLA53.3846.62LAN549
10709-21-2011Ryan VogelsongDana EvelandSFLANSF53.3846.62SF8513
10809-13-2011Ian KennedyChad BillingsleyARILANARI53.59646.404ARI549
10905-08-11Clayton KershawR.A. DickeyLANNYNNYN53.70446.296LAN426
11008-03-11Ted LillyTim StaufferLANSDSD53.81146.189SD033
11105-06-11Hiroki KurodaJohn NieseLANNYNNYN53.81146.189NYN369
11204-10-11John ElyAaron HarangLANSDSD53.81146.189SD279
11308-20-2011Ted LillyEsmil RogersLANCOLCOL53.81146.189COL6713
11409-09-11Clayton KershawTim LincecumLANSFSF54.02345.977LAN213
11504-23-2011Ted LillyRyan DempsterLANCHNCHN54.02345.977CHN81018
11604-24-2011Hiroki KurodaCarlos ZambranoLANCHNCHN54.02345.977LAN7310
11709-11-11Hiroki KurodaMadison BumgarnerLANSFSF54.44245.558SF189
11806-09-11Clayton KershawJuan NicasioLANCOLCOL54.64945.351COL7916
11904-17-2011Chris CarpenterChad BillingsleySTLLANSTL54.64945.351LAN123
12009-01-11Dana EvelandBrad LincolnLANPITPIT54.75145.249LAN6410
12108-10-11Vance WorleyChad BillingsleyPHILANPHI54.85345.147PHI9817
12207-02-11Clayton KershawJered WeaverLANLAALAA55.05644.944LAA178
12306-03-11Hiroki KurodaBronson ArroyoLANCINCIN55.05644.944CIN123
12405-07-11Jon GarlandChris YoungLANNYNNYN55.45744.543NYN246
12507-18-2011Chad BillingsleyRyan VogelsongLANSFSF55.45744.543SF055
12604-18-2011Tim HudsonTed LillyATLLANATL55.65444.346LAN246
12707-16-2011Hiroki KurodaIan KennedyLANARIARI55.65444.346ARI235
12804-20-2011Derek LoweJon GarlandATLLANATL55.75244.248LAN167
12907-20-2011Clayton KershawTim LincecumLANSFSF55.8544.15LAN101
13009-22-2011Madison BumgarnerHiroki KurodaSFLANSF55.94744.053LAN2810
13106-24-2011Dan HarenRubby DeLaRosaLAALANLAA56.04443.956LAA8311
13205-22-2011Hiroki KurodaEdwin JacksonLANCHACHA56.80343.197CHA3811
13308-05-11Chad BillingsleyJosh CollmenterLANARIARI56.98943.011LAN7411
13404-25-2011Jon GarlandRicky NolascoLANFLAFLA57.17342.827FLA459
13507-19-2011Rubby DeLaRosaMadison BumgarnerLANSFSF57.35642.644SF358
13606-29-2011Rubby DeLaRosaScott BakerLANMINMIN57.71742.283MIN011
13707-03-11Chad BillingsleyErvin SantanaLANLAALAA57.98342.017LAA134
13808-06-11Nathan EovaldiJoe SaundersLANARIARI58.33341.667LAN538
13909-10-11Dana EvelandRyan VogelsongLANSFSF58.33341.667LAN303
14004-13-2011Ted LillyJonathan SanchezLANSFSF58.4241.58SF347
14105-20-2011Ted LillyPhil HumberLANCHACHA58.4241.58LAN6410
14208-24-2011Hiroki KurodaJaime GarciaLANSTLSTL58.59241.408LAN9413
14306-10-11Chad BillingsleyJhoulys ChacinLANCOLCOL58.93241.068COL5611
14409-06-11Ted LillyStephen StrasburgLANWASWAS59.140.9LAN7310
14509-03-11Nathan EovaldiMike MinorLANATLATL59.18440.816LAN213
14606-11-11Ted LillyJason HammelLANCOLCOL59.18440.816LAN11718
14705-21-2011Jon GarlandMark BuehrleLANCHACHA59.51440.486CHA2911
14807-17-2011Ted LillyDaniel HudsonLANARIARI60.15939.841ARI145
14909-02-11Chad BillingsleyBrandon BeachyLANATLATL60.86139.139LAN8614
15008-08-11Roy HalladayHiroki KurodaPHILANPHI61.01438.986PHI538
15108-15-2011Ted LillyRandy WolfLANMILMIL61.16538.835MIL033
15204-12-11Chad BillingsleyTim LincecumLANSFSF62.04937.951SF459
15309-26-2011Dana EvelandDaniel HudsonLANARIARI62.04937.951LAN426
15408-09-11Cliff LeeTed LillyPHILANPHI62.47737.523PHI213
15508-16-2011Chad BillingsleyYovanni GallardoLANMILMIL62.61737.383MIL123
15606-07-11Rubby DeLaRosaRoy OswaltLANPHIPHI62.89437.106LAN628
15706-08-11Hiroki KurodaCole HamelsLANPHIPHI63.83436.166PHI022
15806-06-11Ted LillyCliff LeeLANPHIPHI64.22235.778PHI134
15908-22-2011Nathan EovaldiChris CarpenterLANSTLSTL64.34935.651LAN213
16008-17-2011Nathan EovaldiZach GreinkeLANMILMIL65.45834.542MIL134
16106-12-11Rubby DeLaRosaUbaldo JimenezLANCOLCOL65.81234.188LAN10818


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