Sunday, August 01, 2010

That's Nearly All She Wrote



August 2nd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Padres Dodgers C.Richard vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 57.08% 57.65% SD 10-5
Reds Pirates T.Wood vs R.Ohlendorf Reds 61.39% 53.65% CIN 4-0
Brewers Cubs Y.Gallardo vs R.Wells Brewers 51.22% 49.10% MIL 18-1
Nationals DBacks L.Hernandez vs R.Lopez DBacks 53.49% 41.44% WAS 3-1
Mets Braves J.Santana vs T.Hudson Braves 57.98% 52.16% ATL 4-1
Astros Cardinals B.Myers vs J.Garcia Cardinals 59.84% 63.05% HOU 9-4
Royals A's B.Bannister vs T.Cahill A's 65.52% 63.75% OAK 6-0
Twins Rays C.Pavano vs M.Hellickson Rays 52.15% 48.59% TB 4-2
Blue Jays Yankees B.Morrow vs A.Burnett Yankees 63.64% 57.88% TOR 8-6
Indians Red Sox F.Carmona vs J.Lackey Red Sox 65.16% 61.76% CLE 6-5


Current ROI: 2.81%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 8/2 8/1 7/31 7/30 7/29 7/28 7/27 7/26 7/25 7/24 7/23
1 Padres 46.30% 45.00% 49.89% 54.38% 47.70% 43.71% 49.82% 47.34% 46.16% 45.01% 41.42%
2 Giants 41.17% 38.84% 32.21% 26.98% 31.89% 29.28% 25.34% 28.79% 28.29% 27.05% 23.63%
3 Dodgers 8.98% 12.80% 15.26% 16.69% 18.76% 24.39% 21.18% 19.73% 19.65% 19.72% 24.69%
4 Rockies 3.55% 3.35% 2.64% 1.95% 1.65% 2.62% 3.66% 4.14% 5.90% 8.22% 10.26%


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