Friday, December 18, 2009

2010 NL West WAR


It's that time of the year again. The time when I pull out my WAR projections (that will be initially rolled out in a Beta version) for all five NL West teams. These are rough estimates, but I feel they are pretty accurate for the most part. The WAR projections are a combination of Fangraphs and my estimates. Some teams still will be signing free agents and or making trades, so there will likely be more than a few adjustments. Feel free to point out any roster errors, any values you feel are way off, or anything else that stands out.

Last updated 1/21

  Rockies Dodgers Giants DBacks Padres
Pos Name WAR Name WAR Name WAR Name WAR Name WAR
C C.Iannetta 2.5 R.Martin 3.0 B.Molina 1.2 M.Montero 3.3 N.Hundley 2.2
1B T.Helton 3.8 J.Loney 1.8 A.Huff 1.4 A.LaRoche 1.5 A.Gonzalez 5.2
2B C.Barmes 1.8 B.Dewitt 1.5 F.Sanchez 2.2 K.Johnson 2.5 D.Eckstein 0.6
3B I.Stewart 1.8 C.Blake 3.5 P.Sandoval 5.0 M.Reynolds 3.9 K.Kouzmanoff 3.0
SS T.Tulowitzki 6.0 R.Furcal 2.9 E.Renteria 1.0 S.Drew 2.2 E.Cabrera 1.7
LF S.Smith 2.7 M.Ramirez 3.8 M.DeRosa 2.3 C.Jackson 2.5 C.Headley 2.4
CF C.Gonzalez 4.0 M.Kemp 5.4 A.Rowand 1.7 C.Young 1.0 W.Venable 2.3
RF B.Hawpe 1.8 A.Ethier 3.3 N.Schierholtz 1.7 J.Upton 5.5 T.Gwynn 2.8
UT D.Fowler 1.8 J.Carroll 0.3 A.Torres 1.6 G.Parra 1.0 K.Blanks 1.2
BN Bench 2.0 Bench 0.6 Bench 3.2 Bench 1.1 Bench 0.8
Misc Sucktitude -4.7   -4.0   -5.5   -6.0   -7.9
 
Pitchers
SP1 U.Jimenez 5.1 C.Kershaw 4.4 T.Lincecum 7.0 D.Haren 5.5 K.Correia 2.3
SP2 J.de la Rosa 3.0 C.Billingsley 3.5 M.Cain 4.0 B.Webb 5.0 C.Richard 2.0
SP3 J.Hammel 2.9 H.Kuroda 2.5 J.Sanchez 2.4 E.Jackson 2.5 M.Latos 1.5
SP4 A.Cook 2.2 V.Padilla 2.5 B.Zito 2.0 I.Kennedy 2.0 C.Young 1.5
SP5 J.Francis 2.0 E.Stults 1.7 M.Bumgarner 1.8 B.Buckner 1.5 W.LeBlanc 1.5
SP All Others 0.1 All Others 0.7 All Others 0.1 All Others 0.3 All Others 0.7
CL H.Street 1.5 J.Broxton 2.3 B.Wilson 2.0 C.Qualls 1.0 H.Bell 1.8
SU R.Betancourt 0.7 G.Sherrill 1.0 J.Affeldt 1.0 J.Gutierrez 0.5 L.Perdomo 0.2
RP All Others 0.9 All Others 1.5 All Others 1.0 All Others 1.2 All Others 1.1
Misc Sucktitude -0.3   -1.0   -0.8   -1.0   -6.9
 
Hitters   23.4   22.1   15.5   18.8   14.3
Pitchers   18.1   19.1   20.5   18.2   5.7
Replacement   46.5   46.5   46.5   46.5   46.5
Total   88.0   87.7   82.5   83.5   66.5
Update History:
1/9: ARI: Added Kelly Johnson, Bob Howry
1/11: SF: Added A.Huff and adjusted other players
1/14: ARI: Added Adam LaRoche to team
1/19: SF: Signed C-Bengie Molina
1/21: LAN: Signed P-Vicente Padilla

5 comments:

Alatheia Vulner said...

Isn't Ian Kennedy pretty much pencilled into one of Arizona's rotation slots already? Does using him instead of one of those bottom two help them any?

Xeifrank said...

Alatheia, fixed now. I have it netting them a fraction of a win. I already had Kennedy in as a spot starter, so I upped his number of starts a little and moved into the 4th slot.
vr, Xei

koffler said...

Ishikawa higher than Loney?

Xeifrank said...

Koffler, very slight edge to Loney with the bat, but a rather significant edge to Ishikawa with the glove according to UZR. I think the difference in WAR by 0.2 is reasonable. Loney hasn't been very good the past two seasons. Would be nice if Loney and Martin could regain their younger form this year. The Dodgers could sure use improvement from the two.
vr, Xei

ps said...

Well, at least I can hope my Padres don't lead the division in Misc. Suckitude. :-)