Friday, September 26, 2008

Dodger Sims... Is On Vacation

Will be back in time for the World Series.
Go Rays, Dodgers and Angels
Enjoy the playoffs!!!
And I will enjoy my...
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
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Vacation

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 25th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers J.Peavy vs E.Stults Dodgers 57.95% 7.63 12 Padres
DBacks vs Cardinals D.Davis vs J.Pineiro Cardinals 51.21% 8.54 15 Cardinals
Cubs vs Mets R.Harden vs P.Martinez Cubs 56.59% 8.66 13 Mets
Reds vs Astros J.Cueto vs R.Oswalt Astros 60.24% 8.97 14 Astros
Pirates vs Brewers Z.Duke vs J.Suppan Brewers 71.76% 9.10 6 Brewers
Rockies vs Giants J.de la Rosa vs B.Zito Rockies 61.60% 8.37 4 Rockies
Rays vs Tigers S.Kazmir vs A.Galarraga Rays 56.60% 11.16 12 Tigers
Indians vs Red Sox J.Sowers vs J.Lester Red Sox 73.05% 10.93 7 Red Sox
Yankees vs Blue Jays C.Pavano vs R.Halladay Blue Jays 63.70% 9.08 10 Blue Jays
White Sox vs Twins G.Floyd vs K.Slowey Twins 54.27% 9.94 13 Twins
Angels vs Mariners D.Moseley vs C.Jimenez Angels 53.72% 9.80 10 Angels
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, September 24th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers S.Estes vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 68.21% 8.40 16 Dodgers
Braves vs Phillies J.Reyes vs B.Myers Phillies 68.70% 10.43 14 Braves
Marlins vs Nationals J.Johnson vs T.Redding Marlins 60.79% 8.33 13 Marlins
Cubs vs Mets C.Zambrano vs O.Perez Cubs 53.84% 9.61 15 Cubs
Reds vs Astros R.Ramirez vs R.Wolf Astros 61.04% 9.33 5 Astros
Pirates vs Brewers P.Maholm vs C.Sabathia Brewers 72.81% 8.94 6 Brewers
DBacks vs Cardinals M.Scherzer vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 52.40% 7.60 6 Cardinals
Rockies vs Giants L.Hernandez vs J.Sanchez Rockies 51.37% 8.25 21 Rockies
A's vs Rangers D.Eveland vs M.Harrison Rangers 63.15% 10.60 18 Rangers
Rays vs Orioles E.Jackson vs R.Liz Rays 69.85% 13.06 17 Rays
Indians vs Red Sox F.Carmona vs P.Byrd Red Sox 59.03% 12.14 9 Red Sox
Royals vs Tigers B.Bannister vs N.Robertson Tigers 61.69% 10.53 14 Royals
Yankees vs Blue Jays P.Hughes vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 56.89% 9.34 8 Yankees
White Sox vs Twins M.Buehrle vs N.Blackburn White Sox 55.17% 9.61 5 Twins
Angels vs Mariners J.Garland vs F.Hernandez Mariners 59.99% 8.09 11 Angels
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Monday, September 22, 2008

Who Will Win The NL West? - DOUBLE UPDATED

I am using my simulator to determine the Dodgers' odds of winning the NL West. I simulated each remaining game for the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, using what should be the likely starters for the remainder of games. I then use a random number generator from 0 to 1 to determine if each game is a win or a loss for each of the two teams. I do this 1 million times, calculating how many times each team ends up winning the NL West. If the two teams tie for first place, I then do the same thing for a 163rd game. Below is a table showing the win probabilities and likely pitching matchups for each remaining game, with the results of my simulation.
Date Visitors Home Pitching Matchup Win Probability Result
9/23 Padres Dodgers W.LeBlanc vs C.Billingsley .7087 Win
9/23 DBacks Cardinals R.Johnson vs K.Lohse .4492 Loss
9/24 Padres Dodgers S.Estes vs C.Kershaw .6811 Win
9/24 DBacks Cardinals M.Scherzer vs A.Wainwright .4441 Loss
9/25 Padres Dodgers J.Peavy vs G.Maddux .6211 TBD
9/25 DBacks Cardinals D.Davis vs J.Pineiro .4841 Loss
9/26 Dodgers Giants H.Kuroda vs B.Hennessey .6400 TBD
9/26 Rockies DBacks J.Hirsh vs D.Haren .6566 TBD
9/27 Dodgers Giants D.Lowe vs M.Cain .5696 TBD
9/27 Rockies DBacks G.Reynolds vs B.Webb .7505 TBD
9/28 Dodgers Giants C.Billingsley vs T.Lincecum .4998 TBD
9/28 Rockies DBacks J.Jimenez vs R.Johnson .5384 TBD
9/29 DBacks Dodgers M.Scherzer vs C.Kershaw .5499 TBD
Note: All win probabilities are listed for the Dodgers or Diamondbacks, and for the Dodgers on the 9/29 game.
Team Divisions Titles
Dodgers 100.00%
DBacks 0.00%
1 million iterations were ran.

Update: It's all over folks. The Cardinals defeated the Diamondbacks three times in a row and on September 25th eliminated the Diamondbacks from contention. Good luck to the Dodgers in the playoffs.

Simulations for Tuesday, September 23rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers W.LeBlanc vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 70.87% 7.42 11 Dodgers
Braves vs Phillies J.Reyes vs C.Hamels Phillies 74.77% 9.83 5 Braves
Marlins vs Nationals S.Olsen vs S.Martis Marlins 53.67% 9.46 13 Nationals
Cubs vs Mets S.Marshall vs J.Santana Mets 52.17% 9.04 8 Mets
Pirates vs Brewers J.Karstens vs D.Bush Brewers 68.40% 10.43 12 Brewers
Reds vs Astros E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez Astros 52.01% 8.00 3 Reds
DBacks vs Cardinals R.Johnson vs K.Lohse Cardinals 55.08% 7.88 11 Cardinals
Rockies vs Giants U.Jimenez vs T.Lincecum Giants 51.72% 6.90 13 Rockies
Rays vs Orioles J.Shields vs G.Olson Rays 67.19% 10.95 7 Rays
Indians vs Red Sox C.Lee vs T.Wakefield Indians 52.12% 10.48 9 Red Sox
Royals vs Tigers Z.Greinke vs F.Garcia Tigers 57.87% 8.97 5 Royals
Yankees vs Blue Jays M.Mussina vs J.Litsch Yankees 57.56% 9.18 4 Yankees
A's vs Rangers J.Outman vs D.Nippert Rangers 69.53% 10.70 10 Rangers
White Sox vs Twins J.Vazquez vs S.Baker White Sox 55.32% 9.28 11 Twins
Rays vs Orioles M.Talbot vs A.Simon Rays 65.50% 11.66 12 Rays
Angels vs Mariners J.Weaver vs R.Feierabend Angels 58.84% 9.40 15 Mariners
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Sunday, September 21, 2008

Simulations for Monday, September 22nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Marlins vs Reds R.Nolasco vs A.Harang Marlins 56.34% 9.89 12 Reds
Braves vs Phillies J.Jurrjens vs J.Happ Phillies 53.36% 9.34 8 Phillies
Cubs vs Mets J.Marquis vs J.Niese Cubs 57.66% 9.52 14 Cubs
DBacks vs Cardinals B.Webb vs T.Wellemeyer DBacks 54.60% 7.44 6 DBacks
Rays vs Orioles D.Price vs B.Bass Rays 58.47% 10.56 6 Rays
Indians vs Red Sox Z.Jackson vs J.Beckett Red Sox 73.43% 10.59 7 Indians
Royals vs Tigers G.Meche vs Z.Miner Tigers 55.05% 8.38 8 Royals
A's vs Rangers G.Smith vs K.Millwood Rangers 70.94% 10.07 7 A's
Angels vs Mariners E.Santana vs R.Smith Angels 61.10% 8.21 3 Angels
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Simulations for Sunday, September 21st

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Giants vs Dodgers M.Cain vs D.Lowe Dodgers 68.73% 6.84 1 Giants
Cardinals vs Cubs B.Looper vs R.Dempster Cubs 70.21% 8.40 6 Cubs
Astros vs Pirates R.Oswalt vs R.Ohlendorf Astros 54.15% 8.92 8 Astros
Phillies vs Marlins J.Moyer vs C.Volstad Phillies 51.18% 9.61 7 Phillies
Brewers vs Reds S.McClung vs B.Arroyo Reds 51.83% 10.49 9 Brewers
Mets vs Braves M.Pelfrey vs J.Parr Mets 54.65% 8.76 13 Braves
Padres vs Nationals C.Baek vs O.Perez Nationals 53.95% 7.45 8 Padres
DBacks vs Rockies D.Haren vs G.Reynolds DBacks 56.91% 11.25 17 DBacks
Tigers vs Indians D.Willis vs S.Lewis Indians 52.63% 10.71 15 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees C.Waters vs A.Pettitte Yankees 74.36% 9.84 10 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays D.Matsuzaka vs S.Richmond Red Sox 57.17% 9.72 3 Red Sox
Twins vs Rays F.Liriano vs A.Sonnanstine Rays 64.72% 8.82 5 Twins
Angels vs Rangers J.Lackey vs S.Feldman Rangers 51.41% 11.08 10 Angels
White Sox vs Royals J.Danks vs B.Duckworth White Sox 67.95% 10.65 3 White Sox
Mariners vs A's B.Morrow vs S.Gallagher A's 59.54% 7.64 8 A's
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Friday, September 19, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, September 20th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Giants vs Dodgers B.Hennessey vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 72.71% 7.40 17 Dodgers
Cardinals vs Cubs J.Pineiro vs T.Lilly Cubs 64.10% 9.08 9 Cubs
Astros vs Pirates B.Moehler vs J.Barthmaier Pirates 51.49% 9.47 10 Pirates
Phillies vs Marlins J.Blanton vs A.Sanchez Marlins 53.12% 9.99 5 Phillies
Brewers vs Reds C.Sabathia vs J.Cueto Brewers 60.19% 9.61 7 Reds
Mets vs Braves P.Martinez vs J.Campillo Braves 55.23% 8.93 6 Braves
Padres vs Nationals C.Young vs J.Lanna Nationals 56.94% 7.49 7 Padres
DBacks vs Rockies D.Davis vs A.Cook Rockies 64.87% 10.11 8 DBacks
Tigers vs Indians J.Verlander vs J.Sowers Indians 52.38% 11.10 9 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees B.Burres vs A.Aceves Yankees 67.44% 10.91 1 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays J.Lester vs R.Halladay Blue Jays 57.03% 7.98 9 Blue Jays
Twins vs Rays K.Slowey vs S.Kazmir Rays 64.14% 8.29 9 Rays
Angels vs Rangers D.Moseley vs V.Padilla Rangers 56.51% 11.46 10 Angels
White Sox vs Royals G.Floyd vs K.Davies White Sox 54.05% 10.20 7 Royals
Mariners vs A's C.Silva vs K.Saarloos OAK 54,84 8.03 15 A's
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Thursday, September 18, 2008

Simulatoins for Friday, September 19th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Giants vs Dodgers B.Zito vs G.Maddux Dodgers 72.18% 7.70 8 Giants
Cardinals vs Cubs A.Wainwright vs C.Zambrano Cubs 60.17% 7.89 18 Cardinals
Astros vs Pirates R.Wolf vs I.Snell Pirates 53.28% 8.22 6 Astros
Phillies vs Marlins B.Myers vs J.Johnson Marlins 60.25% 9.00 22 Marlins
Brewers vs Reds J.Suppan vs R.Ramirez Reds 50.43% 11.23 13 Reds
Mets vs Braves O.Perez vs J.Reyes Braves 50.35% 9.11 14 Mets
Padres vs Nationals D.Hayhurst vs C.Balester Nationals 55.78% 7.57 17 Padres
DBacks vs Rockies M.Scherzer vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 61.96% 10.87 5 Rockies
Tigers vs Indians A.Galarraga vs F.Carmona Indians 59.86% 10.58 11 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees R.Liz vs F.Carmona Yankees 75.89% 12.27 5 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays P.Byrd vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 62.01% 9.93 7 Red Sox
Twins vs Rays N.Blackburn vs E.Jackson Rays 60.17% 9.48 12 Rays
Angels vs Rangers J.Garland vs M.Harrison Rangers 55.60% 10.99 28 Angels
White Sox vs Royals M.Buehrle vs B.Bannister White Sox 62.16% 10.66 13 White Sox
Mariners vs A's F.Hernandez vs D.Eveland A's 57.19% 6.9 2 A's
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Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 18th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates C.Kershaw vs P.Maholm Doders 51.28% 8.53 7 Dodgers
Brewers vs Cubs D.Bush vs R.Harden Cubs 65.86% 8.84 13 Cubs
Astros vs Marlins A.Arias vs S.Olsen Marlins 66.99% 10.38 9 Marlins
Mets vs Nationals J.Santana vs T.Redding Mets 54.71% 8.43 9 Mets
Cardinals vs Reds K.Lohse vs E.Volquez Reds 61.07% 7.87 9 Cardinals
Phillies vs Braves C.Hamels vs M.Hampton Phillies 62.62% 9.23 7 Phillies
Giants vs DBacks T.Lincecum vs R.Johnson DBacks 56.55% 8.05 5 DBacks
Mariners vs Royals R.Feierabend vs Z.Greinke Royals 68.41% 9.23 12 Royals
Angels vs A's J.Saunders vs J.Outman Angels 56.18% 9.22 10 Angels
White Sox vs Yankees J.Vazquez vs M.Mussina Yankees 60.72% 8.20 11 Yankees
Orioles vs Blue Jays D.Cabrera vs J.Litsch Blue Jays 62.17% 10.30 5 Blue Jays
Twins vs Rays G.Perkins vs J.Shields Rays 72.24% 9.29 19 Twins
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Simulations for Wednesday, September 17th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates C.Billingsley vs Z.Duke Dodgers 55.96% 8.33 23 Pirates
Padres vs Rockies J.Geer vs L.Hernandez Rockies 67.53% 10.59 1 Rockies
Astros vs Marlins B.Backe vs R.Nolasco Marlins 72.90% 9.40 16 Marlins
Mets vs Nationals B.Knight vs S.Martis Mets 57.34% 8.68 16 Mets
Cardinals vs Reds T.Wellemeyer vs A.Harang Reds 57.66% 8.98 3 Reds
Phillies vs Braves J.Happ vs J.Jurrjens Braves 53.21% 8.53 7 Phillies
Brewers vs Cubs B.Sheets vs J.Marquis Brewers 52.74% 8.53 8 Brewers
Giants vs DBacks J.Sanchez vs B.Webb DBacks 68.79% 8.19 13 DBacks
Twins vs Indians S.Baker vs C.Lee Indians 68.14% 7.81 10 Indians
White Sox vs Yankees L.Broadway vs P.Hughes Yankees 72.25% 10.67 6 Yankees
Orioles vs Blue Jays B.Bass vs D.Purcey Blue Jays 63.06% 10.40 15 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rays T.Wakefield vs M.Garza Rays 64.79% 10.15 13 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers F.Garcia vs D.Nippert Rangers 54.43% 11.32 21 Tigers
Mariners vs Royals R.Smith vs G.Meche Royals 62.00% 8.45 7 Royals
Angels vs A's J.Weaver vs G.Smith Angels 57.79% 8.88 5 A's
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Monday, September 15, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, September 16th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates D.Lowe vs J.Karstens Dodgers 57.95% 8.78 8 Dodgers
Astros vs Marlins R.Oswalt vs C.Volstad Marlins 57.71% 8.64 6 Marlins
Mets vs Nationals M.Pelfrey vs O.Perez Mets 57.74% 8.06 1 Nationals
Cardinals vs Reds B.Looper vs B.Arroyo Reds 59.30% 9.36 9 Reds
Phillies vs Braves J.Moyer vs J.Parr Phillies 57.24% 9.44 15 Phillies
Brewers vs Cubs C.Sabathia vs R.Dempster Cubs 54.88% 8.75 9 Cubs
Padres vs Rockies S.Estes vs U.Jimenez Rockies 76.13% 10.41 13 Rockies
Giants vs DBacks M.Cain vs D.Haren DBacks 67.07% 8.29 2 DBacks
Twins vs Indians F.Liriano vs Z.Jackson Indians 53.66% 9.27 21 Indians
White Sox vs Yankees G.Floyd vs A.Pettitte Yankees 67.98% 9.38 8 White Sox
Orioles vs Blue Jays C.Waters vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 63.71% 10.51 2 Orioles
Red Sox vs Rays J.Beckett vs A.Sonnanstine Rays 54.54% 8.88 3 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers Z.Miner vs K.Millwood Rangers 62.70% 10.59 9 Rangers
Mariners vs Royals B.Morrow vs B.Duckworth Royals 52.59% 9.08 9 Royals
Angels vs A's J.Lackey vs S.Gallagher Angels 53.85% 8.11 8 A's
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Sunday, September 14, 2008

Simulations for Monday, September 15th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates H.Kuroda vs R.Ohlendorf Dodgers 53.52% 8.58 10 Dodgers
Cubs vs Astros T.Lilly vs B.Moehler Cubs 57.42% 8.51 7 Cubs
Mets vs Nationals P.Martinez vs J.Lannan Mets 51.36% 8.41 9 Nationals
Padres vs Rockies W.LeBlanc vs U.Jimenez Rockies 74.10% 10.01 16 Padres
Giants vs DBacks B.Hennessey vs D.Davis DBacks 70.72% 10.08 DBacks 4
Twins vs Indians K.Slowey vs S.Lewis Indians 53.48% 8.95 4 Indians
White Sox vs Yankees M.Buehrle vs A.Aceves White Sox 53.98% 8.87 6 Yankees
Red Sox vs Rays D.Matsuzaka vs S.Kazmir Rays 63.22% 9.74 18 Red Sox
Tigers vs Rangers D.Willis vs B.McCarthy Rangers 63.06% 12.04 19 Rangers
Mariners vs Royals C.Silva vs K.Davies Royals 50.91% 9.56 3 Royals
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Saturday, September 13, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, September 14th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies G.Maddux vs A.Cook Rockies 62.71% 10.26 1 Rockies
Braves vs Mets J.Campillo vs O.Perez Mets 55.08% 8.31 11 Braves
Nationals vs Marlins C.Balester vs A.Sanchez Marlins 69.40% 9.41 15 Marlins
Brewers vs Phillies D.Bush vs J.Blanton Phillies 60.52% 11.94 10 Phillies
Cardinals vs Pirates B.Thompson vs J.Davis Pirates 55.72% 9.60 9 Pirates
Giants vs Padres B.Zito vs C.Baek Padres 56.57% 6.61 14 Giants
Reds vs DBacks J.Cueto vs M.Scherzer DBacks 59.55% 11.27 3 Reds
Brewers vs Phillies J.Suppan vs B.Myers Phillies 60.11% 12.39 7 Phillies
Cubs vs Astros C.Zambrano vs R.Wolf Cubs 60.13% 8.93 5 Cubs
Royals vs Indians B.Bannister vs J.Sowers Indians 62.44% 10.78 16 Royals
Rays vs Yankees E.Jackson vs C.Pavano Yankees 58.72% 11.30 12 Yankees
Twins vs Orioles N.Blackburn vs R.Liz Twins 61.32% 10.31 10 Orioles
Blue Jays vs Red Sox R.Halladay vs J.Lester Red Sox 56.74% 8.32 7 Red Sox
Tigers vs White Sox J.Verlander vs J.Vazquez White Sox 62.87% 10.53 6 White Sox
Tigers vs White Sox K.Rogers vs J.Danks White Sox 65.97% 11.18 18 White Sox
Mariners vs Angels F.Hernandez vs E.Santana Angels 59.84% 7.64 7 Angels
Rangers vs A's V.Padilla vs E.Eveland A's 54.50% 8.42 11 A's
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Simulations for Saturday, September 13th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies C.Kershaw vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 62.56% 11.25 6 Dodgers
Brewers vs Phillies M.Parra vs C.Hamels Phillies 55.87% 11.00 10 Phillies
Braves vs Mets M.Hampton vs J.Santana Mets 67.08% 8.45 5 Braves
Cardinals vs Pirates A.Wainwright vs J.Karstens Cardinals 50.49% 8.98 13 Pirates
Nationals vs Marlins T.Redding vs J.Johnson Marlins 69.48% 8.75 6 Marlins
Braves vs Mets J.Reyes vs J.Niese Mets 57.02% 8.52 5 Mets
Reds vs DBacks E.Volquez vs R.Johnson DBacks 55.53% 9.63 5 Reds
Giants vs Padres T.Lincecum vs C.Young Giants 56.79% 5.60 7 Giants
Blue Jays vs Red Sox A.Burnett vs P.Byrd Red Sox 52.76% 9.73 9 Blue Jays
Rays vs Yankees J.Shields vs M.Mussina Yankees 64.90% 8.93 8 Rays
Royals vs Indians Z.Greinke vs F.Carmona Indians 60.90% 9.08 11 Royals
Rangers vs A's S.Feldman vs J.Outman Rangers 54.23% 9.66 8 A's
Twins vs Orioles S.Baker vs D.Cabrera Twins 54.43% 9.45 14 Twins
Royals vs Indians R.Tejeda vs B.Bullington Indians 69.38% 10.69 12 Royals
Rays vs Yankees M.Garza vs S.Ponson Rays 53.30% 10.54 11 Yankees
Blue Jays vs Red Sox J.Litsch vs B.Colon Red Sox 64.29% 9.55 12 Red Sox
Twins vs Orioles G.Perkins vs G.Olson Twins 54.51% 10.07 18 Twins
Mariners vs Angels R.Feierabend vs J.Garland Angels 68.85% 9.87 7 Angels
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Thursday, September 11, 2008

Simulations for Friday, September 12th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies C.Billingsley vs S.Francis Dodgers 55.42% 10.47 9 Dodgers
Cardinals vs Pirates J.Pineiro vs P.Maholm Pirates 59.44% 8.82 12 Pirates
Brewers vs Phillies M.Parra vs C.Hamels Phillies 56.37% 10.87 TBD ppd.
Nationals vs Marlins S.Martis vs S.Olsen Marlins 64.59% 10.45 3 Marlins
Braves vs Mets M.Hampton vs J.Santana Mets 68.14% 8.42 TBD ppd.
Cubs vs Astros J.Marquis vs A.Arias Cubs 61.66% 10.45 TBD ppd.
Reds vs DBacks A.Harang vs B.Webb DBacks 68.80% 9.93 5 DBacks
Giants vs Padres J.Sanchez vs J.Peavy Padres 55.97% 5.72 7 Giants
Twins vs Orioles S.Baker vs D.Cabrera Twins 54.90% 9.54 TBD ppd.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox D.Purcey vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 63.10% 10.26 7 Red Sox
Royals vs Indians G.Meche vs C.Lee Indians 65.06% 7.88 17 Indians
Rays vs Yankees M.Garza vs S.Ponson Yankees 52.19% 10.39 TBD ppd.
Tigers vs White Sox J.Verlander vs J.Danks White Sox 62.74% 10.72 TBD ppd.
Rangers vs A's S.Harrison vs G.Smith Rangers 52.53% 9.36 7 Rangers
Mariners vs Angels R.Smith vs J.Saunders Angels 64.68% 8.61 8 Angels
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Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 11th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Brewers vs Phillies B.Sheets vs J.Moyer Brewers 53.64% 10.84 9 Phillies
Rockies vs Braves U.Jimenez vs J.Jurrjens Rockies 55.21% 7.94 12 Braves
Pirates vs Astros Z.Duke vs R.Oswalt Astros 64.03% 9.02 6 Astros
Cubs vs Cardinals R.Harden vs T.Wellemeyer Cubs 56.11% 6.91 5 Cubs
Giants vs Padres M.Cain vs J.Geer Giants 52.25% 6.20 14 Padres
Royals vs Twins B.Duckworth vs F.Liriano Twins 61.25% 8.63 5 Royals
Indians vs Orioles Z.Jackson vs B.Bass Indians 52.36% 10.99 9 Orioles
Blue Jays vs White Sox S.Marcum vs G.Floyd White Sox 63.09% 10.59 10 Blue Jays
Rangers vs A's D.Nippert vs D.Braden A's 51.53% 8.54 7 Rangers
Mariners vs Angels B.Morrow vs J.Weaver Angels 60.96% 8.55 11 Angels
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Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, September 10th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Padres D.Lowe vs S.Estes Dodgers 64.35% 6.63 9 Dodgers
Marlins vs Phillies R.Nolasco vs B.Myers Marlins 50.55% 11.35 10 Marlins
Nationals vs Mets O.Perez vs M.Pelfrey Mets 67.90% 8.31 23 Mets
Rockies vs Braves L.Hernandez vs J.Parr Braves 50.53% 9.31 14 Braves
Pirates vs Astros T.Gorzelanny vs B.Moehler Astros 67.06% 10.32 11 Astros
Reds vs Brewers B.Arroyo vs C.Sabathia Brewers 70.44% 9.26 7 Brewers
Cubs vs Cardinals T.Lilly vs B.Looper Cardinals 51.75% 8.40 7 Cubs
DBacks vs Giants D.Haren vs B.Hennessey DBacks 67.18% 7.75 7 Giants
Blue Jays vs White Sox R.Halladay vs M.Buehrle White Sox 51.72% 8.29 11 White Sox
Indians vs Orioles S.Lewis vs C.Waters Indians 57.66% 11.45 8 Indians
Rays vs Red Sox A.Sonnanstine vs J.Beckett Red Sox 64.83% 9.38 6 Rays
A's vs Tigers S.Gallagher vs A.Galarraga Tigers 56.02% 9.32 7 A's
Royals vs Twins K.Davies vs K.Slowey Twins 65.52% 8.57 8 Twins
Yankees vs Angels A.Pettitte vs D.Moseley Yankees 57.94% 9.85 6 Angels
Rangers vs Mariners K.Millwood vs B.Morrow Mariners 50.46% 8.46 15 Mariners
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Monday, September 08, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, September 9th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Padres H.Kuroda vs W.LeBlanc Dodgers 59.11% 6.74 8 Dodgers
Marlins vs Phillies C.Volstad vs K.Kendrick Marlins 50.02% 11.85 18 Marlins
Nationals vs Mets J.Lannan vs O.Perez Mets 58.68% 8.94 18 Mets
Rockies vs Braves A.Cook vs J.Campillo Rockies 50.14% 7.91 9 Braves
Pirates vs Astros R.Ohlendorf vs R.Wolf Astros 66.94% 9.63 12 Astros
Reds vs Brewers R.Ramirez vs J.Suppan Brewers 66.10% 11.06 9 Reds
Cubs vs Cardinals R.Dempster vs K.Lohse Cardinals 51.90% 7.18 7 Cardinals
DBacks vs Giants D.Davis vs B.Zito DBacks 62.20% 8.44 9 Giants
Blue Jays vs White Sox A.Burnett vs J.Vazquez White Sox 65.41% 8.47 4 Blue Jays
Blue Jays vs White Sox J.Litsch vs C.Richard White Sox 65.10% 10.14 10 Blue Jays
Indians vs Orioles J.Sowers vs J.Guthrie Orioles 53.87% 10.48 7 Indians
Rays vs Red Sox S.Kazmir vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 51.74% 10.02 9 Rays
A's vs Tigers D.Eveland vs N.Robertson Tigers 51.95% 10.09 5 A's
Royals vs Twins B.Bannister vs N.Blackburn Twins 63.47% 8.67 9 Twins
Yankees vs Angels J.Aceves vs E.Santana Angels 60.07% 9.73 8 Yankees
Rangers vs Mariners V.Padilla vs F.Hernandez Marines 61.39% 8.57 10 Rangers
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Sunday, September 07, 2008

Simulations for Monday, September 8th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Padres G.Maddux vs C.Baek Dodgers 56.79% 7.56 4 Padres
Marlins vs Phillies A.Sanchez vs J.Blanton Phillies 57.30% 11.22 14 Phillies
Pirates vs Astros I.Snell vs A.Arias Pirates 53.01% 10.37 5 Astros
Reds vs Brewers E.Volquez vs D.Bush Brewers 55.46% 10.25 9 Reds
DBacks vs Giants Y.Petit vs T.Lincecum Giants 50.38% 7.01 8 Giants
Indians vs Orioles F.Carmona vs G.Olson Indians 60.20% 11.37 17 Orioles
Rays vs Red Sox E.Jackson vs J.Lester Rays 66.96% 9.45 3 Red Sox
A's vs Tigers G.Gonzalez vs Z.Miner Tigers 56.87% 10.21 22 Tigers
Yankees vs Angels C.Pavano vs J.Garland Yankees 52.50% 9.85 13 Angels
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Saturday, September 06, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, September 7th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers M.Scherzer vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 55.82% 10.29 8 Dodgers
Phillies vs Mets J.Moyer vs P.Martinez Phillies 54.84% 9.67 8 Phillies
Phillies vs Mets C.Hamels vs J.Santana Phillies 53.51% 8.46 9 Mets
Cubs vs Reds S.Marshall vs A.Harang Cubs 52.82% 11.18 7 Reds
Nationals vs Braves C.Balester vs J.Reyes Braves 58.40% 8.97 11 Nationals
Padres vs Brewers C.Young vs M.Parra Brewers 75.15% 10.24 11 Padres
Marlins vs Cardinals J.Johnson vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 51.65% 7.94 4 Cardinals
Astros vs Rockies W.Rodriguez vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 69.67% 8.89 12 Astros
Pirates vs Giants J.Karstens vs J.Sanchez Giants 59.45% 7.83 17 Giants
Rays vs Blue Jays M.Garza vs D.Purcey Rays 62.21% 11.20 1 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rangers P.Byrd vs B.McCarthy Rangers 61.48% 12.49 9 Red Sox
Indians vs Royals C.Lee vs Z.Greinke Indians 56.78% 7.85 4 Indians
Tigers vs Twins C.Lambert vs G.Perkins Twins 52.63% 10.36 12 Tigers
Angels vs White Sox J.Saunders vs J.Danks White Sox 66.41% 11.28 5 Angels
Yankees vs Mariners M.Mussina vs C.Silva Yankees 61.80% 9.07 7 Mariners
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Friday, September 05, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, September 6th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers B.Webb vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 52.93% 7.89 9 Dodgers
Cubs vs Reds J.Marquis vs J.Cueto Cubs 56.39% 10.92 23 Cubs
Nationals vs Braves T.Redding vs M.Hampton Braves 55.48% 8.81 13 Nationals
Padres vs Brewers J.Peavy vs B.Sheets Brewers 71.71% 8.88 1 Brewers
Marlins vs Cardinals S.Olsen vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals 57.98% 9.25 8 Cardinals
Astros vs Rockies R.Oswalt vs J.Francis Rockies 62.87% 8.93 2 Astros
Pirates vs Giants P.Maholm vs M.Cain Giants 54.24% 7.38 13 Giants
A's vs Orioles G.Smith vs G.Olson Orioles 50.49% 10.93 6 A's
Rays vs Blue Jays J.Shields vs S.Marcum Rays 59.20% 10.30 11 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rangers T.Wakefield vs M.Harrison Rangers 57.24% 12.14 23 Rangers
Indians vs Royals Z.Jackson vs G.Meche Royals 58.70% 9.10 4 Royals
Tigers vs Twins J.Verlander vs S.Baker Twins 52.65% 8.51 10 Tigers
Angels vs White Sox J.Lackey vs G.Floyd Angels 51.93% 11.68 13 White Sox
Yankees vs Mariners S.Ponson vs R.Rowland-Smith Yankees 52.05% 9.92 11 Yankees
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Thursday, September 04, 2008

Simulations for Friday, September 5th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers D.Haren vs D.Lowe Dodgers 52.53% 8.46 7 Dodgers
Phillies vs Mets B.Myers vs M.Pelfrey Mets 54.71% 9.93 3 Phillies
Cubs vs Reds T.Lilly vs B.Arroyo Cubs 54.29% 11.91 12 Reds
Nationals vs Braves J.Bergmann vs J.Jurrjens Braves 63.20% 9.05 15 Braves
Padres vs Brewers J.Geer vs C.Sabathia Brewers 73.99% 9.95 5 Brewers
Marlins vs Cardinals R.Nolasco vs B.Looper Marlins 54.45% 9.59 5 Marlins
Astros vs Rockies B.Moehler vs U.Jimenez Rockies 69.44% 9.55 8 Rockies
Pirates vs Giants Z.Duke vs K.Correia Giants 54.70% 8.55 7 Pirates
A's vs Orioles D.Braden vs C.Waters A's 55.00% 10.92 13 A's
Rays vs Blue Jays A.Sonnanstine vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 52.41% 9.91 10 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rangers J.Beckett vs K.Millwood Rangers 51.52% 10.61 9 Red Sox
Indians vs Royals A.Reyes vs B.Duckworth Indians 50.08% 10.51 12 Indians
Tigers vs Twins A.Galarraga vs F.Liriano Twins 57.52% 8.82 12 Twins
Angels vs White Sox D.Moseley vs M.Buehrle White Sox 63.58% 12.68 12 White Sox
Yankees vs Mariners A.Pettitte vs B.Morrow Yankees 63.05% 10.36 5 Mariners
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Wednesday, September 03, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 4th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Pirates vs Reds T.Gorzelanny vs J.Fogg Reds 59.67% 11.68 14 Reds
Nationals vs Braves J.Bergmann vs J.Reyes Braves 59.30% 9.70 2 Braves
Padres vs Brewers S.Estes vs J.Suppan Brewers 66.66% 10.86 7 Padres
Angels vs Tigers E.Santana vs K.Rogers Angels 60.89% 10.37 8 Angels
A's vs Royals D.Eveland vs B.Bannister A's 53.80% 9.01 9 Royals
A's vs Royals D.Meyer vs K.Davies A's 50.83% 9.21 15 Royals
Twins vs Blue Jays K.Slowey vs J.Litsch Blue Jays 58.15% 9.26 9 Blue Jays
Yankees vs Rays D.Rasner vs S.Kazmir Rays 66.37% 10.44 12 Rays
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Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, September 3rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers W.LeBlanc vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 70.64% 8.28 10 Dodgers
Braves vs Marlins J.Campillo vs C.Volstad Marlins 59.34% 9.09 8 Marlins
Phillies vs Nationals J.Blanton vs O.Perez Phillies 61.05% 10.63 16 Nationals
Pirates vs Reds R.Ohlendorf vs E.Volquez Reds 72.30% 10.53 11 Pirates
Mets vs Brewers O.Perez vs D.Bush Brewers 63.77% 12.15 11 Mets
Astros vs Cubs R.Wolf vs R.Dempster Cubs 68.60% 9.59 4 Astros
Giants vs Rockies B.Zito vs A.Cook Rockies 76.00% 9.58 11 Giants
Cardinals vs DBacks K.Lohse vs D.Davis DBacks 59.49% 10.34 7 DBacks
Orioles vs Red Sox L.Cormier vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 78.74% 10.30 9 Red Sox
White Sox vs Indians J.Vazquez vs J.Sowers White Sox 57.38% 11.62 6 White Sox
Angels vs Tigers J.Garland vs Z.Miner Angels 52.63% 10.40 15 Tigers
Twins vs Blue Jays N.Blackburn vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 79.68% 7.89 9 Blue Jays
Yankees vs Rays C.Pavano vs E.Jackson Rays 50.85% 9.40 12 Yankees
Mariners vs Rangers F.Hernandez vs D.Nippert Rangers 55.15% 10.50 1 Rangers
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Monday, September 01, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, September 2nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers C.Baek vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 63.93% 8.28 12 Dodgers
Braves vs Marlins C.Morton vs A.Sanchez Marlins 62.69% 9.57 30 Braves
Phillies vs Nationals C.Hamels vs J.Lannan Phillies 62.27% 9.64 4 Phillies
Pirates vs Reds I.Snell vs A.Harang Reds 62.80% 9.18 5 Pirates
Mets vs Brewers J.Niese vs M.Parra Brewers 65.19% 10.86 11 Mets
Astros vs Cubs B.Backe vs C.Zambrano Cubs 66.69% 9.62 16 Astros
Giants vs Rockies T.Lincecum vs L.Hernandez Rockies 53.92% 8.47 11 Rockies
Cardinals vs DBacks A.Wainwright vs Y.Petit DBacks 57.82% 9.37 10 Cardinals
Orioles vs Red Sox R.Liz vs J.Lester Red Sox 81.95% 10.52 16 Red Sox
White Sox vs Indians J.Danks vs F.Carmona White Sox 53.23% 8.91 12 Indians
Angels vs Tigers J.Saunders vs C.Lambert Angels 55.82% 9.96 9 Angels
Twins vs Blue Jays G.Perkins vs D.Purcey Blue Jays 59.77% 9.88 12 Blue Jays
Yankees vs Rays M.Mussina vs M.Garza Rays 62.61% 7.45 9 Yankees
Mariners vs Rangers R.Feierabend vs B.McCarthy Rangers 69.58% 11.24 10 Rangers
A's vs Royals G.Gonzalez vs Z.Greinke Royals 62.94% 7.46 7 Royals
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