Wednesday, February 07, 2007

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times, using input stats from ZIPS. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. These simulations are meant to measure Pitcher A + Offense A + Bullpen A vs Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B. Not just Pitcher A vs Pitcher B.
Padres vs Dodgers
Pitcher  Schmidt Lowe Penny Wolf Billingsley Guo
Peavy .550 .536 .563 .592 .607 .554
Young .519 .502 .535 .578 .572 .541
Maddux .524 .509 .540 .573 .569 .526
Hensley .518 .528 .518 .548 .548 .527
Wells .487 .473 .476 .524 .528 .490
Standard error: 0.01

  > .675 > .650 > .625 > .600 > .575 > .550 > .525 > .500
Padres 0 0 0 1 2 5 11 7
Dodgers 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3

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