Showing posts with label Paul Maholm. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Paul Maholm. Show all posts

Friday, May 09, 2014

Giants vs Dodgers - Friday's Simulation Results


AwayHomeAway PitcherHome PitcherFavoriteAway RSHome RSWin %Total Runs
GiantsDodgersMadison BumgarnerPaul MaholmGiants4.004083.2891755.4487.29325



                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankGiantsDodgersOccurrencesRankGiantsDodgersOccurrences
12342595147586
21237065205572
33436995337563
43234065457559
52129285576533
64326935627506
73126885784504
84225685880467
94525005993462
104122876092454
111322006191445
125319596217421
130119586306400
142419586485388
155219356538375
165117976678372
175417796728345
183017136886320
192016086994316
201015737048287
213515387190287
221415297218280
2356148173102276
2402146174101273
256314517568266
266214377695264
2740143377103260
282513957858256
296113297907252
305012228087249
316412128139243
3203113682104230
336510888329214
3472108484100212
357110178596199
36159808619175
37469738749173
38609668808167
397393889111166
40369179089164
412687391105154
42048209259152
437480693112150
446773994113146
45827199569144
46817099697142
477067797110142
481667698310140
498367399210131
5075661100114119

Saturday, May 03, 2014

Dodgers vs Marlins - Saturday's Simulation Results


Simulation Results...
AwayHomeAway PitcherHome PitcherFavoriteAway RSHome RSWin %Total Runs
DodgersMarlinsPaul MaholmJacob TurnerDodgers4.885944.0429156.0978.92885

Box Score...


                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankDodgersMarlinsOccurrencesRankDodgersMarlinsOccurrences
12329955185708
23428965278704
34525935337701
44324985427675
53224595581660
61221675660658
74221095792650
85420865893623
92118655904612
105318526086562
112418266158561
125217566294557
135617546348553
143117526470547
153517316587532
164116086691531
171315356738522
186315196817513
196514746905486
206414487068485
212514017195474
226213587228468
2351132173102437
241413117480415
2536124075101414
2646121276103407
2774115877104387
286711417896375
297311087989350
307210618039343
316110318118342
327510028297338
33269558349337
34209278406333
353092385105316
360191386113311
371590587112304
38768958890301
39408658959297
40718649069290
41838419198282
42828299207273
435781593106271
44028069429270
451080495114253
464779696111247
470377997115233
488476298124230
49507149979226
5016712100310224

Disclaimer: Based off of 100K simulations with input statistics from Fangraphs Zips(U)

Monday, April 21, 2014

Phillies vs Dodgers - Monday's Simulation Results


                                           *** Simulation Results ***

AwayHomeAway SPHome SPFavoriteAway RS/GHome RS/GWin %Total Runs
PhilliesDodgersCliff LeePaul MaholmDodgers3.403.4552.966.85

                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankPhilliesDodgersOccurrencesRankPhilliesDodgersOccurrences
12348805147571
21245165275514
33437005382489
43234145457480
52132845528471
60127705681452
74326915770436
81325945807423
93125325984422
102423856076417
114523616183412
124223586218388
130221656338377
144120166448326
151419726585325
161018036678320
172017826792299
185317736829292
190317186958289
202517187008288
215216917193288
223516317219283
235416297391277
243015697480256
251513877539248
265113467686241
270413437794231
285613217868219
294012237949216
3062117480102195
316311248187188
323610668209183
332610448390177
346497184101168
356196685110166
36469598695166
37509538759160
380592888210159
396590289310158
40168939096149
417275291410147
427370892104138
43676719369132
44746719489130
457166595103129
46606619697114
472765697112114
483764598010112
490663699111108
5017583100100101

Notes: Based off of 100K simulations

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Dodgers vs Giants - Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores 4/16


                                            *** Simulation Results ***

                                   Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

RankDodgersGiantsOccurrencesRankDodgersGiantsOccurrences
12344285175603
21239665276573
33437395382572
43234455406553
52130585557552
64328245683496
73125955770475
81325225828458
94224675981434
104523866038422
112423826184421
120120656285378
134120296392373
141418826407350
155418376518349
165217816648339
175317666778339
182517526893338
193517446980328
201017257058303
210216997186295
222016657291286
233015417387282
245614747429258
250314667539254
261513757608250
275113737768247
286312267894246
294012117995233
303611828019231
316211488149227
322611428259219
3304110383102211
3464109884103199
3565107685101196
364610138690193
376197787104174
381689588210166
39508888996161
407382390310159
41058209169146
427280192110143
432773393100134
447472194105134
45377169509132
467171296113132
47677069789131
486069398510128
49476579997128
5017621100111121

Friday, April 04, 2014

Giants vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 4/5



                                   Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankGiantsDodgersOccurrencesRankGiantsDodgersOccurrences
1234799451475272
2124793552704953
3343634353824695
4213571054754624
5323550755814419
6012899756574326
7312839457074297
8132678658284254
9432561659834075
10422435060764070
11242264661183933
12452251662383796
13102201163843432
14022156964803236
15412126865483024
16202083266082868
17141946967922837
18301825368852798
19031707269782790
20521669070292729
21531604171192689
22251562072912636
23541536473582547
24351511574932482
25511510575392420
26401416476862276
27151304577681997
28041241978941984
29561234079491970
30621114580901936
31631079881871816
32501060682091773
336110404832101707
34369847841021686
35269647851101676
36649198861011580
3705911787951542
38168995883101531
3946864889591489
40658262901031440
41727503914101241
4260748692961217
43717039931041166
4473676794891146
4527656495691137
46066129962111125
47176110971001118
48676068980101103
4974589399111998
50375870100311979

Note: 1 million games simulated.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

May 4th Simulations



2012 MLB Simulations
VisitorsHomeProbable Pitching MatchupFavoriteVegas Win ProbSimulator Win ProbFinal Score
BALBOSWei-Yin Chen vs Jon LesterBOS61.32%57.29%TBD
FLASDJosh Johnson vs Anthony BassFLA53.81%59.76%TBD
NYAKCC.C. Sabathia vs Bruce ChenNYA61.17%59.67%TBD
OAKTBTyson Ross vs David PriceTB65.93%66.27%TBD
TEXCLEColby Lewis vs Jeanmar GomezTEX58.59%53.59%TBD
TORLAAHenderson Alvarez vs Ervin SantanaLAA55.26%58.83%TBD
LANCHNChad Billingsley vs Paul MaholmLAN56.99%50.79%TBD
CHADETJake Peavy vs Drew SmylyDET50.25%54.84%TBD
CINPITJohnny Cueto vs Kevin CorreiaCIN57.72%57.22%TBD
PHIWASKyle Kendrick vs Stephen StrasburgWAS65.75%61.98%TBD
ARINYNWade Miley vs Dillon GeeARI50.74%49.26%TBD
STLHOUKyle Lohse vs Lucas HarrellSTL58.42%61.15%TBD
ATLCOLTim Hudson vs Guillermo MoscosoATL51.81%49.08%TBD
MINSEACarl Pavano vs Jason VargasSEA56.62%49.42%TBD
MILSFZach Greinke vs Tim LincecumSF50.62%51.64%TBD

Current ROI: 6.09%

Yahoo Baseball Scoreboard

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

May 11th Simulations



Dodgers Offense Catches On In A Flash ...


Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Final Score
Dodgers Pirates H.Kuroda vs P.Maholm Pirates 50.62% 59.12% TBD
Red Sox Blue Jays J.Lackey vs J.Litsch Red Sox 53.81% 58.01% TBD
Reds Astros E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez Reds 52.27% 48.77% TBD
Phillies Marlins C.Lee vs R.Nolasco Phillies 51.10% 56.77% TBD
Mariners Orioles F.Hernandez vs C.Tillman Mariners 55.46% 48.01% TBD
Athletics Rangers G.Gonzalez vs M.Harrison Rangers 51.10% 47.58% TBD
White Sox Angels J.Peavy vs T.Chatwood Angels 50.62% 51.33% TBD
Cardinals Cubs J.Westbrook vs M.Garza Cubs 54.44% 54.43% TBD
Royals Yankees V.Mazzaro vs A.Burnett Yankees 67.21% 73.86% TBD
Nationals Braves J.Lannan vs T.Hanson Braves 66.10% 65.13% TBD
Tigers Twins P.Coke vs S.Baker Twins 50.62% 48.83% TBD
Rays Indians D.Price vs C.Carrasco Rays 52.94% 53.60% TBD
Mets Rockies J.Niese vs U.Jimenez Rockies 62.62% 60.69% TBD
DBacks Giants A.Galarraga vs J.Sanchez Giants 60.86% 67.17% TBD
Padres Brewers T.Stauffer vs R.Wolf Brewers 55.06% 48.63% TBD


Seasonal Money Line ROI: -4.30%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +10.47%

MLB Scoreboard
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