Dodger Sims: Ryan Vogelsong

Showing posts with label Ryan Vogelsong. Show all posts

Thursday, May 08, 2014

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Win %	Total Runs
Giants	Dodgers	Ryan Vogelsong	Josh Beckett	Dodgers	3.28815	4.06382	61.104	7.35197

Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Giants	Dodgers	Occurrences	Rank	Giants	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	4723	51	7	4	618
2	3	4	4028	52	5	7	590
3	1	2	3963	53	3	8	576
4	3	2	2855	54	7	5	560
5	1	3	2775	55	5	0	550
6	2	4	2727	56	7	1	479
7	4	5	2519	57	7	6	471
8	2	1	2466	58	4	8	455
9	4	3	2432	59	2	9	427
10	1	4	2350	60	0	8	416
11	2	5	2069	61	8	2	414
12	4	2	2050	62	8	4	409
13	0	1	2017	63	6	0	404
14	3	1	1952	64	1	9	390
15	0	2	1936	65	7	8	390
16	0	3	1907	66	3	9	379
17	3	5	1838	67	5	8	378
18	1	5	1732	68	8	3	374
19	5	4	1670	69	8	5	332
20	0	4	1588	70	8	1	308
21	5	3	1556	71	0	9	307
22	5	6	1547	72	4	9	304
23	4	1	1450	73	8	6	292
24	5	2	1415	74	6	8	288
25	3	6	1356	75	2	10	284
26	2	6	1351	76	1	10	267
27	1	6	1287	77	9	4	257
28	1	0	1239	78	7	0	248
29	0	5	1217	79	9	3	247
30	2	0	1171	80	9	2	236
31	4	6	1142	81	3	10	234
32	6	3	1080	82	5	9	230
33	6	5	1073	83	8	7	219
34	5	1	1040	84	9	1	197
35	2	7	1012	85	4	10	191
36	6	4	1012	86	2	11	189
37	3	0	982	87	0	10	185
38	0	6	937	88	1	11	185
39	6	2	926	89	8	9	184
40	1	7	924	90	9	5	183
41	3	7	860	91	6	9	177
42	6	7	849	92	9	6	161
43	4	7	775	93	10	3	161
44	4	0	762	94	3	11	157
45	6	1	712	95	9	7	151
46	7	3	704	96	10	2	144
47	1	8	662	97	5	10	140
48	7	2	660	98	10	4	138
49	0	7	659	99	8	0	134
50	2	8	647	100	6	10	128

Disclaimer: Game simulated 100K times.

*** Simulation Results ***

Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Giants	Occurrences	Rank	Dodgers	Giants	Occurrences
1	2	3	4428	51	7	5	603
2	1	2	3966	52	7	6	573
3	3	4	3739	53	8	2	572
4	3	2	3445	54	0	6	553
5	2	1	3058	55	5	7	552
6	4	3	2824	56	8	3	496
7	3	1	2595	57	7	0	475
8	1	3	2522	58	2	8	458
9	4	2	2467	59	8	1	434
10	4	5	2386	60	3	8	422
11	2	4	2382	61	8	4	421
12	0	1	2065	62	8	5	378
13	4	1	2029	63	9	2	373
14	1	4	1882	64	0	7	350
15	5	4	1837	65	1	8	349
16	5	2	1781	66	4	8	339
17	5	3	1766	67	7	8	339
18	2	5	1752	68	9	3	338
19	3	5	1744	69	8	0	328
20	1	0	1725	70	5	8	303
21	0	2	1699	71	8	6	295
22	2	0	1665	72	9	1	286
23	3	0	1541	73	8	7	282
24	5	6	1474	74	2	9	258
25	0	3	1466	75	3	9	254
26	1	5	1375	76	0	8	250
27	5	1	1373	77	6	8	247
28	6	3	1226	78	9	4	246
29	4	0	1211	79	9	5	233
30	3	6	1182	80	1	9	231
31	6	2	1148	81	4	9	227
32	2	6	1142	82	5	9	219
33	0	4	1103	83	10	2	211
34	6	4	1098	84	10	3	199
35	6	5	1076	85	10	1	196
36	4	6	1013	86	9	0	193
37	6	1	977	87	10	4	174
38	1	6	895	88	2	10	166
39	5	0	888	89	9	6	161
40	7	3	823	90	3	10	159
41	0	5	820	91	6	9	146
42	7	2	801	92	1	10	143
43	2	7	733	93	10	0	134
44	7	4	721	94	10	5	134
45	3	7	716	95	0	9	132
46	7	1	712	96	11	3	132
47	6	7	706	97	8	9	131
48	6	0	693	98	5	10	128
49	4	7	657	99	9	7	128
50	1	7	621	100	11	1	121

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BOS	NYA	Felix Doubront vs Hiroki Kuroda	NYA	61.83%	55.44%	TBD
CHA	TEX	Gavin Floyd vs Scott Feldman	TEX	58.93%	62.31%	TBD
PHI	ATL	Roy Halladay vs Tim Hudson	ATL	51.10%	50.57%	TBD
STL	CHN	Adam Wainwright vs Paul Maholm	STL	59.27%	63.27%	TBD
TB	LAA	Jeremy Hellickson vs Zach Greinke	LAA	65.10%	66.91%	TBD
DET	TOR	Doug Fister vs Brett Cecil	DET	58.07%	61.11%	TBD
SD	FLA	Clayton Richard vs Josh Johnson	FLA	61.54%	62.28%	TBD
OAK	BAL	Travis Blackley vs Brian Matusz	BAL	50.86%	56.75%	TBD
PIT	HOU	James McDonald vs Lucas Harrell	PIT	59.60%	54.68%	TBD
CLE	MIN	Ubaldo Jimenez vs Brian Duensing	MIN	54.02%	57.93%	TBD
WAS	MIL	Gio Gonzalez vs Mark Rogers	WAS	58.76%	57.60%	TBD
CIN	COL	Mat Latos vs Jonathan Sanchez	CIN	61.69%	57.62%	TBD
LAN	SF	Clayton Kershaw vs Ryan Vogelsong	LAN	51.57%	56.18%	TBD
KC	SEA	Wil Smith vs Felix Hernandez	SEA	61.69%	59.99%	TBD
NYN	ARI	R.A. Dickey vs Joe Saunders	ARI	51.34%	46.63%	TBD

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BOS	KC	Daniel Bard vs Danny Duffy	BOS	53.81%	49.81%	TBD
CHA	CLE	John Danks vs Justin Masterson	CLE	57.54%	58.79%	TBD
COL	SD	Alex White vs Jeff Suppan	COL	50.86%	54.18%	TBD
SF	LAN	Ryan Vogelsong vs Clayton Kershaw	LAN	65.10%	63.05%	TBD
NYN	PHI	Miguel Batista vs Joe Blanton	PHI	62.19%	61.26%	TBD
TB	NYA	James Shields vs Ivan Nova	NYA	52.27%	55.79%	TBD
TEX	BAL	Neftali Feliz vs Wei-Yin Chen	TEX	55.65%	55.86%	TBD
WAS	PIT	Edwin Jackson vs A.J. Burnett	WAS	51.81%	52.59%	TBD
ATL	CHN	Randall Delgado vs Ryan Dempster	CHN	51.34%	52.46%	TBD
FLA	HOU	Anibal Sanchez vs Anuery Rodriguez	FLA	58.25%	68.02%	TBD
LAA	MIN	Dan Haren vs Scott Diamond	LAA	62.89%	61.95%	TBD
CIN	MIL	Homer Bailey vs Yovanni Gallardo	MIL	56.04%	60.78%	TBD
STL	ARI	Jake Westbrook vs Ian Kennedy	ARI	54.65%	54.36%	TBD
TOR	OAK	Ricky Romero vs Brandon McCarthy	OAK	54.65%	55.74%	TBD
DET	SEA	Justin Verlander vs Kevin Millwood	DET	66.10%	66.85%	TBD

Current ROI: 8.96%

Foxsports Baseball Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Giants	D.Eveland vs R.Vogelsong	Giants	58.33%	65.39%	LAN 3-0
BAL	TOR	Rick VandenHurk vs Henderson Alvarez	TOR	TBD	52.992	TBD
SD	ARI	Tim Stauffer vs Wade Miley	ARI	TBD	61.885	TBD
HOU	WAS	Wandy Rodriguez vs John Lannan	WAS	TBD	59.804	TBD
MIN	DET	Anthony Swarzak vs Max Scherzer	DET	TBD	64.649	TBD
CIN	COL	Bronson Arroyo vs Alex White	COL	TBD	59.241	TBD
CLE	CHA	Fausto Carmona vs Phil Humber	CHA	TBD	56.166	TBD
NYA	LAA	C.C. Sabathia vs Dan Haren	NYA	TBD	57.177	TBD
KC	SEA	Felipe Paulino vs Michael Pineda	SEA	TBD	54.503	TBD
FLA	PIT	Anibal Sanchez vs Jeff Locke	FLA	TBD	53.874	TBD
CHN	NYN	Randy Wells vs Chris Capuano	NYN	TBD	63.723	TBD
OAK	TEX	Trevor Cahill vs Alexi Ogando	TEX	TBD	63.387	TBD
BOS	TB	Kyle Weiland vs Jeremy Hellickson	BOS	TBD	50.75	TBD
PHI	MIL	Cliff Lee vs Randy Wolf	PHI	TBD	57.028	TBD
ATL	STL	Derek Lowe vs Jaime Garcia	STL	TBD	66.521	TBD