Tigers vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 4/9

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Tigers	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	47257		51	1	7	5750
2	1	2	42579		52	0	6	5728
3	3	4	38070		53	8	2	5455
4	3	2	33824		54	8	3	5137
5	2	1	30881		55	7	6	5116
6	4	3	26697		56	5	7	5089
7	1	3	25711		57	7	0	5039
8	3	1	25550		58	8	1	4961
9	4	5	25331		59	8	4	4356
10	4	2	23971		60	2	8	4175
11	2	4	23770		61	3	8	3891
12	0	1	22718		62	0	7	3789
13	4	1	19590		63	1	8	3780
14	1	4	19130		64	8	5	3532
15	0	2	18203		65	7	8	3453
16	5	3	17740		66	9	2	3415
17	5	4	17599		67	4	8	3377
18	5	2	17236		68	8	0	3217
19	2	0	16920		69	9	3	3189
20	1	0	16441		70	9	1	3016
21	2	5	16405		71	5	8	2963
22	3	5	16317		72	8	6	2891
23	3	0	15502		73	9	4	2672
24	0	3	15314		74	2	9	2568
25	5	1	14729		75	8	7	2426
26	5	6	14623		76	0	8	2418
27	1	5	13349		77	6	8	2406
28	4	0	12850		78	1	9	2399
29	6	2	12128		79	3	9	2312
30	6	3	11869		80	9	5	2094
31	0	4	11737		81	9	0	2076
32	6	1	10692		82	4	9	2053
33	6	4	10617		83	10	2	1993
34	2	6	10561		84	10	3	1975
35	3	6	10516		85	10	1	1892
36	5	0	9848		86	10	4	1618
37	4	6	9717		87	2	10	1601
38	6	5	9638		88	3	10	1570
39	1	6	8934		89	5	9	1539
40	0	5	8367		90	9	6	1538
41	7	2	8319		91	8	9	1480
42	7	3	7775		92	0	9	1424
43	6	7	7415		93	1	10	1391
44	7	1	7362		94	6	9	1306
45	6	0	7203		95	10	0	1253
46	7	4	6756		96	9	7	1249
47	2	7	6677		97	10	5	1240
48	3	7	6353		98	11	2	1193
49	4	7	5948		99	4	10	1186
50	7	5	5861		100	11	3	1058

Note: One million games simulated.

Tigers vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 4/8

                              Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Tigers	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	48012		51	4	7	5576
2	1	2	43460		52	0	6	5302
3	3	4	38546		53	7	0	5291
4	3	2	35562		54	1	7	5156
5	2	1	32697		55	8	3	5000
6	4	3	27493		56	8	1	4935
7	3	1	27158		57	7	6	4886
8	1	3	25485		58	5	7	4693
9	4	2	25459		59	8	4	4196
10	4	5	24943		60	2	8	3869
11	2	4	23322		61	3	8	3578
12	0	1	23312		62	8	0	3546
13	4	1	20890		63	9	2	3437
14	2	0	18633		64	8	5	3389
15	1	4	18339		65	0	7	3368
16	5	3	18100		66	1	8	3350
17	5	2	18021		67	7	8	3169
18	1	0	17678		68	9	1	3081
19	0	2	17649		69	9	3	3064
20	5	4	17437		70	4	8	3035
21	3	0	17091		71	5	8	2714
22	3	5	16356		72	8	6	2699
23	2	5	16002		73	9	4	2573
24	5	1	15881		74	2	9	2300
25	0	3	14399		75	8	7	2264
26	4	0	14041		76	3	9	2200
27	5	6	13836		77	6	8	2187
28	6	2	12682		78	9	0	2169
29	1	5	12326		79	10	2	2096
30	6	3	11899		80	0	8	2035
31	6	1	11280		81	1	9	2029
32	0	4	10780		82	10	3	1947
33	5	0	10743		83	9	5	1915
34	6	4	10591		84	10	1	1858
35	3	6	10117		85	4	9	1821
36	2	6	9875		86	10	4	1523
37	6	5	9631		87	9	6	1480
38	4	6	9201		88	5	9	1414
39	7	2	8472		89	2	10	1383
40	1	6	8235		90	8	9	1321
41	7	3	7880		91	3	10	1266
42	6	0	7745		92	0	9	1250
43	7	1	7683		93	10	0	1246
44	0	5	7536		94	10	5	1224
45	7	4	6915		95	1	10	1190
46	6	7	6887		96	6	9	1176
47	2	7	6079		97	9	7	1158
48	3	7	5904		98	11	1	1134
49	7	5	5682		99	11	2	1113
50	8	2	5601		100	4	10	1089

Tigers vs Athletics - Simulation Results ALDS Game #5

Note: Vegas favors the Tigers, with a 50.4% win probability

                              Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences
1	2	3	47850		51	0	7	5421
2	1	2	46995		52	7	5	5267
3	3	4	35717		53	4	7	5221
4	2	1	35067		54	1	8	4650
5	3	2	34733		55	2	8	4638
6	1	3	27911		56	7	6	4490
7	0	1	27768		57	5	7	4434
8	4	3	25769		58	8	2	4302
9	3	1	25116		59	8	3	4064
10	2	4	22857		60	7	0	4026
11	4	5	22567		61	8	1	4000
12	4	2	22439		62	3	8	3956
13	0	2	21855		63	0	8	3590
14	1	0	21356		64	8	4	3547
15	1	4	20811		65	2	9	3182
16	0	3	19518		66	4	8	3170
17	2	0	18929		67	8	5	3149
18	4	1	18293		68	1	9	3113
19	5	4	16336		69	7	8	3068
20	5	3	16019		70	9	2	2835
21	3	0	15733		71	8	0	2751
22	2	5	15531		72	9	3	2720
23	5	2	15342		73	9	1	2611
24	3	5	15199		74	3	9	2607
25	0	4	14357		75	5	8	2586
26	1	5	14249		76	8	6	2549
27	5	6	12524		77	0	9	2363
28	5	1	12211		78	9	4	2206
29	4	0	11109		79	6	8	2184
30	0	5	10713		80	8	7	2130
31	6	3	10272		81	4	9	1965
32	2	6	10170		82	2	10	1951
33	1	6	9911		83	1	10	1864
34	3	6	9669		84	9	5	1860
35	6	2	9664		85	10	2	1843
36	6	4	9630		86	9	0	1809
37	6	5	9223		87	3	10	1759
38	4	6	8681		88	10	1	1746
39	6	1	8467		89	10	3	1745
40	5	0	7984		90	0	10	1552
41	0	6	7594		91	5	9	1530
42	1	7	7017		92	9	6	1507
43	2	7	7004		93	10	4	1421
44	6	7	6539		94	8	9	1350
45	7	2	6524		95	4	10	1260
46	7	3	6220		96	9	7	1240
47	3	7	6075		97	10	0	1193
48	7	4	5900		98	6	9	1191
49	7	1	5778		99	1	11	1175
50	6	0	5770		100	10	5	1149

Athletics vs Tigers - ALDS Game #4 Simulation Results

                                  Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Athletics	Tigers	Occurrences		Rank	Athletics	Tigers	Occurrences
1	2	3	4332		51	2	9	595
2	3	4	3991		52	7	6	591
3	1	2	3538		53	7	8	585
4	4	5	2887		54	4	0	581
5	3	2	2534		55	4	8	571
6	1	3	2438		56	6	1	569
7	2	4	2437		57	0	8	554
8	4	3	2248		58	7	2	550
9	2	1	2137		59	1	9	549
10	1	4	2056		60	7	3	538
11	3	5	1958		61	3	9	481
12	2	5	1877		62	5	8	481
13	5	6	1844		63	2	10	468
14	1	5	1701		64	1	10	449
15	0	3	1639		65	3	10	419
16	4	2	1638		66	5	0	408
17	5	4	1628		67	0	9	406
18	3	1	1612		68	4	9	394
19	0	1	1556		69	6	8	374
20	0	2	1505		70	8	3	372
21	0	4	1416		71	7	1	367
22	5	3	1400		72	8	2	359
23	2	6	1377		73	8	4	357
24	3	6	1361		74	8	5	357
25	4	6	1204		75	8	7	353
26	1	6	1191		76	5	9	340
27	4	1	1152		77	8	6	336
28	6	5	1117		78	1	11	327
29	0	5	1104		79	0	10	315
30	5	2	1077		80	6	0	312
31	6	7	1068		81	3	11	302
32	6	4	1029		82	4	10	299
33	1	7	990		83	2	11	283
34	3	7	973		84	8	1	278
35	2	7	972		85	8	9	258
36	1	0	968		86	6	9	253
37	0	6	918		87	9	4	241
38	2	0	894		88	0	11	235
39	4	7	878		89	4	11	235
40	6	3	833		90	9	3	233
41	3	0	787		91	9	2	230
42	2	8	774		92	2	12	225
43	5	7	767		93	7	9	219
44	6	2	761		94	7	0	211
45	5	1	746		95	1	12	205
46	1	8	731		96	9	6	191
47	3	8	722		97	5	10	186
48	0	7	683		98	9	5	185
49	7	5	644		99	9	7	185
50	7	4	606		100	3	12	182

Tigers vs Athletics - ALDS Game #2 Simulation Results

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Score

Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences
1	2	3	4683		51	0	7	537
2	1	2	4571		52	1	8	510
3	3	4	3537		53	7	5	506
4	2	1	3498		54	4	7	480
5	3	2	3435		55	2	8	478
6	0	1	2743		56	5	7	455
7	1	3	2720		57	7	6	445
8	4	3	2567		58	8	2	435
9	3	1	2499		59	7	0	420
10	4	2	2389		60	8	3	420
11	2	4	2183		61	3	8	416
12	4	5	2162		62	8	1	416
13	0	2	2159		63	0	8	371
14	1	0	2141		64	8	4	370
15	1	4	2016		65	7	8	347
16	0	3	1933		66	1	9	346
17	4	1	1849		67	4	8	329
18	2	0	1833		68	2	9	317
19	5	4	1567		69	8	5	308
20	3	0	1558		70	9	2	304
21	3	5	1530		71	9	1	301
22	5	3	1520		72	9	3	283
23	5	2	1473		73	0	9	282
24	1	5	1465		74	8	6	276
25	2	5	1456		75	3	9	265
26	0	4	1411		76	8	0	261
27	5	6	1291		77	1	10	253
28	5	1	1164		78	5	8	248
29	4	0	1107		79	2	10	242
30	6	3	999		80	6	8	226
31	2	6	997		81	10	2	223
32	6	5	971		82	8	7	208
33	6	4	967		83	10	1	206
34	0	5	960		84	4	9	205
35	3	6	936		85	9	4	204
36	6	2	934		86	9	0	203
37	1	6	921		87	0	10	179
38	6	1	857		88	9	5	178
39	4	6	806		89	3	10	174
40	5	0	761		90	2	11	165
41	0	6	674		91	10	3	165
42	1	7	651		92	5	9	162
43	7	3	646		93	9	6	152
44	2	7	635		94	4	10	150
45	7	2	629		95	10	4	148
46	7	1	618		96	11	3	148
47	6	7	615		97	10	0	138
48	3	7	589		98	1	11	137
49	7	4	588		99	8	9	136
50	6	0	548		100	9	7	128

Tigers vs Athletics - ALDS Game #1 Simulation Results

Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences
1	1	2	4703		51	8	2	506
2	2	3	4616		52	1	7	493
3	2	1	3946		53	0	6	480
4	3	2	3764		54	3	7	460
5	3	4	3516		55	7	6	431
6	3	1	3010		56	8	3	429
7	0	1	2825		57	4	7	427
8	4	3	2707		58	5	7	405
9	1	3	2542		59	8	0	402
10	4	2	2490		60	8	4	374
11	1	0	2393		61	9	2	357
12	2	0	2374		62	1	8	348
13	4	1	2262		63	0	7	346
14	4	5	2138		64	2	8	338
15	2	4	2028		65	9	1	331
16	3	0	2002		66	8	5	313
17	0	2	1899		67	3	8	309
18	1	4	1740		68	9	3	300
19	5	2	1739		69	2	9	261
20	5	3	1686		70	4	8	260
21	5	4	1596		71	0	8	259
22	0	3	1564		72	7	8	249
23	5	1	1482		73	8	6	242
24	4	0	1453		74	5	8	238
25	3	5	1346		75	9	4	236
26	2	5	1345		76	10	1	236
27	6	2	1164		77	9	0	233
28	0	4	1102		78	1	9	231
29	6	3	1097		79	10	2	226
30	5	6	1093		80	10	3	218
31	1	5	1048		81	8	7	213
32	6	1	1030		82	3	9	204
33	5	0	1017		83	9	5	191
34	6	4	941		84	6	8	189
35	6	5	855		85	0	9	169
36	3	6	833		86	10	0	167
37	4	6	817		87	2	10	160
38	2	6	775		88	1	10	158
39	6	0	763		89	3	10	152
40	1	6	754		90	11	2	150
41	7	1	744		91	11	1	147
42	7	2	741		92	10	4	142
43	7	3	704		93	11	3	142
44	0	5	677		94	5	9	140
45	6	7	599		95	9	6	137
46	7	4	594		96	4	9	125
47	8	1	551		97	11	0	125
48	2	7	544		98	4	10	115
49	7	0	520		99	8	9	115
50	7	5	512		100	0	10	113

July 19th Simulation Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	ML Bets
ARI	CIN	Joe Saunders vs Mike Leake	CIN	57.54%	58.09%	- - -
CHA	BOS	Jose Quintana vs Clay Buchholz	BOS	54.85%	53.18%	CHA, 0.4u
CLE	TB	Ubaldo Jimenez vs David Price	TB	61.83%	63.47%	TB, 0.6u
HOU	SD	Lucas Harrell vs Edinson Volquez	SD	59.10%	56.71%	- - -
SEA	KC	Felix Hernandez vs Wil Smith	SEA	55.06%	53.48%	- - -
SF	ATL	Madison Bumgarner vs Tim Hudson	ATL	52.94%	52.14%	- - -
NYN	WAS	R.A. Dickey vs Gio Gonzalez	WAS	55.65%	54.31%	NYN, 0.3u
LAA	DET	Jerome Williams vs Max Scherzer	DET	57.36%	58.28%	DET, 0.2u
BAL	MIN	Wei-Yin Chen vs Cole DeVries	MIN	50.86%	53.58%	MIN, 0.9u
FLA	CHN	Mark Buehrle vs Paul Maholm	FLA	54.65%	50.29%	CHN, 1.4u
NYA	OAK	Freddy Garcia vs A.J. Griffin	NYA	53.38%	51.36%	OAK, 0.6u

Today's Run Total Bets:
NYN vs WAS, Under 7.5 -120, 1.4 units
HOU vs SD, Over 6.5 +100, 1.0 units
NYA vs OAK, Over 7.5 -115, 2.0 units

Previous Day: +4.5 units (risked 7.1u) ML and -1.5 units (risked 1.5u) on Run Totals
Current ML ROI: 3.61%

Notes: Big win on the Tigers game yesterday with the ML bet and almost nailed the Run Total bet too but the Angels tacked on a meaningless 9th inning run for the push. Big bet today is the Yankees and Athletics going over 7.5 runs and the Cubs beating the Marlins on the ML.

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

Tigers vs Rangers ALCS Game #6 Simulated Box Score

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Austin Jackson	4.456	1.065	0.73	0.2	0.06	0.075	0.327	0.353	1.662	0.291
Ryan Raburn	4.366	1.114	0.628	0.294	0.015	0.177	0.507	0.304	1.314	0.325
Miguel Cabrera	3.996	1.243	0.697	0.343	0.002	0.201	0.585	0.593	0.814	0.408
Victor Martinez	4.144	1.263	0.847	0.293	0.003	0.121	0.538	0.307	0.562	0.356
Delmon Young	4.178	1.149	0.748	0.254	0.009	0.139	0.538	0.217	0.947	0.325
Jhonny Peralta	3.998	1.047	0.678	0.216	0.015	0.137	0.475	0.283	0.943	0.321
Alex Avila	3.747	0.926	0.582	0.202	0.023	0.119	0.415	0.416	1.189	0.322
Brandon Inge	3.757	0.878	0.511	0.257	0.017	0.093	0.383	0.3	1.019	0.296
Ramon Santiago	3.673	0.977	0.615	0.236	0.04	0.085	0.393	0.242	0.748	0.319
Ian Kinsler	4.168	1.186	0.676	0.249	0.029	0.232	0.574	0.496	0.571	0.38
Elvis Andrus	4.163	1.156	0.895	0.196	0.025	0.04	0.329	0.381	0.642	0.317
Josh Hamilton	4.133	1.306	0.737	0.281	0.066	0.222	0.696	0.394	0.872	0.405
Michael Young	4.079	1.27	0.915	0.238	0.032	0.084	0.519	0.293	0.622	0.353
Adrian Beltre	4.042	1.269	0.685	0.323	0.006	0.255	0.794	0.227	0.611	0.395
Mike Napoli	3.733	1.064	0.599	0.244	0.004	0.216	0.624	0.418	0.937	0.379
Nelson Cruz	3.763	1.04	0.57	0.243	0.011	0.216	0.61	0.276	0.941	0.359
David Murphy	3.589	1.041	0.654	0.209	0.026	0.151	0.5	0.382	0.688	0.367
Endy Chavez	3.568	0.991	0.678	0.174	0.032	0.107	0.427	0.303	0.731	0.336

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Max Scherzer	5.447	4.149	1.621	6.752	1.166	88.894	5.352
Jose Valverde	0.392	0.33	0.164	0.411	0.042	6.447	4.165
Joaquin Benoit	0.44	0.399	0.119	0.481	0.061	7.015	4.007
Al Alburquerque	0.722	0.719	0.402	0.707	0.051	12.406	3.807
Phil Coke	0.465	0.282	0.211	0.554	0.044	7.772	4.591
Ryan Perry	0.78	0.456	0.402	0.953	0.087	13.327	5.033
Daniel Schlereth	0.36	0.273	0.243	0.439	0.067	6.549	6.141
Brad Penny	0.02	0.007	0.007	0.027	0.004	0.323	6.232
Derek Holland	5.938	5.666	2.043	6.39	0.757	97.037	3.981
Neftali Feliz	0.425	0.461	0.138	0.391	0.031	6.776	2.948
Mike Adams	0.43	0.466	0.09	0.412	0.035	6.656	2.709
Koji Uehara	0.756	0.99	0.12	0.733	0.134	11.815	3.356
Alexi Ogando	0.429	0.372	0.119	0.478	0.049	6.856	3.787
Mike Gonzalez	0.893	0.922	0.402	0.92	0.113	15.065	4.134
Darren Oliver	0.321	0.314	0.103	0.329	0.026	5.163	3.276
Yoshinori Tateyama	0.007	0.007	0.002	0.008	0.001	0.111	4.893

Top 150 Most Likely Scores

1 TEX 4-3		51 TEX 8-1		101 TEX 11-5
2 TEX 3-2		52 TEX 6-0		102 TEX 11-1
3 TEX 5-4		53 TEX 8-6		103 TEX 12-2
4 TEX 6-5		54 DET 8-6		104 TEX 10-0
5 DET 4-3		55 TEX 9-3		105 TEX 10-7
6 TEX 2-1		56 DET 8-5		106 DET 10-7
7 TEX 4-2		57 DET 8-4		107 DET 9-1
8 DET 3-2		58 TEX 9-2		108 TEX 12-3
9 DET 5-4		59 DET 8-3		109 DET 10-2
10 TEX 5-3		60 DET 8-7		110 DET 7-0
11 TEX 3-1		61 DET 6-1		111 TEX 12-4
12 TEX 5-2		62 DET 2-0		112 DET 11-4
13 TEX 7-6		63 TEX 9-8		113 DET 10-8
14 TEX 4-1		64 TEX 7-0		114 TEX 12-1
15 DET 4-2		65 TEX 9-4		115 TEX 10-8
16 TEX 6-3		66 DET 1-0		116 DET 11-3
17 DET 5-3		67 TEX 9-1		117 DET 10-1
18 DET 6-5		68 TEX 9-5		118 DET 10-9
19 TEX 6-4		69 DET 8-2		119 DET 11-5
20 TEX 6-2		70 DET 3-0		120 TEX 12-5
21 DET 2-1		71 TEX 10-2		121 TEX 11-6
22 DET 6-4		72 DET 9-4		122 TEX 13-2
23 TEX 5-1		73 TEX 10-3		123 TEX 11-7
24 DET 5-2		74 DET 7-1		124 DET 11-7
25 TEX 7-3		75 TEX 9-6		125 DET 11-6
26 DET 6-3		76 TEX 10-4		126 TEX 11-10
27 TEX 6-1		77 TEX 8-0		127 DET 8-0
28 DET 3-1		78 DET 9-5		128 TEX 13-3
29 TEX 7-4		79 DET 9-3		129 TEX 11-0
30 TEX 7-2		80 TEX 10-1		130 TEX 13-4
31 TEX 7-5		81 DET 4-0		131 DET 12-4
32 TEX 3-0		82 DET 9-6		132 DET 12-5
33 DET 4-1		83 TEX 9-7		133 TEX 11-8
34 DET 7-4		84 TEX 10-5		134 DET 11-2
35 DET 7-6		85 DET 9-7		135 TEX 12-6
36 TEX 8-7		86 DET 5-0		136 DET 11-8
37 TEX 4-0		87 TEX 9-0		137 DET 12-6
38 DET 7-5		88 DET 9-2		138 TEX 13-5
39 DET 6-2		89 DET 9-8		139 DET 9-0
40 TEX 2-0		90 DET 8-1		140 TEX 14-4
41 TEX 7-1		91 TEX 11-3		141 TEX 11-9
42 TEX 8-3		92 DET 10-4		142 TEX 12-0
43 TEX 8-2		93 TEX 11-4		143 TEX 13-1
44 TEX 1-0		94 TEX 11-2		144 DET 12-3
45 DET 7-3		95 DET 10-5		145 TEX 13-6
46 TEX 8-4		96 TEX 10-9		146 TEX 14-2
47 DET 5-1		97 DET 10-3		147 TEX 14-3
48 TEX 5-0		98 DET 6-0		148 DET 11-9
49 TEX 8-5		99 TEX 10-6		149 DET 12-7
50 DET 7-2		100 DET 10-6		150 DET 12-2

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October 15th Simulations

Closing Time For Texas ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Rangers	M.Scherzer vs D.Holland	Rangers	58.93%	61.34%	TEX 15-5

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October 13th Simulations

Tigers On The Brink ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Tigers	C.Wilson vs J.Verlander	Tigers	60.24%	49.06%	DET 7-5
Brewers	Cardinals	R.Wolf vs K.Lohse	Cardinals	56.62%	64.06%	MIL 4-2

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October 12th Simulations

Double Your LCS Pleasure! ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Tigers	M.Harrison vs R.Porcello	Rangers	52.38%	54.12%	TEX 7-3
Brewers	Cardinals	Y.Gallardo vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	59.27%	63.67%	STL 4-3

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October 11th Simulations

Fister Of Fury ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Tigers	C.Lewis vs D.Fister	Tigers	56.99%	58.97%	DET 5-2

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Tigers vs Rangers ALCS Game #2 Simulated Box Score

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Austin Jackson	4.443	1.053	0.724	0.197	0.058	0.075	0.311	0.353	1.659	0.289
Ramon Santiago	4.33	1.133	0.71	0.273	0.048	0.102	0.413	0.283	0.877	0.315
Delmon Young	4.351	1.183	0.77	0.259	0.009	0.145	0.487	0.229	0.99	0.322
Miguel Cabrera	3.891	1.2	0.671	0.333	0.002	0.195	0.594	0.584	0.792	0.407
Victor Martinez	4.032	1.222	0.818	0.283	0.002	0.119	0.526	0.304	0.549	0.355
Ryan Raburn	3.989	1.014	0.573	0.267	0.013	0.16	0.539	0.278	1.199	0.324
Jhonny Peralta	3.88	1.003	0.65	0.207	0.015	0.132	0.466	0.278	0.914	0.318
Alex Avila	3.633	0.888	0.561	0.191	0.022	0.114	0.405	0.408	1.15	0.32
Brandon Inge	3.66	0.842	0.488	0.248	0.015	0.091	0.366	0.281	0.997	0.292
Rangers
Ian Kinsler	4.17	1.181	0.672	0.249	0.028	0.231	0.576	0.494	0.565	0.378
Elvis Andrus	4.16	1.158	0.893	0.199	0.026	0.04	0.334	0.381	0.64	0.318
Josh Hamilton	4.135	1.302	0.733	0.283	0.066	0.221	0.695	0.389	0.878	0.403
Michael Young	4.078	1.267	0.909	0.24	0.033	0.085	0.521	0.292	0.62	0.353
Adrian Beltre	4.04	1.266	0.678	0.321	0.006	0.26	0.791	0.228	0.608	0.396
Mike Napoli	3.727	1.049	0.591	0.241	0.004	0.212	0.605	0.421	0.937	0.375
Nelson Cruz	3.76	1.032	0.566	0.242	0.011	0.213	0.601	0.277	0.935	0.357
David Murphy	3.584	1.028	0.688	0.178	0.027	0.135	0.463	0.385	0.67	0.358
Mitch Moreland	3.498	0.932	0.604	0.19	0.012	0.126	0.442	0.371	0.775	0.339

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Max Scherzer	5.448	4.142	1.653	6.692	1.166	88.857	5.372
Jose Valverde	0.389	0.329	0.167	0.405	0.042	6.416	4.189
Joaquin Benoit	0.444	0.402	0.121	0.477	0.062	7.061	4.011
Al Alburquerque	0.72	0.726	0.416	0.696	0.052	12.441	3.856
Phil Coke	0.465	0.284	0.217	0.543	0.044	7.767	4.602
Ryan Perry	0.783	0.465	0.411	0.949	0.089	13.407	5.059
Daniel Schlereth	0.359	0.272	0.246	0.425	0.066	6.506	6.143
Brad Penny	0.02	0.008	0.007	0.026	0.004	0.321	6.23
Rangers
Derek Holland	5.982	5.643	2.032	6.354	0.752	97.246	3.968
Neftali Feliz	0.426	0.461	0.141	0.388	0.032	6.792	2.989
Mike Adams	0.426	0.464	0.091	0.405	0.034	6.595	2.684
Koji Uehara	0.75	0.974	0.116	0.711	0.129	11.643	3.297
Alexi Ogando	0.425	0.368	0.114	0.461	0.048	6.731	3.758
Mike Gonzalez	0.875	0.905	0.402	0.894	0.111	14.779	4.16
Darren Oliver	0.314	0.304	0.101	0.32	0.027	5.041	3.323
Yoshinori Tateyama	0.006	0.006	0.002	0.007	0.001	0.103	4.364

Starting Pitchers	Away	Home	Favorite	Exp Win%	Away Runs/Game	Home Runs/Game	Total Runs/Game
Max Scherzer vs Derek Holland	Tigers	Rangers	Rangers	61.71%	4.16	5.11	9.27

Top 25 Most Likely Scores

Rank	Tigers	Rangers	Out of 100K
1	3	4	3538
2	2	3	3358
3	4	5	3227
4	5	6	2310
5	1	2	2305
6	4	3	2232
7	2	4	2103
8	3	2	1968
9	3	5	1947
10	5	4	1884
11	1	3	1788
12	2	5	1716
13	1	4	1627
14	5	3	1561
15	6	7	1558
16	3	6	1520
17	4	2	1517
18	4	6	1499
19	6	5	1421
20	2	6	1340
21	2	1	1308
22	1	5	1292
23	6	4	1281
24	5	2	1223
25	4	7	1124

Cardinals vs Brewers Simulation box score.
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October 10th Simulations

Cardinals and Tigers Need A Win ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Rangers	M.Scherzer vs D.Holland	Rangers	58.25%	62.30%	TEX 7-3
Cardinals	Brewers	E.Jackson vs S.Marcum	Cardinals	56.99%	49.53%	STL 12-3

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October 9th Simulations

LCS Gets Hot and Heavy ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Brewers	J.Garcia vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	58.07%	53.26%	MIL 9-6
Tigers	Rangers	M.Scherzer vs D.Holland	Rangers	57.08%	60.68%	Ppd.

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October 8th Simulations

ALCS Begins ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Rangers	J.Verlander vs C.Wilson	Rangers	50.62%	38.15%	TEX 3-2

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October 6th Simulations

LDS - Yankees Looking For Super Nova ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Yankees	D.Fister vs I.Nova	Yankees	60.24%	52.44%	DET 3-2

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October 4th Simulations

LDS - Yankees and Rays Pushed To The Brink ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Rays	M.Harrison vs J.Hellickson	Rays	52.72%	39.25%	TEX 4-3
Phillies	Cardinals	C.Hamels vs J.Garcia	Phillies	55.85%	40.38%	PHI 3-2
Yankees	Tigers	A.Burnett vs R.Porcello	Tigers	52.83%	52.30%	NYA 10-1
Brewers	DBacks	S.Marcum vs J.Collmenter	Brewers	51.33%	46.21%	ARI 8-1

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October 3rd Simulations

LDS - American League Takes The Spotlight ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Rays	C.Lewis vs D.Price	Rays	56.52%	50.93%	TEX 4-3
Yankees	Tigers	C.Sabathia vs J.Verlander	Tigers	55.56%	49.49%	DET 5-4

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October 2nd Simulations

LDS Get Even Day ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Yankees	M.Scherzer vs F.Garcia	Yankees	56.52%	58.07%	DET 5-3
DBacks	Brewers	D.Hudson vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	60.08%	63.17%	MIL 9-4
Cardinals	Phillies	C.Carpenter vs C.Lee	Phillies	62.89%	58.76%	STL 5-4

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